parch said:
blackie said:
parch said:
They can say whatever they want about solidarity and sticking together, but Texas and OU are going to win before the end of this contract, probably well before. What do you think happens the minute WVU gets an offer from the ACC? Or if the Big 10 decides they'll take in Iowa State? That solidarity isn't going to count for anything and the league is going to splinter apart.
WVU and ISU will have the same huge financial buyouts that OU and UT will have to pony up. That if nothing else, keeps them sticking together. Does either of WVU, and especially ISU have that kind of money? BTW, the B1G is looking for bigger fish than ISU, and the ACC has already turned their heads away from WVU before. The ACC has to worry about being able to keep Clemson and FSU.
People don't realize that the flimsy financial ties that were present in the conference in 2011 are peanuts to what they are today.
You have to start thinking in terms of dominoes here. Four years is a *long* time, especially considering how fast everything is moving right now. We're eventually going to get down to so few unspoken-for schools that the league will break by default. It's inevitable, nobody is going to be passive enough at a time like this to sit on their haunches until 2025.
I think what you're going to start seeing is package deals - Baylor, TCU and Tech ironing out a Texas alliance or K-State/Kansas banding together. Eight is too many to trust in this environment. There is close to zero chance this conference survives until 2025. The only question is how long it lasts.
I don't know that many people are saying it will last
as is for four years, but certainly long enough to get every last penny from UT and OU who will not be patient. There is just too much money to get and too much you have to pay up to get out for any type of piecemeal process as we saw a few years ago. In addition it is likely that none of the 8 right now bring enough to the table to warrant picking them up and bring added value to an existing conference. Are you assuming that the 8 or some of them will go to existing conferences as they (the other conferences) exist today? Just like Party and others have been espousing, that, IMO, would be a bad assumption. Bigger things are out there instead of piecemeal getting teams from the 8. My opinion is that if the Big XII does not continue with the same schools and perhaps adding more that the "break-up" if you want to call it that prior to 2025 will be because of massive change with the B1G, ACC, SEC, and PAC. Not them picking off Big XII schools just to add like the SEC has just done.
In other words, it will not be dominoes falling on the table, IMO. It will be that the table collapses and the dominoes are picked up off the floor and the pattern on the table rebuilt with no reason to believe that the schools end up where they started.
BTW, which non-Baylor school are you coming over from to this board as you just joined today?