Most accurate polling firm the last two election cycles has GOP at +9 on the generic ballot. Close to historic high, and 10-12 points better than what would be considered a favorable cycle.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/TRF-Generic-Ballot-0627-Poll-Report.pdf
Poll actually under slightly samples Hispanics and males, so it's probably a best case result.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/TRF-Generic-Ballot-0627-Poll-Report.pdf
Poll actually under slightly samples Hispanics and males, so it's probably a best case result.