Jacques Strap said:

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Unusual Features of the SARS-CoV-2 Genome Suggesting Sophisticated Laboratory Modification Rather Than Natural Evolution and Delineation of Its Probable Synthetic Route

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Unusual Features of the SARS-CoV-2 Genome Suggesting Sophisticated Laboratory Modification Rather Than Natural Evolution and Delineation of Its Probable Synthetic Route
Yan, Li-Meng; Kang, Shu; Guan, Jie; Hu, Shanchang

The COVID-19 pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has led to over 910,000 deaths worldwide and unprecedented decimation of the global economy. Despite its tremendous impact, the origin of SARS-CoV-2 has remained mysterious and controversial. The natural origin theory, although widely accepted, lacks substantial support. The alternative theory that the virus may have come from a research laboratory is, however, strictly censored on peer-reviewed scientific journals. Nonetheless, SARS-CoV-2 shows biological characteristics that are inconsistent with a naturally occurring, zoonotic virus. In this report, we describe the genomic, structural, medical, and literature evidence, which, when considered together, strongly contradicts the natural origin theory. The evidence shows that SARS-CoV-2 should be a laboratory product created by using bat coronaviruses ZC45 and/or ZXC21 as a template and/or backbone. Building upon the evidence, we further postulate a synthetic route for SARS-CoV-2, demonstrating that the laboratory-creation of this coronavirus is convenient and can be accomplished in approximately six months. Our work emphasizes the need for an independent investigation into the relevant research laboratories. It also argues for a critical look into certain recently published data, which, albeit problematic, was used to support and claim a natural origin of SARS-CoV-2. From a public health perspective, these actions are necessary as knowledge of the origin of SARS-CoV-2 and of how the virus entered the human population are of pivotal importance in the fundamental control of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as in preventing similar, future pandemics.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-14/george-washington-enrollment-drops-24-in-pandemic-setback

George Washington Enrollment Drops 24% in Pandemic Setback

George Washington University's enrollment is down about 24% from last year, an early indication of the impact of Covid-19 on U.S. higher education.

President Thomas LeBlanc told a faculty senate meeting that preliminary undergraduate enrollment is about 1,000 students below its target of 10,126, a spokeswoman said Monday. Last year, the school in Washington, D.C., drew 12,031 undergrads in the fall, including 1,416 from abroad.

Some 67% of schools expected enrollment to decrease, and most forecast lower tuition revenue, according to a poll last month by the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Those with big international populations forecast the steepest declines.

Jacques Strap said:

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-14/george-washington-enrollment-drops-24-in-pandemic-setback

George Washington Enrollment Drops 24% in Pandemic Setback

George Washington University's enrollment is down about 24% from last year, an early indication of the impact of Covid-19 on U.S. higher education.

President Thomas LeBlanc told a faculty senate meeting that preliminary undergraduate enrollment is about 1,000 students below its target of 10,126, a spokeswoman said Monday. Last year, the school in Washington, D.C., drew 12,031 undergrads in the fall, including 1,416 from abroad.

Some 67% of schools expected enrollment to decrease, and most forecast lower tuition revenue, according to a poll last month by the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Those with big international populations forecast the steepest declines.

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Baylor freshman class is one of the largest ever...

Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-14/george-washington-enrollment-drops-24-in-pandemic-setback

George Washington Enrollment Drops 24% in Pandemic Setback

George Washington University's enrollment is down about 24% from last year, an early indication of the impact of Covid-19 on U.S. higher education.

President Thomas LeBlanc told a faculty senate meeting that preliminary undergraduate enrollment is about 1,000 students below its target of 10,126, a spokeswoman said Monday. Last year, the school in Washington, D.C., drew 12,031 undergrads in the fall, including 1,416 from abroad.

Some 67% of schools expected enrollment to decrease, and most forecast lower tuition revenue, according to a poll last month by the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Those with big international populations forecast the steepest declines.

---

Baylor freshman class is one of the largest ever...

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I'm kinda curious about some of the metrics behind that. E.g., how do their admission level requirements compare, how do scholarship levels compare, etc.? How would Baylor be up when so many universities are down?

Could have something to do with not feeling safe in DC as well

Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-14/george-washington-enrollment-drops-24-in-pandemic-setback

George Washington Enrollment Drops 24% in Pandemic Setback

George Washington University's enrollment is down about 24% from last year, an early indication of the impact of Covid-19 on U.S. higher education.

President Thomas LeBlanc told a faculty senate meeting that preliminary undergraduate enrollment is about 1,000 students below its target of 10,126, a spokeswoman said Monday. Last year, the school in Washington, D.C., drew 12,031 undergrads in the fall, including 1,416 from abroad.

Some 67% of schools expected enrollment to decrease, and most forecast lower tuition revenue, according to a poll last month by the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Those with big international populations forecast the steepest declines.

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Baylor freshman class is one of the largest ever...

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Bucking the trend! +1

Robert Wilson said:

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Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-14/george-washington-enrollment-drops-24-in-pandemic-setback

George Washington Enrollment Drops 24% in Pandemic Setback

George Washington University's enrollment is down about 24% from last year, an early indication of the impact of Covid-19 on U.S. higher education.

President Thomas LeBlanc told a faculty senate meeting that preliminary undergraduate enrollment is about 1,000 students below its target of 10,126, a spokeswoman said Monday. Last year, the school in Washington, D.C., drew 12,031 undergrads in the fall, including 1,416 from abroad.

Some 67% of schools expected enrollment to decrease, and most forecast lower tuition revenue, according to a poll last month by the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Those with big international populations forecast the steepest declines.

---

Baylor freshman class is one of the largest ever...

---

I'm kinda curious about some of the metrics behind that. E.g., how do their admission level requirements compare, how do scholarship levels compare, etc.? How would Baylor be up when so many universities are down?

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i know Jason Cook over on the premium side was discussing this last week but didnt give a ton of details.

No surge in cases in US after schools open
Florida Bars Reopen Monday After Months of Being Closed

Texas Medical Center
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/

Houston Methodist "COVID-19 Cases by Day". Click scroll to 2nd chart.
https://www.houstonmethodist.org/-/media/pdf/for-patients/Coronavirus/covid-19-stats.ashx

Daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths, United States
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-cases-deaths?time=2020-01-25..&country=~USA

Death rates from coronavirus (COVID-19) in the United States (per 100,000 people)
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/
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NJ 180
NY 170
FL 59
TX 50
CA 36
TN 30

Total number of cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) in the United States by state
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1102807/coronavirus-covid19-cases-number-us-americans-by-state/
---
CA 762k (39.5M population)
FL 664k (21.4M)
TX 682k (29M)
NY 444k (19.4M) (Case count may be too low due to lack of testing availability in March/April)
GA 294k (10.6M)
TN 172k (6.8M)

Herd Immunity Watch (Cases x10 CDC multiplier) / Population
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/06/25/coronavirus-cases-10-times-larger/
(Multipler range may be 6 to 24 https://www.statnews.com/2020/07/21/cdc-study-actual-covid-19-cases/ )
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/17/health/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html | 43%? Tom Britton, Stockholm University.puts the threshold for herd immunity at 43 percent.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.15.20154294v1.full.pdf Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT) may be greatly reduced (25%?) if a fraction of the population is unable to transmit the virus due to innate resistance or cross-protection from exposure to seasonal coronaviruses
CA 19%
FL 31%
TX 24%
NY 23%
GA 28%
TN 25%

Do you think science knows?

cinque said:

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Do you think science knows?

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why is this on the corona thread? Or is he talking about corona? Sounds more like a forest fire debate. Forestry Science tells us to clean up the underbrush. Climate Science also tells us that is has supposedly gotten 3 degrees warmer on average over the last century. Which do you think is the issue? 3 degrees warmer or an overzealois conservationist response by our leaders that let a bunch of dead brush build up that burns hot and fast? If you chose 3 degrees warmer, it is because you like being lied to...

https://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2020/09/15/coronavirus-university-pittsburgh-biomolecule-neutralize/

University Of Pittsburgh Scientists Discover Biomolecule That May Neutralize Coronavirus

Quote:

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PITTSBURGH (KDKA) University of Pittsburgh scientists have isolated a biomolecule that "completely and specifically" neutralizes the virus that causes coronavirus.

University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine researchers isolated the smallest biological molecule to date that neutralizes the SARS-CoV-2 virus, according to a report published Monday in the journal Cell. The antibody component is 10 times smaller than a full-sized antibody and has been used to create a drug known as Ab8 for use as a therapeutic and preventative against SARS-CoV-2, the report says.

The researchers reported that Ab8 is "highly effective" in preventing and treating SARS-CoV-2 infection in mice and hamsters.

"Ab8 not only has potential as therapy for COVID-19, but it also could be used to keep people from getting SARS-CoV-2 infections," said co-author John Mellors, M.D., chief of the Division of Infectious Diseases at UPMC and Pitt, said in a release from UPMC. "Antibodies of larger size have worked against other infectious diseases and have been well tolerated, giving us hope that it could be an effective treatment for patients with COVID-19 and for protection of those who have never had the infection and are not immune."

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Osodecentx said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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Unusual Features of the SARS-CoV-2 Genome Suggesting Sophisticated Laboratory Modification Rather Than Natural Evolution and Delineation of Its Probable Synthetic Route

---

Unusual Features of the SARS-CoV-2 Genome Suggesting Sophisticated Laboratory Modification Rather Than Natural Evolution and Delineation of Its Probable Synthetic Route
Yan, Li-Meng; Kang, Shu; Guan, Jie; Hu, Shanchang

The COVID-19 pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has led to over 910,000 deaths worldwide and unprecedented decimation of the global economy. Despite its tremendous impact, the origin of SARS-CoV-2 has remained mysterious and controversial. The natural origin theory, although widely accepted, lacks substantial support. The alternative theory that the virus may have come from a research laboratory is, however, strictly censored on peer-reviewed scientific journals. Nonetheless, SARS-CoV-2 shows biological characteristics that are inconsistent with a naturally occurring, zoonotic virus. In this report, we describe the genomic, structural, medical, and literature evidence, which, when considered together, strongly contradicts the natural origin theory. The evidence shows that SARS-CoV-2 should be a laboratory product created by using bat coronaviruses ZC45 and/or ZXC21 as a template and/or backbone. Building upon the evidence, we further postulate a synthetic route for SARS-CoV-2, demonstrating that the laboratory-creation of this coronavirus is convenient and can be accomplished in approximately six months. Our work emphasizes the need for an independent investigation into the relevant research laboratories. It also argues for a critical look into certain recently published data, which, albeit problematic, was used to support and claim a natural origin of SARS-CoV-2. From a public health perspective, these actions are necessary as knowledge of the origin of SARS-CoV-2 and of how the virus entered the human population are of pivotal importance in the fundamental control of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as in preventing similar, future pandemics.

---

Twitter banned Dr. Li-Meng. No surprise there as she stepped outside the approved narrative.

https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/all-americans-could-get-covid-vaccine-by-april-hhs-official-says-20200916

All Americans could get COVID vaccine by April, HHS official says

Bloomberg News also reporting but no link yet

Quote:

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(Bloomberg) --
Every American should be able to obtain a coronavirus vaccine by April, a senior Trump administration official said in an interview.

The U.S. is likely to approve one or more vaccines in November or December, though October is possible, Paul Mango, deputy chief of staff for policy at the department of Health and Human Services, said Wednesday.

"We are under contract to get enough doses, and we have line of sight right now into the clinical trials such that we believe" the FDA will approve shots before the end of the year, he said. "The combination of those two will permit us to vaccinate every American before the end of first quarter 2021."

That timetable is more aggressive than those of drug company executives and other U.S. health officials. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has said Americans shouldn't expect a vaccine to be widely available before mid-2021.

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https://thetexan.news/houston-covid-19-study-to-request-blood-samples-from-randomly-selected-homes/

Quote:

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Houston COVID-19 Study to Request Blood Samples From Randomly Selected Homes

Last week, Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner announced the launch of a COVID-19 survey that will send city employees to homes to request blood samples for antibody testing.

Conducted by the Houston Health Department in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), Rice University, and Baylor College of Medicine, the survey will include only randomly selected households for participation.

According to a press release from the city, teams consisting of Houston Health Department Staff and Houston Fire Department paramedics will visit the selected homes and ask household members to answer survey questions and provide a blood sample.

Participation is voluntary, but Mayor Turner strongly encouraged residents to cooperate if chosen.
"If we knock on your door, I strongly encourage you and your loved ones to participate in this important survey," said Turner. "The data you provide by participating will help inform strategies to mitigate the effects of COVID-19."

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Jacques Strap said:

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https://thetexan.news/houston-covid-19-study-to-request-blood-samples-from-randomly-selected-homes/

Quote:

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Houston COVID-19 Study to Request Blood Samples From Randomly Selected Homes

Last week, Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner announced the launch of a COVID-19 survey that will send city employees to homes to request blood samples for antibody testing.

Conducted by the Houston Health Department in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), Rice University, and Baylor College of Medicine, the survey will include only randomly selected households for participation.

According to a press release from the city, teams consisting of Houston Health Department Staff and Houston Fire Department paramedics will visit the selected homes and ask household members to answer survey questions and provide a blood sample.

Participation is voluntary, but Mayor Turner strongly encouraged residents to cooperate if chosen.
"If we knock on your door, I strongly encourage you and your loved ones to participate in this important survey," said Turner. "The data you provide by participating will help inform strategies to mitigate the effects of COVID-19."

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The mayor may go to hell.

Why did Nashville want to bankrupt their bar and restaurant businesses? I think we all know.

https://fox17.com/news/local/covid-19-emails-from-nashville-mayors-office-show-disturbing-revelation

COVID-19 emails from Nashville mayor's office show disturbing revelation

The coronavirus cases on lower Broadway may have been so low that the mayor's office and the metro health department decided to keep it secret.

Emails between the mayor's senior advisor and the health department reveal only a partial picture. But what they reveal is disturbing.

The discussion involves the low number of coronavirus cases emerging from bars and restaurants and how to handle that.and most disturbingly how to keep it from the public.

On June 30th, contact tracing was giving a small view of coronavirus clusters. Construction and nursing homes causing problems more than a thousand cases traced to each category, but bars and restaurants reported just 22 cases.

Leslie Waller from the health department asks "This isn't going to be publicly released, right? Just info for Mayor's Office?

"Correct, not for public consumption." Writes senior advisor Benjamin Eagles
A month later the health department is asked point blank about the rumor there are only 80 cases traced to bars and restaurants.

Tennessean reporter Nate Rau asks "the figure you gave of "more than 80" does lead to a natural question: If there have been over 20,000 positive cases of COVID-19 in Davidson and only 80 or so are traced to restaurants and bars, doesn't that mean restaurants and bars aren't a very big problem?

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/16/health/coronavirus-drug-eli-lilly.html

An Experimental Drug Protects Covid-19 Patients, Eli Lilly Claims

Quote:

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A so-called monoclonal antibody lowered levels of the coronavirus and prevented hospitalizations. The research has not yet been vetted by independent experts.

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Quote:

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The announcement, by Eli Lilly, was not accompanied by detailed data; independent scientists have not yet reviewed the results, nor have they been published in a peer-reviewed journal. The findings are the interim results of an ongoing trial.

More than 450 newly diagnosed patients received the monoclonal antibody or a placebo infusion. Some 1.7 percent of those who got the drug were hospitalized, compared with 6 percent of those who received a placebo a 72 percent reduction in risk, Eli Lilly reported.

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https://www.texastribune.org/2020/09/17/greg-abbott-texas-coronavirus/

Gov. Greg Abbott loosens coronavirus restrictions for restaurants and other businesses in most regions of Texas

Quote:

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Restaurants, retail stores and office buildings will now be able to operate at 75% capacity, Abbott said. Three regions the Rio Grande Valley, Laredo and Victoria were excluded from the loosening of restrictions, however.

The standard that Abbott unveiled applies to the 19 out of 22 hospital regions in the state where coronavirus patients make up less than 15% of all hospitalizations. In those 19 regions, businesses that have been open at 50% capacity will be permitted to expand to 75% capacity a group of places that includes retail stores, restaurants and office buildings. Hospitals in those regions will also be allowed to offer normal elective procedures again, and nursing homes can reopen for visitations under certain standards.

The three hospital regions excluded from the new reopening stage are in the Rio Grande Valley, Laredo and Victoria. Abbott said those regions' hospitalizations are still "in the danger zone."

At the same time, Abbott said the state was not yet ready to reopen bars, saying they are "nationally recognized as COVID-spreading locations." He stressed, though, that the state is looking for ways to let bars reopen safely.

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In case you missed this (snips below)

https://issuesinsights.com/2020/09/16/is-the-coronavirus-crisis-finally-over-a-nobel-laureate-says-it-might-be/

Is The Coronavirus Crisis Finally Over? A Nobel Laureate Says It Might Be

I&I Editorial


Afew weeks ago, we asked this same question about the pandemic is it safe to go outside yet? The data made a good case that it was. Today, they look even better.

According to the Centers for Disease Control's latest data, released six days ago, shows that, through Aug. 29, predicted excess deaths have moved below the threshold for excess deaths. (See chart below.) When we last wrote about this, after total deaths had for months exceeded the threshold, the two numbers were moving closer.

Stanford biophysics professor Michael Levitt, who won the 2013 Nobel Prize for Chemistry, says the pandemic might have come to an end.

"CDC excess deaths to 29 Aug. are 14% below baseline as predicted in July. This is the first time since March that delay-corrected death data fell below baseline. Excess death in the Mar.-Aug. 20 COVID-19 season may be over. A huge milestone!" he tweeted Thursday.

We are further bolstered by the emergence of effective treatments:

• A new drug called Ab8 has been found to be "highly effective in preventing and treating SARS-CoV-2 infection in mice and hamsters," according to SciTechDaily. A co-author of a report published Monday in the journal Cell believes Ab8 has "potential as therapy for COVID-19" and "also could be used to keep people from getting SARS-CoV-2 infections."

• Dexamethasone, a corticosteroid, has been "found to have benefits for critically ill patients." In patients on ventilators, it reduced mortality "by about one-third, and for patients requiring only oxygen, mortality was cut by about one-fifth."

• A hospital trial of interferon-beta showed that patients who took it were 79% less likely to die from COVID-19 or require ventilation than patients receiving standard care.

• A stack of ivermectin, doxycycline, zinc and vitamin D3 is showing promise as both "a preventive as well as treating method."

LONG READ

https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-to-live-with-covid-not-for-it-11600271921

The battle against Covid-19 is entering a new phase, and the choice for society is whether to live with the virus or to live for it. This new phase has been marked by four developments: Many states have weathered post-shutdown outbreaks and case counts are falling; the percentage of Americans saying the pandemic is worsening peaked in July and is trending down, according to Gallup polling; the culture wars over lockdowns and distancing mandates are cooling; and inexpensive rapid testing and a vaccine will soon be available widely. These developments create an atmosphere of possibilityand an opportunity to pivot away from the fear-fueled policy-making that has characterized the pandemic.

It was stated a few months back that alot of our excess deaths were forward clocking, we should see a drop in deaths on the back half as the predictive model rises again as it typically does in the winter

Gruvin said:

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It was stated a few months back that alot of our excess deaths were forward clocking, we should see a drop in deaths on the back half as the predictive model rises again as it typically does in the winter

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YEP +1 The most vulnerable succumbed. Treatments for at risk populations have improved, allowing some who may have succumbed in April to survive in September.

https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563

Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

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You would think any voter would be turned off by something that abjectly stupid. You'd think.

Robert Wilson said:

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Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

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You would think any voter would be turned off by something that abjectly stupid. You'd think.

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The alternative is the guy who said he saved 2 million lives because he didn't do nothing.

I could not tell from the article whether they were saying excess deaths for the most recent time period were down 14% of a normal time period (ie we were having "negative excess deaths") or were down 14% from what the CDC had predicted (ie still having excess deaths, just not as many).

Booray said:

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Robert Wilson said:

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Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

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You would think any voter would be turned off by something that abjectly stupid. You'd think.

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The alternative is the guy who said he saved 2 million lives because he didn't do nothing.

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You're preaching to the choir. I think this is 98% rain dancing. But I also think blaming someone else for 170k deaths is a little different than claiming credit for saving lives that you didn't save.

Robert Wilson said:

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Booray said:

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Robert Wilson said:

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Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

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You would think any voter would be turned off by something that abjectly stupid. You'd think.

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The alternative is the guy who said he saved 2 million lives because he didn't do nothing.

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You're preaching to the choir. I think this is 98% rain dancing. But I also think blaming someone else for 170k deaths is a little different than claiming credit for saving lives that you didn't save.

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Yes, they are both dumb in their own unique ways. But I guess it is worse to accuse someone of causing a death than to claim false credit for saving a life.

Mitt Romney should be running against Steve Bullock, but we get this s--show.

Booray said:

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I could not tell from the article whether they were saying excess deaths for the most recent time period were down 14% of a normal time period (ie we were having "negative excess deaths") or were down 14% from what the CDC had predicted (ie still having excess deaths, just not as many).

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14% below the threshold at which they're considered excess, i.e. no excess deaths in the most recent time period. It may or may not mean they're below normal, as this chart isn't designed to track that.

Sam Lowry said:

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Booray said:

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I could not tell from the article whether they were saying excess deaths for the most recent time period were down 14% of a normal time period (ie we were having "negative excess deaths") or were down 14% from what the CDC had predicted (ie still having excess deaths, just not as many).

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14% below the threshold at which they're considered excess, i.e. no excess deaths in the most recent time period. It may or may not mean they're below normal, as this chart isn't designed to track that.

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Isn't normal by definition no excess deaths?

Booray said:

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Robert Wilson said:

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Booray said:

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Robert Wilson said:

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Gruvin said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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blaming the president or any other one person for 100% of the covid deaths is grossly dishonest

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You would think any voter would be turned off by something that abjectly stupid. You'd think.

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The alternative is the guy who said he saved 2 million lives because he didn't do nothing.

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You're preaching to the choir. I think this is 98% rain dancing. But I also think blaming someone else for 170k deaths is a little different than claiming credit for saving lives that you didn't save.

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Yes, they are both dumb in their own unique ways. But I guess it is worse to accuse someone of causing a death than to claim false credit for saving a life.

Mitt Romney should be running against Steve Bullock, but we get this s--show.

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Yes, it's comically bad.

Booray said:

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I could not tell from the article whether they were saying excess deaths for the most recent time period were down 14% of a normal time period (ie we were having "negative excess deaths") or were down 14% from what the CDC had predicted (ie still having excess deaths, just not as many).

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we are below the predictive curve aka negative excess deaths for the time period. If O remember correctly, 2020 originally predicted about 2.94 million deaths