Johnny Bear said:
Daveisabovereproach said:
One of many reasons why the goal of becoming bowl eligible with 6 wins doesn't tickle my pickle, and it shouldn't be seen as the benchmark to determine whether Aranda should keep his job
I agree, but given how things go at BU, rest assured if Aranda at least achieves that low bar he won't get canned even if we lose the bowl game - which would mean 4 of his 5 seasons have been losing ones.
The challenge is that Baylor's financial situation was very different 5 years ago vs. today, and Baylor's financial future at D1A is more uncertain than it's ever been since the Big 12 was formed. For clarity, buying out a coaching staff for $20-30M and replacing that staff for $8-12M/year was a different conversation when:
1. UT/OU were Big 12 members,
2. NIL was not allowed,
3. the House settlement had not happened (i.e. settlement paid from future distributions from NCAA tournament), 4. the revenue distributions from the CFP was not so imbalanced,
5. the Big 12 media deal payouts were substantially similar to that of the B1G/SEC,
6. there were transfer restrictions,
7. revenue sharing with athletes was not on the table, and
8. The Big 12 was more visible with Fox/ESPN/etc.
Now, paying that amount would be quite difficult to justify unless there is essentially a perfect candidate available that is also willing to come to Baylor (i.e. rumors are Traylor is not), and, even in that scenario, there is (1) no guarantee that that coach would be successful here and (2) high risk to Baylor's financial/athletic stability by spending those resources in that manner. That's not to say that a bad coach should be kept at all costs, but it is to say that the best-case scenario for Baylor is that Aranda turns this around.
