Not Ready to Give Up Yet

5,269 Views | 90 Replies | Last: 30 min ago by IowaBear
bear2be2
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

Quinton said:

Genuine question: this fire and leadership just doesn't come naturally to Dave. It feels like he finally realizes this is it, and he's throwing absolutely everything into making this a decent year. But even if they pull off a 9-win season, does he actually have what it takes to summon the energy again and sustain that?

Probably not. He's already proven he doesn't have "it" -- not just in his press conferences or public presence, but in his ability to inspire these guys for a full 60 minutes.. to get them to play smart and execute on a consistent basis.. to play physical. Does he finally find his eureka moment in Year 7? Who knows. But we all probably know the answer.

Contrary to what you see posted here, Dave Aranda does have strengths as a head coach.

While many fans have quit on him, his players and coaches never have, which tells you the culture he builds is real. As a lifelong Baylor fan, I've seen teams quit on a coach several times. That's never happened with Aranda in games, seasons or between seasons.

Every time I think he's going to bottom out the program, he manages to pull a win out of his keister -- be that an actual win, a recruiting win or significant coaching hire I didn't think we had the cache or momentum to make. There's something to be said for getting buy-in regardless of results. That's a strength that could be harnessed if he could ever get things right on the football side.

Which brings me back around to why I have some optimism. I think he's finally solved the football side by hiring good people and getting himself out of day to day of it. I think if he lets this staff coach and these players play and focuses on the things he does well, this team can be competitive and fun to watch, which is all I really desire out of our football team. In the NIL era, I have no delusions that we'll ever be a juggernaut because we don't invest at the level needed to do so.

I have no interest in Baylor just being "competitive and fun to watch". IU showed us that you can hire the right coach at any school and they can win. Yes, Cig seems like a generational type of hire, but why not us? Why can't we do the same?

Fine, the players and coaches never quit on him. Sure, the culture he builds is real. However, it is a losing culture based on a bunch of moral victories and metrics that don't lead to winning games.

Let's assume that he's solved the football side by hiring good people. What happens when those good people leave? We are still left with a coach who can't win on his own. I don't want that anymore.

Indiana, while historically a football graveyard, is in the Big Ten, which is no small detail in the Power 2 era.

The new Big 12 will likely never get a coach the quality of Cignetti, who is truly one of one. And if a Big 12 school ever was to luck into such a coach, he'd be gone for the SEC or Big Ten at the first sign of success.

Too many of you are operating under the realities and expectations of a bygone era. Unless we find a billionaire benefactor willing to bankroll our program at the level that Cody Campbell and Co. are spending at Tech, our days as a contender for anything meaningful are almost certainly done. And the same is true for everyone else in the Big 12 not named Tech and everyone in the ACC not named Florida State, Clemson and Miami.

That sucks, but it's reality. We've already been relegated. That doesn't mean we can't have a one off season here or there where we put everything together and compete for a Big 12 title, but we're not sustaining anything because we don't invest/pay enough to do so.

It will be important then to hire good coaches who can take advantage of market inefficiencies and maximize the talent we're able to acquire, and I think a very strong case can be made that Dave's not that guy. But any coach we hire is going to be fighting an uphill battle because the deck is stacked against us in the NIL era.

Cignetti came from JMU. Are you saying that if Baylor had offered to hire him and IU wasn't on the table, he would have declined on the grounds that he was waiting for a bigger conference? Maybe, but I doubt it. Look what that did for Billy Napier. His name was on everyone's list for several years while he waited around for a big SEC job. That didn't last long.

IU did what they did last year without the big money donors stepping up the way they are now. It very well may take big support from alums like Mark Cuban for them to maintain that level, but they won without a huge payroll.

Again, why not us?
We could be a one- or two-year stepping stone for that type of coach if the right Big Ten or SEC job wasn't open at the time, but that's all we'd ever be. And because we don't get the $60-plus million a year that Big Ten schools do, we likely wouldn't be able to capitalize on those one or two years to the degree that Indiana has.

The media money gap has created a caste system that many of you don't want to acknowledge. When it comes to picking coaches and recruiting talent, we're getting what the Power 2 allows us to have and only for as long as the Power 2 allows us to have it.
Youre a clown
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

Quinton said:

Genuine question: this fire and leadership just doesn't come naturally to Dave. It feels like he finally realizes this is it, and he's throwing absolutely everything into making this a decent year. But even if they pull off a 9-win season, does he actually have what it takes to summon the energy again and sustain that?

Probably not. He's already proven he doesn't have "it" -- not just in his press conferences or public presence, but in his ability to inspire these guys for a full 60 minutes.. to get them to play smart and execute on a consistent basis.. to play physical. Does he finally find his eureka moment in Year 7? Who knows. But we all probably know the answer.

Contrary to what you see posted here, Dave Aranda does have strengths as a head coach.

While many fans have quit on him, his players and coaches never have, which tells you the culture he builds is real. As a lifelong Baylor fan, I've seen teams quit on a coach several times. That's never happened with Aranda in games, seasons or between seasons.

Every time I think he's going to bottom out the program, he manages to pull a win out of his keister -- be that an actual win, a recruiting win or significant coaching hire I didn't think we had the cache or momentum to make. There's something to be said for getting buy-in regardless of results. That's a strength that could be harnessed if he could ever get things right on the football side.

Which brings me back around to why I have some optimism. I think he's finally solved the football side by hiring good people and getting himself out of day to day of it. I think if he lets this staff coach and these players play and focuses on the things he does well, this team can be competitive and fun to watch, which is all I really desire out of our football team. In the NIL era, I have no delusions that we'll ever be a juggernaut because we don't invest at the level needed to do so.

I have no interest in Baylor just being "competitive and fun to watch". IU showed us that you can hire the right coach at any school and they can win. Yes, Cig seems like a generational type of hire, but why not us? Why can't we do the same?

Fine, the players and coaches never quit on him. Sure, the culture he builds is real. However, it is a losing culture based on a bunch of moral victories and metrics that don't lead to winning games.

Let's assume that he's solved the football side by hiring good people. What happens when those good people leave? We are still left with a coach who can't win on his own. I don't want that anymore.

Indiana, while historically a football graveyard, is in the Big Ten, which is no small detail in the Power 2 era.

The new Big 12 will likely never get a coach the quality of Cignetti, who is truly one of one. And if a Big 12 school ever was to luck into such a coach, he'd be gone for the SEC or Big Ten at the first sign of success.

Too many of you are operating under the realities and expectations of a bygone era. Unless we find a billionaire benefactor willing to bankroll our program at the level that Cody Campbell and Co. are spending at Tech, our days as a contender for anything meaningful are almost certainly done. And the same is true for everyone else in the Big 12 not named Tech and everyone in the ACC not named Florida State, Clemson and Miami.

That sucks, but it's reality. We've already been relegated. That doesn't mean we can't have a one off season here or there where we put everything together and compete for a Big 12 title, but we're not sustaining anything because we don't invest/pay enough to do so.

It will be important then to hire good coaches who can take advantage of market inefficiencies and maximize the talent we're able to acquire, and I think a very strong case can be made that Dave's not that guy. But any coach we hire is going to be fighting an uphill battle because the deck is stacked against us in the NIL era.

Cignetti came from JMU. Are you saying that if Baylor had offered to hire him and IU wasn't on the table, he would have declined on the grounds that he was waiting for a bigger conference? Maybe, but I doubt it. Look what that did for Billy Napier. His name was on everyone's list for several years while he waited around for a big SEC job. That didn't last long.

IU did what they did last year without the big money donors stepping up the way they are now. It very well may take big support from alums like Mark Cuban for them to maintain that level, but they won without a huge payroll.

Again, why not us?



I'm willing to say that eight wins or so is the best Baylor is likely going to do…..with Dave as coach.

If the idea is that we should settle for eight wins and recondition ourselves into thinking that that's a successful season from here until eternity, I cannot get on board. I firmly believe that if we could get a new coach that could energize the fan base by winning some games like last Saturday, our donors would be more willing to open up the checkbook which would significantly increase our ceiling. But again, it's never ever happening with Dave in a million years, because the donors and everyone else have rightly decided that he's not gonna get it done. The guy has had plenty of time, and he blew it. Nice dude, but it's time for him to go
Timbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Everyone at Baylor wants another 20 year good, solid (not great), HC like Grant, and an evangelist coach like Drew. All Baylor coaches in every sport are now being held to those requirements which only apply to those 2 because that's what they chose.
Baylor is, however, a 2nd tier NIL P4 school, with a HC coach who continues to contribute to losses by taking the "foot" out of "football".
boykin_spaniel
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Historically but we're in a new age now. Hire a great coach but don't give him NIL commensurate to peers and there is only so much that can be done.

Example A- LSU vs Clemson. Unlimited resources meets good resources.

Cignetti - he took a bunch of players from an 11 win JMU. After proof of concept he got funding. Indiana has the coin they just haven't ever put it towards football.
True Grit
How long do you want to ignore this user?
It's amazing how a few inches can possibly define a season.
muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boykin_spaniel said:

Historically but we're in a new age now. Hire a great coach but don't give him NIL commensurate to peers and there is only so much that can be done.

Example A- LSU vs Clemson. Unlimited resources meets good resources.

Cignetti - he took a bunch of players from an 11 win JMU. After proof of concept he got funding. Indiana has the coin they just haven't ever put it towards football.

LSU is better NIL and much better coaching, though. Clemson could compete but their coach is running the same schemes from 2017.
IowaBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
You actually think Kiffin is a "much better cosch" or are you just butthurt little brother doesn't have anywhere near the hardware that big bro does?
Kiffin has won jack **** and openly admitted he made the move to KSU because anger didn't have the NIl to win at Ole Miss
bear2be2
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Youre a clown said:

BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

BayouCity said:

bear2be2 said:

Quinton said:

Genuine question: this fire and leadership just doesn't come naturally to Dave. It feels like he finally realizes this is it, and he's throwing absolutely everything into making this a decent year. But even if they pull off a 9-win season, does he actually have what it takes to summon the energy again and sustain that?

Probably not. He's already proven he doesn't have "it" -- not just in his press conferences or public presence, but in his ability to inspire these guys for a full 60 minutes.. to get them to play smart and execute on a consistent basis.. to play physical. Does he finally find his eureka moment in Year 7? Who knows. But we all probably know the answer.

Contrary to what you see posted here, Dave Aranda does have strengths as a head coach.

While many fans have quit on him, his players and coaches never have, which tells you the culture he builds is real. As a lifelong Baylor fan, I've seen teams quit on a coach several times. That's never happened with Aranda in games, seasons or between seasons.

Every time I think he's going to bottom out the program, he manages to pull a win out of his keister -- be that an actual win, a recruiting win or significant coaching hire I didn't think we had the cache or momentum to make. There's something to be said for getting buy-in regardless of results. That's a strength that could be harnessed if he could ever get things right on the football side.

Which brings me back around to why I have some optimism. I think he's finally solved the football side by hiring good people and getting himself out of day to day of it. I think if he lets this staff coach and these players play and focuses on the things he does well, this team can be competitive and fun to watch, which is all I really desire out of our football team. In the NIL era, I have no delusions that we'll ever be a juggernaut because we don't invest at the level needed to do so.

I have no interest in Baylor just being "competitive and fun to watch". IU showed us that you can hire the right coach at any school and they can win. Yes, Cig seems like a generational type of hire, but why not us? Why can't we do the same?

Fine, the players and coaches never quit on him. Sure, the culture he builds is real. However, it is a losing culture based on a bunch of moral victories and metrics that don't lead to winning games.

Let's assume that he's solved the football side by hiring good people. What happens when those good people leave? We are still left with a coach who can't win on his own. I don't want that anymore.

Indiana, while historically a football graveyard, is in the Big Ten, which is no small detail in the Power 2 era.

The new Big 12 will likely never get a coach the quality of Cignetti, who is truly one of one. And if a Big 12 school ever was to luck into such a coach, he'd be gone for the SEC or Big Ten at the first sign of success.

Too many of you are operating under the realities and expectations of a bygone era. Unless we find a billionaire benefactor willing to bankroll our program at the level that Cody Campbell and Co. are spending at Tech, our days as a contender for anything meaningful are almost certainly done. And the same is true for everyone else in the Big 12 not named Tech and everyone in the ACC not named Florida State, Clemson and Miami.

That sucks, but it's reality. We've already been relegated. That doesn't mean we can't have a one off season here or there where we put everything together and compete for a Big 12 title, but we're not sustaining anything because we don't invest/pay enough to do so.

It will be important then to hire good coaches who can take advantage of market inefficiencies and maximize the talent we're able to acquire, and I think a very strong case can be made that Dave's not that guy. But any coach we hire is going to be fighting an uphill battle because the deck is stacked against us in the NIL era.

Cignetti came from JMU. Are you saying that if Baylor had offered to hire him and IU wasn't on the table, he would have declined on the grounds that he was waiting for a bigger conference? Maybe, but I doubt it. Look what that did for Billy Napier. His name was on everyone's list for several years while he waited around for a big SEC job. That didn't last long.

IU did what they did last year without the big money donors stepping up the way they are now. It very well may take big support from alums like Mark Cuban for them to maintain that level, but they won without a huge payroll.

Again, why not us?



I'm willing to say that eight wins or so is the best Baylor is likely going to do…..with Dave as coach.

If the idea is that we should settle for eight wins and recondition ourselves into thinking that that's a successful season from here until eternity, I cannot get on board. I firmly believe that if we could get a new coach that could energize the fan base by winning some games like last Saturday, our donors would be more willing to open up the checkbook which would significantly increase our ceiling. But again, it's never ever happening with Dave in a million years, because the donors and everyone else have rightly decided that he's not gonna get it done. The guy has had plenty of time, and he blew it. Nice dude, but it's time for him to go

No one is saying that we settle for 8-4 in perpetuity or that Dave Aranda is the guy for the job. Most have already concluded that he's not.

What's being said -- and I think is supported by ample evidence -- is that Baylor has no inherent advantage in the NIL era over a bunch of other Big 12 schools that are investing the same or more in their programs, have the same expectations or higher and are experiencing similar limitations and swings season to season that we are.

I think it's certainly possible to hire a coach who can average seven to nine wins with the odd 10- or 11-win season when the stars align. But unless or until our NIL funding changes, our average team will be in a bunch of close games during conference play, and our best teams will be ill-equipped to compete with Tech in the Big 12 championship or in a playoff scenario against those who are funding their programs at much higher levels.

So I have no problem and feel no fan shame whatsoever in calling an 8-4 season a success in the modern era. A 7-5 record, for me, is the minimum threshold of what I'd consider passable, and anything better than 8-4 is a great season IMO. But 8-4, to me, would be a success for any Baylor coach, including Dave Aranda should he achieve such a record in 2026.
bear2be2
How long do you want to ignore this user?
boykin_spaniel said:

Historically but we're in a new age now. Hire a great coach but don't give him NIL commensurate to peers and there is only so much that can be done.

Example A- LSU vs Clemson. Unlimited resources meets good resources.

Cignetti - he took a bunch of players from an 11 win JMU. After proof of concept he got funding. Indiana has the coin they just haven't ever put it towards football.

Clemson's problems aren't resource related IMO. Their biggest problem is that they have a proud, stubborn coach who fights against the current on NIL and the transfer portal.

And I don't think Florida State has a major resource problem either, particularly compared to their ACC peers. Their payroll is rumored to be somewhere between $24 and $30 million, and they're paying Norvell over $10 million per year. They're just lost in the wilderness right now because they allowed Jimbo to bottom out their program and gave Norvell a really stupid extension after one good year.

Time will tell, though. Neither of those programs is in a good spot right now. If they had spent more time preparing for the new era and less trying to sue their way out of the ACC, they'd probably be in better shape.
bear2be2
How long do you want to ignore this user?
IowaBear said:

You actually think Kiffin is a "much better cosch" or are you just butthurt little brother doesn't have anywhere near the hardware that big bro does?
Kiffin has won jack **** and openly admitted he made the move to KSU because anger didn't have the NIl to win at Ole Miss

I hate Lane Kiffin with a fiery passion, but he is much better built for this era than Dabo is -- and his record over the past four years proves it.

Unfortunately, Kiffin's ruthlessness and disregard for established norms (and rules) makes him the perfect college football coach in the NIL/transfer portal era.

He'll wear out his welcome like he always does, but Lane's going to win a ton of games in Baton Rouge.
IowaBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I'm very clearly speaking as a whole. Until Kiffin puts literally any skins on the wall it's not a debate I'm willing to have. Kiffin has o P4 conference titles let alone national titles.
He's a good cosch, I'll never deny that. And you can argue he's better at this very moment. But as a whole it's not even a debate imo.
We agree on Kiffin as a whole. Guys a **** human and doesn't hide it
DAC
How long do you want to ignore this user?
He's one of the best offense coaches in football and I bet y'all he's competing for a nat championship in a couple years or less now that he's at LSU
bear2be2
How long do you want to ignore this user?
DAC said:

He's one of the best offense coaches in football and I bet y'all he's competing for a nat championship in a couple years or less now that he's at LSU

Maybe. But he'll still be getting run out of town on a rail within five or six years.

Other than maybe Florida Atlantic, he's never left a job on good terms in his career.
muddybrazos
How long do you want to ignore this user?
IowaBear said:

You actually think Kiffin is a "much better cosch" or are you just butthurt little brother doesn't have anywhere near the hardware that big bro does?
Kiffin has won jack **** and openly admitted he made the move to KSU because anger didn't have the NIl to win at Ole Miss

I dont even like Kiffin but at least he can coach an offense. Dabo was never even a coordinator. I have spoken to a hs head coach that I know who told me a lot of coaches dont respect Dabo for that reason. Venables aint coming back and Chad Morris is back. I just dont see much good coming any time soon for Clemp. Kendall is gonna set records on them this year.
JP1037
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Guitarbiscuit said:

And as long as Dave Aranda's on the sidelines going for it on 4th and 4 inside the 20 in the 3rd quarter with a one legged quarterback, we'll just have more of the same.

This. Why there isn't more outrage for the boneheaded decisions this clown makes is beyond me. People allow him to hide behind some analytical BS that pays no attention to specific game intricacies.

Running the ball on 3rd and 7 when you haven't run for more than 5 yards all night for example... dumb! Sure its the OC calling the play but I unleash Mack Roades on Michael Trigg hell if he does that and I am the HC.

That being said I don't hate going for 2 to win the game. I wouldn't have done it, but it's a 50/50 call.
IowaBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I've been bickering about the 3 & long runs for years. There's very clear scenarios where they openly play for 4th down. And it rarely has worked.
The guy is just utterly ******ed. I know that will offend people but it's true. He's hand down the dumbest situational coach in CFB. If I didn't know any better I'd think the guy literally flings **** at a wall hoping it sticks. Because that's how he coaches
Timbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
IowaBear said:

I've been bickering about the 3 & long runs for years. There's very clear scenarios where they openly play for 4th down. And it rarely has worked.
The guy is just utterly ******ed. I know that will offend people but it's true. He's hand down the dumbest situational coach in CFB. If I didn't know any better I'd think the guy literally flings **** at a wall hoping it sticks. Because that's how he coaches


I think he believes that going for it shows all out effort,and actually equals making it, because he tried so hard. I promise you, he FEELS satisfied with effort, regardless of results. He's learned Baylor well.
Dia del DougO
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I haven't given up on anything.

I have been critical of Aranda's weak points over his tenure as his first time as a head football coach. I had criticisms back when I would get bashed endlessly for it. But I knew it was going to be a learning process, because head coaching is a far different thing from being a position coach or even a coordinator.

I just kept hoping to see that switch flip and the light come on where he developed that head coaching instinct that you need to be successful at this level.

I am doubtful, but I'm not writing him off. The failures of Baylor football over the past few years are not entirely his fault. But he is ultimately the head coach.

I remain doubtful, but I'm certainly hoping he will finally develop that superpower and turn his Baylor tenure around and be a top head coach.

I'm just waiting to see it. Give it until at least TCU.

"The only true currency in this bankrupt world is what you share with someone else when you're uncool."
boykin_spaniel
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Don't disagree on both having squandered time but my point stands that neither can compete in NIL with oil barons or Ohio State/Michigan.
boykin_spaniel
How long do you want to ignore this user?
No one is debating the whole. The debate is about now and right now it isn't close. Obviously over a whole it's Dabo with 2 national championships. Aranda has more hardware than Kiffin if that's the sole criteria
IowaBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
We're just going to have to disagree. We're never going to agree. Done if you think Dabo is utter garbage. I'm not there. I'm never going to be there. He's still 26-15 the last 3 plus years in which NIL has taken off. That includes a playoff appearance. I'd take that any day over the garbage at Baylor.
I'm done going in circles about Dabo. You have your opinion, I have mine.
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.