If we win 1 of the next 2 games we should have lots of momentum in H-town!

The Big 12 is definitely headed toward some wild tiebreaker to determine who plays Utah in Arlington. pic.twitter.com/wmLJO9ELPW

— Stewart Mandel (@slmandel) November 7, 2026

boognish_bear said:

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The Big 12 is definitely headed toward some wild tiebreaker to determine who plays Utah in Arlington. pic.twitter.com/wmLJO9ELPW

— Stewart Mandel (@slmandel) November 7, 2026

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Cointoss in the Buccees parking lot?

Nothing like a coin toss at the Catfish Roundup restaurant and RV park to determine who advances to the Oklahoma high school football playoffs. 🪙 pic.twitter.com/olnPpGSVYU

— MaxPreps (@MaxPreps) November 7, 2026

Jack Bauer said:

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boognish_bear said:

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The Big 12 is definitely headed toward some wild tiebreaker to determine who plays Utah in Arlington. pic.twitter.com/wmLJO9ELPW

— Stewart Mandel (@slmandel) November 7, 2026

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Cointoss in the Buccees parking lot?

Nothing like a coin toss at the Catfish Roundup restaurant and RV park to determine who advances to the Oklahoma high school football playoffs. 🪙 pic.twitter.com/olnPpGSVYU

— MaxPreps (@MaxPreps) November 7, 2026

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That's some Friday Night Lights stuff right there!

Easiest path:

-Beat BYU, Tech, Houston
-Arizona loses to Utah.

We would be 7-2 with Texas Tech and win the H2H tiebreaker.

If that TCU loss knocks us out of a tiebreaker, I am going to go ape $$$$

Jack Bauer said:

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Easiest path:

-Beat BYU, Tech, Houston
-Arizona loses to Utah.

We would be 7-2 with Texas Tech and win the H2H tiebreaker.

If that TCU loss knocks us out of a tiebreaker, I am going to go ape $$$$

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Assuming Utah loses, the other option would involve OSU opening up a can on Tech next Saturday night.

We'd win any tiebreakers involving OSU and/or Arizona at that point.

But Utah beating Arizona would almost assure them of being the 1 seed, and basically prevent them from falling back in a tie with anyone else and muddying up the waters.

Jack - I think we need OSU to lose to Tech this week to complete your scenario.

Beat - BYU / Tech / Coogs
Utah beats Arizona
Tech beats OSU

Arizona, OSU, BYU, Coogs finish with at least 3 losses, and we tie with Tech and own the head-to-head tiebreaker.

ETX Bear said:

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Jack - I think we need OSU to lose to Tech this week to complete your scenario.

Beat - BYU / Tech / Coogs
Utah beats Arizona
Tech beats OSU

Arizona, OSU, BYU, Coogs finish with at least 3 losses, and we tie with Tech and own the head-to-head tiebreaker.

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Utah and Arizona play first. If Utah wins, then it really doesn't matter who wins between Tech and OSU.

If OSU wins, then the worst case-scenario would be Baylor and OSU finishing with 2 losses, and we'd own the tiebreaker.

If Tech wins, then a scenario unfolds where we could finish tied with Tech at 2 losses, but get in due to H2H.

Things only get dicey if Arizona pulls off the upset. If that happens, then we need to root for the Pokes - since any 3-way tie involving Tech would likely leave us on the outside looking in.

Good news everyone.

I actually checked the site below.

Even if we somehow fall into a 4-way tie with Utah, Arizona, and Oklahoma State, we'd still get into the title game via tiebreak.

So it seems like we should all pull for OSU on Saturday, regardless of what happens in Tucson.

As long as Tech isn't in the mix, then we'll control our own destiny - even if Utah manages to implode down the stretch.

https://bball.notnothing.net/big12.php?sport=fb

Just curious and too lazy to look past the head-to-head tiebreaker, but what metric gets us in over Okie St if we end up tied with them at 2 losses.

Regardless, we need to beat BYU first, Tech second and Coog High 3rd. Lol

ETX Bear said:

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Just curious and too lazy to look past the head-to-head tiebreaker, but what metric gets us in over Okie St if we end up tied with them at 2 losses.

Regardless, we need to beat BYU first, Tech second and Coog High 3rd. Lol

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Common opponents: UCF, UH, CU, ISU, TT, KU, ASU

We lost to Kansas.
OSU lost to Houston and Iowa State.

Baylor: 6-1
OSU: 5-2

Thanks! As I reflect on the past few years, I wanted to get rid of Aranda after the Air Force loss in the bowl game. That was one of the coldest games that I have been too and to compound the loss was to lose at TCU's stadium with a team that did not come to play.

Just to be at the point this year that we have a viable path to the championship game is the truly the best of both worlds IMHO. We had to endure the dreadful losses to TCU / KU to finally rid ourselves of Aranda and give us the opportunity to bring in new much needed energy. "Hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies."

Kinda reminds me of my friend Andy, we had to crawl thru a river of **** to come out clean on the other side!

ETX Bear said:

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Just curious and too lazy to look past the head-to-head tiebreaker, but what metric gets us in over Okie St if we end up tied with them at 2 losses.

Regardless, we need to beat BYU first, Tech second and Coog High 3rd. Lol

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Absolutely. We don't control the rest of the formula, so we take care of what we can and let the dominos fall where they may

When he says "if Utah wins out"...that's not really controlling your own destiny.

Big if...but if we take care of business we should have a pretty good shot...although not guaranteed

Baylor controls its own path to the Big 12 title game.

If the Bears beat BYU, Texas Tech and Houston, and Utah wins out, Baylor plays in Arlington on Dec. 4.

That holds even if Oklahoma State wins out and ties Baylor at 7-2. Baylor would be 6-1 against common conference…

— Armstrong (@armstrongsimms) November 9, 2026

Let's see what happens in Provo.

if we win in provo we will
be in arlington

The way this season started, it is a bit insane that this door is even open. Just keep something in mind over the next three games. Refs are conference affiliated, and the last thing the Big-12 wants is a 3 loss Baylor team going on a run that wins them the Championship at 9-3 and the CFP/$ implications of that.

Realitybites said:

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The way this season started, it is a bit insane that this door is even open. Just keep something in mind over the next three games. Refs are conference affiliated, and the last thing the Big-12 wants is a 3 loss Baylor team going on a run that wins them the Championship at 9-3 and the CFP/$ implications of that.

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TCU getting embarrassed doesn't help

FLBear5630 said:

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Realitybites said:

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The way this season started, it is a bit insane that this door is even open. Just keep something in mind over the next three games. Refs are conference affiliated, and the last thing the Big-12 wants is a 3 loss Baylor team going on a run that wins them the Championship at 9-3 and the CFP/$ implications of that.

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TCU getting embarrassed doesn't help

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With that said, they did beat #2 Michigan earlier in that run.

Realitybites said:

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The way this season started, it is a bit insane that this door is even open. Just keep something in mind over the next three games. Refs are conference affiliated, and the last thing the Big-12 wants is a 3 loss Baylor team going on a run that wins them the Championship at 9-3 and the CFP/$ implications of that.

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I'm a Baylor fan, so I don't care if we knock everyone else out of the CFP. Win out. Big Big XII champs in the same year you fired your head coach mid-season. That's what college football has become - total chaos. Total.

Assassin said:

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FLBear5630 said:

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Realitybites said:

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The way this season started, it is a bit insane that this door is even open. Just keep something in mind over the next three games. Refs are conference affiliated, and the last thing the Big-12 wants is a 3 loss Baylor team going on a run that wins them the Championship at 9-3 and the CFP/$ implications of that.

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TCU getting embarrassed doesn't help

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With that said, they did beat #2 Michigan earlier in that run.

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That only proved that any Michigan ranking was a mistake. That should have been obvious after they lost their first game to a cupcake. Big 10 cheating does not change reality.

🏈 THE ROAD TO ARLINGTON IS STILL OPEN!

BNT'S PATH TO THE BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP: UPDATED

Three weeks ago, the thought of Baylor playing for a Big 12 Championship seemed pretty far-fetched.

But two wins under Klandy, bowl eligibility, and a little Big 12 chaos later, here we are.… pic.twitter.com/ioHikynlJW

— BNT (@BearNTex) November 11, 2026