Many of us are BU fans, but do not follow BB closely. What should we expect?

Besides the usual answers of heartbreak, pain, and disillusion.

8 or 9 seed. Don't survive the first weekend.

El Oso said:

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8 or 9 seed. Don't survive the first weekend.

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So, heartbreak, pain... : )

Currently 1 game Over .500 in conference play.

We haven't made the tourney yet

This, we're far from a lock at this point. We're in solid shape but we can't afford any losses at home aside maybe Houston. Need to take care of business Saturday in Waco vs UCF

If we go 12-8 in Conference we're in…11-9 is good chance to be in…10-10 and we're a bubble team and it's dicey…9-11 and the odds will be strong we're out.

We have a ton of games that fall into the "should win" category left. And aside from Houston the other 3 road games are VERY winnable. Take care of the home games vs UCF, WV and win @ CO and @Okie St and the bears are in a solid spot. Incredibly unlikely but beating Houston here or on the road would put us on the right side of the bubble.

Shoot I thought okie St was a road game. Definitely can't lose if it's in Waco. Wv, UCF, Okie St in Waco all have to be wins. @CO, Cincy, and TCU are all 3 very winnable and none are in ncaa tournament contention so hopefully small crowds.

Should go 6-2 in the last 8, which would put us at 12-7 and in. That "should" is assuming health and that VJ is back by the end of next week. If we continue to have guys out then 4-4 is likely which would put us on the bubble but I think we would get in by showing up in the conference tourney. I think we make it as a 6-8 seed. If we are an 8 seed then we are out the first weekend. If we can swing a 6-7 seed then it will come down to matchups and which Baylor team shows. The talent is there to make the Elite 8 but we have only seen small spurts of that type of play. The depth is not there for a Final 4 run. More than likely we are a first weekend exit with the way we have played. The great thing about the tournament though is really a crap shoot as teams can get hot and play above their ceiling.

7-10 seems. Make round of 32.

IowaBear said:

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We have a ton of games that fall into the "should win" category left. And aside from Houston the other 3 road games are VERY winnable. Take care of the home games vs UCF, WV and win @ CO and @Okie St and the bears are in a solid spot. Incredibly unlikely but beating Houston here or on the road would put us on the right side of the bubble.

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We need to beat Hou at home. They need to win out at home unless the 16' Warriors are coming to town. On the road, I agree.

We've already been beat at home by a poor TCU squad and struggled mightily against a poor KSU. Feels unrealistic to win out at home. I'd love for that to be the case as that alone would lock up an ncaa bid.

If they can hang at Tech and make a run against Ku very short handed, don't see why they shouldn't beat a good but flawed Hou team at home.. assuming most everyone is back.

Now the energy and effort was trash for portions of those Tcu and K state games so I see where everyone is coming from. That energy will kill us against the hardest playing team in the country.

I guess my point is the expectation should always be to win at home. I understand being realistic but I don't like the they tried against really good teams messaging the program has been putting out (not you). Don't think it's ever ok to lose at home outside of playing historic type teams.

Not sure if we play Az at home too but I would feel the same there.

We do play AZ in Waco. One of last games of the year I believe.

OP -- The bulk of the bracket projections has us as an 8 or 9 seed currently.

This team is too inconsistent and too injury prone to believe it can go on any kind of consecutive victory run, so you're better off sticking to the norm and expect us to turn our 6-5 into a 10-10, maybe 11-9 finish, which would almost guarantee us a spot in the tourney.

We're probably good for 1 more upset win in a game at home in which we aren't the favorite ( UH or Arizona), and we are just as likely to let a home game slip by us where we are a favorite (UCF, WVU or Oklahoma St). That is to be expected when you are as inconsistent as we are in outside shooting and defense. Road games in any conference are difficult to win, although I'd like to think it would take a really awful game for us to lose to the pathetic Colorado team I've watched all year and I'd like to think we'll be a better coached and better motivated team when we play in Fort Worth so we at least split with TCU this year.

IowaBear said:

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We do play AZ in Waco. One of last games of the year I believe.

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Well good, we can play spoiler now that the full roster will supposedly be available.

IowaBear said:

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We've already been beat at home by a poor TCU squad and struggled mightily against a poor KSU. Feels unrealistic to win out at home. I'd love for that to be the case as that alone would lock up an ncaa bid.

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Had healthy VJ in both those as well. Always missing other guys those so major personnel challenges all season

If we get in, whatever the seed, I'm expecting us to not survive the first weekend for the 4th season in a row, but very much hoping to be wrong.