BearTiger said:
I love and support Coach N and believe she will get us back on the road towards the Final Four again. It's taking us longer than anticipated. Once she figures out how to bring in top 10/15 recruits, and top 10/15 transfers, we will get there.
Based on what (see bolded above)? And I ask that in the most serious, non-confrontational way that I can. Let's look at it from two perspectives.
If this is too involved to read, don't, but it apparently needs to be said.......again.
First compare our situation to that of some other long-standing elite programs that lost their HOF-level coach. Let's just look at three that are relatively recent and well-known to us, Tennessee, UT, and ND. I should first preface this by pointing out that in each case each school had ample notice that the coach was not going to be there for the next season. We had no advance notice. We got dumped and dumped very late. It doesn't matter who was at fault.....the bottom line is that we got dumped with no prior notice or even expectation that it was to happen. We are talking here about recovering from that happening, not why it happened. HS recruits and potential transfers were pretty much set for the next season as to where they would go, leaving no real time for quality damage control.
Now on to the three schools above..
Tennessee.......likely one of the most storied programs in WBB history still has not recovered from the loss of Pat. They are no where to be found in the top 25 and I think one or two seasons after she left they barely made the tournament. They are no where near back to the level to which they were accustomed.
UT......we know their history after Jody retired. They struggled through two coaches before Vic finally has them back. They even hired what was considered at the time to be an elite coach, Gail Goestenkors. It was a complete disaster. Then came Aston (nothing needs to be said).
ND....a shorter history since Muffett retired, but into the 4th year the best they have done is some sweet sixteens, but currently sit only 3 spots above us in the current AP poll today.
What do these programs have in common with us? They lost their long-time elite coach and have either taken years to get back to where they were in the case of UT, but are still struggling in the case of the other two. So, based on factual history, why should anyone have had expectations that Baylor would be any different? If you want to start talking about the roster left, I'll discuss that in the next perspective.
Some have based their assessment in questioning why we are not yet back at the level to which we were used to because of what was left on the roster. We had a roster of 9 and we only had 9 because we got a walk-on to join the team. Most of the incoming transfers bailed before a new coach was even named. Sure we had some great ones left which allowed us to win one more XII championship, but they were all seniors, and of the rest, only Bickle had seen much meaningful playing time in Mulkey's last year. We were lucky to have a team. If Smith and Egbo had decided to leave we would have been toast, as a team that season and a program to boot. They could have seen the new coach and said see you later, but they stayed. Apparently they saw something worth staying for.
Now, put yourself in the shoes of an upper to elite level HS senior player or possible transfer in the fall of 2021 considering where you would be going for the 2021-2022 season. You were probably considering Baylor because of the coach (KM) and now all of a sudden she is gone. You know nothing about the new coach (whoever it might be). Yes, Baylor had some great players for the upcoming season, but they would be leaving. Is it too much to understand that you have second thoughts and start looking around for other options until you or others see how it works out?
Some would say we could have hired another well-known great coach. But who would want to take the risk? I provided examples above of what happened to other schools when the elite coach left. Heck, UT thought they hit the jackpot with Goestenkors. Well, that didn't age well. There is no upside for an established coach at an elite level to take the risk in leaving their current position to start over again at Baylor or anywhere else for that matter. I know you have all heard the expression that you want to be the coach that follows the coach who followed the elite coach.
CNC did well in getting Buggs and Bella. Hopefully others will follow. But when Mulkey left, the allure of Baylor to elite recruits took a huge hit that takes time to re-establish. KM could have gone anywhere,
literally anywhere and attracted recruits because the coach is the real magnet to draw them to a school. It is grossly unfair to throw in any argument comparing what was left at Baylor and what was left at LSU. One had the elite coach coming in. The other is from where that coach left. Those situations are not even comparable, especially under the timing of when the coach left.
So, I'll ask again, On what is the statement of "why is it taking longer than expected" based upon. It sure isn't the history of the sport when HOF-level coaches leave. I think we all had/have hopes that we will get back to where we were as soon as possible. But I believe we need to frame any expectations by the reality of the situation and not let them be dictated by what we hope or would like to happen. None of us know how this will turn out. We never knew in Mulkey's first years how she and the program would turn out. Thus far I don't believe it is taking any longer than what history tells us it should take. I will say that in a few years we will know whether we are an accelerated Texas or the next Tennessee. But right now I would not place a bet on either.