RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:
Oldbear83 said:
Check the polls lately?
I love you man, but do you honestly think the Democrats are going to allow Donald Trump to win another election? Dems will "win" by any means necessary. 2020 was the template. I expect the Dems to find 91 million votes if necessary.
Oboy.
First, 2020 was an outlier by any rational standard. Democrats controlled the Congress and had manipulated a virus, making it a weapon unlikely to be available now, and further had managed to trick Trump into several unforced errors.
And for all of that, the key states Biden won were by very thin margins.
If Biden had done even a half-decent job, he would have enjoyed enough support to be untouchable, since the media protected/defended him at every turn. Instead, the Democrats have proved that there actually
is a candidate they could run that is worse than Hillary Clinton.
Let me say here - again - that I prefer the GOP nominate someone besides Donald Trump for President in 2024. But the claim that there is no way Trump wins in 2024 is clearly just a myth being sold by the Democrat-controlled media. Part of the strategy in an election is damaging the opponent's supporters confidence.
The economy is always the main issue in an election, and there's no way possible to sell Biden as deserving a second term. Everyone knows that, which is why so many people say he won't be the nominee in 2024.
But the calendar is a big problem now for the Democrats, as is History. Without going into all the details, a party cannot change its leadership close to an election. Two examples would be Johnson's bitter withdrawal in 1968 and McGovern's running-mate switch in 1972. In 1968, the Democrats decided late that President Johnson was not the man they wanted, and LBJ was forced to withdraw from the race. Johnson was bitter and refused to support Humphrey after he won the nomination, opening the door for Wallace to further disrupt the race and allow Nixon to win with just 43% of the Popular Vote.
In 1972, McGovern was running against a deeply unpopular Richard Nixon and was making some traction, when he decided Senator Thomas Eagleton was unsuitable and dumped him as running mate, replacing him with Sargent Shriver, former head of the Peace Corps. That change proved to be a bad idea, and despite his unpopular personality and style, Richard Nixon absolutely destroyed McGovern with over 60 percent of the Popular Vote.
Frankly, the Democrats should have had Biden declare he was not running for re-election no later than this past June. That would have allowed the Democrats time to have a full primary process to find their most viable candidate. Instead, they seem determined to repeat the 2016 and 2020 election strategies, down to the same blunders and stupid assumptions.
A lot remains to play out, but by no means is this election decided.