Sam Lowry said:
EatMoreSalmon said:
Sam Lowry said:
whiterock said:
Sam Lowry said:
What's fascinating is how the conversation changes as we get closer to active hostilities. We saw the same pattern with Iraq, Iran, etc. Cold strategic calculation gradually gives way to scaremongering. By the time the first shots are fired, the underlying reasons for the conflict are relegated to the province of conspiracy theory.
This article from a few years ago is an interesting relic and very much worth reading. It sets forth the case against China in relatively honest terms: they're too big, they're too successful, and we don't like it. We'll be hearing less and less of this as the war drums beat louder.
https://time.com/6221072/why-protecting-taiwan-really-matters-to-the-u-s/
China's war drums are not beating louder. They're watching their cost of a move on Taiwan sharply escalate. We now have control over their oil supply chain. No more cheap Venezuelan oil. No more Panama canal to ship it thru. No more cheap Iranian oil. No more free passage thru the Malacca Straits. No more basing rights in the Americas (well, almost, Cuba hasn't fallen....yet). And on and on.
Everything we've done the last 4 months has been sharply to China's detriment.
And they can't do a damned thing about it.
"Every battle is won before it is fought."
-Sun Tzu
I'm talking about war drums from the likes of the "American Thinker." Of course China has no interest in war with us.
Both China and the US will suffer in the short term. In the long term, we're the ones who will lose access to Middle East oil unless we get serious about making a deal.
China has been waging economic war since the 1980s. They are just lately becoming rich and industrialized enough to start challenging the US in military hardware. Not facilitating the continuation of that trend is in the best interest of the US.
They've been competing economically, which we consider a form of warfare. The rest of the world doesn't necessarily see it that way.
Fun fact: When I worked for Schlumberger, we did a site audit of three foundries we had in China and our regular laptops were replaced with others which could not access the main company site, because we learned China would have people steal company laptops to gain access to technology, especially patent research. The practice of stealing IP has been common to China since at least 1990, and every nation which does business with China knows this and plans for it.
Russia, Germany, France, etc. all act the same way as the US in this regard, because China will very commonly use means to steal while pretending it's just random crime.