KaiBear said:

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Dems acquire a majority in both the house and senate.

Immediately begin impeachment hearings against Trump.......'crimes' to be established as needed.

Dems fail to obtain a 2/3 majority of senators willing to vot for conviction.

However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

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As much as I am tempted, I am not responding to predictions or characterizations about what will happen after Congress is seated. The thread is for election predictions. Wondering what everyone is really thinking versus what they are hoping for.

Don't care what the polls say, it's hard for me to predict Collins losing in Maine. I do think 51D-49R is likely in the Senate though, but with El-Sayed from Michigan instead of the guy in Maine. Abbott definitely survives in Texas, along with Patrick. Bo French is in real danger, too many people know his name for the wrong reasons, ironically if he had just shut up he'd be in a better position. I would also have the Texas Senate race in the "low confidence" category, but I think Talarico manages to win. Win or lose for Talarico, I'm interested to see if his coat-tails can change anything in the State Leg and beyond, everyone remembers Beto losing in 2018, but some forget what happened in a lot of smaller races.

That would make Fetterman the single most powerful vote in all of Congress (if he stays on the blue team), he'd be basically the new Joe Manchin, but a lot dumber.

HuMcK said:

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Don't care what the polls say, it's hard for me to predict Collins losing in Maine. I do think 51D-49R is likely in the Senate though, but with El-Sayed from Michigan instead of the guy in Maine. Abbott definitely survives in Texas, along with Patrick. Bo French is in real danger, too many people know his name for the wrong reasons, ironically if he had just shut up he'd be in a better position. I would also have the Texas Senate race in the "low confidence" category, but I think Talarico manages to win. Win or lose for Talarico, I'm interested to see if his coat-tails can change anything in the State Leg and beyond, everyone remembers Beto losing in 2018, but some forget what happened in a lot of smaller races.

That would make Fetterman the single most powerful vote in all of Congress (if he stays on the blue team), he'd be basically the new Joe Manchin, but a lot dumber.

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El-Sayed would not be a pickup. The seat belongs to Gary Peters, a retiring Dem. If Collins wins, the Dems need to go to Iowa, Alaska, Nebraska, Kansas, Mississippi, or South Carolina. (last two are the longest of long shots).

I've seen too many "Texas is turning blue" elections to believe Talarico can upset Paxton and his tribe of trite.

I think the Democrats will easily take the House but I do not think they will take the Senate.

Sam Lowry said:

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I don't really follow the polls, but my gut feeling is that the Democrats win both houses. The main question is whether Trump allows them to be seated or decides to release the monsters. He'll be under great pressure to do the latter, but the narcissist in him will want to save his ammo for a third run in 2028.

In the end it will come down to which way the military and his praetorian guards in ICE cast their lot.

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The legit winners will be seated. And the pardon office will get busy.

I think it'll end up pretty close to the current forecast averages:
House: 234D / 201R
Senate: 51D / 49R

Dems will almost certainly win the house. Senate is more interesting.

Hamas Harry aka Sam Losery is another liberal whack job

and all of his prognostications are always wrong

Between him and Flunaticbear aka Socalbear, I dont know who is wrong more

Another brain dead hyperbolic statement by Hamas harry aka Sam Lousery

Have you ever been right about anything?

Is it true you go by different alias spreading your liberal lunacy

from jpost:

>>
OCTOBER 28, 2026 14:21
Updated: OCTOBER 28, 2026 17:40
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc is currently expected to enter the Knesset with 53 seats, the Central Elections Committee (CEC) announced on Wednesday morning after almost five million votes were counted.

Netanyahu's Likud is projected to enter with 26 seats, while United Torah Judaism, Shas, and Otzma Yehudit are expected to enter with seven seats, and the Religious Zionist Party is expected to enter with six seats, respectively.

The opposition bloc, comprising Yashar, B'Yachad, Yisrael Beytenu, and the Democrats, is expected to enter the Knesset with 48 seats, according to data from the CEC.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

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This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

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Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

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This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

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Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

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Republican President. Majority in both Houses these last two years. And what have the Republicans done? Should they retain their seats, we will see more of the same, - which is absolutely nothing.

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Even if that were true, it would still be significantly better for Americans than a Democrat-controlled Congress.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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Oldbear83 said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

---

This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

---

Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

---

Republican President. Majority in both Houses these last two years. And what have the Republicans done? Should they retain their seats, we will see more of the same, - which is absolutely nothing.

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Even if that were true, it would still be significantly better for Americans than a Democrat-controlled Congress.

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My hope is Trump and all of the other congressmen that play golf play a whole bunch of golf after the midterms. This will hopefully reduce fraud and cut down on those jacklegs spending money that we don't have.

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If you do not want fraud, you have no choice but to vote for Republicans.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

---

This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

---

Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

---

Republican President. Majority in both Houses these last two years. And what have the Republicans done? Should they retain their seats, we will see more of the same, - which is absolutely nothing.

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You have a very short memory.

But thanks anyway.

Bye

For starters, pre-election polling results in the age of Trump & MAGA is as worthless as these kinds of polls have ever been. I don't believe anybody has any meaningful clue about what is going to happen and I know it sounds like a cliche, but it really is 100% about turnout. I too have no idea what the results will be, but I will say I don't think the GOP retaining small majorities in both Houses will take the unimaginable miracle of Biblical proportions many people apparently think it will take.

Frank Galvin said:

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When the next Congress swears in, there will be:

House 226D and 209R
Senate 51D and 49R, flipping NC, OH. ME, and TX (listed in order of confidence).
Governor's Mansions 25D/25R (Hot Wheels survives)

I know there are a few independents; the numbers indicate which party the independents will caucus with. Would not be surprised to see Fetterman start to caucus with the GOP by 2028.

Call your shot.

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I'd add Alaska and SC.

KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

---

This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

---

Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

---

Republican President. Majority in both Houses these last two years. And what have the Republicans done? Should they retain their seats, we will see more of the same, - which is absolutely nothing.

---

You have a very short memory.

But thanks anyway.

Bye

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If you are going to be an arrogant horse's ass, please block me. Really no need for you to act that way.

The goodbye is mutual.

Damn Aggies. This is the time of year most of them are angry at the world. It is what it is. Please give Canada2017 my best. I miss that guy.

Pretty sure the polls are wrong on Paxton. I think he will win the seat because no sensible Republican would tell a pollster they are too embarrassed to admit but will vote for the SOB regardless.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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KaiBear said:

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However Trump's presidency will be little more than cheap theater in the last 2 years of his term.

---

This will be true regardless of the election outcomes.

---

Not if by some miracle the Republicans hold onto their slim majorities in the house and senate.

Committee chairmanships are vital commodities.

---

Republican President. Majority in both Houses these last two years. And what have the Republicans done? Should they retain their seats, we will see more of the same, - which is absolutely nothing.

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that is total BS. They all got a front seat the the worlds biggest political grift, kick ass retrobution campaign, watch a 1 war man war work out really well. Most every damn one of the have Trump slime all over them and I hope they all lose.

Mothra said:

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Frank Galvin said:

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Sam Lowry said:

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I don't really follow the polls, but my gut feeling is that the Democrats win both houses. The main question is whether Trump allows them to be seated or decides to release the monsters. He'll be under great pressure to do the latter, but the narcissist in him will want to save his ammo for a third run in 2028.

In the end it will come down to which way the military and his praetorian guards in ICE cast their lot.

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The legit winners will be seated. And the pardon office will get busy.

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Of course they will. Sam is a drama queen, and always has been.

Dems flip House and Senate. Talarfreako beats the most unelectable republican Senate candidate of the past 40 years.

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More unelectable than Darlene Graham whose only qualification is... being a dead gay guy's sister?

EatMoreSalmon said:

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Not touching predictions on this election with a ten foot poll.

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Agreed . One thing I see is a lot of smoke. I mentioned in another thread that on the Texas Senate race, most of the polls have only published one poll or have not published in more than a month, making it impossible to see any trend in their polling. A number of major polls hide their demographics behind a pay wall or do not publish them at all, raising questions about how they weight results. Such polls are really nothing but noise, and the remainder have margins of error greater than the range between the candidates, allowing the polls an excuse if their published report proves wrong.

Then there is the media, which more and more sells one party ahead of the other; simply reporting about actual policy positions or whether the candidate can even do what he promises is just not happening.

The_barBEARian said:

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Mothra said:

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Frank Galvin said:

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Sam Lowry said:

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I don't really follow the polls, but my gut feeling is that the Democrats win both houses. The main question is whether Trump allows them to be seated or decides to release the monsters. He'll be under great pressure to do the latter, but the narcissist in him will want to save his ammo for a third run in 2028.

In the end it will come down to which way the military and his praetorian guards in ICE cast their lot.

---

The legit winners will be seated. And the pardon office will get busy.

---

Of course they will. Sam is a drama queen, and always has been.

Dems flip House and Senate. Talarfreako beats the most unelectable republican Senate candidate of the past 40 years.

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More unelectable than Darlene Graham whose only qualification is... being a dead gay guy's sister?

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Way more unelectable that Graham.

I know you don't like her because the Jews and all.