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Baptist Betting Advice: Great Time of the Year

November 3, 2016
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After a tough loss for Baylor last weekend, this week is shaping up to be a great sports week. PJ Fleck wins on Tuesday, game seven of the World Series went extra innings, the Big 12 gets started on Thursday night, and BU has another matchup with one of their main rivals this weekend. This time of year is great.

This week has some intriguing Big 12 games. Can Texas Tech and Oklahoma State keep their momentum going?



Oklahoma at Iowa State

Vegas line: OU -20.5

Oklahoma put Kansas away early last week. The OU defense stifled the Jayhawk offense who couldn’t move the ball all night. Meanwhile the OU offense continued to look like one of the best in the country.

Thursday night in Ames, the Sooners will be without Joe Mixon. Mixon is suspended after tearing up a ticket from an OU police officer. The Sooners will now turn to freshman Abdul Adams to be the workhorse back this week. Adams has been effective when he has received touches by averaging 5.2 yards per carry on 41 attempts.

It is safe to say that Dede Westbrook had the best October of any player in the Big 12. Westbrook racked up 881 yards receiving to go with 11 touchdowns in the month. He and Baker Mayfield will face an ISU defense that will give up yards, but is decent at limiting big pass plays. Something has to give in that matchup.

The Cyclones head into Thursday with two quarterbacks getting snaps again. Jacob Park was the passing QB against KSU and Joel Lanning was getting the running duties. This tactic brought ISU within striking distance with 51 seconds left. But it ended in another loss for the rebuilding Cyclones.

David Montgomery may be passing up Mike Warren in terms of touches in the running game. Montgomery has some more size to him and he is the future feature back in Ames. Look for Matt Campbell to ride the hot hand and try to get the ball moving.

In the trenches on both sides of the ball, ISU is just out gunned. With the transition going on in the Cyclone backfield it could mean a more consistent offense, but in such a short period of time to implement a game plan for OU I’m a skeptic.

OU 45, ISU 21



Texas at Texas Tech

Vegas line: Texas -3.5

The headlines were ready to go “Strong and Kingsbury come in looking for a win after both lost to intrastate rivals.” But instead both coaches got their biggest win of the season last week.
D’Onta Foreman is going to do unspeakable things to the Red Raider defense. Foreman is coming off a game where he ran for 250 yards on 32 carries. He could be in for another career game because the Red Raider defense because Tech is 123rd in the country in defensive yards per carry.

Shane Buchele decided to allow the whole Foreman house to have a career day. Twin brother Armanti Foreman had 143 yard receiving against BU last week. Outside of the yards, the item that caught my attention is that Foreman was the only receiver last week to have more than 2 receptions. That can’t become a trend if UT hopes to win in Lubbock.

Texas Tech knocked off TCU on the road last weekend. The Raider offense wasn’t in video game mode, but running back Da’Leon Ward stepped up to lead the Raiders in receiving yards and it was enough. Texas Tech has the type of passing attack that can hurt UT. They will throw underneath and force UT to make plays one-on-one. Mahomes doesn’t need to run the ball another 20 times if he hopes to win this game.

Both teams need 2 more wins to become bowl eligible. This is almost a must win for Tech because of who is left on their schedule. Tech should be able to score often enough to outpace UT if they can keep Foreman from breaking big runs.

UT 35, Tech 38



Oklahoma State at Kansas State

Vegas line: Kansas State -2.5

Oklahoma State is coming off of a major win over WVU last week. The Cowboys were able to get Skyler Howard to turnover over 3 times and that led to 17 OSU points. OSU is on the road to face a pesky Wildcat squad which held on last week against ISU.

Mason Rudolph had a solid game last week. He didn’t turn the ball over and he found Washington and McCleskey a combined 17 times in the game. This is the game plan that OSU will need to employ again this week in Manhattan. Something that needs to be addressed in the OSU locker room this week is the running game. Last week the Pokes averaged 2.7 yards per rush. The KSU defense is 21st in the country in defending the rush. If KSU can keep the Cowboys off the field then it will be tough for OSU to overcome it.

Jesse Ertz is a one man show for the Wildcats this year. He is their main rushing threat and he will keep the chains moving. For the lack of talent KSU has, their efficiency is very impressive. Their offense isn’t going to break off big plays, but they will put together drives and make you uncomfortable.

The OSU defense has been good at stopping the running attack and keeping teams behind the chains. They struggle with explosive offenses of which KSU isn’t. I think that is the difference maker in this game. KSU will put together drives, but they won’t be able to piece enough of them together to get the W. If you want to watch some of the best defensive players in the conference put up some numbers what KSU’s Jordan Willis and OSU’s Vincent Taylor.

OSU 28, KSU 27



Kansas at West Virginia

Vegas line: WVU -34.5

West Virginia was finally getting the national praise they deserved and then they went to Stillwater. Now the Mountaineers are ranked 20th in the first college football rankings and it is proving time all over again. Luckily for Dana Holgersen, Kansas is coming to town.

Kansas scored more points against Oklahoma in basketball last season than that had in total yardage last Saturday. There wasn’t a positive to be taken outside of the fact that the game is over. KU now heads to Morgantown where they hope to have more than 49 yards rushing. The KU offensive line hasn’t done much this season to help themselves. When running the ball, KU is tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage 22% of the time (which is 109th in the country). Through the air, Montell Cozart hasn’t given the Jayhawks a spark since returning to the starting role. He has 4 interceptions in his 2 games back.

Skylar Howard is coming off his worst game of the season with under 200 yards of offense and 3 turnovers. In the running game, Justin Crawford was the primary back last week. Holgersen continues to keep opposing defenses guessing because the running back utilization changes so much week to week.

The KU defense has put up good numbers in defending the pass. KU quietly puts up good sack numbers. Be sure to watch # 2 Dorance Armstrong Jr. because he has a sack in 6 straight games.

It’s always weird to come to the part where you have to pick how much Kansas will lose by every week. This week I think they cover the 5 touchdown line.

KU 10, WVU 42
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Baptist Betting Advice: Great Time of the Year

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