Joey McGuire

25,493 Views | 336 Replies | Last: 14 days ago by Aberzombie1892
LIB,MR BEARS
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bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.
bear2be2
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LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.
FLBear5630
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LIB,MR BEARS said:

FLBear5630 said:

canoso said:

Watched 2 post-game press conferences yesterday, TT's and Indiana's. Both are instructive to any disgruntled BU fan willing to climb down from their high horse or ivory tower. Youtube is your friend.

Also watched Scott Drew talk about how other HCs had called him wanting to know how to do what he did to legally bring in a G-league player to fill a crying roster need. Smoak's show.

It is the analytic guys and the NIL...

Football people better get with it, they are the most expendable part of this equation. The shift from player recruitment and development has happened. It is now a world of talent ID, NIL payment and systems that can easily be learned for the turnstile of players coming in and out every year. Any player coming in better be able to step on the field and play. It is now a plug and play world.

Cignetti gets it. Who does Baylor have scouring the portal for pieces that fit? Do we even know what it should look like?

I do think so on Offense. Not on D, we seem to focus on athletic bodies that can be "developed". I am not sure they have an idea of what a winning D should look like at BU. Nevermind find players to fit.



Even though the head coach is a world beater DC?

Calling a game is one thing, I heard Cignetti has Mike Shannahan calling plays. I guarantee you he is not out visiting living rooms in Hoboken, NJ on a Tuesday.

If you leave the recruiting to the NIL people, you can get guys like Shannahan that all they want to do is coach football and get young kids to the league. Joey doesn't have to worry about the recruiting, the NIL guys do that and find the pieces.

What you need is someone that KNOWS what pieces he wants. I give Joey ALOT of credit there. He told them what he wanted to run and what would work in the B12.

IU and Tech have a really nice model going on and I bet it is a hell of a lot less stressful...
PartyBear
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The name is coincidental. It is not the same Mike Shanahan you are thinking of, if you are thinking of the old NFL HC.
Bearknuckle
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He's also already won a natty.
LIB,MR BEARS
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bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.
that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

I agree with you.
Bearknuckle
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LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.
CaliBear00
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EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?


The point went over your head, sparky. The take away from Tech's season is that all the money in the world cannot turn a mid tier coach coach into Nick Saban.
Timbear
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CaliBear00 said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?


The point went over your head, sparky. The take away from Tech's season is that all the money in the world cannot turn a mid tier coach coach into Nick Saban.


You gotta have an OC with at least an average brain, too.
FLBear5630
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CaliBear00 said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?


The point went over your head, sparky. The take away from Tech's season is that all the money in the world cannot turn a mid tier coach coach into Nick Saban.

They just played in week 2 of the playoff. Texas Tech is now a household name. They have kids WANTING to go there.

Yeah, it worked for them.

Where are we? Still pining for Briles and pissing how Aranda won with Rhule's players in 2021.

I would say point - Texas Tech...
bear2be2
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Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.
CaliBear00
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FLBear5630 said:

CaliBear00 said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?


The point went over your head, sparky. The take away from Tech's season is that all the money in the world cannot turn a mid tier coach coach into Nick Saban.

They just played in week 2 of the playoff. Texas Tech is now a household name. They have kids WANTING to go there.

Yeah, it worked for them.

Where are we? Still pining for Briles and pissing how Aranda won with Rhule's players in 2021.

I would say point - Texas Tech...


You're responding to a point I never made. When did I compare Baylor to Tech?
Bearknuckle
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bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.
blackie
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Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.
Aberzombie1892
How long do you want to ignore this user?
blackie said:

Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.


Agreed in that it's difficult to project future rosters, but 2026 Tech will be facing 5 teams that went to bowls in 2025 with 3 of such teams having their starting QBs entering the portal - Arizona State, Cincinnati and TCU - and Tech misses BYU and Utah in the regular season. That's not to say that the schedule will be as a bad as if not worse than their 2025 schedule, but it does raise concern that Tech may not be truly battle tested for a CFP run even if it does dominate the Big 12 again in 2026.
Stefano DiMera
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Ha.. if they win 9 games and don't make it to Arlington.. Joey ain't going anywhere..

Them making the CFP is almost akin to our natty in basketball.

And no one here is asking for Drew to be replaced after 5 straight exits opening weekend.
FLBear5630
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Stefano DiMera said:

Ha.. if they win 9 games and don't make it to Arlington.. Joey ain't going anywhere..

Them making the CFP is almost akin to our natty in basketball.

And no one here is asking for Drew to be replaced after 5 straight exits opening weekend.


Joey hasn't done anything to get fired. He has a 4 or 5 years based on this year.
canoso
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Aberzombie1892 said:

blackie said:

Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.


Agreed in that it's difficult to project future rosters, but 2026 Tech will be facing 5 teams that went to bowls in 2025 with 3 of such teams having their starting QBs entering the portal - Arizona State, Cincinnati and TCU - and Tech misses BYU and Utah in the regular season. That's not to say that the schedule will be as a bad as if not worse than their 2025 schedule, but it does raise concern that Tech may not be truly battle tested for a CFP run even if it does dominate the Big 12 again in 2026.

Tech isn't going to pay any attention to attempts to project BU criteria on them, and that's good on them.
Aberzombie1892
How long do you want to ignore this user?
canoso said:

Aberzombie1892 said:

blackie said:

Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.


Agreed in that it's difficult to project future rosters, but 2026 Tech will be facing 5 teams that went to bowls in 2025 with 3 of such teams having their starting QBs entering the portal - Arizona State, Cincinnati and TCU - and Tech misses BYU and Utah in the regular season. That's not to say that the schedule will be as a bad as if not worse than their 2025 schedule, but it does raise concern that Tech may not be truly battle tested for a CFP run even if it does dominate the Big 12 again in 2026.

Tech isn't going to pay any attention to attempts to project BU criteria on them, and that's good on them.


What is "BU criteria"?
CaliBear00
How long do you want to ignore this user?
We have a criteria?
canoso
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Aberzombie1892 said:

canoso said:

Aberzombie1892 said:

blackie said:

Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.


Agreed in that it's difficult to project future rosters, but 2026 Tech will be facing 5 teams that went to bowls in 2025 with 3 of such teams having their starting QBs entering the portal - Arizona State, Cincinnati and TCU - and Tech misses BYU and Utah in the regular season. That's not to say that the schedule will be as a bad as if not worse than their 2025 schedule, but it does raise concern that Tech may not be truly battle tested for a CFP run even if it does dominate the Big 12 again in 2026.

Tech isn't going to pay any attention to attempts to project BU criteria on them, and that's good on them.


What is "BU criteria"?

You've got me there. I should have said "your criteria." Even so, it's still good on them.
Aberzombie1892
How long do you want to ignore this user?
canoso said:

Aberzombie1892 said:

canoso said:

Aberzombie1892 said:

blackie said:

Bearknuckle said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

bear2be2 said:

Bearknuckle said:

LIB,MR BEARS said:

Bearknuckle said:

EvilTroyAndAbed said:

CaliBear00 said:

What happened? I thought that McGwire's big CFP run was all him and had nothing to do with a billionaire buying him a team?


You realize Oregon has their own billionaire, right?

yeah but the Fightin' Phil Knights apparently have a superior coaching staff (at least until Stein is actually out the door).

The whole argument here has been whether Joey is a good coach who lucked into a great situation in Lubbock (i.e. Cody Campbell's patronage), or if he was in fact also an elite coach. That argument may not be completely settled just yet, but it certainly is leaning heavily to the former scenario right now...

The only people I've seen use the word "elite" are the folks that are not fans of Joey as they try to put words in other's mouths.

A coach does not need to be elite to be better than Dave.

I guess, but that cuts both ways. The only people claiming anyone says Joey sucks are the people trying to mitigate the impact of his NIL budget vis-a-vis Tech's breakout success this year. I haven't seen anyone claiming he's a flat out bad coach. Mediocre/fair-to-middling is about as ugly as it's gotten.

As for Joey vs Dave: Joey has had more NIL support than Dave this entire time, and Dave's troubles there really seem to stem from when he & Mack pursued their ridiculous Soviet approach to NIL in '22 & '23...we've yet to fully recover from that colossal mistake.

I think Joey is a good HC with elite Rah-Rah skills. We've established that I think Dave is better Xs/Os coach than the vast majority y'all do, but even from my homer's POV, his booster and fan relations have definitely been subpar.

So at this point I have no problem giving the edge to Joey as the more complete HC...frankly, that hardly seems debatable at this point. But on the flipside, Dave's H2H success when talent has been more or less equal can't simply be dismissed as a fluke.

Next year is make or break for both coaches, tbh. Although Dave might not even survive the first half of the season, Joey would have to have a historically bad implosion not to at least make it to December. But if they don't make the B12 Title game in '26, though, I do think he's probably fired too. Can't fail to win a Playoff game in back to back years with the rosters he's being given.

Kirby Smart just failed to win a playoff game in back-to-back years with far more talented rosters.

Some of you guys just talk to talk.

That must be one of those swords that cut both ways.

My point is that -- outside of like three to five programs with insane fans and administrations -- no one is getting fired for making annual playoff appearances.

Good -- and even great -- coaches lose games in the playoff because they're coaching against other good/great coaches with really talented teams.

Not every single college football game needs to be a referendum. Sometimes, teams just don't play very well and lose. And other times, they play well but the other team just plays better. That's sports. But 12-win seasons with conference championship trophies are never a failure.

that was directed more towards bearknuckle.

Lanning has been in the Playoffs more often than not so far in his brief HC tenure. Kirby's an established coach with two natties already.

Neither Joey nor Dave have that sort of track record yet...so to me it's an obvious difference in expectation levels.

But yes, giant NIL budgets are a double-edged sword, just ask James Franklin.

You think Tech fans/administration/donors have the same expectations as Georgia (or Penn State) fans/administration/donors?

To suggest that anything short of an absolutely disastrous 2026 season would have Joey McGuire on the hot seat, much less fired, is absurd.

I don't know why it's so hard for so many here to fathom, but most Tech fans really like Joey, and those who would decide his fate there love him. He's not going anywhere for a long time.

no, you've gone down a completely different path than the direction I was heading. I'm not saying that Tech fans have the same high expectation level as Georgia or even Oregon fans.

What I am saying is that Kirby and Lanning have both established trends that they'll get to the Playoff just about every year that they have a fantastic roster. So those programs and their fanbases have a reasonable expectation of a rebound.

Joey hasn't established himself at that level yet, so if he stumbles at all next year, he's going to be way more vulnerable.

Let's imagine that they once again have a top 10/top 5 roster budget, but win only 9 games and fail to make the Big12 title game, all with a schedule that sets up to be very favorable to them. After a season of that ilk, if the agent of a coach with serious buzz comes calling, say, Eli Drinkwitz coming off a playoff berth and not getting what he wants from Mizzou, or ditto with Pat Fitzgerald and Mich St., etc, then I think Daddy Campbell might well say "Thanks for the help, Joey, but we're going in a different direction."

All that said, they have a seemingly easy schedule next season, it would seem, so if they can assemble a defense that's at least 90% of what this one was, but with a full tier upgrade at QB, Joey may well win a natty next year.

I haven't looked at their schedule for next year. This one was pretty easy, are you saying next year is even easier? Of course you can't really be sure about a schedule until the money sorts out who is going to be playing for whom.

Why should we even care anymore? Useless to project rosters. This whole model just needs to implode on itself. It is hard to get emotionally involved with teams now when the major factor that decides the championships are who can spend the most money, especially in a conference where most of the teams can't do that.


Agreed in that it's difficult to project future rosters, but 2026 Tech will be facing 5 teams that went to bowls in 2025 with 3 of such teams having their starting QBs entering the portal - Arizona State, Cincinnati and TCU - and Tech misses BYU and Utah in the regular season. That's not to say that the schedule will be as a bad as if not worse than their 2025 schedule, but it does raise concern that Tech may not be truly battle tested for a CFP run even if it does dominate the Big 12 again in 2026.

Tech isn't going to pay any attention to attempts to project BU criteria on them, and that's good on them.


What is "BU criteria"?

You've got me there. I should have said "your criteria." Even so, it's still good on them.


What criteria is that? The comment you responded to simply stated that the 2026 Tech schedule will probably be easier than the 2025 Tech schedule, but there was nothing about criteria.
 
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