That would have been foolish, as we had averaged at least 34,378 fans per year from 2006-09 (coming off the Steele and Morris years) and topped 40,000 every year after. 45,000 made perfect since.Johnny Bear said:bear2be2 said:Because those last two seasons are massive outliers. We couldn't even average 7,000 per game before putting our first Final Four caliber team on the floor -- and that was with multiple Elite Eight appearances. If it takes a Final Four caliber team to fill your gym, you're not going to fill your gym very often.Johnny Bear said:bear2be2 said:Of course we did.Johnny Bear said:bear2be2 said:We also filled a much larger percentage of Floyd Casey's 50,000.Johnny Bear said:bear2be2 said:
The decision has been made and it was the right one.
People made these exact same arguments against downsizing the football stadium. By the time it was built and opened, everyone realized it was the correct decision.
The same will be true of the new basketball facility. One people see and visit it, the narrative will be how nice it is, not how small is.
The downsize in football was barely 10%. From the capacity estimates I'm hearing, this downsize is around 30% or more. Not exactly apples to apples.
We did? I seem to recall an infamous tarp that was deployed in one of the end zones during many of the last years of FCS and even with that we usually struggled to fill the remaining seats unless the opponent brought at least 25% or more of the crowd. Had we employed similar thinking on the football side, McLane would be about the same size as SMU's rinky dink stadium.
Again, I get the need to downsize like I got the need to downsize in football - but I still think we're going down too much.
These were our average attendance figures the last eight years at Floyd Casey ...
2013 -- 45,958 (91.9 percent)
2012 -- 41,194 (82.3 percent)
2011 -- 41,368 (82.7 percent)
2010 -- 40,043 (80.1 percent)
2009 -- 36,306 (72.6 percent)
2008 -- 34,124 (68.2 percent)
2007 -- 34,378 (68.8 percent)
2006 -- 37,080 (74.1 percent)
Compare that to the last eight years at the Ferrell Center (with a much higher level of success, mind you) ...
2021-22 -- 8,439 (84.4 percent)
2020-21 -- COVID
2019-20 -- 8,178 (81.8 percent)
2018-19 -- 6,218 (62.2 percent)
2017-18 -- 6,140 (61.4 percent)
2016-17-- 6,812 (68.1 percent)
2015-16 -- 6,410 (64.1 percent)
2014-15 -- 6,918 (69.2 percent)
Texans support football way better than they do basketball. This shouldn't be a surprise. And this is hardly and apples to apples comparison, too. Those football numbers were coming out of one of the worst stretches in P5 college history. Those basketball numbers were all during our greatest run in program history. If you go back farther, the basketball numbers look worse and worse.
Per those numbers, the last 2 seasons of unrestricted attendance at the Ferrell ('19-'20 and '21-'22) we are averaging over 8K, which is 1K or more over what is being reported as the new arena capacity and I don't care about the "actual butts in seats" argument - if the seats aren't there, you can't sell tickets for them. I also don't care that it happened during our all time greatest men's bball run. Unless we think the program and the corresponding interest in it is heading south over the course of the next decade or so - and I certainly hope we aren't - why're we dropping capacity well below what we're presently averaging? Again, per those numbers, In downsizing football, we built McLane to accommodate roughly what we were averaging during the end of the FCS years that included things like RGIII's Heisman season and our first B12 football title. Why not similarly do the same with bball?
It makes way more sense to build a more reasonably sized facility based on broader data and create some demand for those seats than repeat the exact same mistake we made with the Ferrell Center.
You could similarly call the last FCS season - when we won our first B12 title - along with RGIII's Heisman year "massive outliers" as well. I'm glad we didn't have that kind of defeatist thinking with McLane and build it to only hold 35K.
Just as 7,500 does for the basketball arena. As a percentage of our new venue's capacity, we drew an almost identical number in football our last four years at Floyd Casey (82 percent) as we have in the last four applicable years at the Ferrell Center (83.3 percent) -- and that's with record numbers two of the past three years that are unlikely to be sustained based on 20 years of Drew-era data.