Baylor Basketball

Game Thread: Drew, Baylor Aim to Upset No. 2 Arizona in Waco

Baylor welcomes Arizona.
February 22, 2026
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Photo by Jack Mackenzie - SicEm365.com

WACO, Texas – Head coach Scott Drew and Baylor men’s basketball (14-13, 4-10) hosts the No. 2 Arizona Wildcats (25-2, 12-2) on Tuesday, Feb. 24, at 8 p.m. CT, at Foster Pavilion. The game will be televised on ESPN2.


Computer Models

  • Torvik: Baylor (53), Arizona (2)
    • Prediction: Arizona 85, Baylor 73
  • KenPom: Baylor (48), Arizona (3)
    • Prediction: Arizona 85, Baylor 73
  • Haslametrics: Baylor (48), Arizona (4)
    • Prediction: Arizona 81, Baylor 71
  • Evan Miyakawa: Baylor (49), Arizona (5)
    • Prediction: Arizona 85, Baylor 74

Projected Lineups

Baylor Starters

  • Guard: Obi Agbim (5Sr.) 6-3, 185 (11 ppg; 3 asst)
  • Guard: Isaac Williams IV (So.) 6-1, 190 (10 ppg; 3 asst)
  • Guard: Tounde Yessoufou (Fr.) 6-5, 215 (18 ppg; 6 reb; 2 steals)
  • Guard: Cameron Carr (RSo.) 6-5, 175 (19 ppg; 6 reb; 3 asst)
  • Center: Caden Powell (Sr.) 6-9, 225 (7 ppg; 7 reb)

Baylor Bench

  • Forward: Michael Rataj (Sr.) 6-8, 230 (8 ppg; 5 reb; 2 asst)
  • Forward: Dan Skillings (Sr.) 6-7, 200 (10 ppg; 6 reb; 2 asst) 
  • Center: James Nnaji (Fr.) 7-0 250 (2 ppg; 3 reb)

Arizona Starters

  • Guard: Jayden Bradley (Sr.) 6-3, 205 (14 ppg; 4 reb; 5 asst)
  • Guard: Brayden Burries (Fr.) 6-4, 205 (15 ppg; 5 reb; 3 asst)
  • Forward: Ivan Kharchenkov (Fr.) 6-7, 205 (10 ppg; 4 reb)
  • Forward: Tobe Awaka (Sr.) 6-8, 250 (10 ppg; 9 reb)
  • Forward: Motievus Krivas (Jr.) 7-2, 260 (11 ppg; 9 reb; 2 blks)

Arizona Bench

  • Guard: Anthony Dell’Orso (Sr.) 6-6, 205 (9 ppg)
  • *Forward: Koa Peat (Fr.) 6-8, 235 (14 ppg; 5 reb; 3 asst)
  • *Forward: Dwayne Aristode (Fr.) 6-8, 220 (5 ppg; 2 reb)
200 Comments
Discussion from...

Game Thread: Drew, Baylor Aim to Upset No. 2 Arizona in Waco

11,552 Views | 200 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by Crawfoso1973
bear2be2
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Big12Fan2024 said:

UCF led by 30+ at one point until they put in reserves and end with a 97-84 victory over BYU in Provo.

UCF moves to 20-7 overall and 9-6 in the Big 12 for 6th place. With that Quad 1 victory they are squarely in the NCAA Tournament.

UCF returned 2 walk-ons. That's it. They went out and signed 11 transfers and 2 freshmen.

Maybe it's time for us to get off the excuse train of saying it's impossible to win when you turn over your roster. It's apparent our issues run a little deeper than just roster turnover.

It's not impossible, but you have to hit on just about every key player you add. UCF has done that this year and we ... well ... haven't.

UCF has also stayed extremely healthy this season. They have 10 players who have appeared in at least 20 games and 11 who have played in at least 18. By comparison, we have seven players who have played at least 20 games, and nobody else other than Nnaji (15 games) has topped seven.
Big12Fan2024
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And that's my point. Not to you. You've noted all year that it's not only roster turnover but roster construction quality, which implies evaluation and also coaching, which in our case, means poor defense once again. But I see quite a few posters who think it's just a one-time blip without realizing there are other defects in our process that have to be resolved as well. Indiana turned over its roster and they also are currently projected in the field.
Crawfoso1973
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bear2be2 said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.

He could absolutely be a plus defender and rebounder with a full offseason IMO. The guy has all the physical gifts in the world. He just needs to integrated into the program in a way that's fair to him as a player.

Nnaji could give us a better version of Thamba, which would be great. Historically CSD brings out the best in these type of traditional centers. We need to prioritize bringing back Nnaji and especially Williams.
Crawfoso1973
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Big12Fan2024 said:

And that's my point. Not to you. You've noted all year that it's not only roster turnover but roster construction quality, which implies evaluation and also coaching, which in our case, means poor defense once again. But I see quite a few posters who think it's just a one-time blip without realizing there are other defects in our process that have to be resolved as well. Indiana turned over its roster and they also are currently projected in the field.

I too am curious about the process of talent evaluation. It is befuddling that we can be so hit--or-miss. We buy low on a gem (Carr) and find 2 great under-the-radar players for cheap (Powell and Williams) but then fail spectacularly with the likes of Roach and Rataj.
Crawfoso1973
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Guitarbiscuit said:

rileyroo said:

Loved our effort tonight. Too bad we couldn't have played that way all season. Gave Arizona way too many easy lanes to the basket. Watching this game, I just kept thinking how good this team could have been with a better big. Oh well, nice job Carr and Williams. In my opinion, Tounde hurt us tonight with his lack of defense and not blocking out on rebounds.


I agree about Yessoufou. Everyone seemed to at least put forth effort on the defensive side, even if the efforts were fruitless-except Yessoufou.


It's almost as if he has never played defense in his life and at the age of 19, his coaches are trying to teach it to him for the first time.

This game really exposed Tounde on both ends of the floor. In high school he could simply dominate with his physicality but against a team like Arizona when he can't dominate athletically his lack of skill gets exposed in a big way.

On defense he has always gotten by with gambling for steals and simply dominating his opponent physically with his strength. He's never had to guard players on the perimeter as quick and strong as he is.

He will go in the late 1st round but I'm afraid the NBA might chew him up and spit him out in short order. His offensive game is a terrible fit for the modern NBA. His athleticism is merely average at the NBA level, not enough to compensate for his lack of skill.
BluesBear
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boognish_bear said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.


He seems to get gassed really quickly even though he looks to be in great shape....in addition to just generally looking lost out there

How much are we spending on the guy then. Another miss by these Baylor coaches. We shouldn't be spending money on guys who needs this sort of help or would be viewed as a project.
Crawfoso1973
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BluesBear said:

boognish_bear said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.


He seems to get gassed really quickly even though he looks to be in great shape....in addition to just generally looking lost out there

How much are we spending on the guy then. Another miss by these Baylor coaches. We shouldn't be spending money on guys who needs this sort of help or would be viewed as a project.

Considering the circumstances, it's premature to call him a miss at this point. Let's see what a full offseason of strength / conditioning as well as learning our system does for him. Assuming he returns.
william
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good effort - playing better as the season goes on.

- UF

D!

Go Bears!!

pro ecclesia, pro javelina
bear2be2
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Crawfoso1973 said:

BluesBear said:

boognish_bear said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.


He seems to get gassed really quickly even though he looks to be in great shape....in addition to just generally looking lost out there

How much are we spending on the guy then. Another miss by these Baylor coaches. We shouldn't be spending money on guys who needs this sort of help or would be viewed as a project.

Considering the circumstances, it's premature to call him a miss at this point. Let's see what a full offseason of strength / conditioning as well as learning our system does for him. Assuming he returns.
Agreed. I don't want to get to a place where we're calling everyone who isn't immediately good a "miss" or "a waste of money."

If we want to get back to developing players, we have to acknowledge that development takes time and effort. Our program was built on post players just like Nnaji, who needed two or three years to develop into what they'd eventually be.

We need our short-term investment guys to be good immediately, but I want four or five developmental guys on our roster at all times. Those are the guys who give you the continuity we're all looking for.
guadalupeoso
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Crawfoso1973 said:

Big12Fan2024 said:

And that's my point. Not to you. You've noted all year that it's not only roster turnover but roster construction quality, which implies evaluation and also coaching, which in our case, means poor defense once again. But I see quite a few posters who think it's just a one-time blip without realizing there are other defects in our process that have to be resolved as well. Indiana turned over its roster and they also are currently projected in the field.

I too am curious about the process of talent evaluation. It is befuddling that we can be so hit--or-miss. We buy low on a gem (Carr) and find 2 great under-the-radar players for cheap (Powell and Williams) but then fail spectacularly with the likes of Roach and Rataj.

I think it is more complicated than simply an error in talent evaluation. I think we actually have been more hit than miss, but the hits have not worked out in our favor in terms of building roster continuity. Over the last five years we have lost these players to either the NBA draft or the transfer portal, all of whom we expected to be strong, multi-year (even if just for 2 years) players in our program: Jeremy Sochan, Yves Missi, Rob Wright III, LJ Cryer (if you count him - I would) to name a few. Now it looks like we probably will only have Cameron Carr for one season as well, and I would bet the staff viewed him as a 2 year guy. Then the other side of that, we have tried to build around those guys with veteran talent from the transfer portal on one or two year rentals: Akinjo, RayJ, Norchad, Roach, etc.

Obviously, the program needs to make some changes. But it's between a rock and a hard place. If you get guys in the program who really aren't cut out for the NBA draft at an early age and who aren't going to be tempted by the transfer portal, then they aren't guys talented enough to win you games. Fans will erupt at the losses stacking up (much as they are now, and rightfully so). But, if you continue to get the talent that you desire, then you are open to players going to the draft or getting poached like Rob Wright. There are only so many good, multi-year, starting level players to go around.

The fan base wants to win NOW. CSD, I think, has tried to build a win-now roster by combining young, NBA ready talent, with veteran transfer portal rentals. It has not worked, and the guys that he has brought in to fill around those that would be strong developmental pieces have actually been better than anticipated and either gone to the league or to BYU or Houston. But constructing the roster differently would commit to a multi-year rebuild in which we might lose all good-will built through the transfer portal anyways. There is not a clear answer here - outside of simply having more money - much to the contrary of the opinion of many posters on here.


Crawfoso1973
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I agree with this. We have used the moneyball philosophy of building around stars and scrubs. But the scrubs have been scrubs and many of the stars have also beens scrubs (Roach/Rataj). I think this whole process has been exhausting for CSD and part of him wishes to ride off into the sunset and retire extremely wealthy.
Quinton
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He showed decent tools in the very first game. Then after the adrenaline wore off, it was clear he physically can't play. Something is obviously off. With an offseason i think he'll be solid.
canoso
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Crawfoso1973 said:

I agree with this. We have used the moneyball philosophy of building around stars and scrubs. But the scrubs have been scrubs and many of the stars have also beens scrubs (Roach/Rataj). I think this whole process has been exhausting for CSD and part of him wishes to ride off into the sunset and retire extremely wealthy.

I strongly suspect the same thing with NIL and constant portal activity is happening with Bill Self and some other celebrated coaches. We'll see, I guess.
guadalupeoso
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Crawfoso1973 said:

I agree with this. We have used the moneyball philosophy of building around stars and scrubs. But the scrubs have been scrubs and many of the stars have also beens scrubs (Roach/Rataj). I think this whole process has been exhausting for CSD and part of him wishes to ride off into the sunset and retire extremely wealthy.

I actually don't think Roach was that bad - he just was inconsistent and a poor fit with that roster. No doubt that Rataj has been bad though.
Johnny Bear
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BluesBear said:

boognish_bear said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.


He seems to get gassed really quickly even though he looks to be in great shape....in addition to just generally looking lost out there

How much are we spending on the guy then. Another miss by these Baylor coaches. We shouldn't be spending money on guys who needs this sort of help or would be viewed as a project.

Leave it to Baylor to manage to sign a former NBA draft choice who is at best a multi-year project player at the college level.
bear2be2
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guadalupeoso said:

Crawfoso1973 said:

I agree with this. We have used the moneyball philosophy of building around stars and scrubs. But the scrubs have been scrubs and many of the stars have also beens scrubs (Roach/Rataj). I think this whole process has been exhausting for CSD and part of him wishes to ride off into the sunset and retire extremely wealthy.

I actually don't think Roach was that bad - he just was inconsistent and a poor fit with that roster. No doubt that Rataj has been bad though.
Roach and Rataj both had the same problem. You'd watch them and wonder what it was they were actually good at. You can't have that with guys you're spending big money on. That kind of miss can nuke your entire season.
Johnny Bear
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As far as this game goes we ultimately succumbed to a much better and deeper team, but for the most part the intensity, effort, and determination was there on both ends for 40 minutes. It's frustrating that if that kind of effort had been the norm throughout the season our record right now would be one heckuva a lot different than 4-11.
boognish_bear
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DP4LIFE
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guadalupeoso said:

Crawfoso1973 said:

I agree with this. We have used the moneyball philosophy of building around stars and scrubs. But the scrubs have been scrubs and many of the stars have also beens scrubs (Roach/Rataj). I think this whole process has been exhausting for CSD and part of him wishes to ride off into the sunset and retire extremely wealthy.

I actually don't think Roach was that bad - he just was inconsistent and a poor fit with that roster. No doubt that Rataj has been bad though.

Roach simply wasn't a PG. Not sure if he would have scored more as a 2 guard in Baylor's offense, but he wasn't good enough at PG.
boognish_bear
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The lovable bears

Delmar 2.0
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What does that even mean? That makes no sense.
boognish_bear
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boykin_spaniel
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I don't completely disagree but how does Houston do it? I don't think Sampson has a Tech war chest. UCF certainly does not and are a tourney team likely this year.

I've had posts largely agreeing with what you're saying. We've lost guys unexpectedly and that's tough when you're planning a roster around say Missi and Wright. One goes pro and one leaves for a bag.
BluesBear
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Crawfoso1973 said:

BluesBear said:

boognish_bear said:

Guitarbiscuit said:

boognish_bear said:

I had no idea Nnaji was going to be this raw. I thought we'd at least be getting 8 to 10 minutes a night from him. Hope he makes a lot of growth in the off season.


I don't see that happening.


He seems to get gassed really quickly even though he looks to be in great shape....in addition to just generally looking lost out there

How much are we spending on the guy then. Another miss by these Baylor coaches. We shouldn't be spending money on guys who needs this sort of help or would be viewed as a project.

Considering the circumstances, it's premature to call him a miss at this point. Let's see what a full offseason of strength / conditioning as well as learning our system does for him. Assuming he returns.

That supports my point even more. Why bring him in if he can't help now.
Crawfoso1973
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So you don't think we should bring in players who we can develop over time? CSD's development program was very successful for us in the 2010s. I get that the transfer portal makes that approach to player development much more challenging.
 
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