Now look at the gold chart.
— ADAM (@AdameMedia) April 11, 2025
A true reset is occurring.
Back to real assets.
Now look at the gold chart.
— ADAM (@AdameMedia) April 11, 2025
A true reset is occurring.
Back to real assets.
One day later and the tariffs are removed
— Inverse Cramer (@CramerTracker) April 12, 2025
Jim Cramer is unstoppable pic.twitter.com/3rfICCd6sT
BREAKING: Treasury Secretary Bessent was instrumental in getting President Trump to back down on Chinese phone and computer tariffs after multiple calls with Apple CEO Tim Cook and other CEOs. Navarro and Lutnick sidelined and Navarro likely to be fired as scapegoat - SOURCES
— Mike Alfred (@mikealfred) April 12, 2025
Jeff Bezos walking into the White House after hearing Tim Cook got a tariff exemption first. pic.twitter.com/SXd6PMPaZv
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) April 12, 2025
So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
here is an online business..Oldbear83 said:Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
OK, by definition that's not a "manufacturer" but a parts middleman.EatMoreSalmon said:here is an online business..Oldbear83 said:Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
https://www.corsair.com/us/en/pc-builder/?srsltid=AfmBOorrP-HFkBTFtgdM-v1rXLDa7BMqHc23bD_h_Qg_swbFZ4jpREHa
Oldbear83 said:OK, by definition that's not a "manufacturer" but a parts middleman.EatMoreSalmon said:here is an online business..Oldbear83 said:Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
https://www.corsair.com/us/en/pc-builder/?srsltid=AfmBOorrP-HFkBTFtgdM-v1rXLDa7BMqHc23bD_h_Qg_swbFZ4jpREHa
Still looking for businesses that manufacture a laptop in the US as requested.
Not what I saw in the site link.EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:OK, by definition that's not a "manufacturer" but a parts middleman.EatMoreSalmon said:here is an online business..Oldbear83 said:Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
https://www.corsair.com/us/en/pc-builder/?srsltid=AfmBOorrP-HFkBTFtgdM-v1rXLDa7BMqHc23bD_h_Qg_swbFZ4jpREHa
Still looking for businesses that manufacture a laptop in the US as requested.
The computer is put together for you.
Boognish just posted a big boy list.
Oldbear83 said:Not what I saw in the site link.EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:OK, by definition that's not a "manufacturer" but a parts middleman.EatMoreSalmon said:here is an online business..Oldbear83 said:Specifics?EatMoreSalmon said:Oldbear83 said:Well, give me two examples of someone actually manufacturing a laptop in the US.boognish_bear said:So let’s just get this crystal clear.
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) April 12, 2025
If somebody is trying to manufacture a laptop in the U.S., the components that they import are going to be tariffed at 145%.
But if somebody simply makes the laptop entirely in China, they are fully tariff free?
And this is all to bring…
I'll wait.
The "build your own" shops and online computer businesses come to mind.
https://www.corsair.com/us/en/pc-builder/?srsltid=AfmBOorrP-HFkBTFtgdM-v1rXLDa7BMqHc23bD_h_Qg_swbFZ4jpREHa
Still looking for businesses that manufacture a laptop in the US as requested.
The computer is put together for you.
Boognish just posted a big boy list.
But I can understand you want to complain.
KaiBear said:
Interesting how some folks comprehend what Trump is trying to do and why.
Playing craps last night at a casino in Blackhawk , Colorado.
Gal on my left a semi retired doctor; guy on my right an international banking consultant. The gal mentions how she is building a house on 10 acres in Conifer, but unable to sell her house in San Antonio due to the high interest rates.
International banking consultant then gives the table an impromptu explanation on how other countries have been screwing over the US for years with import taxes and tariffs. That it is vitally important for Trump to balance out the playing field with our European ' allies ' and China.
Semi retired doctor totally agreed with him. Says her house in San Antonio is paid off so she can wait it out.
All the while the dice continue to kick our ass.
nein51 said:KaiBear said:
Interesting how some folks comprehend what Trump is trying to do and why.
Playing craps last night at a casino in Blackhawk , Colorado.
Gal on my left a semi retired doctor; guy on my right an international banking consultant. The gal mentions how she is building a house on 10 acres in Conifer, but unable to sell her house in San Antonio due to the high interest rates.
International banking consultant then gives the table an impromptu explanation on how other countries have been screwing over the US for years with import taxes and tariffs. That it is vitally important for Trump to balance out the playing field with our European ' allies ' and China.
Semi retired doctor totally agreed with him. Says her house in San Antonio is paid off so she can wait it out.
All the while the dice continue to kick our ass.
Cool that a semi retired Dr with two homes and a banking consultant are totally ok with what's going on.
For Trump's sakes he sure better hope this works and quickly because mid terms are coming fast.
nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
He also threatened to stop import of Japanese vehicles unless Japanese companies agreed to move manufacturing plants to the USA.Redbrickbear said:1987 Raegan slapped a 100% tariff on Japanese electronics. pic.twitter.com/CsyXOSKDy1
— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) April 9, 2025
FLBear5630 said:That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
When you cut government spending by the amounts Trump has already identified, you are going to get an economic contraction. That spending, no matter how harmful and wasteful it might be, is part of GDP.nein51 said:FLBear5630 said:That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
Personally I can wait it out just fine. Professionally, I'm concerned about the ability of my customers to wait it out. Most of our customers are week to week and this week alone I had two higher end customers tell me they needed to wait on purchases because their cash flow was off a lot from their expectations.
Navarro said foreign companies building cars in the U.S. is bad for us.whiterock said:He also threatened to stop import of Japanese vehicles unless Japanese companies agreed to move manufacturing plants to the USA.Redbrickbear said:1987 Raegan slapped a 100% tariff on Japanese electronics. pic.twitter.com/CsyXOSKDy1
— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) April 9, 2025
As I've said many times here, the goal of this admin is to force international companies to move a greater percentage of their supply chains for US operations INSIDE the USA. It will work. I mean, it cannot fail. Those companies are not going to withdraw from the US market. They are not going to run down the neverTrumper trail publicly whining and moaning about orange man bad, while their market share plummets. They are going to calculate how to make investments which minimize the risk of US tariffs & trade restrictions pose to their business operations. They're going to do this because Trump will be POTUS for the next 4 years and they cannot afford to wait him out. (more advantage to the "everything all at once" strategy of this admin.
whiterock said:When you cut government spending by the amounts Trump has already identified, you are going to get an economic contraction. That spending, no matter how harmful and wasteful it might be, is part of GDP.nein51 said:FLBear5630 said:That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
Personally I can wait it out just fine. Professionally, I'm concerned about the ability of my customers to wait it out. Most of our customers are week to week and this week alone I had two higher end customers tell me they needed to wait on purchases because their cash flow was off a lot from their expectations.
"no free lunch" type stuff. The fix is not going to be painless.
BREAKING: Commerce Secretary Lutnick on the "tariff exemptions" announced this weekend:
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 13, 2025
"They are exempt from reciprocal tariffs, but they are INCLUDED in the semiconductor tariffs which are coming in a month or two."
So basically, they are not tariff exempt just recategorized?
JUST IN: 130 countries now negotiating new trade deals with the US, White House says.
— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) April 13, 2025
JUST IN: 🇨🇳🇺🇸 China calls on the United States to "completely cancel" tariffs. pic.twitter.com/a5KtZH2Lj7
— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) April 13, 2025
Foreign companies building manufacturing operations in one's country is not intrinsically bad. A little bit is good. Too much can be a problem. That is particularly true for developing economies, which can get themselves into capital account deficits if they're not careful how they structure deals. And that dynamic is not something we can disregard = we depend upon capital account surpluses to offset our structural trade deficits. Too much foreign investment = greater percentages of profit remittance, which is a drain on the capital account. If the numbers get as out of whack as our trade balance, yes.....we could see effects on value of USD, which would be a calamity given where we are. So the push to get more foreign investments to offset budget cuts is a very short-term imperative. Longer term, we need to focus on expanding domestic-owned manufacturing capacity.sombear said:Navarro said foreign companies building cars in the U.S. is bad for us.whiterock said:He also threatened to stop import of Japanese vehicles unless Japanese companies agreed to move manufacturing plants to the USA.Redbrickbear said:1987 Raegan slapped a 100% tariff on Japanese electronics. pic.twitter.com/CsyXOSKDy1
— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) April 9, 2025
As I've said many times here, the goal of this admin is to force international companies to move a greater percentage of their supply chains for US operations INSIDE the USA. It will work. I mean, it cannot fail. Those companies are not going to withdraw from the US market. They are not going to run down the neverTrumper trail publicly whining and moaning about orange man bad, while their market share plummets. They are going to calculate how to make investments which minimize the risk of US tariffs & trade restrictions pose to their business operations. They're going to do this because Trump will be POTUS for the next 4 years and they cannot afford to wait him out. (more advantage to the "everything all at once" strategy of this admin.
I would counter none of these things are good are bad, so long as they are part of an effective strategy. Forcing Japan to move factories here back in the 1980's was certainly preferrable to allowing Japanese-made cars to be imported here, given the impact latter was having on domestic jobs & production capacity. But it would also be preferrable for US owned companies to have a greater share of our auto markets. Finding balance is subjective.....
U.S. auto companies use as many or more foreign parts as the foreign companies.
Indeed. And it would be preferrable to see those percentages move toward more rather than less foreign content.
Should be closer to if not less than the smaller number. Watch the pace of the announced investments. Sooner/more will be helpful.nein51 said:whiterock said:When you cut government spending by the amounts Trump has already identified, you are going to get an economic contraction. That spending, no matter how harmful and wasteful it might be, is part of GDP.nein51 said:FLBear5630 said:That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
Personally I can wait it out just fine. Professionally, I'm concerned about the ability of my customers to wait it out. Most of our customers are week to week and this week alone I had two higher end customers tell me they needed to wait on purchases because their cash flow was off a lot from their expectations.
"no free lunch" type stuff. The fix is not going to be painless.
I can absorb a 10% contraction pretty easily. I can't absorb a 30% contraction.
BREAKING: Commerce Secretary Lutnick says electrotonic products will have "special tariffs" coming soon.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 13, 2025
He also says pharmaceutical tariffs are coming in the next month or two.
“This is not a permanent sort of exemption," he says on the exemptions announced this weekend.
whiterock said:Should be closer to if not less than the smaller number. Watch the pace of the announced investments. Sooner/more will be helpful.nein51 said:whiterock said:When you cut government spending by the amounts Trump has already identified, you are going to get an economic contraction. That spending, no matter how harmful and wasteful it might be, is part of GDP.nein51 said:FLBear5630 said:That is the group Trump cares about, the wealthy to well to do that can wait it out. Like I said, the BU political message board is not a good cross-section of the US population.nein51 said:
Patience is a luxury most Americans don't have. If you're poor you don't care about trade deficits. That's obviously a short sighted view but when you have needs today it's really hard to care about 2 years from now.
Personally I can wait it out just fine. Professionally, I'm concerned about the ability of my customers to wait it out. Most of our customers are week to week and this week alone I had two higher end customers tell me they needed to wait on purchases because their cash flow was off a lot from their expectations.
"no free lunch" type stuff. The fix is not going to be painless.
I can absorb a 10% contraction pretty easily. I can't absorb a 30% contraction.
Would be a miracle to pull off this transition without a recession. I certainly would not bet that we can avoid one. The question is more likely going to be duration and depth of one.
We have now gone from:
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 13, 2025
“No exemptions” on tariffs, to refunds on tariffs going back to April 5th, to exemptions not being “permanent.”
The result?
Markets are incredibly confused ahead of the futures open.
A pause is not a sign of weakness. It is a tactic to create leverage in a negotiation.
— Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) April 13, 2025
A pause increases our negotiating power by reducing the negative consequences to our economy while deals are being negotiated.
By bolstering our country’s economic position, we increase our…