April 2nd Reciprocal Tariffs

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boognish_bear
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I had to read this headline about three times to understand what it was saying



Assassin
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Facebook Groups at; Memories of: Dallas, Texas, Football in Texas, Texas Music, Through a Texas Lens and also Dallas History Guild. Come visit!
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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RealEstateBear
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boognish_bear said:




Sympathy for Nike??? LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

They've been employing slave labor for over half a century. New Balance doesn't have a problem with making their product in the US. Cry me a river
Redbrickbear
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boognish_bear said:




No but Nike might build them in Mexico or Latin America

Reshoring supply chains closer to the USA core (and closer to US military protection) is a big part of this
RealEstateBear
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Redbrickbear said:

boognish_bear said:




No but Nike might build them in Mexico or Latin American

Reshoring supply chains closer to the USA core (and closer to US military protection) is a big part of this


Imagine defending a company like Nike. lol, these ivory tower Wall Street clowns crack me up. Tariff the **** out of Vietnam.
Redbrickbear
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Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…
Mitch Blood Green
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Redbrickbear said:

boognish_bear said:




No but Nike might build them in Mexico or Latin American

Reshoring supply chains closer to the USA core (and closer to US military protection) is a big part of this
If true, why are we applying the same tariffs to Canada and Mexico (And all Latin American countries?)
Redbrickbear
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Mitch Blood Green said:

Redbrickbear said:

boognish_bear said:




No but Nike might build them in Mexico or Latin American

Reshoring supply chains closer to the USA core (and closer to US military protection) is a big part of this
If true, why are we applying the same tariffs to Canada and Mexico (And all Latin American countries?)


NPR on the ride home today said no tariffs had yet to be imposed on Canada or Mexico

Redbrickbear
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MT_Bear
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boognish_bear said:


Ben gets it
FLBear5630
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ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:



ALL manufacturing jobs are going to be robots??
This needs to be tied to worker training in areas we need. Trump should tie the Student Loan program and forgiveness into career fields of need, based on what the US needs. We need nurses, engineers, skilled technicians, communications, and a host of other hard to fill positions. Incentivize it and tie it into the tariffs and reintroduction of manufacturing. This will also bring over a large voting block on Trump's side and help with momentum. People have to see what they are getting out of "short term pain", more than it will be great...
Frank Galvin
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Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…



You may be right about it not mattering. It should matter though because if you are in difficult circumstances the answer is to get an education, work hard, and live responsibly. You will have a great life.

It's odd how that is the answer one side always gives that advice to the other but won't take the advice itself. But it is true whether you are a BLM protestor, a Gen-Z slacker, or a blue-collar worker in a town that lost its plant. Do the three things and you will be ok.

Not saying our government or economy is perfect. Far from it. But life is more about what you do versus what the government does.
Porteroso
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ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers. There is no Chinese business that can just absorb 54% tariffs. Margins like that don't exist in almost any industry.
Frank Galvin
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Frank Galvin said:




Not saying our government or economy is perfect. Far from it. But life is more about what you do versus what the government does.
This statement will remain true whether the Trump tariff policy is succesful or the disaster I and most people think it will be.

Voters should, however, understand who is giving them the chance at their best life if they do their part (educate, work, live responsibly). And while Donald Trump's tariff policy is well-intentioned it is stupid in the extreme. The basis for the policy has very little to do with tariffs; it is driven by trade imbalances. (To a point; we just imposed tariffs on countries where we have a trade surplus, which makes zero sense). If the trade imbalance is caused by circumstances other than tariffs, the addition of tariffs only makes the problem worse for American consumers that buy the imported goods and American business that use the imported goods. In those circumstnaces, the policy is 100% guaranteed to make the situation worse for everyone concerned.
Mothra
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Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…

And you believe that bringing more manufacturing back to the US is going to solve all of these issues?

It ain't gonna happen.
Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
Redbrickbear
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Mothra said:

Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…

And you believe that bringing more manufacturing back to the US is going to solve all of these issues?



Solve all issues? No, you can never solve all probelms

But you can help bring back good paying jobs.....and good paying jobs help to stabilize society and stabilize communities (especially among the working and middle class)

That in turn makes everything a little easier....politics, social issues, interpersonal relationships.

Imagine tomorrow if you lost your job and could not get another....imagine if everyone you know in the Woodlands (assuming you live there) could also not find a job. What kind of effect would that have on your mental situation and on the mental situation of your family, friends, and community?

2nd and 3rd order effects and all........every real conservative should be able to understand that


[Since 1989, the tragedy of Flint's decline has been repeated in a number of Midwestern cities plagued with shrinking populations, opiate addiction, joblessness, and a pervasive feeling of hopelessness. Flint and nearby Detroit remain the worst-case scenarios of once-proud, unionized, and solidly middle class "motor cities" that have fallen into ruin. After the 2008 crisis, both had their local authority stripped away by the state of Michigan, with emergency managers replacing municipal governments. In Flint, the emergency manager terminated a water contract with the city of Detroit, preferring to draw water from the polluted Flint River and send it down aging pipes to city residents, 42 percent of whom live below the federal poverty line.

[Once a thriving industrial city of nearly a quarter million people, with most residents' employment tied in some way to automobile manufacturing, Flint's population has dwindled to less than 100,000 in the aftermath of auto plant closures during the 1980s. The city has demolished over 5,000 abandoned houses in the last decade. Today, not one grocery store exists within the city.]

[General Motors was at its peak with around 85,000 employees in the 1980s, according to David White, Genesee Historical Society President....

About 90 percent of Flint's wage, salary and shareholder earnings were estimated to come from local General Motors products in 1950, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

Flint's population boomed from 13,000 to more than 156,000 residents between 1900 and 1930 - a 1,000 percent gain and 17-times the national growth in population, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

The city's population continued to climb and peaked at about 200,000 in the 1960s]


https://brightthemag.com/the-fall-of-flint-e74aded576d9
Frank Galvin
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Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
The price of diamonds just went up. Why? Because Lesotho was hit with a 50% tariff. Why Lesotho and 50%. Because Lesotho is so poor it does not import anything, but it does export one thing-diamonds. We don't have diamond mines and we won't have diamond mines here.

So we have a large trade deficit with Lesotho. Our imports are greatly out of kilter with our imports. That trade imbalance has nothing to do with tariffs. The stable genius decides that a 50% tariff on Lesotho diamonds will somehow fix that imbalance.

How? Are the people of Lesotho going to be richer now so that they will start importing American goods? Are diamond mines going to pop up in the US?

No. Diamonds are just going to cost more. That is exactly why tariffs are a tax on the consumer and your leader has just imposed the largest tax increase in history.

Some of your arguments have limited appeal in the abstract. The problem is that they are completely disconnected from the actual policy being debated.
Redbrickbear
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Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
The price of diamonds just went up. Why? Because Lesotho was hit with a 50% tariff. Why Lesotho and 50%. Because Lesotho is so poor it does not import anything, but it does export one thing-diamonds. We don't have diamond mines and we won't have diamond mines here.

So we have a large trade deficit with Lesotho. Our imports are greatly out of kilter with our imports. That trade imbalance has nothing to do with tariffs. The stable genius decides that a 50% tariff on Lesotho diamonds will somehow fix that imbalance.

How? Are the people of Lesotho going to be richer now so that they will start importing American goods? Are diamond mines going to pop up in the US?



So at least we have come to agreement on the basic good idea of tariffs and now we are just debating percentages and what countries should or should not be under a tariff regime.

I will of course give you that it makes no sense to tariff poor little Lesotho (surrounded by South Africa)

Trump also apparently hit Thailand (a key mainland Asian ally) with tariffs even though our trade imbalance with them is not very great....nor is Thailand much of a global competitor with us....and key long term American ally.

I agree that there is debate to be had about the specifics....but not the overarching idea
Porteroso
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market. If Trump does negotiate in good faith and get many countries to eliminate their tariffs upon US goods, the free market will benefit. If he does not negotiate, and no matter what a country like Vietnam says (they say they will eliminate all tariffs on US goods.... that's a wrap, right?), he goes forward with tariffs, this will be a major blow to free trade not only globally, but especially in the USA.

No President or Congress has ever taken it upon themself to declare war on free trade, not even the most liberal. To have this done by a Republican, and backed by conservatives, is yet another total flip flop driven by the GOP's total admiration for their Dear Leader.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

Mothra said:

Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…

And you believe that bringing more manufacturing back to the US is going to solve all of these issues?



Solve all issues? No, you can never solve all probelms

But you can help bring back good paying jobs.....and good paying jobs help to stabilize society and stabilize communities (especially among the working and middle class)

That in turn makes everything a little easier....politics, social issues, interpersonal relationships.

Imagine tomorrow if you lost your job and could not get another....imagine if everyone you know in the Woodlands (assuming you live there) could also not find a job. What kind of effect would that have on your mental situation and on the mental situation of your family, friends, and community?

2nd and 3rd order effects and all........every real conservative should be able to understand that


[Since 1989, the tragedy of Flint's decline has been repeated in a number of Midwestern cities plagued with shrinking populations, opiate addiction, joblessness, and a pervasive feeling of hopelessness. Flint and nearby Detroit remain the worst-case scenarios of once-proud, unionized, and solidly middle class "motor cities" that have fallen into ruin. After the 2008 crisis, both had their local authority stripped away by the state of Michigan, with emergency managers replacing municipal governments. In Flint, the emergency manager terminated a water contract with the city of Detroit, preferring to draw water from the polluted Flint River and send it down aging pipes to city residents, 42 percent of whom live below the federal poverty line.

[Once a thriving industrial city of nearly a quarter million people, with most residents' employment tied in some way to automobile manufacturing, Flint's population has dwindled to less than 100,000 in the aftermath of auto plant closures during the 1980s. The city has demolished over 5,000 abandoned houses in the last decade. Today, not one grocery store exists within the city.]

[General Motors was at its peak with around 85,000 employees in the 1980s, according to David White, Genesee Historical Society President....

About 90 percent of Flint's wage, salary and shareholder earnings were estimated to come from local General Motors products in 1950, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

Flint's population boomed from 13,000 to more than 156,000 residents between 1900 and 1930 - a 1,000 percent gain and 17-times the national growth in population, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

The city's population continued to climb and peaked at about 200,000 in the 1960s]


https://brightthemag.com/the-fall-of-flint-e74aded576d9

Just so I am clear...

You believe a tariff that is going to - according to JP Morgan - cost the average American family an additional $5k per year, before countries institute reciprocal tariffs, and is effectively one of the largest tax increases in the history of the United States, and is going to severely hurt the economy, is going to in the next couple of years (before the Republicans lose Congress) bring enough manufacturing jobs back to the US to offset the billions in dollars in costs associated with same? A deal that the manufacturing associations here in the US say are bad for manufacturers, given the very slim profit margins they already make? A tariff that is going to significantly affect the demand for such products at a time when automation is becoming the norm in manufacturing?

Brother, you are extremely naive. This isn't turn of the century America.
Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market.

1. We are NOT closing ourselves off to global trade (we could be an Autarky if we wanted....but we don't)

A sensible tariff program is about evening out the inequalities of global trade....everyone can still enter and compete inside the American market

BMW will still be here selling cars for instance.

Global Trade will keep taking place....globalism will not end

But we are not going to pretend that other countries are not cheating on global trade, are not using slave or semi-slave labor, and we are certainly not going to give American companies tax breaks to offshore American jobs and close down factories

2. The real bedrock values of the Republican party were: free soil/anti-slavery, Gold standard, and protective tariffs

Important to remember that was the real GOP for its history
Porteroso
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Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market.

1. We are NOT closing ourselves off to global trade (we could be an Autarky if we wanted....but we don't)

A sensible tariff program is about evening out the inequalities of global trade....everyone can still enter and compete inside the American market

BMW will still be here selling cars for instance.

Global Trade will keep taking place....globalism will not end

2. The real bedrock values of the Republican party were: free soil/anti-slavery, Gold standard, and protective tariffs

Important to remember that was the real GOP for its history
A policy that declares tariffs upon the entire free world, follows through, then keeps escalating with counter and counter counter tariffs will effectively be the death of that particular market. As long as it's only China, I'm ok with squeezing that market. If it's all of Asia and the EU, I'm not.

By the way, it won't get to that point. Tariffs are not the purview of the President. He has to declare an emergency to get to this point, and it is trivial for Congress to say "nope" at any time. Congress will not actually allow the global economy to crater, no matter how loved Trump is.
Frank Galvin
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Redbrickbear said:

Mothra said:

Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

ATL Bear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Mothra said:

whiterock said:

Robert Wilson said:

Mothra said:

boognish_bear said:

Not sure if this is accurate across the board or not… Comments seemed to indicate so


So, when I first saw the list, I thought it was actually a reciprocal tariff based on the tariffs imposed by other countries, and I thought it might not be so bad.

However, if this is truly the formula Trump used - which is based apparently on trade deficits - this is not a reciprocal tariff but instead a tariff that tries to get manufacturing to come back to the US - something that is likely never gonna happen in any large numbers.

In short, the Trump admin is misleading the American people by labeling this a reciprocal tariff. That's just a wholly false statement.

Such an entirely ridiculous and unnecessary move, and it's going to come back to bite him. Kiss the midterms goodbye. We are going to lose the House and the Senate. So dumb.

I hope Republicans who didn't skip Economics 101 will block this deal.


I'm with you. I could get on board with reciprocal tariffs. If we are instead enacting huge one sided tariffs just to counteract trade deficits, that's insane.

muddled thinking. the purpose of tariffs is to address a trade deficit, which will benefit domestic manufacturers and jobs. Whether they are reciprocal or not depends on the nature of the abuse happening, e.g. look at the way China relocates production & transshipments to avoid existing trade restrictions. This is particularly true when it comes to trade subsidies (which many countries do) and non-tariff barriers to trade like the EU VAT.

if you are going to pick this fight you have to smack hard coming out of the gate, to effectively deny entry to our market unless concessions are made. Your opponent, who has investments in an existing supply chain has to make hard decisions about whether he is going to abandon the supply chain or open up his own market to your goods. Sure, the wealthier countries will have at least theoretical options to consider, but it will take years for them to restructure and in the meantime they will incur more damage to their economy than they will inflict on ours (by virtue of having a trade surplus with us).

our position is quite strong and concessions from trade partners are a matter of when not if.
So, in other words, this is about damaging other countries' economies more than helping our own. It will take years to change supply chain and manufacturing base, but at least over the course of the next two years we can damage their economies worse than they can damage ours. In the meantime, the American people take it in the shorts.

Such a silly strategy.

The silliest strategy of all is doing nothing and accepting the status quo, which is what you are advocating.



There are a lot of people in American who see nothing wrong with the status quo

They walk out of their expensive homes in their expensive neighborhoods and see nothing wrong with the current spoils system or how the economic pie is divided up

They are going to learn (by the ballot box or the bullet) how wrong they are

The red light is flashing...and the American electorate is signaling (potentially dangerously) revolutionary impulses

[America's newly elected president may be a demagogue and a populist, but what he is above all is a revolutionary.
In hoping to make America great again, Donald Trump promises to introduce a fundamental, comprehensive and rapid transformation of American political, economic, social and cultural institutions. Such a massive change is what we mean by the term "revolution."]


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4976570-america-has-elected-a-revolutionary-will-he-succeed/

The aversion to tariffs is a foremost luxury belief of the upper classes. THEIR careers are not impacted by a flood of cheap foreign goods……
You simpletons are absolute economic idiots. Making the working and middle class pay for their own economic demise through higher prices is one of the most evil ironies I've ever heard of.

Their economic demise was the closing down of 60,000 factories and the importing in of 40-50 million 3rd worlders to work for semi-slave wages

What multi-million dollar home in Highland Park are you posting from to be this blind to the economic realities of modern America.

Get out of the Texas Triangle and drive through America sometime


[U.S. manufacturing employment plummeted by one-third, and 60,000 U.S. factories were closed, just between 1995 and 2010]
I am guessing that "ATL Bear" doesn't live near Highland Park.

There is an absolute myth that America's lower and middle classes (economically speaking) are suffering like never before. Access to medical care, the safety net, and ease of life have never been higher. We have severe challenges, but of the scores of billions of human souls that ever existed, almost all of them would prefer to have lived in America, circa 2025.

Success in America requires education, ambition, hard work, and a responsible lifestyle. If you have and do those things, you almost certainly will have a great life. It is not my grandfather's economy or even my father's economy. But it is still a great place to live. I wish we would quit pretending otherwise.


The USA is a great place to live…I would never argue other wise

And yet at the same time it's middle and lower classes are feeling squeezed like never before…

Have you not notice the political tensions we are living under? Politico described it as "pre-revolutionary"

The middle and lower classes are voting consistently for the most outsider candidates they can find and the ones offering "change"

They are signaling with a flashing red light that they are highly discontented with the present economic arrangement.

And it does not matter that you seem to think they are just not working hard enough…

And you believe that bringing more manufacturing back to the US is going to solve all of these issues?



Solve all issues? No, you can never solve all probelms

But you can help bring back good paying jobs.....and good paying jobs help to stabilize society and stabilize communities (especially among the working and middle class)

That in turn makes everything a little easier....politics, social issues, interpersonal relationships.

Imagine tomorrow if you lost your job and could not get another....imagine if everyone you know in the Woodlands (assuming you live there) could also not find a job. What kind of effect would that have on your mental situation and on the mental situation of your family, friends, and community?

2nd and 3rd order effects and all........every real conservative should be able to understand that


[Since 1989, the tragedy of Flint's decline has been repeated in a number of Midwestern cities plagued with shrinking populations, opiate addiction, joblessness, and a pervasive feeling of hopelessness. Flint and nearby Detroit remain the worst-case scenarios of once-proud, unionized, and solidly middle class "motor cities" that have fallen into ruin. After the 2008 crisis, both had their local authority stripped away by the state of Michigan, with emergency managers replacing municipal governments. In Flint, the emergency manager terminated a water contract with the city of Detroit, preferring to draw water from the polluted Flint River and send it down aging pipes to city residents, 42 percent of whom live below the federal poverty line.

[Once a thriving industrial city of nearly a quarter million people, with most residents' employment tied in some way to automobile manufacturing, Flint's population has dwindled to less than 100,000 in the aftermath of auto plant closures during the 1980s. The city has demolished over 5,000 abandoned houses in the last decade. Today, not one grocery store exists within the city.]

[General Motors was at its peak with around 85,000 employees in the 1980s, according to David White, Genesee Historical Society President....

About 90 percent of Flint's wage, salary and shareholder earnings were estimated to come from local General Motors products in 1950, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

Flint's population boomed from 13,000 to more than 156,000 residents between 1900 and 1930 - a 1,000 percent gain and 17-times the national growth in population, according to MLive-The Flint Journal archives.

The city's population continued to climb and peaked at about 200,000 in the 1960s]


https://brightthemag.com/the-fall-of-flint-e74aded576d9

I am no expert on the US Auto industry. But this US Transportation Dep't data set says that overall US vehicle production is more than what it was inthe 1960's. Interestingly after years of decline US production of vehicles rose steadily under Obama to almost record volume, nose-dived under Trump and at least began climbing again under Biden. And before you knee-jerk, that Trump trend was throughout his term; not just Covid.

Regardless of who was in the White House, however, we still made lots of cars in the US. But many more of them are made in the South. So lint lost for many reasons. Pretending it was (1) all globalization and (2) you can reverse globalization, is wishful thinking.

https://www.bts.gov/content/annual-us-motor-vehicle-production-and-factory-wholesale-sales-thousands-units
Adriacus Peratuun
How long do you want to ignore this user?
National security demands a balanced economy and not the tech/service dominated economy created by globalists.

And more importantly, economic policies should serve the public at large. And that includes the significant portion of our population who are geared toward manufacturing and other "skilled labor" endeavors.
Mothra
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market. If Trump does negotiate in good faith and get many countries to eliminate their tariffs upon US goods, the free market will benefit. If he does not negotiate, and no matter what a country like Vietnam says (they say they will eliminate all tariffs on US goods.... that's a wrap, right?), he goes forward with tariffs, this will be a major blow to free trade not only globally, but especially in the USA.

No President or Congress has ever taken it upon themself to declare war on free trade, not even the most liberal. To have this done by a Republican, and backed by conservatives, is yet another total flip flop driven by the GOP's total admiration for their Dear Leader.
Red's idea that this is going to hurt China is absurd. China is going to make a killing on this. Canada, the EU, and especially the far east countries friendly to us, are all going to turn to China and its 1.6 billion consumers as opposed to a volatile and petulant America, that unilaterally breaches trade agreements when it suits their whims and fancies. China will be laughing all the way to the bank.

You can only bully and strong-arm your allies so long before they look for alternatives.

And what's worst of all is the entire damn policy is based on a bold-faced lie. Trump lied through his teeth yesterday when he showed that chart claiming other countries were tariffing us. Those numbers were complete fabrications.

When he loses Congress, tanks the economy, and derails his agenda, it will be interesting to see if his psychophants continue to support him.
Frank Galvin
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Redbrickbear said:

Frank Galvin said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
The price of diamonds just went up. Why? Because Lesotho was hit with a 50% tariff. Why Lesotho and 50%. Because Lesotho is so poor it does not import anything, but it does export one thing-diamonds. We don't have diamond mines and we won't have diamond mines here.

So we have a large trade deficit with Lesotho. Our imports are greatly out of kilter with our imports. That trade imbalance has nothing to do with tariffs. The stable genius decides that a 50% tariff on Lesotho diamonds will somehow fix that imbalance.

How? Are the people of Lesotho going to be richer now so that they will start importing American goods? Are diamond mines going to pop up in the US?



So at least we have come to agreement on the basic good idea of tariffs and now we are just debating percentages and what countries should or should not be under a tariff regime.

I will of course give you that it makes no sense to tariff poor little Lesotho (surrounded by South Africa)

Trump also apparently hit Thailand (a key mainland Asian ally) with tariffs even though our trade imbalance with them is not very great....nor is Thailand much of a global competitor with us....and key long term American ally.

I agree that there is debate to be had about the specifics....but not the overarching idea
That is like saying we agree that defense is important to winning football games, so don't criticize a coach who punts on first down every time. This policy is idiotic. That is what I agree on.
Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market.

1. We are NOT closing ourselves off to global trade (we could be an Autarky if we wanted....but we don't)

A sensible tariff program is about evening out the inequalities of global trade....everyone can still enter and compete inside the American market

BMW will still be here selling cars for instance.

Global Trade will keep taking place....globalism will not end

2. The real bedrock values of the Republican party were: free soil/anti-slavery, Gold standard, and protective tariffs

Important to remember that was the real GOP for its history
A policy that declares tariffs upon the entire free world, follows through, then keeps escalating with counter and counter counter tariffs will effectively be the death of that particular market. As long as it's only China, I'm ok with squeezing that market. If it's all of Asia and the EU, I'm not.

By the way, it won't get to that point. Tariffs are not the purview of the President. He has to declare an emergency to get to this point, and it is trivial for Congress to say "nope" at any time. Congress will not actually allow the global economy to crater, no matter how loved Trump is.


I agree with both those statements

I agree with a more moderate (but still strong) approach to tariffs

And I agree that Congress can step in anytime it wants and direct this polity and clip the Presidents wings
Frank Galvin
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Mothra said:




When he loses Congress, tanks the economy, and derails his agenda, it will be interesting to see if his psychophants continue to support him.
Many will because he is a genius at branding and getting people to see next week's episode.

But enough intelligent people who voted for him and the GOP last time will be disturbed about this and other ham-fisted attempts to promote his personal agenda, that the mid-terms will be a disaster for Team Red.
Mothra
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Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

Redbrickbear said:

Porteroso said:

ScottS said:

boognish_bear said:


...except the tariffs Trump put on are paid by other countries. Could it be past to the comsumer, yes but you might just buy something US made instead. You don't have to pay the tariff.
It will all trickle back to the consumer. Whether you pay more for made in USA, or more because Chinese goods are 54% more expensive, you are paying more. Tariffs are effectively a tax upon consumers.

Pay more so Americans can have better jobs? Count me in

Not to mention you are going to pay no matter what system you chose.

Even without tariffs you pay....in the real life sense of societal break down and via helping Communist China rise to be a world power.

There is no free lunch....and even free trade has its long term costs....and those costs will come due
That is a great personal policy for you to have as an individual, but it is a long term restructuring policy of the global economy policy to have, as a country. The question has to be asked, what evidence is there that America will be better off if we effectively close ourselves off to global trade?

As I've said, if this ends up being mostly tariffs on China, and we get better deals with most other countries, I can be for that. But as it was proposed, it's a declaration of economic war upon the free market, and that will not go well.

Lost in this is what Republicans used to say was a core value: the free market.

1. We are NOT closing ourselves off to global trade (we could be an Autarky if we wanted....but we don't)

A sensible tariff program is about evening out the inequalities of global trade....everyone can still enter and compete inside the American market

BMW will still be here selling cars for instance.

Global Trade will keep taking place....globalism will not end

2. The real bedrock values of the Republican party were: free soil/anti-slavery, Gold standard, and protective tariffs

Important to remember that was the real GOP for its history
By the way, it won't get to that point. Tariffs are not the purview of the President. He has to declare an emergency to get to this point, and it is trivial for Congress to say "nope" at any time. Congress will not actually allow the global economy to crater, no matter how loved Trump is.
You sure about that? Think enough Republicans in the House will cross him? I am not so confident.
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