Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
sombear said:
Sam Lowry said:
Frank Galvin said:
Sam Lowry said:
Frank Galvin said:
Sam Lowry said:
It depends on which Ukrainians you're talking about. Not caring, wanting neutrality, and wanting Russian rule are all very different things. Attitudes in the west obviously hardened in 2022, but there would almost certainly have been a negotiated peace if not for the influence of the US, the UK, and the Nazi militias (who assassinated a couple of negotiators and threatened to assassinate Zelensky if he made any kind of deal). As for the Donbas militias, they either joined the Russian military or fought alongside it.
"Attitudes in the West obviously hardened in 2022." Yeah, you think? That tends to happen when one country launches a brutal military invasion of an ally.
"but there would almost certainly have been a negotiated peace if not for the influence of the US, the UK..." You could have just said--Ukraine would have been forced to cave if not for the assistance of its Western friends. Meaning, Ukraine as a puppet state, and many countries in Eastern Europe wondering if they were next. Which I guess would have been okay with you
The Nazi militia comment tries to elevate a marginal group to a decisive actor, which is just untrue.
And yes, there are Ukrainians with pro-Russian sentiment. There are also Texans who think we should secede. But countries don't work that way. One of the hard-and-fast rules is that one country does not take another country's land by military force. Russia broke that rule and I don't understand why you would defend it.
Yes, it tends to happen.
Russia was basically trying to implement the Minsk Agreements. Zelensky won his office by promising to do just that. It would not have made Ukraine a puppet state, at least not of Russia.
The only truly decisive actors are Russia and the US, but the Nazi militias are an important tool of the US and always have been. They're by no means marginal in their effect.
There are a lot of hard and fast rules, and we tend to be quite selective about which ones we recognize at a given time. Aggression against another country's political independence, for example our participation in the toppling of Ukraine's government in 2014, is every bit as unlawful as aggression against a country's territory.
1. If it was trying to enforce the Minsk agreements, why did Russia declare them defunct before attacking?
2. Ukraine is the actor that has sacrificed blood and treasure. I would call the decisive.
3. We supported the protests; we didn't create them. And the protestors had a point.
4. There tends to be a lot more dead and maimed when territories are invaded.
My mistake, I forgot that Russia had officially recognized the Donbas republics at the time. The point remains, as much as that might have been an insult to Ukraine's territorial integrity, it had no effect on the central government and was far from rendering it a puppet state.
The protests were largely a Western operation, like the ones in 2004 and countless others around the globe. Election interference and regime change are standard operating procedure.
Ukraine punished the Donbas for many years and was preparing to double down on its attacks in 2022. Russia's decision to invade caused more suffering for Ukraine but less for the territories it annexed.
My point isn't to argue who has a right to what territory. That's a political question, or perhaps more accurately a military one. What's vitally important is to understand what the principal parties are doing and why.
It's funny … Russia never complained about the CIA in Ukraine or the supposed mistreatment of Russian speakers in the East until it had to somehow justify its invasion.
And this makes perfect sense. Ukrainian intel was infested with Russians or Russia supporters. Any sort of material collusion with the US would have been impossible.
Just as public opinion polls showed Russian speakers were happy in the East. Putin is a master of after-the-fact rationales, but he's too dumb to even be consistent. I mean, let's just list some of his excuses for the 2022 invasion:
- NATO (which was not supported by any prominent Ukr politicians or the public)
- Ukr not a real country and always has been part of Russia (with Putin's BS history lessons to boot)
- Ukr is a Nazi country and stopping the spread of Naziism
- Protecting Christianity (which just might be the funniest)
- Preventing Ukr invasion (No, this is the funniest)
- Demilitarization of Ukr
- Stopping the Donbas genocide (no my mistake again, this is the funniest)
- And more
You don't understand how the "open door" policy works. Zelensky didn't campaign on joining NATO immediately, but he made his support clear within a few weeks of taking office. We didn't take long to set him straight. And it was already endorsed by their parliament and enshrined in their constitution.
I don't recall Putin ever saying there was one and only one issue with Ukraine.
Zelensky was elected 5 years after the first invasion
And he did not come out strongly supporting NATO membership until after the second invasion
You said NATO was no excuse for the 2022 invasion because no prominent politician supported it. That's incorrect. So is the idea that Russian spies would have made collusion with the US impossible. What were they going to do, announce their presence and slap the CIA people upside the head with a copy of War and Peace? It doesn't work that way.
Who openly supported it pre-invasion?
What we clearly would seen was Russia accusing the CIA of infiltrating Ukraine long before Maidan. Instead what we got is what we always get from Putin: after-the-fact BS and excuses that he can't even keep straight.
As I've posted several times over the years and nobody has answered because they can't: How could the CIA have known a president was going to suddenly do a 180 on exactly what he ran on?
It defies logic, common sense, and the facts on the ground. I mean … shocking that the public would rise up when 80% and every prominent politician supported the EU deal ….
The CIA has been in Ukraine for as long as there's been a CIA. That's not especially newsworthy from Putin's point of view.
Yanukovych's decision to sign the agreement was telegraphed months in advance, disclosed privately to EU officials more than a week before the summit, and publicly announced a few days later. If the Americans were paying any attention at all, it was no surprise.
Well, yeah … the CIA, like the intel of every major country, is basically everywhere. The issue is how much true influence they could have given Russia's well documented (and even bragged about by Russia) infiltration of Ukraine intel and government, and also how Russia could have been so blind to the CIA's success and ability to create the mass demonstrations.
Sometimes the obvious answer is the answer. 80% or more of Ukrainians were pissed that VY spurned the EU and crawled into the personal bed of Putin.
If Russian spies couldn't stop the Orange Revolution, it's far from obvious how they could have stopped the Maidan coup. Again, much of that kind of work has been farmed out to weaponized NGOs rather than the government.
Yet 12 years later we still have no info on how it was all done! All we have is CIA!!! NGO!!! Nuland!!!
And nobody has ever explained why the U.S. and the west would help negotiate the very peace deal that would have kept VY in office.
This truly is one of those conspiracy theories that has zero merit. It's comical.
I've explained all of that in detail (and specifically to you, IIRC) on other threads. It isn't a Hollywood movie where everyone synchronizes their watches and they trigger a coup at a precise moment according to some master plan. They reacted to developments on the ground using their existing infrastructure, primarily media outlets and militia connections.
Not only have you not provided details, I'm unaware of Russia even trying to provide details - names, events, etc.
You don't need to rely on Russia. The evidence I've shown includes a finding by a Ukrainian court that the Maidan shootings were most likely committed by right-wing militias, as well as a statement by a former Ukrainian official who witnessed militia leaders colluding with American diplomats.
Official Court Rulings
The Sviatoshyn District Court Verdict: In October 2023, Kyiv's Sviatoshyn District Court issued its landmark verdict regarding the fatal shootings on Instytutska Street during the final, bloodiest days of the Euromaidan protests. The court convicted specific former members of the Berkut special police unit for their roles in the deaths of protesters. The trial proceedings and rulings focused strictly on local law enforcement actions and chain-of-command accountability under the former regime of Viktor Yanukovych; they did not address or make any findings regarding U.S. or Western government involvement.
Origin of the Claim: Claims that a court legally recognized Maidan as a U.S.-backed coup stem instead from a 2016 ruling by a Russian court (in Moscow), which upheld a petition filed by a former pro-Russian Ukrainian MP labeling the event a coup based on testimony from exiled figures like Yanukovych. That ruling carried no legal or territorial jurisdiction in Ukraine.
I'm not claiming there was any finding of US involvement by Ukrainian courts.
No evidence of U.S. collusion
No credible evidence shows that Maidan militias or activist self-defense units colluded with or were commanded by U.S. diplomats during the 2014 Euromaidan protests. While American officials expressed political support for the opposition and discussed desired outcomes for Ukraine's political leadership in intercepted phone calls, investigations have found no operational coordination or command ties with militant groups on the ground.Context of U.S. Diplomatic InvolvementPolitical Expression: U.S. diplomats, including Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and Ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt, openly met with mainstream Ukrainian opposition figures and civil society leaders.The "Nuland-Pyatt" Leak: A intercepted and leaked 2014 telephone conversation revealed American diplomats discussing their preferences for the composition of a post-Yanukovych transitional government.Nature of Engagement: International monitors and investigative bodies concluded that U.S. actions amounted to diplomatic maneuvering and political preference, rather than directing or organizing street-level paramilitaries or tactical militia operations.
Origins of the Collusion ClaimsRussian State Narratives: Claims asserting that the U.S. or the CIA directly organized, armed, or colluded with radical and far-right elements on the Maidan have been repeatedly examined and categorized as unsubstantiated disinformation by international fact-checkers and agencies like EUvsDisinfo.Domestic Dynamics: Independent assessments of the 2014 Revolution of Dignity attribute the mobilization and actions of protest groups to internal Ukrainian civil unrest and a reaction against the Yanukovych administration's use of force, rather than a foreign-commanded operation.