The survey you are citing is from November 14-19, 2019. A poll taken a year before an election is meaningless.cinque said:Chuckle, uh, no:BornAgain said:
I'm thinking 40% Black vote for Trump.
A majority of black Americans are more interested in voting in the 2020 presidential election than they were in 2016, according to a national survey of 1200 black voters and non-voters conducted by Third Way and the Joint Center.
Why it matters: Black voter turnout declined significantly in 2016 nationally and in key swing states, ultimately contributing to Hillary Clinton's loss to Donald Trump. New details from focus groups and polling suggests that the motivation to remove Trump from office is firing up black Americans to head to the polls next November.
Details: Third Way and the Joint Center conducted nine focus groups of black voters and non-voters in and around Atlanta, Detroit and Philadelphia.Black Americans' increased motivation to vote next year stems from an intense opposition to President Trump and a belief that he "has been a disaster for our country, and we need to do everything we can to vote him out," according to the survey.
- They also commissioned a quantitative survey that goes beyond the 2020 horse race to better understand how these Americans are feeling and thinking about things like the economy, immigration and other issues central to the next election.
- Most respondents said they believe Trump's election has emboldened people with racist views to express them publicly.
- Their second most common motivating factor: "Voting is the best way to make my voice heard in our government," according to the survey
Republicans and voter suppression
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66 Replies |
Last: 3 yr ago by Thee University
Why is all these polls using like D +10?
Also, why are some still using registered not likely voters at this point?
Trump is polling 65-75% of people voting for him are voting for him and not voting against Biden
Biden is polling around 55% voting against Trump and enthusiasm for Biden is way down under 40% as well.
Also, why are some still using registered not likely voters at this point?
Trump is polling 65-75% of people voting for him are voting for him and not voting against Biden
Biden is polling around 55% voting against Trump and enthusiasm for Biden is way down under 40% as well.
Penn:
From Nov. 2016 through Labor Day, GOP gained 166k+ voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Since Labor Day, GOP gained 16k+ additional voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans increased margins in 64 of the Commonwealth's 67 counties since Labor Day.
Florida
From Nov. 2016 through last week, GOP gained ~150k by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last six weeks, the GOP gained ~10k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans have the best margin in voter registration they have had in decades.
NC:
From Nov. 2016 through two weeks ago, GOP gained ~225k by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last week, the GOP gained an additional ~3k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans have the best margin in voter registration they have had in decades.
Iowa:
Since Biden became DEM nominee in April, GOP has gained ~18k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last month, GOP reg outpaced DEM reg by nearly 3:1.
Why are the polls tracking at an average of Dem +10? I mean seriously, you gov from 9-18-2020 was D+14
From Nov. 2016 through Labor Day, GOP gained 166k+ voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Since Labor Day, GOP gained 16k+ additional voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans increased margins in 64 of the Commonwealth's 67 counties since Labor Day.
Florida
From Nov. 2016 through last week, GOP gained ~150k by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last six weeks, the GOP gained ~10k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans have the best margin in voter registration they have had in decades.
NC:
From Nov. 2016 through two weeks ago, GOP gained ~225k by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last week, the GOP gained an additional ~3k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans have the best margin in voter registration they have had in decades.
Iowa:
Since Biden became DEM nominee in April, GOP has gained ~18k voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
In the last month, GOP reg outpaced DEM reg by nearly 3:1.
Why are the polls tracking at an average of Dem +10? I mean seriously, you gov from 9-18-2020 was D+14
For Wed, Sep 23, 2020 - Sponsored by
@WhatfingerNews
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 50%
GOP LV App - 84%
Dem LV App - 17%
Ind LV App - 50%
Men LV App - 50%
Women LV App - 49%
White LV App - 53%
Black Total LV App - 35%
Oth Non-White LV App - 46%
@WhatfingerNews
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 50%
GOP LV App - 84%
Dem LV App - 17%
Ind LV App - 50%
Men LV App - 50%
Women LV App - 49%
White LV App - 53%
Black Total LV App - 35%
Oth Non-White LV App - 46%
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
Make Racism Wrong Again
Then there's some good news:
Texas begins letting people register to vote online when they're updating their driver's licenses
When Jarrod Stringer updated his driver's license address in 2014, the Texas Department of Public Safety website asked if he wanted to register to vote. He clicked yes and thought he was registered. That fall, when he went to vote in San Antonio, he was denied. According to the system, he had never registered. It was past the registration deadline, so he couldn't vote.
That kicked off a six-year legal battle that included two lawsuits for the right for Texans to register to vote online while updating their licenses.
"It's traumatic when you can't vote," Stringer said. "It's implicitly saying, 'You don't have a voice. You can't participate in change.'"
On Wednesday, Stringer won that "mind-boggling" fight with the state of Texas two weeks before the deadline to register to vote in 2020. Acting on a federal judge's orders, the state updated its online systems to allow people to add their names to the voter rolls when they update their licenses
Texas begins letting people register to vote online when they're updating their driver's licenses
When Jarrod Stringer updated his driver's license address in 2014, the Texas Department of Public Safety website asked if he wanted to register to vote. He clicked yes and thought he was registered. That fall, when he went to vote in San Antonio, he was denied. According to the system, he had never registered. It was past the registration deadline, so he couldn't vote.
That kicked off a six-year legal battle that included two lawsuits for the right for Texans to register to vote online while updating their licenses.
"It's traumatic when you can't vote," Stringer said. "It's implicitly saying, 'You don't have a voice. You can't participate in change.'"
On Wednesday, Stringer won that "mind-boggling" fight with the state of Texas two weeks before the deadline to register to vote in 2020. Acting on a federal judge's orders, the state updated its online systems to allow people to add their names to the voter rolls when they update their licenses
Make Racism Wrong Again
NC = North CarolinaBooray said:That first entry doesn't look right. It said nationally Hillary +2. was the prediction and the actual result was DJT +4, for an error of 6% pts. But Hillary won the national vote by 2 pts. So they were dead on.Gruvin said:
More poll results show zero bias...
What am I missing?
good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
thanksMalbec said:NC = North CarolinaBooray said:That first entry doesn't look right. It said nationally Hillary +2. was the prediction and the actual result was DJT +4, for an error of 6% pts. But Hillary won the national vote by 2 pts. So they were dead on.Gruvin said:
More poll results show zero bias...
What am I missing?
Booray said:thanksMalbec said:NC = North CarolinaBooray said:That first entry doesn't look right. It said nationally Hillary +2. was the prediction and the actual result was DJT +4, for an error of 6% pts. But Hillary won the national vote by 2 pts. So they were dead on.Gruvin said:
More poll results show zero bias...
What am I missing?
BornAgain said:
I'm thinking 40% Black vote for Trump.
The slaves are leaving LBJ's plantation.
You brought up BROWARD County.Gruvin said:good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
Make Racism Wrong Again
I did and you posted information that neither denied nor confirmed what I postedcinque said:You brought up BROWARD County.Gruvin said:good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
It would be like chickens voting for Colonel Sanders.BornAgain said:
My opinion. Whether you like it or not. Wait til the men and women vote
Make Racism Wrong Again
For Thr, Sep 24, 2020 from Rasmussen
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%
GOP LV App - 82%
Dem LV App - 23%
Ind LV App - 52%
Men LV App - 53%
Women LV App - 51%
White LV App - 55%
Black Total LV App - 30%
Oth Non-White LV App - 56%
That is 9 days in a row over 50% approval rating
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%
GOP LV App - 82%
Dem LV App - 23%
Ind LV App - 52%
Men LV App - 53%
Women LV App - 51%
White LV App - 55%
Black Total LV App - 30%
Oth Non-White LV App - 56%
That is 9 days in a row over 50% approval rating
Gruvin said:I did and you posted information that neither denied nor confirmed what I postedcinque said:You brought up BROWARD County.Gruvin said:good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
It just exposed your intended sleight of hand as if Republicans in Broward matter.
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
Make Racism Wrong Again
It's minutia. It doesn't matter, just like Republicans in Broward Countycinque said:Gruvin said:I did and you posted information that neither denied nor confirmed what I postedcinque said:You brought up BROWARD County.Gruvin said:good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
It just exposed your intended sleight of hand as if Republicans in Broward matter.
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
Make Racism Wrong Again
too bad Broward doesnt decide FL...cinque said:It's minutia. It doesn't matter, just like Republicans in Broward Countycinque said:Gruvin said:I did and you posted information that neither denied nor confirmed what I postedcinque said:You brought up BROWARD County.Gruvin said:good info- not exactly mind blowing either... Broward is a Dem stronghold in FL. It also doesnt dismiss the fact the GOP could have registered more new voters than Dems did between july 31st and today.cinque said:VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY FOR BROWARD COUNTYGruvin said:
GOP has outregistered Ds in . . .
wait for it . . .
It just exposed your intended sleight of hand as if Republicans in Broward matter.
BROWARD COUNTY since July 31 2020!
State wide FL registration #S show Ds dropping like a rock. Latest show Ds only up 171,000 and falling with each update. It was about D+325k as of 2016 election...
Party Statistics
Party
Voters
Percent
DEM - Florida Democratic Party
624,548
50.25%
NPA - No Party Affiliation
340,925
27.43%
REP - Republican Party of Florida
263,294
21.19%
IND - Independent Party of Florida
11,386
0.92%
LPF - Libertarian Party Of Florida
1,765
0.14%
GRE - Green Party of Florida
480
0.04%
CPF - Constitution Party Of Florida
137
0.01%
REF - Reform Party of Florida
83
0.01%
PSL - Party for Socialism and Liberation - Florida
82
0.01%
ECO - Ecology Party of Florida
70
0.01%
UNK - Unknown Party*
9
0.00%
NRS - Other minor party
4
0.00%
Total
1
Fox has to be trolling hard... D+8 on poll sample is crazy! Ohio registered
Voter records show this sample should have been closer to R+3
Voter records show this sample should have been closer to R+3
Happy Friday
For Fri, Sep 25, 2020
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%
GOP LV App - 79%
Dem LV App - 30% !
Ind LV App - 48%
Men LV App - 56%
Women LV App - 47%
White LV App - 51%
Black Total LV App - 33%
Oth Non-White LV App - 66% !
For Fri, Sep 25, 2020
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%
GOP LV App - 79%
Dem LV App - 30% !
Ind LV App - 48%
Men LV App - 56%
Women LV App - 47%
White LV App - 51%
Black Total LV App - 33%
Oth Non-White LV App - 66% !
In depth analysis of polls and how they are biased vs voter registration numbers by state
https://statespoll.com/post/630272662791487488/presidential-election-2020-electoral-college-map/amp?__twitter_impression=true
https://statespoll.com/post/630272662791487488/presidential-election-2020-electoral-college-map/amp?__twitter_impression=true
There are no worries. A large percentage of the recently registered Democrat voters are too lazy and undisciplined to even go vote.