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Gameday Thread: Baylor (3-3) faces Kansas (5-2) for Homecoming

October 21, 2022
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The Baylor Bears (3-3) are back home to face Kansas (5-2) in a Homecoming game at McLane Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00 A.m. CT and will be aired live on ESPN2.


Depth Chart | Class Scholarship Breakdown | Schedule | Big 12 Standings | Roster

Quotes of the Week

Junior Defensive Lineman Apu Ika

"I feel like, we just got to play faster, get back to playing green, playing like us. I feel like during practice — when the lights aren't on and pressure isn't built — it's easy to play fast and say this and that. But we just got to do it when the lights turn on.”

Senior Tight End Ben Sims

“It goes back to doing simple better, being more intentional in our practices. Like taking everything seriously, because the things that you do in practice show up in the game. So like really going back and looking at you know, practice tape, it turns out that you do the exact same thing in the game. So, just the intentionality of what we're doing every day.”

Head Coach Dave Aranda

"I think we've probably had some games this year, unfortunately — and none of us ever talked this way — where I think we showed up thinking we're just gonna win this game. You know, here we are, where's the championship belt? And that was something that's never been a core belief or a core anything with anything we do," Aranda openly shared on Monday. 


Analysis of the Week

SicEm365 Analyst Travis Roeder

The biggest area Kansas beats you is with chunk plays in the throw game. They are secondnationally in Expected Points Added (EPA) per throw. You don’t need to be a statistics savant to intuit what that probably means.

The briefest summary possible of EPA: It’s a context-considered estimate of how many points the offense added [expected] per play. A 45-yard pass on 1st & 10 from your own 25 is worth somewhere around 4 points. A 6-yard pass on 3rd & 4 from your own 25 is going to be worth positive points, but a 6-yard pass on 3rd & 10 from your own 25 is going to be negative. That’s how the context comes into play.

So, Kansas is second nationally in EPA per throw. That means they’re hitting a ton of big plays at a very efficient rate. EPA can sometimes be misleading (especially with option teams, they rarely throw and when they do they usually go for big plays) but Kansas is throwing the ball quite a bit and is still hitting a bunch of huge plays. Of course, most of this was still with Jalon Daniels at the helm, but Bean has shown that he’s more than adequate at launching the ball downfield.

 

 
Discussion from...

Gameday Thread: Baylor (3-3) faces Kansas (5-2) for Homecoming

29,050 Views | 351 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by boognish_bear
Fre3dombear
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Jacques Strap said:

IowaBear said:

Why not take the 3? Your struggling and a 3 makes it a 15 point game…
Yeah I'm wondering what "analytics" said in the situation. Playing at home in the 4th Q with less than 10 on the clock . You can force them to score two TDs and a 2 point conversion to force OT if you make that FG. Now two TDs win the game for them.


Yep. Just insanely stupid

And with your offense being shut out in the 2nd half and entire team on its back in shock wondering what color their Bernstein hat is
EatMoreSalmon
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Dang! they could have scored every which way on that left side.
PawpaBear
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Our LB are so slow. We need more athleticism
IowaBear
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This defense is next level bad… and Arabda does zero to help them
EuropeBear
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It's a different offense this half. And defense. Great halftime adjustments. Do not continue with what worked. It's time to give Drones a shot. He adds a dimension. Unfortunately there's no backup for the play calling.
DrCrunkDaddy
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Those past two series were easy for them
Hob Howelll
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Absolutely pathetic effort on defense there. We have to be the worst team in America at finishing tackles
True Grit
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Been out scored this half 20-0.
bear2be2
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Fre3dombear said:

The Hound said:

Quarterback sneak was really stupid play call there when you have Dillon Doyle and Jones


Bad Grimes tried to out trick them and out tricked himself

Could just see he was gonna do it. So predictable

Would love to play poker with him

FreedomBear has basically called thismoerfectly throughout the 2nd half
If you can't get less than a yard on a QB sneak, you deserve to lose. At some point, guys have to execute plays.
Doc Holliday
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Absolutely incompetent program.
PawpaBear
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And drive… and grit… Kansas is relentless and I miss thjs attribute that BU had last year. They just ride the emotions of the game at too hard
Hugh G. Rection
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I love that our guys lose/almost lose to Kansas at home with class and integrity
Stefano DiMera
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Stop
Jack Bauer
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Been outscored 20-0 in second half.

Baylor Fumble
Kansas TD
Baylor Punt
Kansas TD
Baylor Downs
Kansas TD
Fre3dombear
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Defense is totally gassed and they've played 35 snaps lmao
Jacques Strap
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Some of the "not finishing" this season is on the players but some is on the coaches as well. Dropping TDs and 3rd down catches, turnovers... but also some risky "against the book" decisions.
Johnny Bear
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Fre3dombear said:

Jacques Strap said:

IowaBear said:

Why not take the 3? Your struggling and a 3 makes it a 15 point game…
Yeah I'm wondering what "analytics" said in the situation. Playing at home in the 4th Q with less than 10 on the clock . You can force them to score two TDs and a 2 point conversion to force OT if you make that FG. Now two TDs win the game for them.


Yep. Just insanely stupid

And with your offense being shut out in the 2nd half and entire team on its back in shock wondering what color their Bernstein hat is

Two straight terrible spots didn't help.
Doc Holliday
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Stefano DiMera said:

Stop
Nah I've seen enough this season to know some coaches and players need to go.
CorsicanaBear
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No pass rush. Bean has all day.
IowaBear
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Arandas analytics strike again. Should be up 8 right now…
Hob Howelll
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bear2be2 said:

Fre3dombear said:

The Hound said:

Quarterback sneak was really stupid play call there when you have Dillon Doyle and Jones


Bad Grimes tried to out trick them and out tricked himself

Could just see he was gonna do it. So predictable

Would love to play poker with him

FreedomBear has basically called thismoerfectly throughout the 2nd half
If you can't get less than a yard on a QB sneak, you deserve to lose. At some point, guys have to execute plays.


Not really. Shapen is not a big guy. They haven't been able to stop Doyle or Jones all day. I hate Grimes situational playcalling, the guy clearly gets off on being cute in short yardage situations
boerne bear
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Guys.. hate to sound negative; but, Bevo is ordering a 3 digit score board. This defense is embarrassingly bad.
BearConvert
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I'm confident that once we figure out how to win the game inside of the game, the team will find a way to win the game outside the game.
Stefano DiMera
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Okkk..I'll check the waiver wire Monday to see what players get cut..
Hob Howelll
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Even if we win this one, it's very likely the last win of the season
EuropeBear
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Please stop this stupid dancing and jumping around on the sideline.
Fre3dombear
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Kansas seems to want win our homecoming more than we do

Gonna see what we made of here. Being tested.
EuropeBear
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BearConvert said:

I'm confident that once we figure out how to win the game inside of the game, the team will find a way to win the game outside the game.
yep right on
IowaBear
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So is TCU…. tech….. pretty much everyone we play is going to carve us up. Factor in Shapens multiple turnovers and it's not a bright outlook
BBWCBear
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We kinda look like Texas the last couple of years, giant beaters the first half and then find a way to lose it.

THREE win season.
CHP Bear
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3 and out here is not acceptable.
Branch155
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The Hound said:

Even if we win this one, it's very likely the last win of the season
At the very least, we'll be underdogs in the rest of our games.
Fre3dombear
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The Hound said:

bear2be2 said:

Fre3dombear said:

The Hound said:

Quarterback sneak was really stupid play call there when you have Dillon Doyle and Jones


Bad Grimes tried to out trick them and out tricked himself

Could just see he was gonna do it. So predictable

Would love to play poker with him

FreedomBear has basically called thismoerfectly throughout the 2nd half
If you can't get less than a yard on a QB sneak, you deserve to lose. At some point, guys have to execute plays.


Not really. Shapen is not a big guy. They haven't been able to stop Doyle or Jones all day. I hate Grimes situational playcalling, the guy clearly gets off on being cute in short yardage situations


Like I been saying, if he is forced to win the game, he will choke

He has now choked. Could see it coming. Hoped he didn't even have that situation happen. It's a 90% lock

Lock achieved.

Now let's see
boognish_bear
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Syracuse 21
Clemson 16

Q4 12:00
Stefano DiMera
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Tech? Kansas State?
 
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