boykin_spaniel said:
The Big10 is 2 teams. Michigan was not battle tested. TCU was. Georgia is battle tested and better in the trenches than any team TCU has faced. UGA annihilated Tennessee's vaunted receiving corps. Hyatt was a complete non factor(Biletnikoff winner). Hyatt is also like 170 pounds so Johnson may be able to beat bump and run coverage a little more consistently.
The X factor is Duggan's legs vs the UGA defense. Stroud made play after play against UGA with his legs. If UGA struggles to stop unscripted quarterback runs then this will be a game. If they adjust and contain it then it'll probably be a bit of a snooze fest.
As mentioned above TCU can't bank on defensive points. They'll probably bleed some yards on the ground but bow up in the red zone and force field goals. Shut down Brock Bowers and the backs in the passing game. Stick Hodges-Tomlinson on McConkey and erase him.
If I'm UGA I'm forcing Duggan to throw inside the pocket. Contain with the ends and try to send pressure from the middle with Jalen Carter and the occasional blitzing. Feed Bowers and get some early QB run plays with Stetson to force the defense to respect it all night.
I think Duggan's the X-factor, which isn't saying much because that's true most games. Unlike Stroud, who is primarily a pocket passer, Duggan's an elite runner who can quickly turn nothing into something. With the weapons they have at running back and receiver (I hope Kendre Miller returns), that makes the Frogs very difficult to defend for 60 minutes.
I think Georgia is better, and I think Georgia will win. But I stopped underestimating this TCU team a long time ago. When you win 13 games against the schedule they've played, you're a pretty damn good football team.