Grimes' wide zone is a system of diminishing returns

7,248 Views | 39 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Keyser Soze
parch
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What I don't think most people realize about Grimes' wide zone scheme is that in 2020, he was as far out on the leading edge with its usage in CFB as Briles was with the veer and shoot in 2010.

When he arrived there was literally one other P5 proponent using the Alex Gibbs/Mike Shanahan Broncos wide zone, and it was... Iowa. That is to say, it was not being used very well, or very faithfully even.

This goes a long way toward describing why he caught so many defenses flat-footed with it in 2021. You can talk all you want about Rhule recruits etc etc, but Grimes' system deserves a lot of shine for that year. You put a group of athletic, undersized linemen in a scheme with a one-cut bulldog making pre-defined gap reads off a lot of QB read options out of the blue and you'll confuse a lot of people. Look at the tape - defenses were flat-footed dealing with us.

They had just never seen it like this. It's a timing-based system that relies on a lot of movement, a lot of horizonal push blocking and misdirection. We showed up in spaces before everyone else. That's the name of the game when you can't blow anyone off the ball or beat them in a flat foot race.

In other words, it's the anti-veer and shoot, a system that has very specific assignments - it honestly makes Briles' scheme look like junkyard ball. Since you're not relying on overt size, speed or strength, you need guys to arrive at the station exactly on time for it to work over and over again. There are fewer plays but they're extremely specific and run from a million different looks. This is largely why it hasn't proliferated in CFB. Coaches don't trust green young guys to have the technique and know-how to pull it off with the level of precision required. It's much safer to have open route trees and less defined blocking schemes.

Here's our problem as I see it. This is a note from Ian Boyd.

First, Big 12 defenses weren't used to defending wide zone from under center with multiple tight ends on the field. The angles of the play were different from what everyone else was doing and you could see teams having to adjust to the physicality of the scheme as well as the additional stress from Baylor routinely running on 3rd-and-long and then going for it again on 4th down after picking up, say six yards on 3rd-and-8. The Bears were very confident in the ability of their guys to make contact at the line and create lateral stress and their main back to run through contact against guys trying to make tackles while running sideways.

As tape on the wide zone has proliferated, I'm seeing some distressing signals that without certain assets, it is extremely vulnerable to breaking at this level. When you play timing base, and your opponent can show up in that space before you can, you essentially have nothing to work with.

The wide zone was, in essence, an experiment Aranda undertook divorced from the mainstream, and the sneak attack worked with flying colors in 2021. Gerry Bohanon is a slightly above average QB by normal standards, and he'd probably be a third string QB in a scheme like Briles' - but Grimes schemed him into a very effective one. You could say the same for Shapen that year before his injury.

But unlike a spread-style scheme, the unpredictability isn't within the plays themselves, it's in how you present them, how you line guys up. So once a defense can key on the post-snap movement, it's actually not a very difficult offense to corral if your players aren't hitting their marks. And I have some extreme doubts that we can recruit guys to hit their marks year over year. It's just not a very friendly system when the defense knows what you're doing. This is why it's not popular.

I can understand using it on the NFL level when you can build a core over many years, but in CFB, I just don't know that you can scheme it well consistently when you have portal and graduation turnover this consistently. You're essentially trying to catch lightning in a bottle every year. There's a reason this is a seldom used system.

Grimes' system is good enough to win games - it is occasionally good enough to win a lot of games when you have an elite defense. I sincerely believe it is not good enough to build an entire offensive program around for the long term. I just don't believe in its longevity. And the further along the rabbit hole we go, the more we pigeonhole ourselves with undersized linemen, RBs pulled from underneath couch cushions (which is an avowed feature of the wide zone, not a bug), weak WRs who see no joy or development in the system, and bus driver QBs who are severely schematically limited and choose to play in more variable systems instead. Many have touted NIL as the driver behind Novosad's decision, and I don't doubt that played in, but this system is a hard sell to sought-after QBs.
WA Jim
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Interesting analysis - thanks for that - I was under the impression it allowed under sized lineman to be successful because you are not trying to move guys with push - you beat 'em to a spot (as you were saying) but I guess it requires a tremendous amount of precision and lineman that can move well? The amount a repetitive precision is what I think you are saying is the weakness. Too much player revolving door in this day and age.

One thing I loved about Briles offense was the beautiful simplicity - spread you out really wide - keep the extra guy in the box we throw it around the yard - send him out to support the pass and we run it down your throat with an extra blocker. The one knock on Briles offense as I recall is NFL coaches saying players coming out of BU didn't know how to read a playbook! Ha! That's the brilliance of it.
parch
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You're not far off. This is probably the best way to describe it.

The key to wide zone teams is that they don't try to hit aiming points and reach players in the same way as other outside zone systems. They just run off the ball and if they can't reach you then they focus on making good contact and pushing you wide. They're going to count on their own effort to make the play work between their movement and all the horizontal stress it creates as well as the mentality they inculcate to always be running, fighting, and pushing.

Because wide zone blocking is so heavy on quickness and effort, it works without requiring elite athletes of unusual size along the offensive line.

Got a shorter lineman lacking elite length? No biggie. Don't have massive frames or deadlift champions? Doesn't matter, we don't have to whip them there, we just need to be able to run, shove and work in concert.

The tricks that make wide zone effective have to do with unit buy-in. You can't execute it as a unit at a high level unless you major in it, emphasizing the cohesion and tricks of the trade which allow it to be effective. This is why I don't believe in it long term. I just don't think you can find enough majors.
Daveisabovereproach
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It's a finesse offense masquerading as a power running offense, and it requires offensive lineman to have the skill sets requisite for both systems. Works great when they have it, doesn't work well when they don't. Every offense in football requires the run game to set up the pass game, but the wide zone even moreso
CHP Bear
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parch said:

You're not far off. This is probably the best way to describe it.

The key to wide zone teams is that they don't try to hit aiming points and reach players in the same way as other outside zone systems. They just run off the ball and if they can't reach you then they focus on making good contact and pushing you wide. They're going to count on their own effort to make the play work between their movement and all the horizontal stress it creates as well as the mentality they inculcate to always be running, fighting, and pushing.

Because wide zone blocking is so heavy on quickness and effort, it works without requiring elite athletes of unusual size along the offensive line.

Got a shorter lineman lacking elite length? No biggie. Don't have massive frames or deadlift champions? Doesn't matter, we don't have to whip them there, we just need to be able to run, shove and work in concert.

The tricks that make wide zone effective have to do with unit buy-in. You can't execute it as a unit at a high level unless you major in it, emphasizing the cohesion and tricks of the trade which allow it to be effective. This is why I don't believe in it long term. I just don't think you can find enough majors.
...quickness... "You can't teach speed."
Mr Tulip
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Aranda had a rare collection of defensive talent. After assessing the rest of the Big 12, it was clear that the best strategy would be to shorten the games. Limit possessions. Limit the amount of plays that defense had to defend.
Without any offensive superstars, a heavy run based game would be the way to do it. Never go backwards. Value a 3 yard run, since 4x3 = first down and do it again. Bleed the clock. Try to win with less than 30 points.
Reread the part about valuing 3 yards. That's where all the hullabaloo about "RVO" came in. Abram Smith played the wide-zone concepts, but was religious about sticking a foot in the ground and bulling forward when the options ran out. Likewise, the QB won't be called on to pinpoint pass. Passes happen when the defense is so focused on stopping the slow bleed that they leave a receiver WIDE open - like standing by himself open (usually against the grain). The ball can take its time getting there, and usually does. Rather, the QB himself needs to be capable of shoving the pile forward on a keeper.

Wide-zone run concepts usually integrate into a larger game plan. Running it almost exclusively was a brilliant band-aid. I say "band-aid" because it should be excruciatingly obvious that this only leads to wins in a very unique, ephemeral set of circumstances. Baylor was unlikely to replace that collection of defensive talent. The Big 12 was likely to grow its own offensive firepower.

Ideally, the time bought by running the wide-zone should have allowed the staff to develop a more robust, rounded offense capable of more. Instead, I'm seeing a collection of players ill suited to running this offense, but not trained in anything else. Since the defense is unlikely to press opponents to score less than 20 regularly, the need for the offense to make up the gap is obvious.
Guitarbiscuit
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Great. Educational. Good read.
chriscbear
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Good read. Just win.
Hotsauce
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Thank you for insight that doesn't start with "Grimes sux!!! Fire him!1!".
parch
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Mr Tulip said:

Instead, I'm seeing a collection of players ill suited to running this offense, but not trained in anything else.
I think this is a valuable point. The problem is that they are trained in something else, just not by us, and not something we use.

This is such a specific system that literally no high school program I'm aware of is particularly equipped to run (or does run), that no matter what you're having to retrain and force fit somewhere. Same goes for transfers. Nobody is coming off the portal having run this system. The beauty of the spread, no matter which variant you run, is that an overwhelming majority of your recruits will have schematic experience with it from high school.

Football coaches are copycats - they'll run what works. The thought after 2021 was that Grimes might be onto a bleeding edge tactically. That has not proven to be the case so far.

There's a reason systems persist for so long. Bucking trends is ridiculously hard. The spread had a lot of false starts in the 80's and 90's before it fully supplanted I-formation football and seeped into youth football groundwater nationwide. In 15 years we might say Grimes was ahead of the curve, but I think we're one of those early adopter false starts if so.
hodedofome
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What happens when you're both bad at offense and defense?
parch
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hodedofome said:

What happens when you're both bad at offense and defense?
On balance the defense has been statistically worse than the offense the last 14 games but worries me less in the long term. Aranda has an actual vision on that side of the ball, and though he doesn't call plays, over time (if he gets time) we will even out to be a top third defense in the Big 12 on average. Even in a "bad" year like last year we were still 4th in the league in team defense. Given that we're breaking in a first-time defensive playcaller (in Aranda's 4-2-5) and replacing essentially our entire secondary + Dillon Doyle, I expected some steps backward (though perhaps not this big). And the Utah game proved there is some reason for defensive optimism this year.

In other words, we may not always reach the expectation, but I do get a sense that there's a very real, tangible vision for what we should look like and how we should play defensively.

I don't think Aranda particularly knows what he's doing offensively, however. It feels like he's sort of winging it - you wonder if he realizes how much of a gamble Grimes' system was, or how difficult it would be to establish that as a long-term identity offensively. And if Grimes goes before Aranda I really have no faith that he has a preferred direction that's integrated with how we play defensively.
DanaDane
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Is the offensive line truly "undersized" as you keep saying, or are they just fat, slow and soft? When I compare the average height and weight of our starting O line against the rest of the Big 12, it's basically within about 1 inch and 5 lb average difference with most of the other schools.

Mateos and the S&C coaches have a lot of questions to answer. This group of offensive linemen is not powerful or physical, both which are traits necessary to run the wide zone effectively.
DanaDane
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This is the most mind boggling offensive stat of the year so far for me:

Richard Reese, pre-season all Big 12 back: 14 carries, 35 yards.

parch
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DanaDane said:

Is the offensive line truly "undersized" as you keep saying, or are they just fat, slow and soft? When I compare the average height and weight of our starting O line against the rest of the Big 12, it's basically within about 1 inch and 5 lb average difference with most of the other schools.

Mateos and the S&C coaches have a lot of questions to answer. This group of offensive linemen is not powerful or physical, both which are traits necessary to run the wide zone effectively.
"Undersized" can mean a couple things - primarily it's how the position is used and trained to. Mateos is a wide zone disciple as well, and while I don't have access to Baylor's S&C regimen for OL, I would imagine there is more lateral quickness and agility focus than most any other program. That obviously means that while your guy may be listed at 295 and theirs is 302, that 295 has been optimized for movement, chips and push blocking in space and not necessarily for knife fighting in the trenches.

The whole purpose is to stretch, stretch, stretch and then slam one of the gaps fast. You can't do that if your line is averaging 6-5, 320+. If you look at our depth chart, we're pretty faithfully around 300-305 for the majority of our guys - only a couple are even above 310. The Big 12 average is 312. Ours is probably 10 pounds lighter than that, which can make a huge difference when blocking margins are so thin.

The problem is that we're not even good at what we're supposed to be doing. We don't have the speed to stretch or the power to swing open gaps between tackles. Which is firmly on Mateos.
lockednloaded
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hodedofome said:

What happens when you're both bad at offense and defense?
That is called a "balanced game plan".
Aberzombie1892
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DanaDane said:

This is the most mind boggling offensive stat of the year so far for me:

Richard Reese, pre-season all Big 12 back: 14 carries, 35 yards.




It certainly would be if he was Baylor's leading rusher.
boognish_bear
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Thanks OP
Fre3dombear
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Every hand off seems to be a 1 step course correction right into the arms of a waiting defender.

Take handoff
Step left
Pivot right
Be TFL
Mr Tulip
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There's no saving being light in the pants for a lineman. Obviously, having base strength is important, but strength only occurs when that lineman is in contact with the ground. Once he's displaced, all the 700lbs power squatters become ragdolls. Mass is helpful.

After that, an OL's world is technique. How to move your feet through what's essentially a mobile road accident is a key skill, and must become so rote they can do it without considering it. As mentioned above, an OL is only strong when his feet are on the ground. As he lifts his feet and shifts his center of mass, he becomes unstable and subject to toppling. Only when his base is wide and stable, with his body mass centered over it, can he be truly powerful. That power should be directed through the hands to a powerful first explosion into the defender. By knowing where to place hands, the OL takes control of his opponent and directs them where he wants them. A slow OL who lets the defender get to him first usually loses the fight.

These are fundamental techniques (there are myriad others) that MUST be rote by the time the season starts. During the season, there's too much game planning to drill technique to the level required for execution.
DAC
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Mr Tulip said:

There's no saving being light in the pants for a lineman. Obviously, having base strength is important, but strength only occurs when that lineman is in contact with the ground. Once he's displaced, all the 700lbs power squatters become ragdolls. Mass is helpful.

After that, an OL's world is technique. How to move your feet through what's essentially a mobile road accident is a key skill, and must become so rote they can do it without considering it. As mentioned above, an OL is only strong when his feet are on the ground. As he lifts his feet and shifts his center of mass, he becomes unstable and subject to toppling. Only when his base is wide and stable, with his body mass centered over it, can he be truly powerful. That power should be directed through the hands to a powerful first explosion into the defender. By knowing where to place hands, the OL takes control of his opponent and directs them where he wants them. A slow OL who lets the defender get to him first usually loses the fight.

These are fundamental techniques (there are myriad others) that MUST be rote by the time the season starts. During the season, there's too much game planning to drill technique to the level required for execution.

That's all taught in jr high and earlier. We go over that with kids as early as YFL freshman and soph
boykin_spaniel
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Thanks for the post OP. Shanahan runs it very well with some creative wrinkles. We run it like my Tennessee Titans. Sloppy and inconsistent.

Xavier Newman Johnson is now a Titan and I think a great example of a wide zone blocker. Undersized at 6'2" barely 300. Moves well laterally with a good understanding of positioning. Strong pursuit with a willingness to pancake a defender. Wasn't drafted with scouts saying he struggled driving defenders off the ball, mediocre in pass pro, and is undersized.

Briles system was highly simplistic. Deep shots with track guys and inside zone with maulers like Cyril Richardson. Inside zone isn't run much in the NFL with superior d-lines. Accepting the fact we won't recruit like UGA ever we need a wrinkle. Appreciate Aranda trying to create one with wide zone, but as mentioned the linemen have to understand it to be capable of running it and your backs have got to be nasty one cutters. Smith was great and Reese flashed last year.

Agree with OP that no high schools are running this, at least at the moment. That means your o-line is starting from scratch. Pre portal days I'd maybe have more faith in coaching up guys over the years and by junior and senior years the recruits have it. But dudes move these days. Hard to impossible maintaining a cohesive unit to coach up over 3-5 years.
Wacoraisedbear
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One of the downsides to briles offense was literally none of his offensive players panned out in the NFL couldn't read playbook, could only run limited routes and etc
joseywales
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Hotsauce said:

Thank you for insight that doesn't start with "Grimes sux!!! Fire him!1!".
Well in a longer version he is saying the same thing and Aranda needs to listen.
Yogi
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Wacoraisedbear said:

One of the downsides to briles offense was literally none of his offensive players panned out in the NFL couldn't read playbook, could only run limited routes and etc


But damn it was good for our brand, though.
"Smarter than the Average Bear."
Robert Wilson
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Lots of good stuff on this thread.

One add: Briles was a creator. He was constantly adapting his offense, not only from season to season but throughout a season and within a given game. This was based on personnel strengths/weaknesses presented by both teams, adjustments, and just opportunities that he saw.

Grimes is just an OC. He's got a system. It can work with the right talent and development. It's year 4, and we don't have it. And he's not a maestro at turning chicken **** into chicken salad on the fly. So we're kinda screwed.
bear2be2
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Robert Wilson said:

Lots of good stuff on this thread.

One add: Briles was a creator. He was constantly adapting his offense, not only from season to season but throughout a season and within a given game. This was based on personnel strengths/weaknesses presented by both teams, adjustments, and just opportunities that he saw.

Grimes is just an OC. He's got a system. It can work with the right talent and development. It's year 4, and we don't have it. And he's not a maestro at turning chicken **** into chicken salad on the fly. So we're kinda screwed.
It's Year 4 for Aranda, but it's only Year 3 in this offense. If we can get Shapen back and keep him upright, I think this offense will look pretty good by the end of the year. His injury came at the worst possible time.

I think Sawyer will be OK in time, but we lose the entire middle of the field with him behind center. That means we lose arguably our two best receiving weapons in Dabney and Baldwin. Shapen opens that back up in a major way. If we can continue to make gains in the running game while Shapen's out, I think our offense will look completely different by Week 4 or 5 than it has looked these first two games.
jikespingleton
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Specific types of OL were recruited for our wide zone attack.

Transitioning to a different offense (whenever that happens) is going to be rough unless we have some portal magic with OL.
Karab
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Good thread. Bump
Russell Gym
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Well done, parch. I spent some time with a wide zone staff this summer, just trying to get a better understanding. You have written an excellent and accurate account of it.

Now that I've got a much better understanding of it, I still don't like it much. I favor power schemes and options. Double-teams, pullers, leaving a defender unblocked to option, rpo, stretch the field vertically, etc.

All offense is cyclical and defenses will catch up, so you have to constantly evolve. Wide zone seems very static to me.
bear2be2
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Russell Gym said:

Well done, parch. I spent some time with a wide zone staff this summer, just trying to get a better understanding. You have written an excellent and accurate account of it.

Now that I've got a much better understanding of it, I still don't like it much. I favor power schemes and options. Double-teams, pullers, leaving a defender unblocked to option, rpo, stretch the field vertically, etc.

All offense is cyclical and defenses will catch up, so you have to constantly evolve. Wide zone seems very static to me.
The wide zone, like any other scheme, looks great when it's well executed and bad when it's not. All schemes have benefits and limitations.

People need to be careful forming black and white opinions on limited samples with fluid personnel. Things said based on the groups we've watched the last two weeks could look really silly seven or eight weeks from now.

The truth is we need Blake Shapen back or Robertson to improve rapidly. The running game will improve over time as our O-line gains more experience and becomes a more cohesive unit. But to achieve our full offensive potential, we're going to need to get far more out of our passing game than we were able to unlock last week -- and a big part of that will be opening up the middle of the field again.

We also need the defense to look more like it did against Utah than Texas State going forward. Without a solid defense, which MUST be a staple of all Dave Aranda-coached teams, it doesn't really matter what we do offensively.
Robert Wilson
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bear2be2 said:

Robert Wilson said:

Lots of good stuff on this thread.

One add: Briles was a creator. He was constantly adapting his offense, not only from season to season but throughout a season and within a given game. This was based on personnel strengths/weaknesses presented by both teams, adjustments, and just opportunities that he saw.

Grimes is just an OC. He's got a system. It can work with the right talent and development. It's year 4, and we don't have it. And he's not a maestro at turning chicken **** into chicken salad on the fly. So we're kinda screwed.
It's Year 4 for Aranda, but it's only Year 3 in this offense. If we can get Shapen back and keep him upright, I think this offense will look pretty good by the end of the year. His injury came at the worst possible time.

I think Sawyer will be OK in time, but we lose the entire middle of the field with him behind center. That means we lose arguably our two best receiving weapons in Dabney and Baldwin. Shapen opens that back up in a major way. If we can continue to make gains in the running game while Shapen's out, I think our offense will look completely different by Week 4 or 5 than it has looked these first two games.
Yeah, I agree it can/should improve and look a lot better.

But we still sit here in year 4 without the OL we should have, with a mediocre stable of backs (you'd think Abram Smith's year would've been worth more in recruiting or in the portal), a mediocre (that may be generous) WR corps, and a mediocre QB room.

Grimes has not shown the chops to go win with inferior talent. To be fair, almost no one can do that.

We will improve some. I think we'll sneak up on some people in conference play. But our ceiling does not appear to be very high with this scheme and this roster.
bear2be2
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Robert Wilson said:

bear2be2 said:

Robert Wilson said:

Lots of good stuff on this thread.

One add: Briles was a creator. He was constantly adapting his offense, not only from season to season but throughout a season and within a given game. This was based on personnel strengths/weaknesses presented by both teams, adjustments, and just opportunities that he saw.

Grimes is just an OC. He's got a system. It can work with the right talent and development. It's year 4, and we don't have it. And he's not a maestro at turning chicken **** into chicken salad on the fly. So we're kinda screwed.
It's Year 4 for Aranda, but it's only Year 3 in this offense. If we can get Shapen back and keep him upright, I think this offense will look pretty good by the end of the year. His injury came at the worst possible time.

I think Sawyer will be OK in time, but we lose the entire middle of the field with him behind center. That means we lose arguably our two best receiving weapons in Dabney and Baldwin. Shapen opens that back up in a major way. If we can continue to make gains in the running game while Shapen's out, I think our offense will look completely different by Week 4 or 5 than it has looked these first two games.
Yeah, I agree it can/should improve and look a lot better.

But we still sit here in year 4 without the OL we should have, with a mediocre stable of backs (you'd think Abram Smith's year would've been worth more in recruiting or in the portal), a mediocre (that may be generous) WR corps, and a mediocre QB room.

Grimes has not shown the chops to go win with inferior talent. To be fair, almost no one can do that.

We will improve some. I think we'll sneak up on some people in conference play. But our ceiling does not appear to be very high with this scheme and this roster.
We had a really solid OL the last two years. Unfortunately, the nucleus from that group graduated, leaving us with a relatively young unit that had never really played together before this season. That's college football. It was always going to take this OL some time to jell.

The first game against Texas State was unacceptable and they continue to have problems with false starts/the snap count, but from a blocking standpoint, they showed pretty significant improvement from Week 1 to Week 2. I think Mateos has earned some benefit of the doubt. If the OL is still struggling by midseason, I'll be more concerned about that position group.

I also like what I've seen from the receiving corps this year. We have the best set of outside receivers we've had in several years and we'll have a couple of really good inside weapons to utilize once Shapen returns.

And I think Shapen showed a lot in the opener. We'll see what he looks like when he gets back, but I'm holding out some hope that he can have a strong season if he can stay healthy.
Robert Wilson
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I think Shapen will be very good if we'll get the weapons he needs around him.

When you have a lot of false starts, that's an indication your O linemen are overwhelmed. They're trying to get a jump on the play because they're having trouble getting to their spots and/or just having trouble handling whoever is across from them.
bear2be2
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Robert Wilson said:

I think Shapen will be very good if we'll get the weapons he needs around him.

When you have a lot of false starts, that's an indication your O linemen are overwhelmed. They're trying to get a jump on the play because they're having trouble getting to their spots and/or just having trouble handling whoever is across from them.
I think a lot of current offensive line problems are a product of a lack of experience and cohesion. I think we'll see a lot of those issues fix themselves as the season wears on.

If we can continue to improve up front and get the run game situated, I think the offense will look good when Shapen returns -- assuming we can keep him healthy, of course. I really like this receiving corps. And Shapen has the skills to make all of those guys look better than they will playing with the more limited Robertson.
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