bear2be2 said:Aberzombie1892 said:bear2be2 said:Aberzombie1892 said:bear2be2 said:FLBear5630 said:bear2be2 said:CaliBear00 said:notned said:
Calibear00-
Look at the Tech season results for the 10 years preceding Joey's hiring. I think it will bring his record in his first three years into perspective.
Contrary to an earlier comment made, he did not inherit a talent-laden team nor a culture that knew how to win.
I don't know what else to tell you. He's been so mid for five years, only to see an exponential improvement in results once a billionaire started buying players.
Please stop digging for things that aren't there.
For five years? This is Joey McGuire's fourth year as Tech's head coach.
This is typical SicEm behavior.
So, it totally makes the point null and void because it was 3 years of mediocrity and not 5? The guy's point remains, Maguire was mediocre until Tech paid 7 Million for a defense. That is the point, not whether it is 4 or 5 years, it is a message board. Not a courtroom.
It absolutely does. Because five years is a much larger and meaningful sample where coaching football is concerned.
Cali's entire case is that Joey McGuire had established himself as a mediocre head coach -- something that can't even be done in three year's time, particularly when taking over a program that had largely sucked before you arrived.
As has been documented elsewhere, Texas Tech was literally loaded with super seniors for his first 2 seasons - both in abstract and relative to the Big 12 teams on Tech's schedule - and that is indisputable fact. Going a step further, the mainstream sports media projected that 2023 Tech - in McGuire's year 2 - was going to do great things (i.e. top 25 preseason FPI*, top 25 preseason coaches poll**, etc.***), however, it sputtered the same way that it did during his year 1 and year 3 (5+ losses per season). McGuire's 2025 season has been objectively special, but the fact that it was achieved by significantly outspending the other teams in this Big 12 dims the glow of such success given that that Tech team could autopilot to 8-9+ wins with its schedule.
At the end of the day, as long as everyone is agreed that:
1. Texas Tech was loaded with super seniors in McGuire's first two seasons,
2. Texas Tech missed its national preseason expectations in 2023,
3. Texas Tech lost at least 5 games per season in McGuire's first three seasons, and
4. Texas Tech only won the Big 12 in his fourth season because Tech significantly outspent the rest of the teams on its regular season schedule plus conference title game on NIL
then no one is really disagreeing here because we are agreed on what is objectively true.
* College football rankings: ESPN updates 2023 preseason FPI Top 25 for kickoff
** College football rankings: 2023 preseason Coaches Poll released
***Texas Tech football: Preseason expectations have rarely been this high
As long as we agree that Nick Saban, who had a worse winning percentage after five years as a head coach (.586) than Joey did after three (.605), was a mediocre coach before he gained access to top level Big Ten and SEC talent at Michigan State, LSU and Alabama, no one is disagreeing with what is objectively true.
Does no one else see how ridiculous this is?
Talent makes all coaches' records better. That doesn't mean guys were bad or mediocre coaches before they got access to elite talent. And it certainly doesn't mean that the die on a coaches' career is cast in the first three years of his head coaching career.
What does Saban have to do with anything being discussed here? That's not even an apples to apples comparison.
It is absolutely an apples to apples comparison. The man who is universally accepted as the greatest coach in college football history posted records a lot like Joey McGuire's until he got access to elite talent. That's how college football coaching works.
And no one says the same things being said about Joey McGuire about Nick Saban ... or Kirby Smart ... or Dan Lanning ... or any number of other "elite" coaches who have led championship seasons at programs that have always had access to the talent that McGuire now has at his disposal at Tech. It's an obvious double standard.
The concern is understandable, but it reads as though different groups are saying different things.
The topic of the discussion regarding Tech is that there was a clear and consistent baseline at Tech with McGuire as HC (5+ losses) with a dramatic change once a significant amount of money was introduced. Further, the difference in the case of Tech vs. programs like Oregon or Alabama is that (a) McGuire is still HC at the same Tech program that is playing largely the same teams before and after the NIL change so that the impact of the resources is far more apparent than it would be elsewhere and (b) Oregon and Alabama performed at a high level both pre and post NIL. In regard to the latter, Oregon and Alabama certainly benefited from NIL in various ways, but they didn't transform from 5 loss teams to what they are now because of it.