I'll start:

Final Four
Alabama, Marquette, Texas, UConn

Championship Game
Alabama vs Texas

National Champ
Alabama

Alabama, Marquette, Kansas, Texas

Alabama v. Kansas

Kansas

Arizona, Duke, Houston, ucla

Arizona, Houston

Houston

Houston (or Texas), UCLA, Bama, Purdue
Houston, Bama
Houston

Duke is a team I think can get to the F4. TCU is gonna make some noise I think E8 is real possible for them. A potential arky or Illinois 2nd Ed matchup for KU could get dicey. UConn is capable of a f4 run as well

I'm just guessing. I don't really know. I don't think anyone has any idea because it is so wide open & there is so much parity. I have seen more play from some teams than others (especially Bama & Gonzaga) which partly accounts for my choices.

I already created a bracket with Baylor winning it all even though I know it's not happening.

Baylor. Marquette, Texas, Kansas

Marquette, Texas

Texas NC

• Alabama
• Marquette
• Houston
• Kansas

• Marquette over Alabama
• Houston over Kansas

• Houston beats Marquette for the title, 84-76

Bears make the Sweet 16 where Arizona knocks us out.

Texas makes the Sweet 16 but loses to Houston.
TCU also makes the Sweet 16, then loses to UCLA.
Kansas State makes the Sweet 16, then loses to Marquette.

That means five current Big 12 schools play in the Sweet 16, plus future member Houston.
(Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas, TCU, and then Houston)

ABC BEAR said:

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Baylor. Marquette, Texas, Kansas

Marquette, Texas

Texas NC

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Even if I believed it I wouldn't say it without gagging

historian said:

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I already created a bracket with Baylor winning it all even though I know it's not happening.

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How do you know it's not happening? 2 weeks ago Baylor beat Texas…We also beat Kansas…We also beat Gonzaga…We also beat UCLA…Oklahoma SPANKED Alabama… There are no favorites this year…Our chances are as good as anybody's.

Then I will rephrase: I have little to no confidence that it will happen. If our defense is like the 2nd half in Lawrence, or at least half a dozen other games, then we will be lucky to get to the second weekend. We also need to rebound better, make more shots (not missing easy ones), win the turnover battle, and so on.

What I've seen of Alabama & Texas lately is much better than what I've seen from Baylor, despite our win over the latter. I sincerely hope I'm wrong but I've watched this team lose to Iowa State 3 times (once in person), blow a nice lead over Kansas, barely hold onto a lead over OSU, & get swept by K State. As good as those teams are, we should have won at least half the games we lost. A national championship caliber team would have a better record.

historian said:

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Then I will rephrase: I have little to no confidence that it will happen. If our defense is like the 2nd half in Lawrence, or at least half a dozen other games, then we will be lucky to get to the second weekend. We also need to rebound better, make more shots (not missing easy ones), win the turnover battle, and so on.

What I've seen of Alabama & Texas lately is much better than what I've seen from Baylor, despite our win over the latter. I sincerely hope I'm wrong but I've watched this team lose to Iowa State 3 times (once in person), blow a nice lead over Kansas, barely hold onto a lead over OSU, & get swept by K State. As good as those teams are, we should have won at least half the games we lost. A national championship caliber team would have a better record.

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Hard to see us going farther than the sweet 16 and that, of course, is no given. Wish I felt differently and I am hoping our guys make me eat crow by going farther, but I don't see it - and that's how I've got it in my bracket.

Making bracket picks is of course always at best an educated crap shoot, but this year it feels even more like a bunch of shots in the dark.

BUCANDOIT82 said:

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historian said:

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I already created a bracket with Baylor winning it all even though I know it's not happening.

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How do you know it's not happening? 2 weeks ago Baylor beat Texas…We also beat Kansas…We also beat Gonzaga…We also beat UCLA…Oklahoma SPANKED Alabama… There are no favorites this year…Our chances are as good as anybody's.

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I agree but our margin for error is thin. We have no reliable ability to score inside the three point line and we are bad defensively. If we go in a 50% shooting rampage from 3pt line we can beat anybody. But it's unlikely against teams determined and capable of stopping that. Bad formula for long NCAA run. That being said I think we beat Texas if we were in their bracket.

I picked UCLA. Don't know why.

Baylor
Houston
Gonzaga
Marquette

Baylor - Houston

Baylor

Current odds to win it all

(For those unfamiliar with odds listed like this these odds show what your profit would be on a $100 bet)

Not sure how I got these as my final four but:
Arizona
Duke
Texas
UCLA

with Arizona winning the national title

I have made two brackets. One with Baylor beating Gonzaga. With Tennessee and A&M rounding out the final four.

The other bracket is Bama beating Texas. Kansas and Purdue being the other final four teams. I may be considering a Creighton elite 8 run in this bracket which is giving me fits…they have great wings and a stout big

I recently wrote on the flip side of this: preseason top ranked teams that slide down the seed line. They’ve done well, like at the expense of these teams @HoopsInsight https://t.co/EKdclp5WGV

— Trent McBride (@Trent_mcbride) March 14, 2023

JP1037 said:

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BUCANDOIT82 said:

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historian said:

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I already created a bracket with Baylor winning it all even though I know it's not happening.

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How do you know it's not happening? 2 weeks ago Baylor beat Texas…We also beat Kansas…We also beat Gonzaga…We also beat UCLA…Oklahoma SPANKED Alabama… There are no favorites this year…Our chances are as good as anybody's.

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I agree but our margin for error is thin. We have no reliable ability to score inside the three point line and we are bad defensively. If we go in a 50% shooting rampage from 3pt line we can beat anybody. But it's unlikely against teams determined and capable of stopping that. Bad formula for long NCAA run. That being said I think we beat Texas if we were in their bracket.

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We are in the Alabama bracket.

Take care of it. Highest correlated stat since 2008 for Champs: Turnover %

Avg 51st. The worst in the stretch ‘14 UCONN ranking 103rd.

Turnover % rank for top seeds:
Bama 241
Houston 27
Purdue 89
KU 127
Zona 203
Texas 65
UCLA 26
Marq 23
Zags 11
Baylor 170
KSU 299
Xavier 129

— Adam Kirk (@DGBetting_) March 15, 2023

Final Four -- Alabama vs. Marquette; Texas (puke) vs. Kansas

Championship game -- Marquette vs. Kansas

Champion -- Kansas

Houston the current betting fav at +450.

But, will they defend without fouling?

Since 2008 the average national rank for champion’s “defensive FT rate per FG attempt” is 62nd.

No champ has been worse than 167th - 2021 Baylor.

Houston enters wayyy down the rankings at 286th.

— Adam Kirk (@DGBetting_) March 15, 2023

Alabama, Duke, Texas, Kansas

Alabama over Texas in the NC.

4 consecutive years a Big 12 team in the NC game with 4 separate teams.

Obama high on Baylor.

It’s the best time of year! My #MarchMadness brackets will get busted soon enough, but here are my picks.

Who do you have winning it all? pic.twitter.com/H3MdBkJCmY

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) March 15, 2023

I like this MBB bracket! But if we make it that far, we will have lots of momentum & I think a real chance to beat Duke.

Unfortunately these brackets rarely align with reality.

Either I'm done the first weekend or I'm gonna be ahead of a lot of people because after this weekend I think there are gonna be a lot of disappointed people who had Texas going a long way.

Stefano DiMera said:

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Obama high on Baylor.

It’s the best time of year! My #MarchMadness brackets will get busted soon enough, but here are my picks.

Who do you have winning it all? pic.twitter.com/H3MdBkJCmY

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) March 15, 2023

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Id be beside myself if we got to play duke in the f4. Just dont want to lose to em

drinking the kool-aid;

Baylor, K State, Texas, Kansas

Baylor v Kansas

Baylor.

I feel that Alabama and Houston will probably make it. Iowa State and Marquette could be dark horses. I'll never count out Purdue or the Zags, but don't feel like its their year this year.

Every game a dog fight.

DanaDane said:

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Either I'm done the first weekend or I'm gonna be ahead of a lot of people because after this weekend I think there are gonna be a lot of disappointed people who had Texas going a long way.

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Conversely, Texas could win it all. Down the stretch, they have looked better than anyone else in the conference. I hate to say it, but it's true.

Pretty sure NCAA is going to find a way to get Bama out of the tournament. The last thing they need is a national champion that has multiple players convicted around a murder.