Kansas has now lost 10 or more games in back-to-back seasons for the first time ever under Bill Self. https://t.co/wqgsOVhXHo

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 1, 2025

Rodney Terry may be coaching for his job .

Getting murdered at home by Georgia in a must win game.

Vandy upsets #14 Mizzou so the Dores solidified their spot in front of us.

Vandy was in front of BU regardless. They have a good resume.

IowaBear said:

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Vandy was in front of BU regardless. They have a good resume.

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No, not really. At least by the way the committee evaluates. We are ahead of them in almost every metric the committee uses: Higher KenPom, Higher NET, More Quad 1 wins, Higher Torvik, Better BPI, Better SOS.
They have more wins against ranked opponents, but all of those were in SEC competition. Out of conference consisted of weak opponents with biggest win being TCU, who of course beat us. In the eyes of the committee we are both right there around each other.

Now, if we were scheduled to play Vandy and I was gambling, the eye test right now would definitely tell me to take Vandy.

Vandy absolutely should be seeded higher when all is said in done. They may not have any good non con wins but we only have 1… and their conference wins trump BUs handily. Would be an absolute travesty if that team was seeded lower than BU. The St Johns win is really the only win of any significance. KU I suppose but that win is less impressive by the day

Vandy very well could end up higher. The metrics are part of the evaluation, then the judgmental piece comes in. There's no way for the committee to argue the metrics part. It's statistically validated data. We are ahead of Vandy, whether or not you or I or anyone else visually sees something different. But, then again, that's why there's a judgmental piece of the discussion and it also ultimately comes into play. And that is where the items you pointed out will likely come into play.

The process is quite fascinating. They have several very long videos on this (I know Seth Davis posted his experience) where they walk through exactly how the committee performs the selections and then the seeding.

I heard many years ago that one of the main criteria for bubble teams and the mid majors to get in is have you proven you can win a game or games in the tournament.

Playing in a power conference obviously gives you an advantage in opportunities.

The interesting point of reference for this year to keep an eye on is WAB. It was announced before the season it would be one of the primary components in the selection of at large teams. It's the stat that we should be most concerned with right now.

For anyone reading who doesn't know what WAB is, it is simply Wins Above Bubble which estimates how a bubble team of the past X number of years would have faired against similar schedule of the other team being evaluated. While we are very good in almost all other metrics, this is one that we are unfortunately not doing as well as we need to be. We are currently #42.

Baylor has the dubious distinction of having played the TOUGHEST gauntlet of opposing defenses in the country, per KenPom. 98.4 average opponent AdjDE is wild.

The Bears have played the fourth-toughest schedule overall, behind Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky. #SicEm pic.twitter.com/l53TQ5hitZ

— Jackson Posey, basketball school attender ✞ (@ByJacksonPosey) March 2, 2025

Stefano DiMera said:

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Rodney Terry may be coaching for his job .

Getting murdered at home by Georgia in a must win game.

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Terry pulled a fast one on the Horns a couple of years ago. He should have been fired last year.

I'm hoping we sneak in on our "body of work."

Reminder

One of our wins 'doesnt count' since it was over Arlington Baptist.

So we're 16-12 in eyes of committee.

Oklahoma is 4-12 in their conference and has the 317th ranked noncon SOS.

They’ve won four games in 2025.

Them being in ahead of Xavier is absolute joke. Winning games should matter. https://t.co/H1pDio7341

— Chris Thedinga (@CThedinga) March 2, 2025

🔮 NEW BRACKET PREDICTION 🔮@TheAndyKatz provides us his latest bracket 👀 pic.twitter.com/SSmd6XtCQN

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) March 4, 2025

What's going on over at ESPN trying to pump up FOURTEEN SEC teams into the tourney with this projection.

Oklahoma is 4-12 in the SEC and only 1-7 in true road games all year! 53rd in NET an has a non-con SOS of 319th

Sure the SEC is a great league this year, but OU's… https://t.co/7GY2eLHHJ0

— Jeff Fuller (@jjfuller72) March 4, 2025

You do not want to face BYU in the tournament.. double OT win in Ames...

But.. they had 29 turnovers.. most ever in a win against ranked team

Bid Stealers in 2024:

UAB (AAC)
NC State (ACC)
Duquesne (Atlantic 10)
New Mexico (Mountain West)
Oregon (Pac-12)

Just another reason to drink if you’re on the bubble.

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 5, 2025

BYU came in to the dance last year playing incredible and promptly got eliminated by Duquesne. Same with OSU during Baylor's title run in 21. Came in scorching hot only to get eliminated by Oral Roberts. The big dance for whatever reason is some sort of complete re set. BYU could definitely make some noise. Also wouldn't be shocked to see them eliminated Rd 1 again with the right matchup

BYU climbs up only 2 spots in KenPom after gritty road win over #10 Iowa St

From #25 to #23

Guess those computers saw all the turnovers too… pic.twitter.com/14Mn3J6wLt

— Jeff Fuller (@jjfuller72) March 5, 2025

boognish_bear said:

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BYU climbs up only 2 spots in KenPom after gritty road win over #10 Iowa St

From #25 to #23

Guess those computers saw all the turnovers too… pic.twitter.com/14Mn3J6wLt

— Jeff Fuller (@jjfuller72) March 5, 2025

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FWIW Aggy didn't move at all after beating Auburn to a bloody pulp.

The smartest man in basketball is saying out loud what I have been thinking for the past 3 months...thank you @kenpomeroy pic.twitter.com/mNQ9QrKPKm

— Danny Kanell (@dannykanell) March 5, 2025

They looked impressive beating Bama on the road tonight. So many lob dunks.

Florida is now in position to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Gators have road wins at both Alabama and Auburn.

That's a potential separator on Selection Sunday. https://t.co/d5InHTxO0X

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 6, 2025

Cincinnati falls at home to Kansas State.

Bearcats will have to win the Big 12 Tournament to make the NCAA Tournament.

Haven't been to March Madness since 2019, which was Mick Cronin's last year before taking the UCLA job. https://t.co/vGHftEjex0

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 6, 2025

Todd Golden should also be in jail for being a sexual predator.

Congrats on getting a 1 seed, you get to face either:

-Illinois
-#7 team on Torvik since Jan 21
-Top 10 KenPom team
-2-time defending champs https://t.co/kDOOqBUt4l

— Brian Rauf (@brauf33) March 5, 2025

Ole Miss has now beaten two teams ranked in the top five of the AP Top 25 for the first time in the same season.

A dramatic scene in Oxford as the Rebels knock off Ole Miss.

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 6, 2025

Ummm that tweat needs to be edited

pic.twitter.com/UZvaWlIOMs

— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) March 6, 2025

....

FWIW... he has us one spot away from a nine seed

pic.twitter.com/YoDb5YWqjm

— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) March 7, 2025

Last night’s cold open to The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon, Rick Pitino and St. John’s: pic.twitter.com/SpzG16PTFr

— John Fanta (@John_Fanta) March 7, 2025

Look at some Bubble Teams Conference Records

Oklahoma: 5-12
Texas: 6-11
Nebraska: 7-12
Arkansas: 7-10

Xavier: 12-7

We do not need a 12th SEC team over Xavier

— Ryan Cassidy (@ryancassidycbb) March 6, 2025

boognish_bear said:

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FWIW... he has us one spot away from a nine seed

pic.twitter.com/YoDb5YWqjm

— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) March 7, 2025

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I'd rather have the 10 than the 9.

If you can get by the 7 seed, you'll likely get the 2 seed in the 2nd round, instead of the 1 if you win in the first round as a 9.

This year, I think there's a big drop off between the 1 and 2 seeds.

100-agree with this.

i would slightly disagree, i think the bigger drop off is from 2-3. if we can beat houston and win a game or 2, we could pull an 8