Re: the Iowa State question:
I'm throwing out the loss a month ago. A healthy and sharp Iowa State team playing a Baylor team which had not practiced in two weeks, and missing 2 rotation players? Covid anomaly.
Regarding the general rivalry and last year's game in Ames:
a) It's not a surprise that Iowa State can score against us, because they usually have 4 or 5 skilled 3 point shooters on the floor. This means we almost always have a post player out of her comfort zone, guarding someone like Kristin Scott or Ashley Joens or Bridget Carleton on the perimeter. They exploit the matchups. In the 2019 game in Waco, we started the game with 6'4" Lauren Cox covering 6'1" Bridget Carleton. Carleton was too quick and crafty and had too much range for Lauren. She was scoring at will on 3 pointers and drives through an empty lane, until we called timeout to switch Didi onto Carleton.
b) Conversely, our advantage is their lack of size, which means we should be able to pound the ball in the low post all night long. in 2018 and 2019, with Kalani and Lauren, we exploited our size and power, scoring 89, 79, 84, and 73.
c) Last year's game in Ames was a perfect storm of problems for us.
d) Iowa State ran a triangle and 2 defense, which meant they went zone with 3 players in the lane and played Man to Man on Juicy and Tea on the perimeter. Our response was to use Tea and Juicy as decoys to clear space, and turn it into a 3 on 3 game. On the day, Tea and Juicy each attempted only 3 shots, and a couple of those were fast breaks; their lack of scoring wasn't their fault, it was the fault of our offensive scheme. The problem was that our interior players didn't shoot well and take advantage of the 3 on 3 matchup; we only scored 56 on the day. Lauren was 5-15, Nalyssa was 3-8, and they should both have much higher shooting % in a 3 on 3 matchup against undersized players.
e) That game also had a lot of unusual moments. It was an electric Hilton Coliseum, with #2 team coming to town on Iowa State's Senior Day. Iowa State played with tremendous hustle and grit, with 35 rebounds to our 39. They forced us into 12 tournovers. They had a couple of miracle 3 pointers at the end of shot clocks, one by post Inez Nezerwa which was the only of her career. They shot 41% from 3 point range, so their shots were falling. A couple of controversial officiating calls, most critically a 4th quarter call that Didi gained possession as she tipped a ball out of bounds, thus refreshing their shot clock. It was just one of those days when everything aligned for them.