Redbrickbear said:
whiterock said:
Sam Lowry said:
whiterock said:
Sam Lowry said:
whiterock said:
Sam L said:
The subparts do not have the right to separate from the whole. %A0There are very few cases with Nations, if any. %A0I am talking Nations, not colonies, where an area annexed to another Nation. Maybe independence? %A0Unfortunately, for Donbas and Crimea they are part of Ukraine as recognized in the 1992 sovereignty agreement. There is not a lot of precedent for splitting, look at Iraq. If ever there was a Nation put together wrong, it was Iraq. %A0Yet, don't see the Kurds being able to leave. If any group has a case for leaving, it is the Kurds. %A0Name one that was not done through the UN, because this one doesn't have the UN's blessing.
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How about Ukraine? They didn't ask the UN's permission when they seceded from the USSR.
The Russians agreed to the boundaries for all the former Soviet Republics. %A0They set the borders! %A0That was agreed upon for all involved. %A040 years later you can't say we don't like what we did in the past. %A0
Ukraine seceded before the USSR was dissolved. But you're right, it was all agreed to at some point or another. There's no reason they couldn't do the same with Crimea or the Donbas.
warning: post above contains inconvenient facts reflexively ignored by critics of US policy toward Russo/Ukraine War
I mean there's no reason Ukraine couldn't let go of Crimea and the Donbas.
Except for the minor detail that there is no legal or moral reason why any country should have to surrender the most strategically important and mineral rich parts of their own country just to maintain peace with an avaricious neighbor.
Except for the reason that supporting Ukraine to expel the Russians has a number of important foreign policy benefits for the USA.
for starters....
There's no legal or moral reason why we should intentionally prolong the war.
correct. we should accelerate our aid to ensure victory, not hold it back to manage a stalemate to our advantage. That is not to say defeat is preferable to a stalemate managed to our advantage......
1. What constitutes aid? Is that even more tanks? Modern fighter jets, with the technical staff to keep them operating? Actual American soldiers on the ground fighting?
2. Without American (or NATO) soldiers fighting what makes you think Ukraine can win not matter how much aid is given? At some point the manpower difference has to be taken into account.
1) yes. I would have given the Migs immediately. Ukraine already had them in inventory. Immediately useful. Nato needed to get rid of them. Ultimate win/win. I would have had Ukrainians training in F-16s last summer, ready to deploy early this year. No way they are escalatory. They are a close-air defense weapon, a better one than the Migs, but in the same class. Tanks should have been ready to go back in December. But weather never really froze enough for winter armored warfare, so we were spared a bit of damage from the delay. Will have to wait for the ground to dry out, by which time the Leopards will be ready. The Ahbrams are show pieces, needed to get Germany to part with the leopards. We should be using soft power to organize more Leopards. They're a better fit for the requirement.
No, no Americans on the ground fighting.
Yes, contractors as needed for training on maintenance, etc...
You can conflate the arms/ammo support with deployed US combat soldiers all you want, but they are two entirely different things, and the former in no way obligates or otherwise impels us to get directly involved.
2) Because the Russian army is a spent force. They do not have the equipment and logistics to continue offensive operations except for what we are seeing in Bakhmut, which is pitiful. A rested and rearmed Ukrainian division or two with a tank brigade or two will slice thru to the Sea of Azov fairly easily. That will force Russia to withdraw their Kherson front to Crimea. At that point, we are aaaalmost back to where the 2022 war started and the siege of Crimea begins. Possible encirclement of substantial Russian troops.
Yes, Ukraine can win. Should win. As long as we provide them to the means to do so. Russia is in a terrible position, overextended lines, inadequate supplies, poor morale.....and their casualty rate is by some estimates as high as 6-7x that of the Ukrainians.
If you can't see that, you need different sources of information.