DON Jr: It's almost like the pipebombs were the backup plan if they didn't get what they wanted out of January 6, which to me seems like a very clear setup operation

KASH PATEL: You're absolutely right pic.twitter.com/vzRFRTduWM

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 4, 2025

This is what happens when you prioritize bad foreign policy, call the Epstein list a hoax, and tell Americans struggling in a bad economy that it's the greatest economy ever. Until this changes, Democrat's odds will just increase. https://t.co/jkVzcl4zAd

— Owen Shroyer (@OwenShroyer1776) December 5, 2025

boognish_bear said:

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I know it's CNN...but are these numbers right?

Here’s CNN graphic on presidential pardons:

W Bush: 189
Obama: 212
Trump: 144
Biden: 80
Trump 2: 1500+
pic.twitter.com/cSmVR1shc0

— Lucas Sanders 💙🗳️🌊💪🌈🚺🟧 (@LucasSa56947288) December 3, 2025

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the capital rioters definitely inflate the number but it isnt close to the record of most pardons by a president

boognish_bear said:

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DON Jr: It's almost like the pipebombs were the backup plan if they didn't get what they wanted out of January 6, which to me seems like a very clear setup operation

KASH PATEL: You're absolutely right pic.twitter.com/vzRFRTduWM

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 4, 2025

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Why did Wray not want us to find this guy?

If what I've heard is correct, there was no new evidence or breakthrough or tip; just a re-evaluation of what was already collected.

It's either incompetence, misplaced priorities, or corruption. Maybe all 3.

boognish_bear said:

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This is what happens when you prioritize bad foreign policy, call the Epstein list a hoax, and tell Americans struggling in a bad economy that it's the greatest economy ever. Until this changes, Democrat's odds will just increase. https://t.co/jkVzcl4zAd

— Owen Shroyer (@OwenShroyer1776) December 5, 2025

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Someone has a very fertile imagination.

canoso said:

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boognish_bear said:

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This is what happens when you prioritize bad foreign policy, call the Epstein list a hoax, and tell Americans struggling in a bad economy that it's the greatest economy ever. Until this changes, Democrat's odds will just increase. https://t.co/jkVzcl4zAd

— Owen Shroyer (@OwenShroyer1776) December 5, 2025

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Someone has a very fertile imagination.

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"Polymarket" - isnt that where people buy votes, much like Democrats do in real life?

Assassin said:

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canoso said:

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boognish_bear said:

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This is what happens when you prioritize bad foreign policy, call the Epstein list a hoax, and tell Americans struggling in a bad economy that it's the greatest economy ever. Until this changes, Democrat's odds will just increase. https://t.co/jkVzcl4zAd

— Owen Shroyer (@OwenShroyer1776) December 5, 2025

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Someone has a very fertile imagination.

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"Polymarket" - isnt that where people buy votes, much like Democrats do in real life?

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Polymarket is around 90% accurate within 30 days of an event so make fun of it all you want but choosing to not pay attention to them is folly.

The closer the time horizon the more accurate they are.

nein51 said:

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Assassin said:

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canoso said:

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boognish_bear said:

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This is what happens when you prioritize bad foreign policy, call the Epstein list a hoax, and tell Americans struggling in a bad economy that it's the greatest economy ever. Until this changes, Democrat's odds will just increase. https://t.co/jkVzcl4zAd

— Owen Shroyer (@OwenShroyer1776) December 5, 2025

---

Someone has a very fertile imagination.

---

"Polymarket" - isnt that where people buy votes, much like Democrats do in real life?

---

Polymarket is around 90% accurate within 30 days of an event so make fun of it all you want but choosing to not pay attention to them is folly.

The closer the time horizon the more accurate they are.

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Not making fun of it, but absolutely dismissing it as at least skewed, if not totally made up for financial purposes.

Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

Betting markets are more reliable than polls. People put their money where their mouth is

How about just no foreign aid while we are $37 trillion in debt? https://t.co/u2cQR5A2wk

— Matt Gaetz (@mattgaetz) December 5, 2025

boognish_bear said:

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How about just no foreign aid while we are $37 trillion in debt? https://t.co/u2cQR5A2wk

— Matt Gaetz (@mattgaetz) December 5, 2025

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Gaetz has it right. It seems sending taxpayer money for "foreign aid" in any capacity seems to one of the favored money laundering vehicles used by US politicians and political groups. No more.

Smiley just said job cuts (i.e. layoffs) are good because people are free!!

FOX: Year to date job cuts are up 54%. That seems like a troubling number. What's your take?

HASSETT: The flow of jobs in and out is a little higher, there's a little more turnover. A lot of times that can happen because people feel like they're actually able to get another job… pic.twitter.com/ukMbOtTl3w

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 4, 2025

PEACE.

Assassin said:

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Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

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Yes I'm familiar with the AI overview of Polymarket.

Let's just say they are only 80% accurate and not get pedantic. That's still a massive red flag.

And, im sorry, but I've voted (R) my entire life. If you don't think there are some massive problems right now you have your head in the sand.

The economy is not better, he's not following through on campaign promises enough for the MAGA crowd and what he is following through with is wildly unpopular with the left, he still uses social media like a 13 year old girl…the Republican Party is going to be SO much better off when he is gone.

BigGameBaylorBear said:

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Betting markets are more reliable than polls. People put their money where their mouth is

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Not what I learned while playing the NFL...

nein51 said:

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Assassin said:

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Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

---

Yes I'm familiar with the AI overview of Polymarket.

Let's just say they are only 80% accurate and not get pedantic. That's still a massive red flag.

And, im sorry, but I've voted (R) my entire life. If you don't think there are some massive problems right now you have your head in the sand.

The economy is not better, he's not following through on campaign promises enough for the MAGA crowd and what he is following through with is wildly unpopular with the left, he still uses social media like a 13 year old girl…the Republican Party is going to be SO much better off when he is gone.

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And what would you have done? Keep Bidennomics? There had to be new, untried methods of turning the economy around and it appears to be trending that way. Everything Trump is doing is working toward that. Remember "Drill Baby, Drill"? Gasoline is one of the big reasons. It's now below $3.00 nationally. Current Avg. $2.978, $3.484 ; Yesterday Avg. $2.991, $3.495 ; Week Ago Avg. $3.022, $3.517 ; Month Ago Avg. $3.079, $3.587. Gas prices are deeply tied to the economy, acting as both a symptom of economic health (high demand in good times) and a driver of economic activity, significantly affecting consumer spending, business costs (transportation, goods), inflation, and confidence, with high prices often reducing discretionary income and slowing growth, while low prices can stimulate it.

Jack Bauer said:

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Smiley just said job cuts (i.e. layoffs) are good because people are free!!

FOX: Year to date job cuts are up 54%. That seems like a troubling number. What's your take?

HASSETT: The flow of jobs in and out is a little higher, there's a little more turnover. A lot of times that can happen because people feel like they're actually able to get another job… pic.twitter.com/ukMbOtTl3w

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 4, 2025

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Damn…that goes over really tone deaf.

The Trump team really needs to limit this guy's appearances.

boognish_bear said:

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Jack Bauer said:

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Smiley just said job cuts (i.e. layoffs) are good because people are free!!

FOX: Year to date job cuts are up 54%. That seems like a troubling number. What's your take?

HASSETT: The flow of jobs in and out is a little higher, there's a little more turnover. A lot of times that can happen because people feel like they're actually able to get another job… pic.twitter.com/ukMbOtTl3w

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 4, 2025

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Damn…that goes over really tone deaf.

The Trump team really needs to limit this guy's appearances.

---

Smiley strikes again..

BARTIROMO: How is it possible that the Democrats have been able to rally around 'affordability' and make people think that's what they're focused on and not what Republicans are focused on?

HASSETT: It's just what happens sometimes when one political party has the media echoing… pic.twitter.com/eJGm5BVgPo

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2025

Trump, Obama, Bush Approval on December 3, Second Term Year 1

🔴Trump: 42.4%
🔴Bush: 41%
🔵Obama: 39.8%

RealClearPolitics Polling Average pic.twitter.com/7egcMslTRB

— RealClearPolling (@RCPolling) December 4, 2025

nein51 said:

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Assassin said:

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Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

---

Yes I'm familiar with the AI overview of Polymarket.

Let's just say they are only 80% accurate and not get pedantic. That's still a massive red flag.

And, im sorry, but I've voted (R) my entire life. If you don't think there are some massive problems right now you have your head in the sand.

The economy is not better, he's not following through on campaign promises enough for the MAGA crowd and what he is following through with is wildly unpopular with the left, he still uses social media like a 13 year old girl…the Republican Party is going to be SO much better off when he is gone.

---

You hit the nail on the head. We had an economist from Moody's come into work this week, he confirmed what we all knew already.

K shaped economy, the rich are doing really well whereas the middle class is struggling.

Democrats are starting to pull back on running far-left freaks and putting forward normal candidates. They're hitting the affordability issue hard and it's beginning to resonate with people. I fully expect the house to flip if our situation doesn't improve

BigGameBaylorBear said:

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nein51 said:

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Assassin said:

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Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

---

Yes I'm familiar with the AI overview of Polymarket.

Let's just say they are only 80% accurate and not get pedantic. That's still a massive red flag.

And, im sorry, but I've voted (R) my entire life. If you don't think there are some massive problems right now you have your head in the sand.

The economy is not better, he's not following through on campaign promises enough for the MAGA crowd and what he is following through with is wildly unpopular with the left, he still uses social media like a 13 year old girl…the Republican Party is going to be SO much better off when he is gone.

---

You hit the nail on the head. We had an economist from Moody's come into work this week, he confirmed what we all knew already.

K shaped economy, the rich are doing really well whereas the middle class is struggling.

Democrats are starting to pull back on running far-left freaks and putting forward normal candidates. They're hitting the affordability issue hard and it's beginning to resonate with people. I fully expect the house to flip if our situation doesn't improve

---

I expect the economic situation to improve soon. Soon enough? Not so sure about that. Lots to see in the next 11 months.

Told you they’d fold.

We had an entire shutdown just to turn around and support what Democrats wanted anyway.

And you think I should care deeply about who holds the House? https://t.co/IC23NUfTyi

— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) December 5, 2025

At the very least, they should be proposing a healthcare alternative, not bandaging Obamacare again.

And spoiler alert, but if they pass an extension this time, they will absolutely not touch the system leading into a presidential election. So it might as well be permanent.

— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) December 5, 2025

President Trump had a very clear choice in front of him starting in January -- Try to save America, or try to save the bankrupt Empire that lives at the expense of the American people.

The time has come, after 100 years of almost non-stop wars, to make the choice. It has to be… pic.twitter.com/iWftQxRANe

— Ron Paul (@RonPaul) December 5, 2025

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump to unveil new AI platform "Truth AI."

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) December 5, 2025

As I note in my forthcoming law review article, the historical evidence supporting a more limited understanding of the 14th Amendment is even stronger when you consider the citizenship framework that Congress employed in other, related debates - like alien conscription during the… pic.twitter.com/pBzViTGSkv

— Amy Swearer (@AmySwearer) December 5, 2025

I'm gonna guess no

Progress. But does this cover H-1B workers? Doesn’t seem to. https://t.co/FnRdC0B2Md

— Laura Ingraham (@IngrahamAngle) December 4, 2025

GOP Rep. Haridopolos: "We're gonna keep the House because we are the ones addressing the issue of affordability" pic.twitter.com/bNN9Fl6bez

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2025

EatMoreSalmon said:

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BigGameBaylorBear said:

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nein51 said:

---

Assassin said:

---

Polymarket's accuracy varies but is generally high, especially close to event resolutions, reaching up to 95.1% in the four hours before an event in one analysis. However, some recent research suggests lower accuracy in political markets, citing potential issues like market manipulation, weak correlations, and the impact of long-term markets that can include predictable, non-eventful outcomes that boost overall accuracy.

---

Yes I'm familiar with the AI overview of Polymarket.

Let's just say they are only 80% accurate and not get pedantic. That's still a massive red flag.

And, im sorry, but I've voted (R) my entire life. If you don't think there are some massive problems right now you have your head in the sand.

The economy is not better, he's not following through on campaign promises enough for the MAGA crowd and what he is following through with is wildly unpopular with the left, he still uses social media like a 13 year old girl…the Republican Party is going to be SO much better off when he is gone.

---

You hit the nail on the head. We had an economist from Moody's come into work this week, he confirmed what we all knew already.

K shaped economy, the rich are doing really well whereas the middle class is struggling.

Democrats are starting to pull back on running far-left freaks and putting forward normal candidates. They're hitting the affordability issue hard and it's beginning to resonate with people. I fully expect the house to flip if our situation doesn't improve

---

I expect the economic situation to improve soon. Soon enough? Not so sure about that. Lots to see in the next 11 months.

---

Based off of what?

boognish_bear said:

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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump to unveil new AI platform "Truth AI."

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) December 5, 2025

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Why are the Trump kowtowers okay with this? He is going to compete with publicly owned and privately owned companies already deeply invested in AI? Really? This is a HUGE conflict of interest.

I would have no problem with him doing this in 2029 when he is out of office but doing it now is unethical at best and illegal at worst.

I am surprised he hasn't started up a company that makes bombs, missiles, and drones!

1929?

Oldbear83 said:

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1929?

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.......was not a very good year. We can only hope history doesn't repeat itself.

So you have no problem with Trump's latest business venture, OldBear? A Simple yes or no will be fine.

boognish_bear said:

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GOP Rep. Haridopolos: "We're gonna keep the House because we are the ones addressing the issue of affordability" pic.twitter.com/bNN9Fl6bez

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2025

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Looks like the talking points are out!!

Jack Bauer said:

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boognish_bear said:

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GOP Rep. Haridopolos: "We're gonna keep the House because we are the ones addressing the issue of affordability" pic.twitter.com/bNN9Fl6bez

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2025

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Looks like the talking points are out!!

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Kinda funny that Trump blows a gasket every time someone mentions the word "affordability". You would think they were saying the " F" word.

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

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Jack Bauer said:

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boognish_bear said:

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GOP Rep. Haridopolos: "We're gonna keep the House because we are the ones addressing the issue of affordability" pic.twitter.com/bNN9Fl6bez

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2025

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Looks like the talking points are out!!

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Kinda funny that Trump blows a gasket every time someone mentions the word "affordability". You would think they were saying the " F" word.

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