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Baylor Basketball

Gameday Thread: #1 Baylor (25-2) vs #3 Arkansas (25-6)

March 28, 2021
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#1 Seed Baylor (25-2) takes on #3 Seed Arkansas (25-6) Monday March 29th at 8:57pm CST in an Elite 8 match-up at Lucas Oil Stadium to determine which team goes to the Final 4 from the South Region.  

Predictions:  

KenPom:  Baylor 79 Arkansas 72

Torvik:  Baylor 79 Arkansas 73

Miyakawa:  Baylor 84 Arkansas 72

Coaching

Arkansas:  Eric Musselman (56) 155-52 (45-18 Arkansas); 2 NCAAs; 2 Sweet 16s; 1 Elite 8

Baylor:  Scott Drew (50); 389-224 overall (369-213 at Baylor); 9 NCAAs; 5 Sweet 16s; 3 Elite 8s

Head to Head:  0-0

Arkansas Starters

Name Pos Class Ht Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3pt% FT%
Davonte Davis PG FR 6-3 180 8.3 4.4 2.1 48 18 74
Moses Moody SG FR 6-6 205 17.0 5.8 1.6 43 37 81
Jalen Tate SF SR 6-6 175 10.9 3.8 3.9 48 33 71
Justin Smith PF SR 6-7 230 13.8 7.3 1.7 55 22 63
Jaylin Williams C FR 6-10 245 3.5 4.7 0.8 45 30 74

Arkansas Bench

Name Pos Class Ht Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3pt% FT%
Desi Sills G JR 6-2 200 7.6 2.6 1.5 43 33 70
JD Notae G JR 6-1 195 12.8 3.2 1.9 37 33 76

Baylor Starters

Name Pos Class Ht Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3pt% FT%
Davion Mitchell PG JR 6-2 205 14.1 2.6 5.3 52 45 67
Jared Butler SG JR 6-3 195 16.6 3.3 4.7 47 40 75
MaCio Teague SF SR 6-4 195 15.7 4.1 1.6 48 39 85
Mark Vital PF SR 6-5 250 5.7 6.8 1.4 48 0 50
Flo Thamba C JR 6-10 245 3.6 3.9 0.1 57 0 61

Baylor Bench

Name Pos Class Ht Wt PPG RPG APG FG% 3pt% FT%
Adam Flagler G SO 6-3 180 9.0 2.4 1.4 46 41 85
Matt Mayer F JR 6-9 225 8.2 3.8 1.0 49 40 59
Jon Tchamwa F SO 6-8 245 6.2 5.0 0.4 56 0 77

 

Discussion from...

Gameday Thread: #1 Baylor (25-2) vs #3 Arkansas (25-6)

55,656 Views | 455 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by historian
EvilTroyAndAbed
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In reply to IowaBear • 9:57p, 3/29/21
IowaBear said:
Happy to be up 8, but a massively blown opportunity to step on their throats when we got up 15. In the last 7 minutes Arkansas got any shot they wanted. Not one bad shot that entire stretch. If that doesn't change they may find a way to pull this out


Talk to the refs. They're not allowing any defense.
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Gobearsone
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9:57p, 3/29/21
Mitchell's 3 fouls were less egregious than the molestation Carrington got.
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boognish_bear
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9:57p, 3/29/21
We had a 15 point lead at the 8:21 mark when Mitchell picked up his 3rd foul and sat out
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RedBear05
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9:58p, 3/29/21
I can handle getting screwed in both games by the refs.
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StatMan
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9:58p, 3/29/21
I'll take an 8-point lead at Halftime for the Baylor Bears.
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Quinton
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9:58p, 3/29/21
They were a little hesitant letting the whistle affect our defensive tenacity. Need to get DM back. Arkansas tries to wear you out but we have minutes to spread if we aren't in foul trouble.
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Baylorbears111
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In reply to EvilTroyAndAbed • 9:58p, 3/29/21
EvilTroyAndAbed said:
IowaBear said:
Happy to be up 8, but a massively blown opportunity to step on their throats when we got up 15. In the last 7 minutes Arkansas got any shot they wanted. Not one bad shot that entire stretch. If that doesn't change they may find a way to pull this out


Talk to the refs. They're not allowing any defense.


They allow defense for Arkansas, just not Baylor.
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Oldbear83
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9:58p, 3/29/21
Splits:

16m 15-3 Bears
12m 11-8 Bears
08m 7-9 Hogs
04m 11-9 Bears
Hf 02-09 Hogs


Hogs lead Colgate by 3 at the half
Hogs led Texas Tech by 2 at the half
Hogs trailed ORU by 7 at the half

Hogs trail Baylor by 8 at the half


Arkansas' best second half split against Colgate was 13-6 at the 12 minute mark and 15-8 to finish
Arkansas' best second half split against Tech was 11-4 to start the second half
Arkansas' best second half split against ORU was 11-4 at the 16 minute mark

The start to the second half will be important
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
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historian
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9:58p, 3/29/21
Life ain't fair.

Our guys need to play clean and smart. They are the better team & have been playing catch up for the last few minutes. Good news is they are more of a second half team. Fully expect them to come out firing on all cylinders & light things up.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
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CaliByWayOfKS
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9:59p, 3/29/21
We're shooting better than our average, but Arkansas is shooting head of heels better than they ever do. Not sure what we can do to stop that as most of their shots haven't been the easiest really.
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IowaBear
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In reply to EvilTroyAndAbed • 10:00p, 3/29/21
The refs are why Arkansas has about 15 great looks down the stretch?
Interesting take
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ColoradoGRN&GLD
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10:01p, 3/29/21
Arkansas season averages - 45.5 fg%, 33.9 3pt%
Arkansas tonight - 62.5 fg%, 75 3pt%

Highly unlikely they owing that well
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EvilTroyAndAbed
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In reply to IowaBear • 10:01p, 3/29/21
IowaBear said:
The refs are why Arkansas has about 15 great looks down the stretch?
Interesting take
You're right. We just suck.
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IowaBear
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In reply to EvilTroyAndAbed • 10:02p, 3/29/21
Where was that said? Oh look Evil putting words in my mouth. Classic Evil! We did not play good defense the last 7 minutes period. Call it what you want. But I never said we suck. So do not put words in my mouth.
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DanaDane
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In reply to ColoradoGRN&GLD • 10:03p, 3/29/21
To be fair, if you look at the scattergram of shots, only 4 were from outside 8 feet. We gave up easy drive to the basket after easy drive to the basket, so the FG% should be much higher than the season average.
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Yeek
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10:03p, 3/29/21
You can't be aggressive on defense if the refs are calling anything resembling a touch. It totally changes your mindest in how you play.
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EvilTroyAndAbed
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In reply to IowaBear • 10:04p, 3/29/21
IowaBear said:
Where was that said? Oh look Evil putting words in my mouth. Classic Evil! We did not play good defense the last 7 minutes period. Call it what you want. But I never said we suck. So do not put words in my mouth.
But you don't point out that Mitchell, who never gets in foul trouble, already has three in one half. The refs are trying to control this game. We are trying not to foul out.
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IowaBear
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In reply to EvilTroyAndAbed • 10:06p, 3/29/21
I never said the refs were good, they're garbage. But so was the defense down the stretch. Now was that due to the officials? Great O by Arkansas ? I have no idea. But we can't play D like that and expect to win. Arkansas is a bad 3 point shooting team however they're getting into the paint at will creating these wide opens 3's. We fix that we're going to be cutting some nets
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DanaDane
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10:10p, 3/29/21
An interesting stat is that we had 10 assists and 2 T/O's when Mitchell left the game with 7+ minutes to go. We now have 12 assists and 6 T/O's, which also helps explain some of the compression of our lead.
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boognish_bear
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10:10p, 3/29/21
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ColoradoGRN&GLD
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In reply to DanaDane • 10:10p, 3/29/21
DanaDane said:
To be fair, if you look at the scattergram of shots, only 4 were from outside 8 feet. We gave up easy drive to the basket after easy drive to the basket, so the FG% should be much higher than the season average.
That is fair and I hadn't taken that into consideration. Thanks for pointing it out. Getting Mitchell back should be a huge help in that regard. It's almost impossible to drive on him and his pressure makes it very tough to distribute the ball if/when someone gets open in the paint
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Jacques Strap
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In reply to DanaDane • 10:11p, 3/29/21
DanaDane said:
An interesting stat is that we had 10 assists and 2 T/O's when Mitchell left the game with 7+ minutes to go. We now have 12 assists and 6 T/O's, which also helps explain some of the compression of our lead.


Mitchell has been our best player in the tournament IMHO.
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vanillabryce
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In reply to DanaDane • 10:11p, 3/29/21
DanaDane said:
An interesting stat is that we had 10 assists and 2 T/O's when Mitchell left the game with 7+ minutes to go. We now have 12 assists and 6 T/O's, which also helps explain some of the compression of our lead.


Butler had a couple of ugly ones.
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CaliByWayOfKS
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10:11p, 3/29/21
We need to start the half off with a fire under our ass. While Mitchell should be out there to start with, the issue is why when he was out the only guys that looked to be played defense were Mayer and Vital.

Our guards didn't want to collapse down to the paint to cut off the drive, which is strange when you can see it coming and they just watch them run by and look at the bucket instead.

Butler needs to get his feet too, he's stumbled 2-3 times and at least once with the ball.

Come on guys turn it on finish this game.
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DanaDane
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In reply to ColoradoGRN&GLD • 10:12p, 3/29/21
Definitely agree. Flagler, Teague and Mayer are all good, but none have the burst of speed like Mitchell, that has resulted in layups off the dribble drive all year.
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StatMan
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10:12p, 3/29/21
A little surprising that Arkansas shot the basketball better than Baylor in the 1st Half, but they are a streaky team. They will likely cool off in the 2nd Half. Baylor should force more turnovers. I'd like the Bears to knock down at least five 3-points in the 2nd Half. Build a double digit lead, and play solid on both ends of the basketball court in the final 20 minutes, Baylor Bears.
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BUbackerinET
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:12p, 3/29/21
Exactly!
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gobears20
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10:12p, 3/29/21
Staff
Mitchell averages around 33 minutes and has not fouled out this year.
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BearlySpeaking
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10:13p, 3/29/21
I've noticed Bears tend to turn it on around 10 minutes into the second half this season. We definitely have the conditioning to take this game all the way to the buzzer.
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BUbackerinET
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In reply to boognish_bear • 10:14p, 3/29/21
WOW!
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gobears20
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10:14p, 3/29/21
Staff
We just need a good run to start the second half and just remember Arky is known for comebacks.
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Oldbear83
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In reply to StatMan • 10:14p, 3/29/21
StatMan said:
A little surprising that Arkansas shot the basketball better than Baylor in the 1st Half, but they are a streaky team. They will likely cool off in the 2nd Half. Baylor should force more turnovers. I'd like the Bears to knock down at least five 3-points in the 2nd Half. Build a double digit lead, and play solid on both ends of the basketball court in the final 20 minutes, Baylor Bears.
Hope Arky slows down

Hope the officials call it even

Hope we start the second half the way we started the first half, then end the game the way we started the first half.

Drew and the guys deserve no less.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
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vanillabryce
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10:15p, 3/29/21
Mitchell should be fresh and ready to go.

Time to buckle down so we get to see Mitchell, Butler, Vital, and Teague for at least one more game. Not ready for this to be the last time
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Yeek
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In reply to gobears20 • 10:15p, 3/29/21
gobears20 said:
Mitchell averages around 33 minutes and has not fouled out this year.


Because he knows not to foul. Only when the refs call crap like tonight of course
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PaperBear89
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10:16p, 3/29/21
We alums from the 80s recall when Ark was a thorn in our ass in just about every sport.
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