Osodecentx said:
whiterock said:
KaiBear said:
riflebear said:
Of course Trump will get a fair trial in NYC
Hope they find Trump guilty of incest , indecent exposure and/or cruelty to animals.
Whatever it takes to show the world the United States has changed forever.
If he really is such a sure-fire loser candidate, why are they working so hard to stop him? Why not shut up & let him coast to victory? Is it really their plan to attack him mercilessly across a broad front of PR and lawfare 10 months out from the first primary just to convince Republicans that he has all the right enemies?
Democrats are playing you like a Stradivarius. Trump surges with Republicans, not the total electorate.
Independents won't be voting for Trump.
Trump Surges ahead of DeSantis in Florida, New Poll Finds
"Five months later, things have changed substantially," Victory Insights senior pollster Ben Galbraith said in a statement. "Several other candidates have announced their candidacies, and Trump has been indicted and arrested in a highly politicized move by the Manhattan DA. DeSantis still hasn't officially announced his candidacy, but his messaging, book tour, and PAC activity certainly point to a presidential run in the coming months."
"However, it's beginning to look more like an uphill battle than previously believed," the pollster added.
Trump pleaded not guilty to 34 felony counts of falsifying business records on Tuesday. The indictment, which Trump has decried as "political persecution," appears to have offered a boost to his presidential campaign, which raked in more than $10 million in the days after the news of the indictment broke.
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/trump-surges-ahead-of-desantis-in-florida-new-poll-finds/
Your assessment is bedeviled by current trends. YouGov has had Trump up vs Biden in its last two polls, after showing him 4 pts behind in January. Most all polling units show them moving into a dead heat, and even in the last 6-9 months Biden's advantage was barely outside the margin of error, and before that Trump was consistently ahead. More damaging to your point, the narrow advantage RDS has had in the polling appears to be softening. I think we will see that will continue, likely a function declining favorables for RDS.
Dems won the indies in the last two cycles not by turning them out to vote, but by harvesting their ballots. That has the effect of undoing the old rule of thumb about "likely voter" polls being more valuable than "registered voter" polls. It tends to push elections all the way over into "adults" polls, which is a very much bluer demographic than registered voters. If the GOP builds that same capability, some or all of that advantage can/will be offset. Biden, you seek is equally unpopular to Trump. Two unpopular candidates tends to depress turnout; ballot harvesting upends that. As long as Dems exceed GOP capabilities in ballot harvesting, it is difficult to see scenarios where the GOP wins close races anywhere.
Beyond the circular reasoning of neverTrumpism - "he can't win because he can't win" or "he's a horrible human because he's a horrible human" - opponents continues to be hindered by a preoccupation to what SHOULD happen rather than what will be. We are a very divided nation. There are not many scenarios for a 60-40 blowout by either side. The next election will likely be very, very close, no matter who is on the ticket. The idea that Trump SHOULD go away is compelling. He is "different." I understand the upturned noses far more than you realize. Surely another guy without so many warts could do a whole lot better? But there is no white knight. And Trump is not going away. And he does have pathways to victory. Moreover, trends should make those pathways more rather than less viable (as movement in current polling suggests). THAT'S WHY THE DEMS ARE WORKING SO HARD TO TAKE HIM OUT. Sure, Desantis is very talented, great record, very tough, appeals to Maga base....I can tout him as well as anyone. Might even end up voting for him in the primary. But he is untested on a national stage. His favorables will decline when he enters the race. Not clear AT THIS TIME that he is a clearly superior option. He needs to prove that. And if he can beat Trump in a primary, he will be the superior option. The winner of the primary, for all his/her faults, is invariably the best option. You cannot win the general if you cannot excite your base.
You can virtue posture the neverTrump nonsense if you want to, though. Free country. People don't have to be taken seriously if they don't want to be.