Why Are We in Ukraine?

517,157 Views | 6869 Replies | Last: 5 hrs ago by Redbrickbear
whiterock
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Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.


sombear
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whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)
Doc Holliday
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whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Redbrickbear
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sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
sombear
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Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
Redbrickbear
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sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
Debatable

But he won't be around forever

And any Russia leader that comes next will have the exact same security concerns about Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan. etc



sombear
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Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
Debatable

But he won't be around forever

And any Russia leader that comes next will have the exact same security concerns about Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan. etc




But you and I agree whoever replaces Putin likely will be just as bad.

And I don't say Russia doesn't want a stronger relationship just to be provocative or to take a side. It's just that they can't go along with what it would require - more domestic freedom/liberty; economic/trade liberalization; distancing from certain regimes; other free world norms.

To a large extent I understand, especially given my experience there and with people there. They know they have certain inherent economic problems. They believe their best bet remains being anti-west and working against the west, and that if they joined the west, they'd do worse. I think they are wrong about that, but they truly believe it. I actually believe they don't give themselves enough credit.
whiterock
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Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.

whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.

sombear
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whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia, and (2) it does matter what other sovereign nations and their people want. When you start with that foundation, you will always take the side of Russia and blame the west for anything Russia does.

I somewhat understand this view, but what I've never understood is how you can ignore how Russia provokes us throughout the world and always has.
Redbrickbear
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sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]
Doc Holliday
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whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
sombear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]


Russia cannot control and has no right to control how other European countries defend themselves. Whether other countries are building up their own military or relying in part on the U.S., it doesn't matter.

Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]


Russia cannot control and has no right to control how other European countries defend themselves. Whether other countries are building up their own military or relying in part on the U.S., it doesn't matter.




If the U.S. is going to stage/sponsor coups in countries on Russia's door step there is going to be conflict

Why do you want conflict with a large nuclear armed State?

When did the American people get consulted on this kind of policy?
sombear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]


Russia cannot control and has no right to control how other European countries defend themselves. Whether other countries are building up their own military or relying in part on the U.S., it doesn't matter.




If the U.S. is going to stage/sponsor coups in countries on Russia's door step there is going to be conflict

Why do you want conflict with a large nuclear armed State?

When did the American people get consulted on this kind of policy?


Russia sponsored coups in Cuba, Central America, and South America and all around the rest of the world.

And I dispute we "sponsored" coups in Europe. We've taken the side of freedom and supported the right to express and protest.

Why do I want to oppose Russia? Because they oppose us throughout the world. And they are a menace and far worse.

Our government consults with its people via elections. Most Americans stand for freedom. And despite all the lies out there, a majority still support funding Ukraine.
Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]


Russia cannot control and has no right to control how other European countries defend themselves. Whether other countries are building up their own military or relying in part on the U.S., it doesn't matter.




If the U.S. is going to stage/sponsor coups in countries on Russia's door step there is going to be conflict

Why do you want conflict with a large nuclear armed State?

When did the American people get consulted on this kind of policy?


Russia sponsored coups in Cuba, Central America, and South America and all around the rest of the world..


And they had no right to mess around in the American sphere of influence

Most of those coups failed or were counter productive

Lesson there of any power operating far outside its traditional areas
sombear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]


Russia cannot control and has no right to control how other European countries defend themselves. Whether other countries are building up their own military or relying in part on the U.S., it doesn't matter.




If the U.S. is going to stage/sponsor coups in countries on Russia's door step there is going to be conflict

Why do you want conflict with a large nuclear armed State?

When did the American people get consulted on this kind of policy?


Russia sponsored coups in Cuba, Central America, and South America and all around the rest of the world..


And they had no right to mess around in the American sphere of influence

Most of those coups failed or were counter productive

Lesson there of any power operating far outside its traditional areas


No. They've been successful in Cuba, CA, and SA, as well as Africa and Euro. Yet we did not try to take over any of those countries through a full scale military invasion.
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

sombear said:

Redbrickbear said:

sombear said:

whiterock said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

and Russia cannot maintain an international presence with its old, rotted out fleet.

Ursa Major cargo ship used by Russian MOD sinks in the Western Med:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/24/europe/russia-cargo-ship-sinks-intl/index.html



How do these endless stories of Russian military incompetence and equipment, logistics, and command failures square with your sides assertion that Russia is some kind of great military threat that is gonna conquer Poland if we don't stage coups all around their border lands?

Its almost like russia is a rapidly demographically declining nation...with a really corrupt government....with a very weak military

We are as likely to find russian soldiers on the surface of the moon as we are finding them taking over Poland or Germany

They could not even win a war for the Gov. of Syria.....when Iranian forces and Shi'ite militia men were doing 90% of the actual front line fighting.
Everything you say about Russian military incompetence is correct. Yet, still, they are destroying trillions of dollars of property, wounding millions people, and killing hundreds of thousands of people in foreign lands, refusing to understand what you are saying about how incompetent they are. They are big enough to win despite being oafishly inefficient in the art of war. Think Chuck Wepner.

When an army invades your country, you have to destroy it. Doing so will cost you a lot of money, a lot of lives, and a lot of destroyed property, no matter how incompetent that army was, no matter how recklessly misguided was their decision to start a war they couldn't win. So you take precautions to deter. You build an army fearsome enough to persuade even the stupid that it's pointless to test you. You build alliances. And, when someone stupid does something stupid, you do not stand back and say "well that was stupid, they are no threat to us." You take such action as is necessary to destroy stupid right where it is, preferably using proxies rather than your own troops.

The one thing you do not do is let stupid advance all they way up next to you. They will probably make more stupid decisions. Indeed, they will likely think that if you are stupid enough to let them advance, you are more stupid than you look, and pick a fight they cannot win, costing you trillions of dollars and millions of lives to demonstrate that you are less stupid than them.

Your views here are very, very dangerous, exactly the kinds of disengagement policies that entice lesser opponents to do things that force you into wars.



Just to add some things closer to my world . . . Russia will always have oil and gas and far more international influence than most know. It also will have for the foreseeable future vicious leaders many of whom will always dream of reconstituting something like the Soviet Empire (realistic or not)


Interesting…possibly right

And if Russia is not going away then why should DC not try to work/get along with Russia in some way?

Vs say trying to pull more counties out of its sphere of influence by any means necessary?

DC seems dead set on a course of conflict with Russia.

And of course this is a very dangerous situation since both countries have nuclear weapons
Russia (Putin) doesn't want a stronger relationship and never has
and we didn't try "to pull more countries out of its sphere of influence."

Redbrick (along with nearly all Ukraine policy critics) has a very elementary cause-effect error underpinning his argument. We are not dead-set on a course of conflict with Russia; Russia is dead set on a course of conflict with us. We didn't court or swoop in or cajole the former WP and USSR states into NATO. Each and every single one of those countries fled to our sphere of influence the moment they got clear of Russia, because they knew full well what would happen to them if they didn't. In fact, we refrained from building permanent bases in any of those countries in order to signal to Russia that we were not attempting to threaten them. Nato membership for the Baltics & former WP states was merely a "don't tread on me" sign.

There is no lie quite as large as the idea that the west provoked Russia into invading its neighbors. Invading its neighbors is just what Russia does whenever it thinks it can get by with it.




Some of these folks truly believe that (1) doing anything opposed to what Russia wants is provoking Russia,

And some people think provoking Russia by moving bases and military alliance networks right up to their border is good policy
we didn't move any bases right up to their borders. Quite the opposite. We made a point of not doing so. Now that Russia has shown it's willing to invade sovereign nations, we are responding by building military bases (as we should). Germany is going to deploy combat units on permanent basis to Lithuania. We are building an airbase in Romania. Etc..... That is an appropriate price for Russia to pay for military adventurism.

Interesting that very intelligent people thought that policy was essentially insane...and that the US had little geostrategic priorities east of the Bug River.

["It is not possible to bring Russia into the international system by conversion," Kissinger told The Atlantic in 2016. "It requires deal-making, but also understanding. It is a unique and complicated society. Russia must be dealt with by closing its military options, but in a way that affords it dignity in terms of its own history."
LOL if you read that quote, you did not understand it. Read that last sentence once more, carefully - "closing its military options...." Then tell us how that fits your insistence that we must let Russia expand its sphere of influence until sated.

In a July 2022 interview with Der Spiegel, Kissinger was flummoxed when asked to find an "instructive" historical precedent "for understanding and ending the war in Ukraine."

"Right off the top of my head, I cannot give a direct answer," Kissinger responded. "Because the war in Ukraine is on one level a war about the balance of power. But on another level, it has aspects of a civil war, and it combines a classically European type of international problem with a totally global one. When this war is over, the issue will be whether Russia achieves a coherent relationship with Europe -- which it has always sought -- or whether it will become an outpost of Asia at the border of Europe."]
noting the problem is difficult and unique does not undermine any particular policy proposal. Each must rise or fall on its own merits. One thing we do know, however, is that appeasement never works. It invariably emboldens the expansionist power.
You literally do not understand what you are reading, either in context or in substance.
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
I'm not going to surrender a fight that needs fighting because I don't like the general. I'm going to replace the general in order to fight better.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
Trump pandered to anti-war sentiments to win an election. After he won, he immediately pivoted to policy. That's what good leaders do. They do what they have to do to win, because one only gets to govern if one wins.
Ukraine policy critics are understandably frustrated because they ran afoul of an old adage: "never listen to your own propaganda....you might start to believe it." The list of their terribly bad takes is long:
-Russia is not a responsible power which has been wronged.
-Nato/EU is not an expansionist power in the least.
-Neither Nato nor EU sponsored a coup in Ukraine.
-Neither Nato nor Ukraine did anything to provoke Russia to war.
-Russia does not have any right to own any part of Ukraine whatsoever.
-Russia had no casus belli whatsoever to invade any part of Ukraine.
-It would be madness for Nato to take no action to stop Russia in Ukraine.
(I could go on for a bit with this list)

Trump is not going to open his administration with a loss in Ukraine. He's going to try to force Russia to the negotiating table by threatening to escalate against Russia. That is the proper step here. Russia has badly weakened itself. It is mired in a war it cannot win, now fully mobilized and past peak production, having to tap foreign soldiers to try to keep pace with incredible daily losses, now running at or beyond 1500 troops per day. Under the Biden policy, Russia would have at most 18 months left before collapse. There is no reason we should have to wait that long or spend that much money to force a conclusion. We should escalate to force the conclusion sooner. Ukraine is in dire straits, too, but it can last longer than Russia because it has Nato support and Nato has far deeper pockets.

What needs to happen in the war in Ukraine is clear - Russia needs to lose it. Good news is, we are about to be past the Biden futzing around phase. Trump will get on with the business of concluding the war by making Russia come to the peace table to forestall an obvious impending loss.
Redbrickbear
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J.R.
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Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
whiterock
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Redbrickbear said:


pretty solid take by the General. And, typically, the headline doesn't really reflect the totality of his comments.

Ukraine indeed can stand firm throughout 2025. And if it dips into its 18-25 cohort, it can last several years longer than that.

It all comes down to Nato aid. As long as Nato aid continues, Russia cannot achieve its objectives and will collapse (economically) before Ukraine does. The Russian arty fires advantage is already down to 2-to-1. That corresponds with rising Russian daily casualty rates now ca 1500 per day. As Nato war production increases, the arty fire ratio will approach parity. And Russian losses will escalate accordingly.

Note the video did not address Russian problems. Was that an editing decision? Perhaps those issues were simply not asked/answered. Russia for sure has daunting issues of its own.

trey3216
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J.R. said:

Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
Trump wants Europe to buy as much Oil and LNG from the US as possible. This fits along with plans of his.
Mr. Treehorn treats objects like women, man.
J.R.
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trey3216 said:

J.R. said:

Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
Trump wants Europe to buy as much Oil and LNG from the US as possible. This fits along with plans of his.
LNG from US is not near as economical. We are extremel y far from that ability. We need at least 3 LNG plants which take time and $
trey3216
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J.R. said:

trey3216 said:

J.R. said:

Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
Trump wants Europe to buy as much Oil and LNG from the US as possible. This fits along with plans of his.
LNG from US is not near as economical. We are extremel y far from that ability. We need at least 3 LNG plants which take time and $


No doubt. I wasn't arguing the viability. I'm telling you what the US govt (not DJT, but the entire US Govt including Obama and Biden) is wanting to happen for Europe going forward re:gas
Mr. Treehorn treats objects like women, man.
sombear
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J.R. said:

trey3216 said:

J.R. said:

Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
Trump wants Europe to buy as much Oil and LNG from the US as possible. This fits along with plans of his.
LNG from US is not near as economical. We are extremel y far from that ability. We need at least 3 LNG plants which take time and $
The best solution is for the Euros to reopen the gas fields they shut down due to anti-fracking campaign.
J.R.
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sombear said:

J.R. said:

trey3216 said:

J.R. said:

Interesting that Ukraine shut the Russian spigot that supplies much of Europe its LNG. Trumpy Bear ain't gonna like that as it pushed up O&G prices today by 3%. Drill baby Trumpy Bear wants Oil as low as possible hoping to translate the lower prices to low gasoline prices. Nothing but a shell game.
Trump wants Europe to buy as much Oil and LNG from the US as possible. This fits along with plans of his.
LNG from US is not near as economical. We are extremel y far from that ability. We need at least 3 LNG plants which take time and $
The best solution is for the Euros to reopen the gas fields they shut down due to anti-fracking campaign.
I'm down with that!
Sam Lowry
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Daveisabovereproach said:

sombear said:

Daveisabovereproach said:

Since we're doing the whole "just as I predicted" thing:

Ukraine is never in a million years "winning" this war in the sense that they are going to forcibly take back
Crimea and the eastern part of their country. Mr. Zelensky has recently admitted this, so it is not a point that is up for debate. Ukraine is basically sending soldiers to the front line at gunpoint. "Slava Ukraine "is over; they are ready for it to end

If Trump continues to use taxpayer money to give Ukraine weapons, it's only because this war is really, really good for the military/industrial complex which many politicians are heavily invested in.

Bottom line, the only way this war ends is through diplomatic means. This idea that they could bleed Russia dry in an attrition war was a pipe dream.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/show/lacking-manpower-ukraine-resorts-to-harsh-means-to-force-draft-dodgers-into-combat

https://www.thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/zelensky-admits-ukraine-cannot-retake-crimea-and-donbas-m5vwpfzqh



Let's assume you're right, what exactly should Ukraine give up in a deal?

Most logical path forward would be to make one last offensive incursion and then come to the bargaining prepared to give up the majority if not all of the areas that Russian troops currently occupy. It's a situation where possession is 9/10 of the law.

Of course, I realize that's not going to end the conflict permanently. There needs to be some sort of demilitarized zone or something to that effect that is monitored by a UN peacekeeping force. Even that might not be a permanent solution, but I think it's preferable to the current paradigm of an infinite war of attrition where Ukraine is likely to only slowly lose more territory than gain all of their lost territory back through fighting
These are appealing ideas in some ways, but Russia would never go along with them. They've already annexed the four oblasts in their entirety, and they have zero incentive to accept UN forces on what is now Russian soil.
boognish_bear
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whiterock
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Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

That is a fair price Russia pays for its aggression. We could always stop construction of the bases, or defer the deployment of Nato troops to the Baltics, or etc.......in exchange for Russian withdrawal from Ukraine.

The first faulty premise to sweep from analysis is that Nato actions provoked the war. Such is pure poppycock. Russian imperialism, an effort to rebuild something similar to the Ussr/Warsaw Pact footprint, is 100% the cause of the Russo-Ukraine War. Russia thought they could take Ukraine quickly and without consequence. Now, they are caught in a trap from which their current regime cannot escape. they cannot win, and they cannot withdraw. We should threaten to escalate, and then do so incrementally to ratchet up the pressure on Russia.

Opponents of policies supporting Ukraine are hopelessly out of touch with realities........
Doc Holliday
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whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

That is a fair price Russia pays for its aggression. We could always stop construction of the bases, or defer the deployment of Nato troops to the Baltics, or etc.......in exchange for Russian withdrawal from Ukraine.

The first faulty premise to sweep from analysis is that Nato actions provoked the war. Such is pure poppycock. Russian imperialism, an effort to rebuild something similar to the Ussr/Warsaw Pact footprint, is 100% the cause of the Russo-Ukraine War. Russia thought they could take Ukraine quickly and without consequence. Now, they are caught in a trap from which their current regime cannot escape. they cannot win, and they cannot withdraw. We should threaten to escalate, and then do so incrementally to ratchet up the pressure on Russia.

Opponents of policies supporting Ukraine are hopelessly out of touch with realities........
I wish people understood what a screwed up place Ukraine has been for a long time. I've seen videos of Ukrainian soldiers committing war crimes. People say "what about Russia?". We're not funding Russia.

With these huge sums of money we're giving to Ukraine, why should we tolerate their corruption and sin? Why have we rejected an audit of aid to Ukraine? Do you deny that the west is completely without corruption here?

If Ukraine is successful, I want Zelensky removed from power permanently as opposition leaders were murdered by his regime. People who opposed the war were kidnapped by militias and tortured. Its not a surprise to me that over 650K men left Ukraine when the war began.
Redbrickbear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

Getting our NATO allies to meet their spending commitments or raise them slightly....and building bases inside current NATO territory is not "escalation"

Its building up a strong defense in our already established sphere of influence.

Its also amazing how your side sees that as "escalation"

But some how sponsoring coups in Russia's back yard or funding proxy wars against them using corrupt states we never had a relationship with is not escalation.....

I am always stunned by neo-con/neo-liberal logic
Sam Lowry
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

Getting our NATO allies to meet their spending commitments or raise them slightly....and building bases inside current NATO territory is not "escalation"

Its building up a strong defense in our already established sphere of influence.

Its also amazing how your side sees that as "escalation"

But some how sponsoring coups in Russia's back yard or funding proxy wars against them using corrupt states we never had a relationship with is not escalation.....

I am always stunned by neo-con/neo-liberal logic
Bear in mind that Whiterock is a professional disinformationist who has drunk way too much of his own kool-aid. He may in fact be the most reliably inaccurate commentator that I've seen on this topic. If you've followed this thread from the beginning and assumed the opposite of everything he predicted, you'll have a reasonably accurate view of what was happening and what's going to happen in Ukraine.

Russia has continuously accelerated its gains since the fall of Avdiivka about a year ago. The Ukrainian army is broken beyond repair. Trump will have to either accept this or not, but it won't make a difference in the long run.
Bear8084
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Sam Lowry said:

Redbrickbear said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Multiple outlets now reporting what I predicted - US aid to Ukraine will continue under Trump admin

Taxpayer aid, provided by a collective populace that has over $1.4 trillion in credit card debt compounding.

Maybe it helps us to crush Russia in the long term, but if the long term is to fleece taxpayers and have our government increasingly behave like a cartel, then what the fu c k is the point? Is the end point where the US ironically starts behaving like an eastern country?

As I correctly predicted, this war is going to be another forever war. It's already gone on too long.

Is the west really going to achieve complete world dominance, only to sink their teeth into their own middle class? Are we supposed to cheer that on and be happy about it? The WEF, EU and our politicians blatantly claim that we'll own nothing and be happy about it and they're the biggest cheerleaders of this war.
bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

Getting our NATO allies to meet their spending commitments or raise them slightly....and building bases inside current NATO territory is not "escalation"

Its building up a strong defense in our already established sphere of influence.

Its also amazing how your side sees that as "escalation"

But some how sponsoring coups in Russia's back yard or funding proxy wars against them using corrupt states we never had a relationship with is not escalation.....

I am always stunned by neo-con/neo-liberal logic
Bear in mind that Whiterock is a professional disinformationist who has drunk way too much of his own kool-aid.


ROFL you might want to look in the mirror.
whiterock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:

Doc Holliday said:

whiterock said:


bad foreign policy decisions will not solve our fiscal problems. it will make them worse.
Nothing is more expensive than getting directly involved in a hot war.



Yeah but that's not what I'm saying. Elite corporate and banking interests are running the country much like oligarchs do in the east.
The difference is, we have a system where ordinary people can organize and speak and push back against oligarchy to elect a guy like Donald Trump. (a lot of people voted for Obama for the same (mistaken) reasons.)

We're prioritizing foreign policy over domestic and have been for quite some time. We'll spend trillions on war and allow the middle class to hollow out.
Well, sorta. Foreign policy on national security is not causing that. Foreign policy on trade is.
Your comment above reflects the faulty premise running thru the vast majority of isolationist arguments - that disengaging from world affairs will help fix our domestic problems. It's the opposite. Disengagement will make those problems worse. How many new bases do you want to build in Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria? Do you want to have to build a 600 ship navy again? Maintain a 3m soldier army again? How is letting China bully the rest of Asia going to benefit our economy? (and on and on....)

Cutting all foreign aid does not balance the budget.
Closing DOD and disbanding our military does not balance the budget.
DOING BOTH DOES NOT BALANCE OUR BUDGET.

Close down Dept of Education. States can handle the role just fine.
But if you want to make a really big impact = end the Green Energy nonsense, all $93T of it.

Repeat after me: We cannot balance our budget with a series of bad foreign policy decisions.
Again, that's not what I'm getting at. There's TWO wars. One domestic and one abroad.

DC is super supportive of war in Ukraine or war anywhere. They jump through the hoops for financial support, weapons etc. When it comes to putting American's first, they're silent. They don't have the same sense of urgency that they do with war. When we have major weather disasters, they'll let people die, especially if they have certain political views. They let millions of illegals in. They allow big pharma and healthcare to let us die in order for those groups to be insanely greedy.

If we keep the current status quo together for the next several decades, our country won't even be recognizable and the freedom you and I would fight for, won't even exist. That's what I'm getting at.

The people in favor of the war in Ukraine have to understand that if we don't win the war at home, then the war in Ukraine doesn't matter. I want you to be pissed off that they're enthusiastic about war in Ukraine and against American First.
yes, it's exactly what you are getting at. You are (along with millions of others) suggesting a cause-effect relationship - that we are not responding adequately to disasters, or canceling opposing views, or tolerating illegal immigration, or mismanaging big pharma/healthcare to facilitate policies abroad because we are obsessed with foreign affairs. That is just not so. There is nothing about fixing any of those domestic issues which would require a single change in foreign policy. In fact stopping everything we're doing abroad, closing all the bases, shutting off all the aid, bringing our entire diplomatic corps home.....would not come remotely close to balancing the budget. Those problems you cited are easily fixable with good policy, which will require negligible expense (and in many cases save us money).

If we lose the war in Ukraine (i.e. let Russia have as much of it as it wants), we will in a worse position no matter how much improvement we make on those other things.

Don't take the false dilemma. BOTH Ukraine and the border (et al...) are important. We have to win on BOTH. Failure on either one is bad, and cannot be offset by victory on the other.

There is no number of bad foreign policy decisions which will balance our budget. In fact, each bad foreign policy decision will saddle us with ever greater future costs.
I'm not asking to change foreign policy to benefit domestic policy. I'm not stating a cause-effect relationship.

I'm asking to treat both equally and we're not.

It pisses me off that we send hundreds of billions in aid to Ukraine and simultaneously don't give a damn about hurricane victims. $5 billion for the border is too much, but hundreds of billions to Ukraine is urgent.

Surely that doesn't sit right with you guys?

What are your red lines?
Are you ok if this war proceeds for a decade or so?
Are you ok if it costs us a few trillion?
What end goal do you have in mind?
Doesn't sit right with me at all, but when you pair the two things together in an argument, there is an implied "we have to stop doing X abroad so we can do Y at home." Certainly that is the construction of many who argue here and most of the arguments on the matter in the public square. Fact is, we have to do both.

The end is simple: stop Russia, up to and including causing a collapse of the current regime. We do have it in our power to do that. quite easily. Nato GDP dwarfs Russia. Zero chance Russia can last longer than Nato. Biden has simply been taking half-measures.

Why is that end so important? See sombear's comments above. Russia will always have the ability to rebuild armies and airforces, which makes them an existential threat if not robustly resisted. For centuries they have looked west and seen they need to modernize, but the corruption always wins. As a result, throughout the centuries, they have over and over and over demonstrated a lack of maturity to know their limits. Their move against Ukraine was a frickin' comedy of errors, from intelligence assessments, to operational planning, to strategic & tactical execution. But look what it's costing to stop them......

History is abundantly clear on this: Russia is a bully. If you don't knock them flat on their asses when they get out of line, they will keep coming.
You're correct that Biden took half-measures. We don't even have any signed military data sharing agreements with Ukraine, No geospatial data, nothing. The same clowns that prolonged war in Afghanistan/Iraq and spent damn near $8 trillion doing so are in charge of this war. That leads me to believe they want to make this a prolonged proxy war for as long as possible. After personally visiting NATO in Brussels and seeing CNN on every TV in their building...I think they're also clowns.
US and Western intel liaison with Ukraine is robust. We helped Ukraine literally rebuilt its agencies from scratch to rid them of Russian infiltration. And, of course, we trained trained trained, in classical FI/CI operations as well as paramilitary operations. Had it not been for all this "covert" investment going back to 2015-2016 timeframe, the Russian plan for a 72-hour operation to take down Ukraine would almost certainly have been successful.

I don't trust them. Our intelligence community and military leaders have largely claimed that Trump is a Russian asset as well. I don't know how you feel good about this war considering those people are in charge.
The Russian asset meme has run its course. You will hear some of the die-hards on the left still parrot it because they believe it, but it's clearly not an election winner so it will die a natural death.

This is what DC believes. This is the belief of the military industrial complex, national security, NATO and DC.


Trump will deliver peace either through major aggression or pulling funds. Our leaders very clearly don't want that. How do you reconcile this?
That is pure projection by his political opponents. He and his team are making all the right statements and, as I predicted, Trump is not going to pull funds. Has very clearly signaled such to the Ukrainians.
Trump has, technically, already escalated - he's called for increasing NATO defense spending to 5% of GDP. The Poles have already announced they will do so. There's also strategic escalation ongoing, and you can take it to the bank Trump will continue it (i.e. he flirted with it in his admin) - putting permanent Nato military installations in former WP countries. The Romanians have already approved building a major NATO joint base (Ramstein equivalent) at an existing Romania air base = 10k troops & squadrons of aircraft. In 2027, A German brigade will be stationed in Lithuania, to guard the Suwalki Gap. Also public statements about NATO bases in Finland.

That is a fair price Russia pays for its aggression. We could always stop construction of the bases, or defer the deployment of Nato troops to the Baltics, or etc.......in exchange for Russian withdrawal from Ukraine.

The first faulty premise to sweep from analysis is that Nato actions provoked the war. Such is pure poppycock. Russian imperialism, an effort to rebuild something similar to the Ussr/Warsaw Pact footprint, is 100% the cause of the Russo-Ukraine War. Russia thought they could take Ukraine quickly and without consequence. Now, they are caught in a trap from which their current regime cannot escape. they cannot win, and they cannot withdraw. We should threaten to escalate, and then do so incrementally to ratchet up the pressure on Russia.

Opponents of policies supporting Ukraine are hopelessly out of touch with realities........
I wish people understood what a screwed up place Ukraine has been for a long time. I've seen videos of Ukrainian soldiers committing war crimes. People say "what about Russia?". We're not funding Russia.
War crimes happen in wars. The victor gets to sort out what is/isn't a war crime.

With these huge sums of money we're giving to Ukraine, why should we tolerate their corruption and sin?
The purpose of our aid to Ukraine is not to rid it of corruption. It's to rid it of Russians. Why did we did not impose any conditions on Stalin to modernize, liberalize, economize, etc.... Because the purpose of our aid to them was to degrade the German war machine fighting on two fronts. We didn't care what Stalin believed or did to his own people, as long as he organized them to go kill Germans.
Why have we rejected an audit of aid to Ukraine? Do you deny that the west is completely without corruption here?
Wherever there is government spending, there is corruption. And you do audit and such to minimize it. What you do not do is determine that a Russian invasion of Ukraine is a threat to Nato (which it obviously is) but not respond because corruption might break out. It's like refusing to drive your car to avoid the risk of getting a flat tire.

If Ukraine is successful, I want Zelensky removed from power permanently as opposition leaders were murdered by his regime. People who opposed the war were kidnapped by militias and tortured. Its not a surprise to me that over 650K men left Ukraine when the war began.
Russian propaganda is designed to generate hyperbole like that.
Those 650k men you referred to did not leave Ukraine because of an oppressive Zelensky government. They left to avoid a repressive Russian government taking over control of Ukraine, of having to fight a hopeless battle against what at the time was seen as an unstoppable Russian Army.
Yes, Ukraine did a lot of work to root out Russian sympathizers throughout their government. They literally rebuilt their intel agencies from scratch. They had a Russian church hierarchy that was a veritable 5th column.


The idea that Ukraine is comparable to Russia on any of those yardsticks is highly suspect. War is a messy thing. You cannot be effective without stepping on toes, nicking fingers with knives, etc.... And there are only two ways to fix that:
1) Win, so you can sort it all out when it's over.
2) Lose, so your opponent can sort it all out when it's over.

If we don't help Ukraine resist pressure from Russia, Russian will use Ukraine to ramp up pressure on Nato. So pick the problem you want to deal with - Ukrainian corruption, or having a brutal, nuclear capable Russian army with hundreds of miles of new frontage on the Polish, Slovakian, Ukrainian, and Romanian borders, +600mi closer to Nato troops. And for that price, there still will be corruption in Ukraine, given that Russia is corrupt by orders of magnitude worse than Ukraine.

In Russian doctrine, use of tactical nukes is a battlefield decision. Do really want a corrupt Russian Army Colonel with tactical nukes at his disposal to be 600mi closer to our men & women in uniform? Is that really worse than a Zelensky regime skimming a little off of the war effort?

Choose your poison carefully.
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