Porteroso said:
Realitybites said:
CIA Leak: Iran Can Survive Blockade Another 3 to 4 Months, Maybe Longer
Belying the Trump administration's claims that a US blockade on Iran's use of the Strait of Hormuz has the country on the ropes and its oil infrastructure in near-term peril, a confidential CIA analysis says Iran can persevere another three or four months, if not longer. In a second stark contradiction of White House narratives, US intelligence assesses that the bulk of Iran's pre-war missile inventory is still intact. The substance of the CIA analysis was first reported by the Washington Post, which attributed the insights to three current officials and one former one who've seen it.
Iran retains about 75 percent of its prewar inventories of mobile launchers and about 70 percent of its prewar stockpiles of missiles, a U.S. official said. The official said there is evidence that the regime has been able to recover and reopen almost all of its underground storage facilities, repair some damaged missiles and even assemble some new missiles that were nearly complete when the war began. -- Washington Post
Man, what a disaster. Reverting to pre-war conditions is looking like the best possible outcome, and that might be unrealistic, since Iran is still going forward with their taxing scheme.
I'll admit there is a lack of consistent, credible info coming out of the area. It's hard to know what to trust and what not to. I for sure would not trust leaks. With that said, the administration is claiming:
Iran's air force is destroyed. Iran's "navy" has been reduced to piracy using small boats to harass traffic in the SoH. 3 destroyers went thru and killed everything that shot at them. No damage to our ships. Iran is having a hard time selling any of its oil due to the blockade.
It's entirely possible the administration is embellishing. But it doesn't sound like a disaster. Are our troops coming home in body bags? Has Iran sunk one of our aircraft carriers?
It seems people are finding stories that reinforce their bias, whatever that is.
And don't forget, France is sending their one aircraft carrier to open the SoH. This should all be over soon.