HuMcK said:
"Most of the Intel Community" doubts it? I think that would come as a surprise to the actual Intel Community, seeing as they've been briefing forces in the field about it for about a year now...
Why do y'all continue to take this administration at their word despite them being caught lying about this story multitude times already? That is what bias looks like: willingness to accept obvious lies from the party out of loyalty.
Again, knowing a fair amount about intelligence gathering and verification, if there had been strong evidence (even well short of consensus) it would have been a Priority item. It's clear nobody treated it that way. It's not about taking Trump at his word. I don't take any pols at their word, and he'd be near the bottom of my list.
But, unlike some, I'm not going to accuse any President of what's close to treason based on anonymous sources, especially when the pieces just don't seem to fit together. I've said from the outset on this, I want to see all the facts. There obviously are reports going both ways. But to me, anonymous sources and the CNN and NYT reports are no more credible than the Trump folks. And the pieces to the puzzle as I know it still suggest there is nothing there.
And one more point because CNN seemed to hype this up: It is routine for intel folks to share unverified intel with allies and others well before going up the chain (and certainly far before briefing the Pres). This early stage sharing is an integral part of the gathering and verification process.