bear2be2 said:
Aberzombie1892 said:
blackie said:
JBear14 said:
Joey has never had a losing season at Texas Tech (which we all agree has historically been hard to recruit to). Aranda meanwhile has had 4 losing seasons out of 6 with Baylor. His most talented roster since 2021 just went 5-7, and has players fleeing in the Portal.
We've seen plenty of programs throw money at players, and still fail in their objectives of winning the conference title (i.e. Aggie, UT). Tech spent it's money wisely, and Joey coached his guys up enough to meet the expectations of their talent. Also motivated his less-talented kids to play better.
The truth is, a lot of Baylor fans **** on Joey because they are envious that he took Tech to the top, while we're stuck with Aranda for another year after going 5-7 with his current roster. Joey would have at least won 9 with our current roster. He's a better coach than Dave. A better motivator than Dave. And many of us can't stand the fact that we let him go to Tech, while we're stuck with "Decaf Dave."
There is somewhat a difference between TT and UT / A&M. UT and A&M have several peers in their conference that match or can exceed what those two schools spend. There is no one in the Big XII that is coming anywhere close to matching the amount of money Tech dramatically infused into its program. As such that creates a significant advantage for Tech in the conference. BYU may soon match, but they are not there yet.
With the amount of money Tech put in, you get talent that is already recognized as being really good. They didn't need development at Texas Tech and any further development in their short time there is marginal at best. Tech jumped far ahead of everyone else this year in talent...they bought it already ready to use.
McGuire would not have won 9 games at Baylor this season unless he could have prevented the injuries of the portal players that we did get that were suppose to have upgraded our talent on defense. We should have been better on defense, but we never got to see what those portal players would have brought to the table. They were injured before they ever got started.
This is what is being overlooked by some here. Simply because Tech is running through the Big 12 with its current roster does not mean that it would automatically do the same in either the B1G or the SEC (especially depending on schedule; looking at you 2025 A&M), and, because that is the case, comparing Tech to Texas A&M and Texas does not necessarily make sense in this particular context. For reference, the 2025 247 Team Talent Composite pegs Tech at #29, and Tech has not played any teams higher than its own rank, let alone top 10 programs in that ranking such as Texas A&M or Texas. Further, and to Blackie's point, many programs within the SEC and B1G have rosters of a similar (or better) overall quality - 15 SEC teams in the top 28 of the 247 Team Talent Composite and 8 B1G teams in the same.
Is Tech better than many of the teams ranked in front of it? Certainly, but the notion that what is currently happening at Tech is a transferable skill for the HC is a bit naive in the sense that there may not be another team in all of FBS that has such a significant NIL advantage over its conference mates. To that end, one could easily argue that Tech could have won 10+ games on its 2025 schedule on autopilot, while programs like Texas A&M and Texas could spend the same and not land such results given the spending of their conference mates and their 2025 schedules.
A coach's job at any level is to get the most he possibly can out of any team he coaches. For some program's, like Tech before Cody Campbell's spending spree, that means achieving consistent winning seasons. In Tech's current situation, that means winning championships. Joey has largely maximized the talent he's had in Lubbock the entire time he's been there. They've exceeded their Vegas over/under in three of the four years he's been there and missed by half a game in the one season they didn't.
Dave, meanwhile, has had one season in six at Baylor that wasn't a disappointment in one way or another. Even the fool's gold 2024 season started at 2-4, with three Big 12 losses before the conference race had ever even really begun.
Give me Joey McGuire over the **** we've had to watch under our current head coach 100 times out of 100.
Sure, but no one in this thread has made the argument that Aranda has out performed McGuire in the full NIL era (2022-on), so the purpose is the comparison is unclear.
If 2025 Baylor had Tech's $28M+ NIL budget/roster and schedule (sub Auburn for Oregon State, 5/12 regular season opponents being bowl eligible teams instead of 9/12, etc.) but had Aranda at HC, it too could have likely auto piloted to a similar high number of wins. Some may disagree, but they may not be fully understanding, for example, just how much more talented Tech's roster (including its defensive line) is vs the rest of the Big 12 or how Tech missed the middle of the Big 12 in its entirety other than Arizona State (Arizona, ISU, TCU, and Cincinnati), which it lost to (yes, without its QB).
Edit: One could actually go a step further and argue that Baylor would likely have won between 7-8 regular season games with its current roster/staff if it had played Tech's 2025 schedule instead of Baylor's 2025 schedule, and that take wouldn't be particularly unreasonable. In such a scenario, the only likely certainly losses would have been Arizona State, Houston, BYU and Utah.