whitetrash said:
Aberzombie1892 said:
Wapiti said:
Aberzombie1892 said:
TeamPlayer said:
Hey, I enjoy kicking A&M right now too, but I'm afraid we are going to see them take the next step in 2020. If you think their "former students" are annoying now, wait until they win the SEC. It might make me move out of Texas again.
It would be interesting if they did take the next step, but anything less than a top 2 finish in the SEC West leaves Texas A&M where they've always been, and, given their schedule includes @Mike Leach's MSU, @Auburn, @Alabama, LSU, and Lane Kiffin's Ole Miss, it seems unlikely that Texas A&M will reach that mark.
Tall order for A$M to beat Bama, LSU, AU. The rest of the West of just bad to mediocre at best. New coaches at Ole Miss, Miss, Arkanas won't change that.
A&M virtually always loses more games than it is expected to. It was true before the change to the SEC, it was true under Sumlin, and it's been true so far under Fisher, so there is no real reason to expect otherwise at this point.
They really didn't this past year. Lost all 5 games they had virtually no chance in (LSU/Bama/Clemson/UGA/Auburn). Won their 6 patsies that will still be patsies in 2020 (Ark/SC/Ole Miss/3 pushover noncons). Managed to win both of their only games against evenly matched competition (MissSt/OkSt).
And they get to replace 14-1 Clemson and 12-2 UGa with 5-7 Colorado and 3-9 Vandy in 2020. Plus outside chances against a retooling LSU and a Bama without a clearcut superstar QB.
Last year was an anomaly (i.e. why the "almost" in front of always).
In terms of unexpected losses: in 2018, they lost to MSU; in 2017, they lost to UCLA; in 2016, they lost to MSU/Ole Miss; and the list goes on. Like in 2019, lightening previously struck in 2012, but no unexpected losses in only 2/8 years in the SEC across two highly compensated coaches does not build confidence in Texas A&M given their budget and recruiting, especially when they lost their most recent conference game 50-7 in the worst loss in terms of final score that 2019 LSU levied on any P5 team.
In 2020, they could perform at exactly the same level in 2020 as they did in 2019 and improve slightly in the W/L column due to Clemson and Georgia falling off of the schedule, but the question is whether they will reach the next step by stringing together two seasons of no unexpected losses. At this moment in time, that means beating essentially everyone other than Alabama and LSU, and, other than Texas A&M's first year in the SEC (with essentially only a Big 12 roster), that program has not otherwise finished with only two losses in the history of its time either in the SEC or in the Big 12. Beyond Alabama and LSU, the obvious question marks for A&M are Auburn, Arkansas, Ole Miss, and MS State, and, even though three of the latter four teams have new staff, it would still be surprising if Texas A&M went undefeated against that group.
Who knows? Maybe Texas A&M will finish the regular season 10-2. Of course, on the other hand, given that PFF's early 2020 preseason CFB rankings don't have A&M included in the top 25, maybe they won't.