2024

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Redbrickbear
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In reply to boognish_bear • 7:33p, 11/8/23
boognish_bear said:


Guy is far too smart to deal with GOP leaders all day.

They would not even understand the idea of have an outsider host the debate
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whiterock
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In reply to Mothra • 6:41a, 11/9/23
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
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Mothra
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In reply to whiterock • 6:48a, 11/9/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
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whiterock
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In reply to Mothra • 6:57a, 11/9/23
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Mothra • 7:02a, 11/9/23
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
the GOP needs more Scott Presler. If you dont know, you should..
Adopt-a-Bear 2024

#90 COOPER LANZ ( DL )
CLASS Junior
HT/WT 6' 3", 288 lbs


#50 KAIAN ROBERTS-DAY ( DL )
CLASS Sophomore
HT/WT 6' 3", 273 lbs
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Mothra
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In reply to whiterock • 7:05a, 11/9/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
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whiterock
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In reply to Mothra • 7:36a, 11/9/23
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


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whiterock
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In reply to whiterock • 8:01a, 11/9/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


for the Haley fans. Not the most accurate of the polling units, but a notable showing for Haley. So who are they polling?


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whiterock
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In reply to boognish_bear • 8:25a, 11/9/23
boognish_bear said:

LOL

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Redbrickbear
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8:54a, 11/9/23
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Mothra
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In reply to whiterock • 8:56a, 11/9/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Redbrickbear • 9:36a, 11/9/23
Redbrickbear said:
He could be a force, even if he doesnt win this round.. I could see him gaining a following
Adopt-a-Bear 2024

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CLASS Junior
HT/WT 6' 3", 288 lbs


#50 KAIAN ROBERTS-DAY ( DL )
CLASS Sophomore
HT/WT 6' 3", 273 lbs
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Cobretti
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2:43p, 11/9/23
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Cobretti
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4:09p, 11/9/23
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whiterock
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In reply to Mothra • 6:21a, 11/10/23
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).
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FLBear5630
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In reply to whiterock • 6:26a, 11/10/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).


As I have been saying, not one vote has been cast. Yet, we have calls by the Fox media to shut down the Primary season as a waste of time. Trump has a 50 point lead, why bother. No debates because of low ratings. A winner named by polls and a refusal t show up. Yeah, that's America....

Reminds me more of Xi and Putin, how they operate.
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whiterock
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In reply to FLBear5630 • 7:39a, 11/10/23
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).


As I have been saying, not one vote has been cast. Yet, we have calls by the Fox media to shut down the Primary season as a waste of time. Trump has a 50 point lead, why bother. No debates because of low ratings. A winner named by polls and a refusal t show up. Yeah, that's America....

Reminds me more of Xi and Putin, how they operate.

How we operate is by following law in 50 separate states, none of which can legally cancel an election. Everything else is the rough & rumble of politics, which in this particular point only serves to highlight how far Trump is ahead of the field. If we had a bright shiny alternatives, the narrative would be different.
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Cobretti
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8:48a, 11/10/23
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muddybrazos
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Mothra
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In reply to whiterock • 10:04a, 11/10/23
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).
I haven't been wrong. I predicted he would lose in 2020, and that his candidates would lose in 2022, while you continued to tout that fiction. Therein lies the difference between us.

Let me know if you ever get the nerve to back up those predictions with a little friendly wager. My offer still stands.
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Cobretti
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11:11a, 11/10/23
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whiterock
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In reply to Cobretti • 11:57a, 11/10/23
Cobretti said:

Internals on that poll.

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FLBear5630
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In reply to whiterock • 3:22p, 11/10/23
whiterock said:
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).


As I have been saying, not one vote has been cast. Yet, we have calls by the Fox media to shut down the Primary season as a waste of time. Trump has a 50 point lead, why bother. No debates because of low ratings. A winner named by polls and a refusal t show up. Yeah, that's America....

Reminds me more of Xi and Putin, how they operate.

How we operate is by following law in 50 separate states, none of which can legally cancel an election. Everything else is the rough & rumble of politics, which in this particular point only serves to highlight how far Trump is ahead of the field. If we had a bright shiny alternatives, the narrative would be different.
Trump is pushing this narrative to not have competition. Which is why DeSantis and Haley are not blinking. I would bet their numbers show a much closer race than what is being reported.

I think, the Trump huge lead is eroding. Why? The Dems are figurng out that Trump can beat Biden. Biden has performed SO BAD that even Trump can win. You will start to see Halely and DeSantis edge closer in the next 67 days. This also plays into why Manchin is all of a sudden going in, I believe their numbers show he can bleed off the independents not from Biden, but Trump. A moderate option. I also think you may see Hogan go Independent.

Curious to see if I am right.
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Redbrickbear
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9:08a, 11/11/23
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4th and Inches
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In reply to Redbrickbear • 10:27a, 11/11/23
Redbrickbear said:
she shouldnt, she is the CEO who appears to be on vacation all the time while her company reports another quarter of losses
Adopt-a-Bear 2024

#90 COOPER LANZ ( DL )
CLASS Junior
HT/WT 6' 3", 288 lbs


#50 KAIAN ROBERTS-DAY ( DL )
CLASS Sophomore
HT/WT 6' 3", 273 lbs
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10:43a, 11/11/23
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RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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In reply to Cobretti • 11:33a, 11/11/23
Cobretti said:
What a HUGE contrast to the ***** residing in the Oval Office right now.

Biden's hands are tied. It is painfully obvious China Joe is bought and paid for.
"Never underestimate Joe's ability to **** things up!"

-- Barack Obama
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whiterock
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In reply to FLBear5630 • 2:47p, 11/11/23
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).


As I have been saying, not one vote has been cast. Yet, we have calls by the Fox media to shut down the Primary season as a waste of time. Trump has a 50 point lead, why bother. No debates because of low ratings. A winner named by polls and a refusal t show up. Yeah, that's America....

Reminds me more of Xi and Putin, how they operate.

How we operate is by following law in 50 separate states, none of which can legally cancel an election. Everything else is the rough & rumble of politics, which in this particular point only serves to highlight how far Trump is ahead of the field. If we had a bright shiny alternatives, the narrative would be different.
Trump is pushing this narrative to not have competition. Which is why DeSantis and Haley are not blinking. I would bet their numbers show a much closer race than what is being reported.

I think, the Trump huge lead is eroding. Why? The Dems are figurng out that Trump can beat Biden. Biden has performed SO BAD that even Trump can win. You will start to see Halely and DeSantis edge closer in the next 67 days. This also plays into why Manchin is all of a sudden going in, I believe their numbers show he can bleed off the independents not from Biden, but Trump. A moderate option. I also think you may see Hogan go Independent.

Curious to see if I am right.

Don't see much indicator of erosion. His number is 50/60-something in virtually every poll. Sure, the avg might be down a point or three, but the MOE in these polls is that or a little more, so there's no collapse going on at all.

Below that, though, things a quite a bit more fluid. This guy is an anti-Trumper who has soured big time on RDS but he's noting data that I've seen elsewhere a few times. Haley may have stronger legs that RDS as we get deep in the primaries.

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In reply to whiterock • 4:03p, 11/11/23
whiterock said:
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
FLBear5630 said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
whiterock said:
Mothra said:
Another bad election night for the Repubs, unfortunately.

But I am sure we can all trust Trump to do much better.
Perhaps the biggest fatality of the night was the "our problem is Trump" narrative (see 538 comments above). Equally strong case can be made that NOT having Trump out campaigning cost us the KY gov race.

It's the abortion issue and the mail-in turnout vote. Dems are getting exceedingly high turnout from traditionally low-turnout blue demographics, particularly single professional women. If we don't match that effort, Dreher's comments are going to be an epitaph for several cycles.

put down the your yellow-haired fetish doll and start thinking again.....
Yes, we needed more Trump, because that really helped Republicans get elected in 2022. Good idea.
probably would have made the difference in KY Gov race.
Amen, because Trump did wonders for MAGA candidates in 2022. Remember that red wave you predicted?

You're batting .000, bud.
You're making it up.


Making up the fact you haven't been right about an election in years? 2020 and 2022 say otherwise.

But maybe this time you'll get it right and Trump will win in a landslide.
My predictions have mostly correct, literally uniformly so for the last 12 months. More importantly, I understand why I was wrong where I was wrong, unlike you, who cannot put down the yellow-haired fetish doll. I fall we do is change the top of the ticket and leave everything else static, we will more likely do a little worse than better.

Trump very well may win in a landslide. We have polls from highly respected units showing exactly that. Also polls from highly respected units showing a close race that leans very slightly (within margin of error) against him. Those two different polling results are not so much a factor of accuracy, but a factor of "which universe" each unit is polling. The outcome is easy to answer: the side that wins is the side that does a better job of turning out its voters = the universe represented in the polls most favorable to him. Democrats do have an edge in that effort, due to their very sophisticated mail-in voting operations. But mitigating that advantage is the reality that the issues dominating the cycle are turning very sharply against them (as I forecasted they would).


As I have been saying, not one vote has been cast. Yet, we have calls by the Fox media to shut down the Primary season as a waste of time. Trump has a 50 point lead, why bother. No debates because of low ratings. A winner named by polls and a refusal t show up. Yeah, that's America....

Reminds me more of Xi and Putin, how they operate.

How we operate is by following law in 50 separate states, none of which can legally cancel an election. Everything else is the rough & rumble of politics, which in this particular point only serves to highlight how far Trump is ahead of the field. If we had a bright shiny alternatives, the narrative would be different.
Trump is pushing this narrative to not have competition. Which is why DeSantis and Haley are not blinking. I would bet their numbers show a much closer race than what is being reported.

I think, the Trump huge lead is eroding. Why? The Dems are figurng out that Trump can beat Biden. Biden has performed SO BAD that even Trump can win. You will start to see Halely and DeSantis edge closer in the next 67 days. This also plays into why Manchin is all of a sudden going in, I believe their numbers show he can bleed off the independents not from Biden, but Trump. A moderate option. I also think you may see Hogan go Independent.

Curious to see if I am right.

Don't see much indicator of erosion. His number is 50/60-something in virtually every poll. Sure, the avg might be down a point or three, but the MOE in these polls is that or a little more, so there's no collapse going on at all.

Below that, though, things a quite a bit more fluid. This guy is an anti-Trumper who has soured big time on RDS but he's noting data that I've seen elsewhere a few times. Haley may have stronger legs that RDS as we get deep in the primaries.

We'll see. The more they tout Haley and DeSantis the better for your position.
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boognish_bear
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