Little kids in Harlem to President Trump as he visits their neighborhood:
— Karoline Leavitt (@kleavittnh) April 16, 2024
“I love you, Trump!” ♥️ pic.twitter.com/G1CLOAjHXb
Psalm 119:36
Little kids in Harlem to President Trump as he visits their neighborhood:
— Karoline Leavitt (@kleavittnh) April 16, 2024
“I love you, Trump!” ♥️ pic.twitter.com/G1CLOAjHXb
Sane Democrat is an oxymoron these days. They are EXTREMELY rare. John Fetterman has become the voice of reason of your party. I never saw that coming!Waco1947 said:I enjoy voting for sane Democrats4th and Inches said:very binary way of viewing your voteWaco1947 said:Yes, lol, I do but it is sad my Texas counts for nothing.4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
You can always enjoy voting for crazy ass liberals in the local elections
Biden Job Approval:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 17, 2024
Approve 43%
Disapprove 56%
.@EchelonInsights, 1,020 LV, 4/12-14 https://t.co/XUSFJ7CEou
2024 National GE, Among Independents:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 17, 2024
Trump 46% (+11)
Biden 35%
.@Civiqs/@dailykos, 1,161 RV, 4/13-16 https://t.co/xlbOmopBy1
Which is it, sane or Democrat? Both is not an option anymore.Waco1947 said:I enjoy voting for sane Democrats4th and Inches said:very binary way of viewing your voteWaco1947 said:Yes, lol, I do but it is sad my Texas counts for nothing.4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
You can always enjoy voting for crazy ass liberals in the local elections
i used to, i havent met one recently..Waco1947 said:I enjoy voting for sane Democrats4th and Inches said:very binary way of viewing your voteWaco1947 said:Yes, lol, I do but it is sad my Texas counts for nothing.4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
You can always enjoy voting for crazy ass liberals in the local elections
4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
Of course it is. When the early National polls came out and showed him ahead it was proof Trump should be the Candidate. When the same argument was used, anyone that said them had TDS.4th and Inches said:its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
He lost the popular by 2 and won in 16 by 77k
He lost the popular by 4-5 and lost in 20 by 76k
He is winning all the battleground polls but one..
Also, its like 6 months away from election day..
If Trump should win, I'll be expecting the "collusion", "Illegitimate", "The Vote was Suppressed" line from the left. I'll also expect to cities to burn when the collective left lose their sh*tFLBear5630 said:Of course it is. When the early National polls came out and showed him ahead it was proof Trump should be the Candidate. When the same argument was used, anyone that said them had TDS.4th and Inches said:its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
He lost the popular by 2 and won in 16 by 77k
He lost the popular by 4-5 and lost in 20 by 76k
He is winning all the battleground polls but one..
Also, its like 6 months away from election day..
He may not be the lock you guys think. He is a highly flawed and polarizing candidate. He may make for good entertainment, but those numbers will close as we get closer to pulling the handle in the election booth.
I am expecting the "be prepared for the Dems to steal the election" line to start in a few months.
We are down to these three, what a friggin mess.
I am sure there will be that part of the Left that will react like idiots. Neither Left or Right has a monopoly on poor behavior. You think the GOP will ever get a real conservative Speaker?Whiskey Pete said:If Trump should win, I'll be expecting the "collusion", "Illegitimate", "The Vote was Suppressed" line from the left. I'll also expect to cities to burn when the collective left lose their sh*tFLBear5630 said:Of course it is. When the early National polls came out and showed him ahead it was proof Trump should be the Candidate. When the same argument was used, anyone that said them had TDS.4th and Inches said:its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
He lost the popular by 2 and won in 16 by 77k
He lost the popular by 4-5 and lost in 20 by 76k
He is winning all the battleground polls but one..
Also, its like 6 months away from election day..
He may not be the lock you guys think. He is a highly flawed and polarizing candidate. He may make for good entertainment, but those numbers will close as we get closer to pulling the handle in the election booth.
I am expecting the "be prepared for the Dems to steal the election" line to start in a few months.
We are down to these three, what a friggin mess.
it was pointed out that Trump never had the lead in a national poll in 16 and 20FLBear5630 said:Of course it is. When the early National polls came out and showed him ahead it was proof Trump should be the Candidate. When the same argument was used, anyone that said them had TDS.4th and Inches said:its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
He lost the popular by 2 and won in 16 by 77k
He lost the popular by 4-5 and lost in 20 by 76k
He is winning all the battleground polls but one..
Also, its like 6 months away from election day..
He may not be the lock you guys think. He is a highly flawed and polarizing candidate. He may make for good entertainment, but those numbers will close as we get closer to pulling the handle in the election booth.
I am expecting the "be prepared for the Dems to steal the election" line to start in a few months.
We are down to these three, what a friggin mess.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Fox News Poll (+/- shift vs previous poll)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 18, 2024
WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden 43% (+4)
🟥 Trump 41% (-1)
🟨 RFK Jr 9% (+2)
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 2%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 44% (+2)
🟦 Biden 42% (=)
🟨 RFK Jr 8% (+1)
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 1%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 42% (=)
🟦 Biden 40%… https://t.co/B39De0QeMj pic.twitter.com/g681cUBKuL
FLBear5630 said:You think the GOP will ever get a real conservative Speaker?Whiskey Pete said:If Trump should win, I'll be expecting the "collusion", "Illegitimate", "The Vote was Suppressed" line from the left. I'll also expect to cities to burn when the collective left lose their sh*tFLBear5630 said:Of course it is. When the early National polls came out and showed him ahead it was proof Trump should be the Candidate. When the same argument was used, anyone that said them had TDS.4th and Inches said:its a national poll.. we dont vote nationallyFLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
He lost the popular by 2 and won in 16 by 77k
He lost the popular by 4-5 and lost in 20 by 76k
He is winning all the battleground polls but one..
Also, its like 6 months away from election day..
He may not be the lock you guys think. He is a highly flawed and polarizing candidate. He may make for good entertainment, but those numbers will close as we get closer to pulling the handle in the election booth.
I am expecting the "be prepared for the Dems to steal the election" line to start in a few months.
We are down to these three, what a friggin mess.
#NEW General Election Poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) April 18, 2024
🔴 Trump 51% (+3) {51% April 3}
🔵 Biden 48% {49% April 3}
Emerson #9 - 1,308 RV - 4/17
Trump in 2018: “I'm not above the law. I never want anybody to be above the law.” https://t.co/Vzefie5ohN pic.twitter.com/Axhej2dZrI
— Republican Voters Against Trump (@AccountableGOP) April 19, 2024
Do you see a conflict between those two statements?boognish_bear said:Trump in 2018: “I'm not above the law. I never want anybody to be above the law.” https://t.co/Vzefie5ohN pic.twitter.com/Axhej2dZrI
— Republican Voters Against Trump (@AccountableGOP) April 19, 2024
Mike Pence: “I’ve just made it clear that I will not be endorsing Donald Trump in this campaign. But I’ll keep my vote on my own and I’ll vote according to my conscience in private just like every American will.”pic.twitter.com/NjjTKKCnyD
— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) April 19, 2024
Mike Pence has put more people to sleep than Mike Lindell.boognish_bear said:Mike Pence: “I’ve just made it clear that I will not be endorsing Donald Trump in this campaign. But I’ll keep my vote on my own and I’ll vote according to my conscience in private just like every American will.”pic.twitter.com/NjjTKKCnyD
— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) April 19, 2024
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Mike Pence has put more people to sleep than Mike Lindell.boognish_bear said:Mike Pence: “I’ve just made it clear that I will not be endorsing Donald Trump in this campaign. But I’ll keep my vote on my own and I’ll vote according to my conscience in private just like every American will.”pic.twitter.com/NjjTKKCnyD
— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) April 19, 2024
I wanted DeSantis.boognish_bear said:RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Mike Pence has put more people to sleep than Mike Lindell.boognish_bear said:Mike Pence: “I’ve just made it clear that I will not be endorsing Donald Trump in this campaign. But I’ll keep my vote on my own and I’ll vote according to my conscience in private just like every American will.”pic.twitter.com/NjjTKKCnyD
— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) April 19, 2024
I would take boring ass Pence over Trump 1,000 times over
boognish_bear said:
Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
Redbrickbear said:RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
Can't wait until the Democrat National Convention in Chicago. The ragheads will be out in force. Popcorn ready. It should be the last nail in the coffin for China Joe's reelection hopes.historian said:RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
That's the Democrats playbook. They will throw in violence, too, in some years. See 2020.
boognish_bear said:Redbrickbear said:RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
That movie is so damn good
RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Can't wait until the Democrat National Convention in Chicago. The ragheads will be out in force. Popcorn ready. It should be the last nail in the coffin for China Joe's reelection hopes.historian said:RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Vote early. Vote often.Redbrickbear said:boognish_bear said:
He knows how the game is played
You either ban this stuff completely.
Or you jump in and learn how to use the system to your advantage
That's the Democrats playbook. They will throw in violence, too, in some years. See 2020.
I certainly haven't said that. i note the full range.FLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
Whiterock, just want to say. I enjoy your posts and conversations. I appreciate you don't go personal and the times we have it has been in a heated discussion not ongoing. Keep it up. Too much attention goes to the idiots, I need to give props to those that do good.whiterock said:I certainly haven't said that. i note the full range.FLBear5630 said:4th and Inches said:lol, you do realize national polls dont mean squat right?Waco1947 said:Good newsboognish_bear said:
Funny how any poll showing that Trump may be losing support is meaningless.
There are general factors: variance between polling firms is largely a function of different assumptions about "who is going to vote." Polling firms have to FIRST make assumptions about who is going to vote, then poll that cohort. That's why "all adults" polls tend to be less accurate than "registered voters" polls, which tend to be less accurate than "likely voters." The "all adult" polls are not irrelevant, but they are also full of people who are not likely to vote.
Then there are factors unique to the cycle. This one (and the last few & next few) will be even harder to poll than normal, give the political realignments going on - the leftward move of the educated & higher income parts of the electorate (particularly whites) and related rightward move of the working classes of all races. The most obvious manifestation of this can be seen with low-propensity voters. My entire adult life, Republicans were a smaller cohort of higher-propensity voters, and Democrats were the low-propensity voters......Dems tended to win elections with ginormous turnout, while Republicans tended to win the lower turnout cycles. That is the genesis of moderate Republican aversion to "setting our hair on fire." Don't do anything to fire up the Dems, lest they come boiling out of the woodworks. The 2012 Romney campaign was the apogee of such thinking - they literally hired several key Tea Party leaders of the massive 2010 wave that spawned a 70+ seat swing to GOP control.....and sent them around the country to tell all the TP groups to stay quiet. They did not want to do anything to anger Democrats. Flash forward a decade to the Trump era, and the evolution in turnout is nearly complete. It is Republicans who depend on the low-propensity voter (and need a Trump-type populist candidate to turn them out.) Bot old-school GOP-ers (and your thinking leans this way) see the Trump-schtick as exactly the kind of stuff that brings about the old concerns about firing up Dem turnout of lower-propensity voters. One problem - now it is the GOP which needs the theatrics to fire up its base of lower-propensity voters....
Most polls show Trump winning the independent vote comfortably. The problem is....the independent vote IS predominantly lower-propensity voters. Trump has to turn them out to win. And, at least when HE is on the ballot, he typically does. On election day, he typically does out-perform his polling.
Within that context, Dems are using mail-in voting to to offset their turnout disadvantage. Some of this is real - single professional women are lower-propensity votes unless an issue important to them (like abortion) is on the ballot, in which case the come boiling out of the woodwork. And, of course, some of Dem turnout is pure shenanigan - ballot harvesting and outright fraud.