Psalm 119:36
Jacques Strap said:My background is in law enforcement. Yes, I own a glock.pic.twitter.com/gTbjrEMCPA
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) October 8, 2024
they aren't ridiculously fluctuating. the individual firms themselves have been pretty stable. They reflected a bounce for Harris after she was appointed - partly genuine as some of the anti-Biden vote came home from 3rd party candidates, and partly as a function of assumptions about increased enthusiasm (higher turnout). The debate also bolstered her a point or two in most polls, but it seems like it was also mostly Dems coming home rather than wooing over independents. Now, we're seeing most polls show the undecided starting to break for Trump, particularly in the Great Lakes swing states. None of that should be surprising. Kamala is not a strong candidate, and she is the defacto incumbent for a highly unpopular administration facing a long list of bad metrics on the issues most important to most voters - particularly the economy and border. Trump is running stronger on all of those issues because his longstanding policies are popular with 60-80% of the electorate. And some of Kamala's bump was "push" by media establishments in the tank for Democrats. Good news is, it seems like the "politics of joy" might not be enough to get her across the finish line.KaiBear said:
I put as much faith in these ridiculously fluctuating polls as the breathlessly dramatic hurricane warmings that have been the media rage over the last 5-8 years.
Harris is the odds on favorite to be our next commander in chief.
If you liked her speech in Europe with 200,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border ……gonna love her next blunder involving China.
#NEW BATTLEGROUND STATES poll, on the top issues
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 11, 2024
🔴 Immigration: Trump+16 (52%-36%)
🔴 Costs: Trump+11 (50%-39%)
🔴 Economy: Trump+10 (50%-40%)
WSJ | Sept. 28-Oct. 8 | N=2,100RV
JIM CRAMER: “I DON’T SEE HOW HE [DONALD TRUMP] WINS”
— Inverse Cramer (Not Jim Cramer) (@CramerTracker) October 11, 2024
There it is
The Trump-endorsed Senate Candidate in Arizona, @KariLake, crushed her Liberal Democrat Opponent last night, Radical Ruben Gallego. Kari will help me Secure our Border, Stop Inflation, and MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! In-person and absentee voting has now started in Arizona, so get… pic.twitter.com/BspNbR8AFW
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 11, 2024
I will cut the price of ENERGY and ELECTRICITY in HALF within 12 months. We will seriously expedite our environmental approvals, and quickly double our electricity capacity. This will DRIVE DOWN INFLATION, and make AMERICA and MICHIGAN the best place on earth to build a factory… pic.twitter.com/N3UFtLXf8L
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 10, 2024
Obama admits a total lack of enthusiasm for Kamala, especially with Black Men. I think Obama will be voting for me because he doesn’t like the fact that Kamala is an extremely Low IQ Person!
— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) October 11, 2024
Donald Trump Truth Social 08:30 AM EST 10/11/24 @realDonaldTrump
Baris said his poll will show a Trump lead in MICHIGAN. Not 4 points, but a clear lead. If this holds, the Top 3 2020 Michigan pollsters will show a Trump lead there (Atlas Intel, Insider Advantage, and Big Data Poll (Baris).
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 11, 2024
Trump to join Fox News town hall with only women in audience https://t.co/fLM1p4cYRb
— Axios (@axios) October 11, 2024
historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Agree with you there. Obama is smart and an excellent Political operator. I disagree with his politics, but I do not underestimate his ability to win. He and Bill Clinton have the same ability to read the room.KaiBear said:historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Dems aren't stupid.
Obama knows his audience.
WATCH: Kamala Harris suffers from a black voter enthusiasm problem - according to Barack Obama.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 11, 2024
Georgia GOP Chairman @JoshMcKoon: "She has to win over 90% of the black voter here in Georgia to really put this in play."
"She's in the mid-70s."pic.twitter.com/7itbuj8nj3
Slick Wille was legendary for that. 99th percentile people skills.FLBear5630 said:Agree with you there. Obama is smart and an excellent Political operator. I disagree with his politics, but I do not underestimate his ability to win. He and Bill Clinton have the same ability to read the room.KaiBear said:historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Dems aren't stupid.
Obama knows his audience.
Funny, I know a lady grew up in East Germany. Hated Clinton. Got invited to the White House for an award ceremony. When she came back asked what she said when she met him. She said when he talked to me, everyone else faded away and I wanted to believe him. She went in comparing to the Stasi, left more scared because she didn't think he would be able to sway her and did. She still can't stand him after she left, but when she was in the room... This is a tough no-nonsense East German lady that hates big govt. People underestimate how persuasive these people are to get where they are.
wont helpKaiBear said:historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Dems aren't stupid.
Obama knows his audience.
🚨 BREAKING: For the first time in North Carolina history, Republicans have MORE ACTIVE VOTERS than Democrats (+3,371)
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 12, 2024
Over the last week, Republicans out-registered Democrats in North Carolina MORE than 2-to-1:
🔴 Republicans: +11,338
🔵 Democrats: +5,436
Data: @MichaelPruser
4th and Inches said:wont helpKaiBear said:historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Dems aren't stupid.
Obama knows his audience.
maybe.. i dont think it will help.. Obama wasnt helpful to the black community. This is his version "if you dont vote for me, you aint black"KaiBear said:4th and Inches said:wont helpKaiBear said:historian said:
Kamala might be in even bigger trouble than people thought:
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/obama-kamala-doesnt-excite-black-americans-watch-n2402039
Dems aren't stupid.
Obama knows his audience.
It will help motivate black gals to provide 'direction' to black men.
Combined with a clever manipulation of what a real man is.
#NEW VOTE-BY-MAIL requests weekly update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 12, 2024
PENNSYLVANIA:
🔵 Democratic: 60.4% [-1.3]
🔴 Republican: 28% [+1]
✅ GOP gain from 2020: R+8.6
NORTH CAROLINA:
🔵 Democratic: 35.4% [-0.6]
🔴 Republican: 25.3% [+0.3]
✅ GOP gain from 2020: R+17.9
[Change in last week]
Data:…
I don’t think any of these people realize just how crazy unstable a situation it is when the men begin to abandon you en masse. This is a real “chuckles, I’m in danger” moment that is just now kicking off in earnest. https://t.co/KwbmCEEsMB
— Edward Badgette (@acrimonyand) October 11, 2024
She might not need that much (90%) if they cheat enough.whiterock said:
when you have a vote share problem, you also have a voter enthusiasm problem. Kamala is not only at risk of getting too small a percentage of the black vote; she's at risk of getting too small a percentage of a lower overall turnout of black vote. Bad math ensues.WATCH: Kamala Harris suffers from a black voter enthusiasm problem - according to Barack Obama.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 11, 2024
Georgia GOP Chairman @JoshMcKoon: "She has to win over 90% of the black voter here in Georgia to really put this in play."
"She's in the mid-70s."pic.twitter.com/7itbuj8nj3
Odds Republicans sweep the Presidency, House, and Senate are up to 39%. pic.twitter.com/3hboH7fSSi
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 11, 2024
"If Trump wins on November 5, it will be because of his support from a majority of white America. As a white American, and a white American man to boot, I’ve got to say, in the immortal words of Pogo: We have met the enemy and he is us."https://t.co/eL41x5f3LO
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) October 11, 2024
KaiBear said:
Historian…..
Unfortunately that is a dying demographic.
Evidenced by the vast number of apartments under construction compared to custom single family houses.
Too many folks don't have the brains or work ethnic to earn that custom home; hence the need for cheap one or two bedroom apartments.
And some of those individuals settle for a life dependent on government handouts .
So they vote Democrat.
Porteroso said:KaiBear said:
Historian…..
Unfortunately that is a dying demographic.
Evidenced by the vast number of apartments under construction compared to custom single family houses.
Too many folks don't have the brains or work ethnic to earn that custom home; hence the need for cheap one or two bedroom apartments.
And some of those individuals settle for a life dependent on government handouts .
So they vote Democrat.
That has to be one of the dumber takes on residences by class ive ever seen. People are too lazy to work? Lol. People are the same as they always are.
yes, the enemy is defintely the current ultra progressive dem party..Jack Bauer said:"If Trump wins on November 5, it will be because of his support from a majority of white America. As a white American, and a white American man to boot, I’ve got to say, in the immortal words of Pogo: We have met the enemy and he is us."https://t.co/eL41x5f3LO
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) October 11, 2024
Their desperation is growing by the day pic.twitter.com/IzCZf5CGEI
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 12, 2024
Can anyone even imagine the national outrage if a Church posted something similar in such racial hyperbole in support of Trump ?Jack Bauer said:Their desperation is growing by the day pic.twitter.com/IzCZf5CGEI
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 12, 2024
KaiBear said:Can anyone even imagine the national outrage if a Church posted something similar in such racial hyperbole in support of Trump ?Jack Bauer said:Their desperation is growing by the day pic.twitter.com/IzCZf5CGEI
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 12, 2024
How is it our country tolerates such a constant and flagrant double standard ?
My father grew up hopelessly poor in Los Angeles during the Great Depression.Jack Bauer said:KaiBear said:Can anyone even imagine the national outrage if a Church posted something similar in such racial hyperbole in support of Trump ?Jack Bauer said:Their desperation is growing by the day pic.twitter.com/IzCZf5CGEI
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 12, 2024
How is it our country tolerates such a constant and flagrant double standard ?
What an insult to previous generations.
Can you imagine comparing your struggles today to those of your grandparents during the Great Depression and WW II?