2026 Mid-Term Elections

31,189 Views | 520 Replies | Last: 10 hrs ago by whiterock
RD2WINAGNBEAR86
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whiterock said:

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

J.R. said:

R's lose the House . Trump impeached again. all his shadiness and grift will come to light via investigation. Throw that crazy mfer in jail where he belongs.

If this unpopular war with Iran drags into 2028, the Dems may very well take back the Presidency if they can find a candidate anywhere remotely close the the middle.


Trump is the middle, buddy…..






Trump can't run again in 2028. The question is will the Dems find a candidate that is not Looney Tunes?
Call it a tax, the people are outraged! Call it a tariff, the people get out their checkbooks and wave their American flags!!!
historian
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Easy answer: no. There are no prominent Dems anywhere that is not a complete nut job dead set on imposing their radical agenda, one overwhelmingly opposed by the people.
whiterock
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Frank Galvin
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whiterock said:



Why are 18 and 22 not on there? Trump was on the ballot in 3 of the 4 elections referenced. It could just as easily be that Trump was underestimated, not the GOP.
Frank Galvin
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historian said:

Easy answer: no. There are no prominent Dems anywhere that is not a complete nut job dead set on imposing their radical agenda, one overwhelmingly opposed by the people.

Mark Kelly
Josh Shapiro
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
Wes Moore
Gavin Newsom
Gretchen Whitmire
Amy Klobuchar
Katie Hobs
JB Prtizker
Abigail Spanberger
Elissa Slotkin
Josh Stein
Jared Polis
Tony Evers



J.R.
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Don't sleep on Osoff.
TWD 1974
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J.R. said:

Don't sleep on Osoff.

A lot of that list will likely make a run, but Ossoff looks like one to watch. What is really interesting to me is the early South Carolina primary, which will be a very big deal. If Kamala doesn't run, and even if she does, a big showing for Ossoff in SC and the pack will be chasing him the rest of the year.
“No eye has seen, no ear has heard, and no mind has imagined what God has prepared for those who love Him.” 1 Corinthians 2:9
historian
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Frank Galvin said:

historian said:

Easy answer: no. There are no prominent Dems anywhere that is not a complete nut job dead set on imposing their radical agenda, one overwhelmingly opposed by the people.

Mark Kelly
Josh Shapiro
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
Wes Moore
Gavin Newsom
Gretchen Whitmire
Amy Klobuchar
Katie Hobs
JB Prtizker
Abigail Spanberger
Elissa Slotkin
Josh Stein
Jared Polis
Tony Evers


All excellent examples of my point. Most are also incredibly corrupt.
whiterock
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Frank Galvin said:

whiterock said:



Why are 18 and 22 not on there? Trump was on the ballot in 3 of the 4 elections referenced. It could just as easily be that Trump was underestimated, not the GOP.

Because they were midterms where Trump was not on the ballot. More to the point, look at the specific wording - "statewide races." (not national polling....)

GOP arguably overperformed in 2018, losing the House (where national popular vote for all races was in line with national polling), but gaining 2 seats in the Senate (again, showing statewide races can diverge from national trends).

In 2022, GOP national outcome (+4) did exceed national polling and the GOP gained several seats, but fell short of gaining control due to Dems running an inside straight using the Dobbs decision to motivate the single career female demo to wildly overperform in both turnout and margin in enough tossup urban/suburban seats to narrowly save control.

Bottom line is - GOP turnout tends to suffer when Trump is NOT on the ballot, because a lot of Trump voters are low propensity voters.

That is another sign of the metamorphosis of the electorate. The low-propensity voter was once the domain of Democrats.
Frank Galvin
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historian said:

Frank Galvin said:

historian said:

Easy answer: no. There are no prominent Dems anywhere that is not a complete nut job dead set on imposing their radical agenda, one overwhelmingly opposed by the people.

Mark Kelly
Josh Shapiro
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
Wes Moore
Gavin Newsom
Gretchen Whitmire
Amy Klobuchar
Katie Hobs
JB Prtizker
Abigail Spanberger
Elissa Slotkin
Josh Stein
Jared Polis
Tony Evers


All excellent examples of my point. Most are also incredibly corrupt.

Says the Trump supporter. LOL.

You are also a hopeless partisan. Your view is that being a Democrat automatically means "radical leftist." No amount of evidence could ever convince you otherwise because you are brainwashed.
Frank Galvin
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whiterock said:

Frank Galvin said:

whiterock said:



Why are 18 and 22 not on there? Trump was on the ballot in 3 of the 4 elections referenced. It could just as easily be that Trump was underestimated, not the GOP.

Because they were midterms where Trump was not on the ballot. More to the point, look at the specific wording - "statewide races." (not national polling....)

GOP arguably overperformed in 2018, losing the House (where national popular vote for all races was in line with national polling), but gaining 2 seats in the Senate (again, showing statewide races can diverge from national trends).

In 2022, GOP national outcome (+4) did exceed national polling and the GOP gained several seats, but fell short of gaining control due to Dems running an inside straight using the Dobbs decision to motivate the single career female demo to wildly overperform in both turnout and margin in enough tossup urban/suburban seats to narrowly save control.

Bottom line is - GOP turnout tends to suffer when Trump is NOT on the ballot, because a lot of Trump voters are low propensity voters.

That is another sign of the metamorphosis of the electorate. The low-propensity voter was once the domain of Democrats.

I don't understand the relevance of your post to the midterm elections then.
historian
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My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.
Frank Galvin
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historian said:

My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.

A man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.
historian
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I see what the politicians show me. Talarico, Abdul, and the rest don't require much interpretation. They are radical, evil, and dangerous. That's true of all of them. It's their own words, their own agenda. I provided multiple examples.
Frank Galvin
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historian said:

I see what the politicians show me. Talarico, Abdul, and the rest don't require much interpretation. They are radical, evil, and dangerous. That's true of all of them. It's their own words, their own agenda. I provided multiple examples.

While the people you refer to above are neither evil, radical, nor dangerous, they are not the people we are discussing. Do you really say the same about Mark Kelly and Josh Shapiro?
historian
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They want to kill babies in the womb, mutilate children, open the borders, abolish ICE, abolish the police, impose socialized medicine, etc. Their agenda is evil. Their support for criminals is evil (including rapists, murderers, pedos, etc). Their support for fraud is evil (& participation). Their obsession with taxing Americans to finance all these evil ideas is doubly evil. Their rejection of the Constitution and American history is evil. Their opposition to the Save Act, deportations, protecting women's sports, and so on is evil. Their support for terrorists & terrorism is evil. Their misogyny & racism is evil. Their TDS is evil. Their lies about everything is evil. The list goes on and on.

Yes, they are evil and dangerous.
J.R.
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historian said:

My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.

Every , Every Democrat and Independents. There is NO Republican Party anymore. You be weird yo, with your fixation on culture wars.
whiterock
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Cook typically over estimates Team Blue. The only question is by how much.

Frank Galvin
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whiterock said:

Cook typically over estimates Team Blue. The only question is by how much.



The Nov. 1, 2024, Cook Political forecast had the GOP with 220-223 house seats. In other words, right on.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-house-election/cook-political-report-2024-house-ratings
whiterock
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J.R. said:

historian said:

My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.

Every , Every Democrat and Independents. There is NO Republican Party anymore. You be weird yo, with your fixation on culture wars.

Pay attention, JR. People firmly rooted in reality on such things are not the culture warriors. The culture warriors are the ones demanding to change the definition of marriage, the definition of what is a boy and what is a girl, the definition of what is a pronoun, the definition of Title IX regarding how to promote and protect "women" in sports, etc…..

whiterock
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whiterock
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Further to that Harvard Harris poll, forget the actual numbers. look at the trend…

historian
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If this trend continues, Republicans could be at or near +10 by November. That's the expectation for places like Texas. It might be closer, but I expect the GOP will win in Michigan, Maine, and other prominent races to retain control of both houses. They might even increase their lead.

It definitely will be good for the country when the voters fire the RINOs who are as destructive as the fascists.
whiterock
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Most important stat of all in the Harvard-Harris poll = turnout. If it ends up looking like this, GOP gains seats in both houses.

whiterock
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For perspective: Harris is an outlier among this cycle's polls. But. Its lead pollster, Mark Lenn, is a Democrat….literally was Bill Clinton's pollster. And his track record ain't shabby.

J.R.
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whiterock said:

J.R. said:

historian said:

My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.

Every , Every Democrat and Independents. There is NO Republican Party anymore. You be weird yo, with your fixation on culture wars.

Pay attention, JR. People firmly rooted in reality on such things are not the culture warriors. The culture warriors are the ones demanding to change the definition of marriage, the definition of what is a boy and what is a girl, the definition of what is a pronoun, the definition of Title IX regarding how to promote and protect "women" in sports, etc…..



yall culture warriors might need a hobby or a job.
whiterock
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A view from Team Blue
whiterock
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whiterock said:

J.R. said:

historian said:

My conclusion is based upon what I've seen. When a "moderate" Dem supports murdering babies in the womb (even moments before birth), mutilating children, open borders, abolishing ICE, abolishing prisons, amnesty for all illegals, taxing everyone much more, socialized medicine, etc ad nauseum, there isn't much point in making distinctions.

Mind you, virtually every Dem politician has advocated these things for quite fond time. That some of them are now moderating their positions because they are afraid of the more radical commies does not impress those of us who are patriots who respect God and the constitution. The Dems, from top to bottom, have opposed both for years.

Every , Every Democrat and Independents. There is NO Republican Party anymore. You be weird yo, with your fixation on culture wars.

Pay attention, JR. People firmly rooted in reality on such things are not the culture warriors. The culture warriors are the ones demanding to change the definition of marriage, the definition of what is a boy and what is a girl, the definition of what is a pronoun, the definition of Title IX regarding how to promote and protect "women" in sports, etc…..



Democrats will never give up on the culture wars. First task of revolutionaries is to destroy normal.
historian
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It's in the Communist Manifesto, their Bible.
whiterock
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A +6 generic ballot would most likely result in a narrow Dem majority in the House and GOP retaining control of the Senate.

whiterock
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To the extent this is accurate, House would be a pure tossup.

 
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