President Trump announces military strikes on Iran: Operation Epic Fury

86,436 Views | 2008 Replies | Last: 41 min ago by The_barBEARian
The_barBEARian
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Realitybites said:

KaiBear said:


Get out of NATO…..yesterday.


Well, yes, but I would have preferred we do that because our NATO allies are slowly turning into -stans allied in a facist political union run from Brussels.

Not because Israel dragged us into another stupid war.


I think any remaining hope of saving parts of Europe is contingent on the dissolution of NATO and the EU.

Unless the natives embrace Nationalism again, and soon, they are completely cooked.

EatMoreSalmon
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Realitybites said:



A March 11 report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies said that 20 to 30 percent of global fertilizer exports, including about 35 percent, of urea shipments, transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2023.



We can't make more than half our own urea! What are we doing to ourselves?

Is our livestock not producing enough?
Do we need beer drinkers to donate?


"In 2024, the United States produced approximately
5.8 million tons of urea, with domestic production rising by about 3.2% compared to 2023. While production increased, the U.S. remained a significant importer, with imports reaching 5.1 million tons to meet high demand."
D. C. Bear
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The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

FLBear5630 said:

Doc Holliday said:




Yeah, I would say. Some idiots think these guys know and do nothing. Guy just dedicated his life to working on protecting American since 9/11. His resignation letter is linked below. You may not agree with all his politics, I don't, but he knows war and intel.

It amazes me that otherwise intelligent people believe that all Government employees do nothing of value.



Joe Kent resignation as posted to Twitter - Joe Kent - Wikipedia

In a real quagmire here, it is a mess now that it is on and finishing Iran seems only logical move, but the cost is going to be too high for little return.


The operation has lasted less than a month so far. It may be a little early to characterize it as being a "real quagmire."

Do you know which war he lost his wife in? I am wondering whether he blames Israel for us removing Saddam from Kuwait or for removing Saddam from Baghdad, or maybe it was some other war he attributes to Israel? Perhaps Afghanistan?

Trump has never done diplomacy properly.


You still support the decision to remove Saddam?

Easily the most counter-productive and destructive move by any President in my lifetime.

It did nothing to benefit America. It did, however, benefit Israel as they thrive on chaos and instability.


We should have removed him promptly after he invaded Kuwait. Could have been in and out in a matter of months.

Israel does not thrive on chaos and instability.


They absolutely do.

They took back the Golan Heights after the Syrian regime feel.

They are now using seizing this moment to take 20% of Lebanon.

And no. We never should have never removed Saddam. He was an oppositional force to Iran. After we removed him, Iranian backed Shia militias took over Iraq. America wasted $8 trillion dollars and ended with nothing to show for it.

Not to mention the Iraq civil war was the prelude to horde of refugee migrants getting displaced from the middle east and invading all of Europe.

I have to assume anyone who says removing Saddam was the right move works for the MIC and personally profit from endless wars.


We should have taken him out in 1991. No endless war needed. We got an "endless" war because we didn't take him out then.
Sam Lowry
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The_barBEARian said:

Redbrickbear said:

KaiBear said:

historian said:

KaiBear said:

During WW2 gas was strictly rationed.



Everything was, at least essential goods were

Yep

Imagine the epic meltdown if our entitled population had to make similar sacrifices during this war ?


And interesting thought experiment would be…can any Western nation today make the sacrifices necessary to win a WWII like struggle?

Not talking "produce as much hardware as they did back then". But a real "can the People and State make the endless sacrifice in money, blood, and physiological stress needed to win"

I suspect the answer is no…..

Most people don't want to die or sacrifice all they have for a post-nation state, post religious order built on making everything a modern mere economic zone

100%

Having a shared culture, history, and lineage can rally a nation around the flag and motivate people to sacrifice for the greater good.



Having an actual threat to confront might help too.
Sam Lowry
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EatMoreSalmon said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

Realitybites said:

The UK, France, and Australia have refused to send ships.


Strange since UK and Australia possess no oil productivity.

Oh well.


Destroy Iranian oil facilities.

Won't take much effort at all.


Why?


For the same reason we sank all of Japan's oil tankers during WW2

To cut off the life blood of their military and economy.

This is not remotely a tough decision.

I thought the purpose here was removing the nuclear threat... not slaughtering millions of people or raise the cost of oil to 100 a barrel.

Unlike Japan, Iran didnt attack America. America attacked Iran.


Iran has been attacking us for the better part of half a century.


That's news to me... I've lived in this country for the nearly 4 decades and never knew Iran had been attacking me this entire time. When did this happen? When did Iran attack American soil?


1979.


Pretty weak argument for Iran attacking us first if I'm being honest.... but you were unlikely to convince me just as I am unlikely to convince you.


I am not particularly worried about "who started it." You could go back to the 1950s when we helped to overthrow a government in Iran. I am more concerned about who will finish it.

Here are two statements:



1. The United States, as a matter of policy, will not allow Iran to become a nuclear power. This has been US policy for decades.

2. The end of the current Iranian government is the only viable way for the second statement to be true because it is not acceptable to the current Iranian government to NOT have nuclear weapons.

I don't blame the government of Iran for wanting nuclear weapons. Once they have them, they get a significant immunity boost. We, and South Korea, will not attack North Korea, even if China decided to cut them off because they have nukes. Iran knows this and they know nukes would give them a significant power upgrade. Iran would also be freed up to continue to spend hundreds of millions of dollars promoting terrorism without threat of serious consequences. It makes a lot of sense for them, but it doesn't make a lot of sense for others.

The solution to the problem of Iran and nuclear weapons is the same as it was last year and the year before that: an end to the Islamic government.

One can reasonably debate whether a big military campaign is the best way to accomplish that goal, and one can debate whether the United States should have adopted a no nukes policy to begin with, but it is pretty clear that you are either going to have a nuclear armed Islamic government in Iran or you are going to have no Islamic government in Iran.

The only slight problem is that you're flying in the face of all available evidence.

Other than that, great analysis.

Who is it that you trust to know the extent of the Iranian nuclear program?

UN inspectors and US intelligence agencies.

I don't think that's unreasonable. But the people who know for sure are the Iraelis, right? Problem is you cannot trust what they say. Facts are not their mission, the survival of Israel is.

The expansion of Israel is their mission, though I suspect survival is a growing concern since the war started. I doubt they know any more about Iran's nuclear program than we do. They couldn't care less about it, in a sense. It's a pretext for action, and if they don't have proof, they're happy to lie.

That's not fair or accurate though. You could say that about Bibi but not the whole country. Survival is the priority for all of them, and yes for some, they see expansion as survival.

They are the only ones who probably have operatives in Iran's nuclear research program even now. Iran arrested dozens yesterday, I think it was, trying to root Israeli spies out.

You can accurately say that many Israelis use the theoretical nuclear Iran as a way to get what they want, but none of us really know how close to reality their nuclear capability is. Certainly not the UN inspectors. The UN isn't even sure how much nuclear material they have, so obviously they never knew where all of it was.

I can buy that they largely put a pause on nuclear weapons development at some point, and that Trump was too hasty in doing away with the treaty. Otherwise they'd have a nuke today. But I cannot buy that the UN knows the entire extent of their nuclear research.


The UN repeatedly reported that they did not have full access to inspect all of Iran's nuclear facilities. Their reports were always of what they saw, but with reservations. There was never definitive word on Iran's nuclear capability. This was pointed out to Sam from the UN website in other threads.

And I probably pointed out that when you say "full access," you're talking about demands that were far in excess of Iran's obligations (and Iran had complied with many of them nonetheless).
EatMoreSalmon
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Sam Lowry said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

Realitybites said:

The UK, France, and Australia have refused to send ships.


Strange since UK and Australia possess no oil productivity.

Oh well.


Destroy Iranian oil facilities.

Won't take much effort at all.


Why?


For the same reason we sank all of Japan's oil tankers during WW2

To cut off the life blood of their military and economy.

This is not remotely a tough decision.

I thought the purpose here was removing the nuclear threat... not slaughtering millions of people or raise the cost of oil to 100 a barrel.

Unlike Japan, Iran didnt attack America. America attacked Iran.


Iran has been attacking us for the better part of half a century.


That's news to me... I've lived in this country for the nearly 4 decades and never knew Iran had been attacking me this entire time. When did this happen? When did Iran attack American soil?


1979.


Pretty weak argument for Iran attacking us first if I'm being honest.... but you were unlikely to convince me just as I am unlikely to convince you.


I am not particularly worried about "who started it." You could go back to the 1950s when we helped to overthrow a government in Iran. I am more concerned about who will finish it.

Here are two statements:



1. The United States, as a matter of policy, will not allow Iran to become a nuclear power. This has been US policy for decades.

2. The end of the current Iranian government is the only viable way for the second statement to be true because it is not acceptable to the current Iranian government to NOT have nuclear weapons.

I don't blame the government of Iran for wanting nuclear weapons. Once they have them, they get a significant immunity boost. We, and South Korea, will not attack North Korea, even if China decided to cut them off because they have nukes. Iran knows this and they know nukes would give them a significant power upgrade. Iran would also be freed up to continue to spend hundreds of millions of dollars promoting terrorism without threat of serious consequences. It makes a lot of sense for them, but it doesn't make a lot of sense for others.

The solution to the problem of Iran and nuclear weapons is the same as it was last year and the year before that: an end to the Islamic government.

One can reasonably debate whether a big military campaign is the best way to accomplish that goal, and one can debate whether the United States should have adopted a no nukes policy to begin with, but it is pretty clear that you are either going to have a nuclear armed Islamic government in Iran or you are going to have no Islamic government in Iran.

The only slight problem is that you're flying in the face of all available evidence.

Other than that, great analysis.

Who is it that you trust to know the extent of the Iranian nuclear program?

UN inspectors and US intelligence agencies.

I don't think that's unreasonable. But the people who know for sure are the Iraelis, right? Problem is you cannot trust what they say. Facts are not their mission, the survival of Israel is.

The expansion of Israel is their mission, though I suspect survival is a growing concern since the war started. I doubt they know any more about Iran's nuclear program than we do. They couldn't care less about it, in a sense. It's a pretext for action, and if they don't have proof, they're happy to lie.

That's not fair or accurate though. You could say that about Bibi but not the whole country. Survival is the priority for all of them, and yes for some, they see expansion as survival.

They are the only ones who probably have operatives in Iran's nuclear research program even now. Iran arrested dozens yesterday, I think it was, trying to root Israeli spies out.

You can accurately say that many Israelis use the theoretical nuclear Iran as a way to get what they want, but none of us really know how close to reality their nuclear capability is. Certainly not the UN inspectors. The UN isn't even sure how much nuclear material they have, so obviously they never knew where all of it was.

I can buy that they largely put a pause on nuclear weapons development at some point, and that Trump was too hasty in doing away with the treaty. Otherwise they'd have a nuke today. But I cannot buy that the UN knows the entire extent of their nuclear research.


The UN repeatedly reported that they did not have full access to inspect all of Iran's nuclear facilities. Their reports were always of what they saw, but with reservations. There was never definitive word on Iran's nuclear capability. This was pointed out to Sam from the UN website in other threads.

And I probably pointed out that when you say "full access," you're talking about demands that were far in excess of Iran's obligations (and Iran had complied with many of them nonetheless).


Even though the UN was concerned about not getting the obligated access.
Sam Lowry
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Redbrickbear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist..

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain…

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


1. Yep, Kent has every right to resign…but not to do the "resistance" nonsense of undermining the President you serve by staying on and doing what you personally want.

2. And on Iran…Trump is right to be mad

We have been doing the heavy lifting on the Ukraine conflict (something that Europeans benefit from having a Ukraine free and aligned with them and a Russia weakened…far more benefit for them…than we would get honestly since it's less important to American security)

And of course there was this little thing called the former-Yugoslavia wars that Europe wanted us to intervene in…something we did for their sake…since we had almost nothing on the line in the balkans. But we led NATO into a military intervention since they wanted the area pacified.

And we have supported them time and again with money & men even when they would not meet basic low levels of NATO spending commitments.

Now Iran tries to choke off the worlds oil supply (all while being a Islamo-fascist regime that has funded terrorism for 40 years and desires a nuclear weapon) and yet now Europe tells us "no luck…sorry we can't help"

Pathetic

The Ukraine war has been a disaster for Europe. They've lost access to Russian energy, made massive investments that will never be returned, exposed their military alliance as a paper tiger, and received nothing but insults from their American ally. It's no wonder they're not interested in another crusade.
ATL Bear
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D. C. Bear said:

FLBear5630 said:

historian said:

boognish_bear said:



It's not unreasonable to expect every country that depends on oil from the Gulf to help escort their tankers through the Gulf. We don't get oil from there anymore because of our large volume of domestic production. In defending Gulf shipping, we are acting on behalf of everyone else.

Nobody asked Trump to do this. There was no coalition. There was no discussion with allies on support. He started a war with Iran because he felt it in his bones, and Netanyahu told him to do so.

I decided to remove a dam without telling you, and now we have flooding problems. It will be in your benefit for the flooding to stop as now your property floods worse than mine. So, pay for it. Your share is... Sound reasonable?

My money is you would be pissed and even possibly sue me. He caused this mess without getting any support. You guys see nothing wrong here?





If the Washington Post reporting is accurate, Saudi Arabia did.

I see plenty wrong here, but I also recognize that we kicked the can down the road for many, many years with half measures and hopium.
I'd argue this is another half measure. I see nothing different than the three or four other times we've tried this.
Sam Lowry
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EatMoreSalmon said:

Sam Lowry said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

Porteroso said:

Sam Lowry said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

D. C. Bear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

The_barBEARian said:

KaiBear said:

Realitybites said:

The UK, France, and Australia have refused to send ships.


Strange since UK and Australia possess no oil productivity.

Oh well.


Destroy Iranian oil facilities.

Won't take much effort at all.


Why?


For the same reason we sank all of Japan's oil tankers during WW2

To cut off the life blood of their military and economy.

This is not remotely a tough decision.

I thought the purpose here was removing the nuclear threat... not slaughtering millions of people or raise the cost of oil to 100 a barrel.

Unlike Japan, Iran didnt attack America. America attacked Iran.


Iran has been attacking us for the better part of half a century.


That's news to me... I've lived in this country for the nearly 4 decades and never knew Iran had been attacking me this entire time. When did this happen? When did Iran attack American soil?


1979.


Pretty weak argument for Iran attacking us first if I'm being honest.... but you were unlikely to convince me just as I am unlikely to convince you.


I am not particularly worried about "who started it." You could go back to the 1950s when we helped to overthrow a government in Iran. I am more concerned about who will finish it.

Here are two statements:



1. The United States, as a matter of policy, will not allow Iran to become a nuclear power. This has been US policy for decades.

2. The end of the current Iranian government is the only viable way for the second statement to be true because it is not acceptable to the current Iranian government to NOT have nuclear weapons.

I don't blame the government of Iran for wanting nuclear weapons. Once they have them, they get a significant immunity boost. We, and South Korea, will not attack North Korea, even if China decided to cut them off because they have nukes. Iran knows this and they know nukes would give them a significant power upgrade. Iran would also be freed up to continue to spend hundreds of millions of dollars promoting terrorism without threat of serious consequences. It makes a lot of sense for them, but it doesn't make a lot of sense for others.

The solution to the problem of Iran and nuclear weapons is the same as it was last year and the year before that: an end to the Islamic government.

One can reasonably debate whether a big military campaign is the best way to accomplish that goal, and one can debate whether the United States should have adopted a no nukes policy to begin with, but it is pretty clear that you are either going to have a nuclear armed Islamic government in Iran or you are going to have no Islamic government in Iran.

The only slight problem is that you're flying in the face of all available evidence.

Other than that, great analysis.

Who is it that you trust to know the extent of the Iranian nuclear program?

UN inspectors and US intelligence agencies.

I don't think that's unreasonable. But the people who know for sure are the Iraelis, right? Problem is you cannot trust what they say. Facts are not their mission, the survival of Israel is.

The expansion of Israel is their mission, though I suspect survival is a growing concern since the war started. I doubt they know any more about Iran's nuclear program than we do. They couldn't care less about it, in a sense. It's a pretext for action, and if they don't have proof, they're happy to lie.

That's not fair or accurate though. You could say that about Bibi but not the whole country. Survival is the priority for all of them, and yes for some, they see expansion as survival.

They are the only ones who probably have operatives in Iran's nuclear research program even now. Iran arrested dozens yesterday, I think it was, trying to root Israeli spies out.

You can accurately say that many Israelis use the theoretical nuclear Iran as a way to get what they want, but none of us really know how close to reality their nuclear capability is. Certainly not the UN inspectors. The UN isn't even sure how much nuclear material they have, so obviously they never knew where all of it was.

I can buy that they largely put a pause on nuclear weapons development at some point, and that Trump was too hasty in doing away with the treaty. Otherwise they'd have a nuke today. But I cannot buy that the UN knows the entire extent of their nuclear research.


The UN repeatedly reported that they did not have full access to inspect all of Iran's nuclear facilities. Their reports were always of what they saw, but with reservations. There was never definitive word on Iran's nuclear capability. This was pointed out to Sam from the UN website in other threads.

And I probably pointed out that when you say "full access," you're talking about demands that were far in excess of Iran's obligations (and Iran had complied with many of them nonetheless).


Even though the UN was concerned about not getting the obligated access.

I don't recall any evidence of that.
Mitch Blood Green
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EatMoreSalmon said:

Realitybites said:



A March 11 report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies said that 20 to 30 percent of global fertilizer exports, including about 35 percent, of urea shipments, transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2023.



We can't make more than half our own urea! What are we doing to ourselves?

Is our livestock not producing enough?
Do we need beer drinkers to donate?


"In 2024, the United States produced approximately
5.8 million tons of urea, with domestic production rising by about 3.2% compared to 2023. While production increased, the U.S. remained a significant importer, with imports reaching 5.1 million tons to meet high demand."


It wasn't a problem until we made it a problem.

The theory of "competitive advantage" states that you specialize in the areas that you have an advantage. As a nation, we were doing that brilliantly, until…
ATL Bear
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KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.


Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.
Sam Lowry
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Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

National Counterterrorism Center resigns over Iran war


And you know what that means….


It means I don't post the link.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/national-counterterrorism-center-resigns-iran-war-rcna263692


What does his resignation mean? I don't know


Embarrassment in the near term. Probably not enough authority to impact the agency.


Another perspective:

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/good-riddance/

At first blush, the resignation of America's Director of the National Counterterrorism Center in wartime indeed, in protest against a war with the world's foremost exporter of Islamist terror is an unnerving development. Fortunately, the former director, Joe Kent, authored an open letter explaining the thinking that led him to abandon his post. A cursory survey of his deliberative process should reassure trepidatious Americans that they're better off without him.

Kent is no snowflake. He was as MAGA as it gets until MAGA went full neocon.
boognish_bear
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ATL Bear
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Mitch Blood Green said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Realitybites said:



A March 11 report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies said that 20 to 30 percent of global fertilizer exports, including about 35 percent, of urea shipments, transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2023.



We can't make more than half our own urea! What are we doing to ourselves?

Is our livestock not producing enough?
Do we need beer drinkers to donate?


"In 2024, the United States produced approximately
5.8 million tons of urea, with domestic production rising by about 3.2% compared to 2023. While production increased, the U.S. remained a significant importer, with imports reaching 5.1 million tons to meet high demand."


It wasn't a problem until we made it a problem.

The theory of "competitive advantage" states that you specialize in the areas that you have an advantage. As a nation, we were doing that brilliantly, until…

Comparative.

But to add to your point, we were also able to manipulate others comparative advantage due to our consumption power and currency.
KaiBear
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ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.

Good grief......it s real ****ing war we are dealing with.

The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.

Bomb the Iranian oil fields and the locals will demand a new government when they begin to go hungry.

Really think the United States gave a **** about price inflaction when we were sinking the huge Japanese oil tanker fleet ?

boognish_bear
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KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.
Mitch Blood Green
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ATL Bear said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Realitybites said:



A March 11 report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies said that 20 to 30 percent of global fertilizer exports, including about 35 percent, of urea shipments, transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2023.



We can't make more than half our own urea! What are we doing to ourselves?

Is our livestock not producing enough?
Do we need beer drinkers to donate?


"In 2024, the United States produced approximately
5.8 million tons of urea, with domestic production rising by about 3.2% compared to 2023. While production increased, the U.S. remained a significant importer, with imports reaching 5.1 million tons to meet high demand."


It wasn't a problem until we made it a problem.

The theory of "competitive advantage" states that you specialize in the areas that you have an advantage. As a nation, we were doing that brilliantly, until…

Comparative.

But to add to your point, we were also able to manipulate others comparative advantage due to our consumption power and currency.


What are your thoughts on Iran pushing yuan for oil. What impact do you see on the US?
william
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KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.

Good grief......it s real ****ing war we are dealing with.

The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.

Bomb the Iranian oil fields and the locals will demand a new government when they begin to go hungry.

Really think the United States gave a **** about price inflaction when we were sinking the huge Japanese oil tanker fleet ?



Ahora regresamos a ...........

- el UF

Whacka Mullah*!

* A Mossad Production

D!

{ eating organic nuts }

{ sipping AZ Sweet Tea }



pro ecclesia, pro javelina
D. C. Bear
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boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.


I don't think it has been stated as a stated goal. Quite the contrary, it has specifically been stated as not a goal.

However, I don't think you get to a solution without it.
boognish_bear
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Hard to know how reliable some of these reports are

Oldbear83
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boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.

Your post suggests you want the mullahs to remain in charge?
J.R.
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KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



while we have an s ton of oil. Oil is not a ubiquitous product . Most of the oil that we refine into gasoline for instance is imported daily from Canada. That Venzualian crude is way heavier than most and is used to make plastics.
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.

Your post suggests you want the mullahs to remain in charge?


Not sure how you are implying that from my question.

Kai was talking about regime change and I wondered if I had missed an update from Trump or the cabinet. The last time I saw the list of stated objectives from Leavitt about a week ago regime change was not on there.
J.R.
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KaiBear said:

historian said:

KaiBear said:

During WW2 gas was strictly rationed.



Everything was, at least essential goods were

Yep

Imagine the epic meltdown if our entitled population had to make similar sacrifices during this war ?

I'm not interested in making sacrifices for the country because I got me some sever bone spurs, but I'm happy to make the sacrifice ordering non-draft dodgers to their death. Nice Piggy you coward.
KaiBear
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J.R. said:

KaiBear said:

historian said:

KaiBear said:

During WW2 gas was strictly rationed.



Everything was, at least essential goods were

Yep

Imagine the epic meltdown if our entitled population had to make similar sacrifices during this war ?

I'm not interested in making sacrifices for the country because I got me some sever bone spurs, but I'm happy to make the sacrifice ordering non-draft dodgers to their death. Nice Piggy you coward.


Non of this even makes sense.


When you are in a war…..be it WW2 or Iran.

You fight to win .

And if anyone is more worried about 4 dollar gas for a few months vs a nuclear detonation in ten years ….they are too stupid to listen to.

We should have never fought for Israel still again.

But here we are.

Got to finish this job the right way.
Sam Lowry
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boognish_bear said:

Hard to know how reliable some of these reports are



This would make sense, especially after the killing of Ali Khamenei, a moderate leader who was the most significant opponent of nuclear weapons in Iran. Larijani was a pragmatist who would have been key to any negotiated solution to the conflict.

That's not a chance that Israel is willing to take.
Wangchung
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boognish_bear said:


Isn't it funny how we get reports in this thread about every successful hit that Iran makes, usually MULTIPLE posts about that one success, but none about the specifics of successful strikes by the U.S.? It's almost like a narrative is being pushed through omission.
Our vibrations were getting nasty. But why? I was puzzled, frustrated... Had we deteriorated to the level of dumb beasts?

boognish_bear
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Oldbear83
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boognish_bear said:

Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.

Your post suggests you want the mullahs to remain in charge?


Not sure how you are implying that from my question.

Kai was talking about regime change and I wondered if I had missed an update from Trump or the cabinet. The last time I saw the list of stated objectives from Leavitt about a week ago regime change was not on there.

Given Iran's undeniable sponsorship of terrorism and nearly half a century of 'Death to America' chants at all levels of their leadership, regime change should be an obvious goal if we could do it.

Osodecentx
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Sam Lowry said:

Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

Osodecentx said:

Mitch Blood Green said:

National Counterterrorism Center resigns over Iran war


And you know what that means….


It means I don't post the link.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/national-counterterrorism-center-resigns-iran-war-rcna263692


What does his resignation mean? I don't know


Embarrassment in the near term. Probably not enough authority to impact the agency.


Another perspective:

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/good-riddance/

At first blush, the resignation of America's Director of the National Counterterrorism Center in wartime indeed, in protest against a war with the world's foremost exporter of Islamist terror is an unnerving development. Fortunately, the former director, Joe Kent, authored an open letter explaining the thinking that led him to abandon his post. A cursory survey of his deliberative process should reassure trepidatious Americans that they're better off without him.

Kent is no snowflake. He was as MAGA as it gets until MAGA went full neocon.


Full neocon? What does that even mean?
A nuclear Iran is an imminent threat
boognish_bear
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.

Your post suggests you want the mullahs to remain in charge?


Not sure how you are implying that from my question.

Kai was talking about regime change and I wondered if I had missed an update from Trump or the cabinet. The last time I saw the list of stated objectives from Leavitt about a week ago regime change was not on there.

Given Iran's undeniable sponsorship of terrorism and nearly half a century of 'Death to America' chants at all levels of their leadership, regime change should be an obvious goal if we could do it.




Is it our goal?
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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Cooper: The president seemed to indicate that he had not been briefed that Iran might strike out at its neighbors or try to shut down the strait of hormuz. Is that conceivable to you?

Bolton: I know for a fact that he was aware of those potentials. I raised the option of regime change in Iran several times during the time I was national security advisor. I never persuaded the president to adopt that position. And one reason was that others had different views. And every time I raised it, they raised a whole long list of difficulties that are entailed by a regime change campaign and if you're going to embark on it, you better have answers to them. And certainly, closing the strait of hormuz was always one of them. And so were attacks on the gulf Arab states, particularly their oil infrastructure. So he knew about it in his first term. I find it hard to believe that he forgot about it in the intervening years.
Oldbear83
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boognish_bear said:

Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:

KaiBear said:

ATL Bear said:

KaiBear said:

BearFan33 said:

Kent did this correctly. If your boss is going in directions you can't support and won't listen to your advice, you resign. You don't resist and undermine like the embedded democrats do.

He's setting himself up for some good talk show money if he choses to go that route.

The conflict drags on. Trump desperately needs oil flow to continue through the straight for political reasons. I'm wondering why we don't escort ships through. I suspect it's currently too risky for our very expensive naval ships. Even if Japan was to mobilize their navy (which is probably modest) how long would it take to get there?

Iran is like if we are going down, we are going to make everyone feel the pain. Is droning the Gulf countries igoing to backfire? We will see.

This is going to really strain relations within NATO and the Ukraine war. Next time Ukraine comes with its hand out, I suspect Trump is going to send them to Europe and rightfully so.


The US economy has its own oil reserves.

Japan, India , China and most of Europe are the ones that need access through the Straits the most.

Past time to bomb Iranian oil facilities.

It's the obvious target.



Squeezing out Iranian supply squeezes everyone's supply, and thus price inflation.



The goal is regime change otherwise these mullah's are going to just keep up their crap.




Has anyone in the cabinet said this is about regime change? I haven't seen that stated as a goal.

Your post suggests you want the mullahs to remain in charge?


Not sure how you are implying that from my question.

Kai was talking about regime change and I wondered if I had missed an update from Trump or the cabinet. The last time I saw the list of stated objectives from Leavitt about a week ago regime change was not on there.

Given Iran's undeniable sponsorship of terrorism and nearly half a century of 'Death to America' chants at all levels of their leadership, regime change should be an obvious goal if we could do it.




Is it our goal?

If you mean we have failed unless we get it, no.

But replacing the mullahs with a new regime compatible with the other nations in the region would mean no threat of nuclear terrorism, trade stability, and a reduced opportunity for China and Russia, so only a Walz-level moron would not include that on a wish list.

 
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