Forest Bueller_bf said:
Buddha Bear said:
quash said:
Oldbear83 said:
TexasScientist said:
Except they say it is appearing that high temperatures aren't going to affect it.
Who says that, exactly?
Link, please
It's hot in NOLA.
I thought that initially as well. It's hot in Thailand (90s everyday). And its spreading quickly here now. We are about 2 weeks behind the US, but it's now doubling every 3 days.
oof.
That '3 day doubling' comment gets used a lot, but from what I understand, testing has been a problem everywhere. For example, my wife has been watching new non-stop since she got home last week (not much else to watch while self-quarantined), and even in the PRC doctors are complaining they don't have enough reliable tests, masks or ventilators.
My point is, the numbers we are getting about 'confirmed' cases vary a bit depending on the source (Worldometer depends on the WHO, mostly, while Johns Hopkins uses a number of media sources, and the CDC uses still different sources), but in each case they are reporting
confirmed cases, meaning patients who have been tested, meaning there are likely a lot of other cases of infection which have not yet been confirmed - the rising numbers therefore can be said to at least partially be an effect of more testing rather than faster infections. It's also important to understand that the death rate presented by the media is based on confirmed cases rather than a real total, so the actual CMR is likely to be lower, but no one yet knows by how much.
I'm trying to find a reliable source which includes the estimated number of people tested, as well as recoveries. I think that data would also be very useful in creating a more reliable geographic profile of this virus' behavior.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier