GEORGIA UPDATE
https://ewerickson.substack.com/p/where-does-brian-kemp-go-for-an-apologyOn April 20, 2020, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp became one of the first governors in America to announce plans to reopen his state. He had been one of the last to impose a shelter-in-place order. Critics had blasted him for waiting so long. He did not impose shelter-in-place until the beginning of April.
Between April 20 and May 1, a recurring trending "hashtag" on Twitter was "KempHasBloodOnHisHands." Democrat politicians and others assailed Kemp, claiming people were going to die because of him. We are more than three weeks from this tweet:
Ron Fournier, formerly of the Associated Press, was not alone in that sentiment. Stacey Abrams took to MSNBC to blast Brian Kemp. President Trump criticized him for reopening saying he "strongly disagreed" with Kemp. The Atlantic ran a hysterically themed article that Georgia was experimenting in human sacrifice. The subtitle of the piece was, "The state is about to find out how many people need to lose their lives to shore up the economy."
We are now not just into the fourth week since Brian Kemp said the state could reopen and fourteen days past the shelter-in-place order expired, we are now past the last major revision of the IHME model, which happened yesterday.
The IHME model is the most widely cited and relied upon model for COVID-19. The White House and Georgia's Governor rely on it. On May 12, the IHME model predicted Georgia would still have hundreds of daily new cases into August and would have 1,783 daily new cases on June 12, 2020.
Yesterday, the IHME model updated and the update was significant. Georgia is now expected to have no cases of the virus by August and only 367 new daily cases on June 12.https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/georgia