People are charging their cars more so I suppose that means they are driving more. Gray (or grey if you prefer) is China.

ATL Bear said:

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Updated virus progression

US:
March 19: 4,530 new cases, 57 new deaths
March 20: 5,594 new cases, 49 new deaths
March 21: 4,824 new cases, 46 new deaths
March 22: 9,339 new cases. 117 new deaths
March 23: 10,168 new cases. 140 new deaths.
March 24: 11,089 new cases. 225 new deaths.
March 25: 13,355 new cases. 247 new deaths.
March 26: 17,224 new cases. 268 new deaths.
March 27: 18,691 new cases. 401 new deaths.
March 28: 19,452 new cases. 525 new deaths
March 29: 18,882 new cases. 264 new deaths
March 30: 20,353 new cases. 573 new deaths.
March 31: 24,742 new cases. 912 new deaths.
April 1: 26,473 new cases. 1049 new deaths.
April 2: 29,874 new cases. 968 new deaths.
April 3: 32,284 new cases. 1,321 new deaths.
April 4: 34,196 new cases. 1,331 new deaths.
April 5: 25,316 new cases. 1,165 new deaths.
April 6: 30,331 new cases. 1,255 new deaths.
April 7: 33,331 new cases. 1,970 new deaths.
April 8: 31,935 new cases. 1,940 new deaths
April 9: 33,536 new cases. 1,900 new deaths.
April 10: 33,752 new cases. 2,035 new deaths.
April 11: 30,003 new cases. 1,830 new deaths
April 12: 27,421 new cases. 1,528 new deaths.
April 13: 26,641 new cases. 1,535 new deaths.
April 14: 30,288 new cases. 6,129 new deaths.
April 15: 30,700 new cases. 2,796 new deaths.
April 16: 31,805 new cases. 2,108 new deaths.
April 17: 31,575 new cases. 2,524 new deaths
April 18: 28,526 new cases. 2,076 new deaths.
April 19: 25,778 new cases. 1,638 new deaths.
April 20: 28,751 new cases. 1,781 new deaths.
April 21: 25,615 new cases. 2,847 new deaths.
April 22: 29,958 new cases. 2,221 new deaths.
April 23: 34,856 new cases. 2,425 new deaths.
April 24: 37,057 new cases. 2,170 new deaths
April 25: 31,750 new cases. 1,797 new deaths.
April 26: 27,155 new cases. 1,333 new deaths.
April 27: 23,917 new cases. 1,308 new deaths.
April 28: 25,324 new cases. 2,368 new deaths.
April 29: 29,012 new cases. 2,426 new deaths.
April 30: 31,471 new cases. 2,233 new deaths.
May 1: 35,052 new cases. 1,872 new deaths.
May 2: 29,253 new cases. 1,573 new deaths.
May 3: 25,213 new cases. 1,265 new deaths.
May 4: 24,094 new cases. 1,355 new deaths.
May 5: 25,685 new cases. 2,339 new deaths.
May 6: 25,568 new cases. 2,456 new deaths.
May 7: 29,693 new cases. 1,953 new deaths.
May 8: 29,255 new cases. 1,710 new deaths.
May 9: 25,179 new cases. 1,465 new deaths.
May 10: 20,082 new cases. 846 new deaths.
May 11: 18,576 new cases. 968 new deaths.
May 12: 22,148 new cases. 1,568 new deaths.

Total cases (tested): 1,402,530
Total deaths: 83,158

Texas:
March 30: 2,906 cases. 41 deaths.
March 31: 3,666 cases. 56 deaths.
April 1: 4,068 cases. 60 deaths
April 2: 4,823 cases. 77 deaths
April 3: 5,658 cases. 97 deaths
April 4: 6,311 cases. 111 deaths
April 5: 7,044 cases. 133 deaths
April 6: 8,088 cases. 151 deaths
April 7: 8,939 cases. 167 deaths
April 8: 10,065 cases. 195 deaths
April 9: 11,426 cases. 222 deaths
April 10: 12,186 cases. 248 deaths.
April 11: 13,205 cases. 267 deaths
April 12: 13,640 cases. 278 deaths
April 13: 14,277 cases. 295 deaths
April 14: 15,013 cases. 345 deaths
April 15: 16,009 cases. 375 deaths.
April 16: 17,265 cases. 429 deaths.
April 17: 18,079 cases. 459 deaths.
April 18: 18,921 cases. 484 deaths.
April 19: 19,404 cases. 500 deaths.
April 20: 20,087 cases. 520 deaths.
April 21: 20,975 cases. 545 deaths
April 22: 21,774 cases. 567 deaths.
April 23: 22,650 cases. 604 deaths
April 24: 23,642 cases. 624 deaths.
April 25: 24,157 cases. 638 deaths.
April 26: 24,968 cases. 651 deaths.
April 27: 25,321 cases. 667 deaths.
April 28: 26,357 cases. 719 deaths.
April 29: 27,390 cases. 759 deaths.
April 30: 28,707 cases. 809 deaths.
May 1: 29,937 cases. 841 deaths.
May 2: 31,163 cases. 865 deaths.
May 3: 31,997 cases. 878 deaths.
May 4: 32,731 cases. 898 deaths.
May 5: 33,755 cases. 924 deaths.
May 6: 34,881 cases. 959 deaths.
May 7: 36,045 cases. 985 deaths.
May 8: 37,417 cases. 1,030 deaths.
May 9: 38,394 cases. 1,066 deaths.
May 10: 39,249 cases. 1,094 deaths.
May 11: 40,589 cases. 1,118 deaths.
May 12: 41,432 cases. 1,146 deaths.

New York:
March 30: 67,325 cases. 1,342 deaths.
March 31: 75,983 cases. 1,714 deaths.
April 1: 83,901 cases. 2,219 deaths. (505 today!)
April 2: 93,053 cases. 2,583 deaths.
April 3: 103,476 cases. 3,218 deaths. (680 today!)
April 4: 114,775 cases. 3,565 deaths.
April 5: 123,018 cases. 4,159 deaths. (594 today)
April 6: 131,916 cases. 4,758 deaths. (599 today)
April 7: 142,384 cases. 5,489 deaths. (731 today)
April 8: 151,171 cases. 6,268 deaths. (779 today)
April 9: 161,504 cases. 7,067 deaths. (799 today)
April 10: 172,358 cases. 7,844 deaths. (777 today)
April 11: 181,144 cases. 8,627 deaths (783 today)
April 12: 189,415 cases. 9,385 deaths (758 today)
April 13: 195,655 cases. 10,056 deaths (671 today)
April 14: 207,168 cases. 14,612 deaths (4,556 today)
April 15: 218,911 cases. 15,648 deaths (1,036 today)
April 16: 227,625 cases. 16,130 deaths (482 today)
April 17: 235,395 cases. 17,131 deaths (1,001 today)
April 18: 242,580 cases. 17,627 deaths (541 today)
April 19: 248,431 cases. 18,298 deaths (671 today)
April 20: 253,324 cases. 18,822 deaths (524 today)
April 21: 258,589 cases. 19,753 deaths (931 today)
April 22: 263,754 cases. 20,255 deaths (501 today)
April 23: 271,162 cases. 20,982 deaths (727 today)
April 24: 279,314 cases. 21,430 deaths (448 today)
April 25: 287,490 cases. 21,802 deaths (372 today)
April 26: 293,696 cases. 22,365 deaths (563 today)
April 27: 298,442 cases. 22,668 deaths (303 today)
April 28: 301,489 cases. 23,134 deaths (466 today)
April 29: 306,478 cases. 23,477 deaths (343 today)
April 30: 311,379 cases. 23,796 deaths (316 today)
May 1: 315,515 cases. 24,039 deaths (243 today)
May 2: 320,219 cases. 24,301 deaths (264 today)
May 3: 323,197 cases. 24,706 deaths (405 today)
May 4: 327,489 cases. 24,999 deaths. (293 today)
May 5: 330,066 cases. 25,255 deaths (256 today)
May 6: 333,576 cases. 25,923 deaths (668 today)
May 7: 334,106 cases. 26,144 deaths (221 today)
May 8: 336,754 cases. 26,379 deaths (235 today)
May 9: 339,307 cases. 26,563 deaths (184 today)
May 10: 341,295 cases. 26,697 deaths (134 today)
May 11: 342,813 cases. 26,832 deaths (135 today)
May 12: 344,455 cases. 26,983 deaths (151 today)

Georgia:
April 3: 5955 cases. 196 deaths.
April 4: 6373 cases. 206 deaths.
April 5: 6729 cases. 217 deaths.
April 6: 7549 cases. 285 deaths.
April 7: 9131 cases. 335 deaths.
April 8: 10,203 cases. 361 deaths.
April 9: 10,882 cases. 407 deaths.
April 10: 11,852 cases. 421 deaths.
April 11: 12,261 cases. 432 deaths.
April 12: 12,550 cases. 440 deaths.
April 13: 13,621 cases. 477 deaths.
April 14: 14,578 cases. 523 deaths.
April 15: 15,267 cases. 575 deaths.
April 16: 16,354 cases. 613 deaths.
April 17: 17,434 cases. 668 deaths.
April 18: 17,841 cases. 677 deaths.
April 19: 18,297 cases. 687 deaths.
April 20: 19,388 cases. 769 deaths.
April 21: 20,156 cases. 816 deaths.
April 22: 21,090 cases. 845 deaths.
April 23: 21,883 cases. 881 deaths.
April 24: 22,491 cases. 899 deaths.
April 25: 23,222 cases. 907 deaths.
April 26: 23,475 cases. 916 deaths.
April 27: 24,209 cases. 991 deaths.
April 28: 24,942 cases. 1,037 deaths.
April 29: 25,955 cases. 1,103 deaths.
April 30: 26,375 cases. 1,136 deaths.
May 1: 27,731 cases. 1,169 deaths.
May 2: 28,442 cases. 1,175 deaths.
May 3: 28,662 cases. 1,181 deaths.
May 4: 29,360 cases. 1,244 deaths.
May 5: 29,956 cases. 1,293 deaths.
May 6: 30,727 cases. 1,325 deaths.
May 7: 31,603 cases. 1,351 deaths.
May 8: 32,179 cases. 1,401 deaths.
May 9: 32,586 cases. 1,404 deaths.
May 10: 33,819 cases. 1,405 deaths.
May 11: 34,000 cases. 1,443 deaths.
May 12: 34,924 cases. 1,498 deaths.

Just the data. We had a nice downward trend for the US working until Chicago happened today. Illinois had their highest new case day (4,000+). Cook County (Chicago) is the hotspot with surrounding counties making up the majority of the remaining cases.

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Do you have a link for stats on daily testing (number of tests per day for Texas)?

Osodecentx said:

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Do you have a link for stats on daily testing (number of tests per day for Texas)?

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Hopefully it stayed on the Texas data. If not, just click on TX in the state list and it should show you daily testing detail.

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/test

My cousin in S. Korea will have her students back in class next week.

Andrew Cuomo is extending his stay at home order for the State of New York until June 13th.

I think looting and rioting in New York and/or California may be only about two weeks away. People are running out of food and money.

https://nypost.com/2020/05/15/cuomo-extends-new-yorks-stay-at-home-order-until-june-13/

Doc Holliday said:

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I won't believe it until Greta Thunberg has her say...

LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

Jacques Strap said:

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LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

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Stasi in Cali

Doc Holliday said:

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Came here to see if this was posted yet. Fingers crossed.

Doc Holliday said:

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Can't be true. California is full of slackers and welfare cheats plotting the demise of the United States.

Booray said:

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Doc Holliday said:

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Can't be true. California is full of slackers and welfare cheats plotting the demise of the United States.

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It's true. But there is the blue skin side effect...

Booray said:

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Doc Holliday said:

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Can't be true. California is full of slackers and welfare cheats plotting the demise of the United States.

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Nah, that's mostly limited to Hollywood and the politicians

LTbear said:

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Doc Holliday said:

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Came here to see if this was posted yet. Fingers crossed.

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I hope so. Municipal finances are getting hammered. Not just a Michigan thing

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/05/15/michigan-predicts-3-2-billion-budget-shortfall-looks-feds-more-aid/5197278002/.

Quote:

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Lansing Michigan lawmakers and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will have to make $2.6 billion in cuts and adjustments to the state's nearly $60-billion budget in the next few months largely because of the COVID-19 pandemic, a new analysis says.

The $3 billion revenue shortfall makes up more than 30% of the remaining money in the General and School Aid funds, and it will continue to grow if it's not addressed, said Rep. Shane Hernandez, R-Port Huron.

The drops in state tax revenue are likely to be the largest since 2009 during the Great Recession. The state was forced to do about $300 million in cuts in early 2015 when businesses started cashing in lucrative state tax credits in bigger amounts than expected, forcing the state to negotiate restrictions with the Detroit 3 automakers on how quickly they could cash in billions of dollars in credits.

State lawmakers estimated Thursday the forecast adjusted in the wake of the coronavirus-inspired stay-home orders as well as business closures and reduced operations will trigger roughly $2.5 billion in cuts to the state's current nearly $60 billion budget.

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Doc Holliday said:

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Shhhhhhh

Big Pharma pissed?

Jacques Strap said:

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LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

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^^^ One thing this fiasco will prove is democrat "leaders" aren't qualified to "LEAD!"

Jacques Strap said:

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LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

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This quote is what is wrong with what has gripped our nation about this virus.

Quote:

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"Refusing to follow it isn't brave or funny it's stupid and could wind up killing you or someone else.

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Booray said:

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Doc Holliday said:

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Can't be true. California is full of slackers and welfare cheats plotting the demise of the United States.

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And a **** ton of illegals.

What's going on in Amarillo? Potter county reporting more new cases than Dallas, Harris, and Tarrant combined. Meat packing?

ATL Bear said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

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This quote is what is wrong with what has gripped our nation about this virus.

Quote:

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"Refusing to follow it isn't brave or funny it's stupid and could wind up killing you or someone else.

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His "Business Ambassadors" should be made aware that snitches get stitches. These commie mayors and governors are going to start seeing violent pushback soon.

riflebear said:

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If he runs for president, I will put money directly into a political campaign for the first time in my life.

Bearitto said:

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ATL Bear said:

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Jacques Strap said:

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LA gonna shut down the water & power of the "non-essentials"?

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This quote is what is wrong with what has gripped our nation about this virus.

Quote:

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"Refusing to follow it isn't brave or funny it's stupid and could wind up killing you or someone else.

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His "Business Ambassadors" should be made aware that snitches get stitches. These commie mayors and governors are going to start seeing violent pushback soon.

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I could only hope there's severe consequences for mayors or any leader with balls to take on citizens by stopping their ability to feed their families

This is ultimate okay of Socialists

They must be stopped, shipped off and done with! They're stealing from us

Too many people are sheep these days. There's only one of him!

riflebear said:

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Dems will break every rule if that's what it takes for them to control our country

When will we stop acting like sheep before them?

FWIW... Facebook post from Doctor in Tennessee

Quote:

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Well it's been a while since my last uppdate. I've been a little busy at the Methodist Covid Clinic seeing patients while also keeping my own practice at Midtown Internal Medicine running. Not to mention my other meetings and responsibilities....also I loath arguing with the Egotistically Ignorant on here. Anyways. Here's what I know:

1) We are at approx 86K covid19 related* deaths and 1.4 M confirmed covid19 cases in the United States. In Tennessee we are at 265 covid deaths and 16,111 covid cases. In Shelby county we have 3462 confirmed covid cases and 76 deaths thus far. Of course we have likely many many unconfirmed cases in this country as well.

2)The asterisk at the end of "covid related" is because in many cases included in this statistic the actual death was not due to covid but other chronic conditions or hospice related deaths. Statistics can be a sliperry slope. A directive from the TN Department of Health on 5/5/20 from Dr Adele Lewis MD (Chair) stated that even "if a deceased patient had a chronic end stage condition... if covid-19 positive or PRESUMED to be positive then covid-19 must be listed as a cause of death". This is due to the fact that federal funding can be secured by hospitals and patient families may receive extra burial benefits by listing covid as a cause. Thus one of my poor patients to die recently was in hospice for end stage Alzheimer's dementia. Had not eaten in a month. Was found during routine swabbing to be positive for covid. Then died from the dementia and dehydration but is included in the covid statistics as her cause of death. So I question the numbers as any good scientist would.

3) We are doing well here in Memphis with slowing the spread. Mayor Strickland lifted some of the shelter in place orders after we had 17 days of a plateau and downward trend. This is a recommendation by the CDC to government officials when considering opening back up.

4) Should we open back up? Well yes we need to. Life must go on. We must feed our communities and get services back running. What about those vulnerable? Well my advice would be to have them still self quarantine and mind who comes to visit. Wear masks and wash/sanitize hands. Social distance. Be courteous and considerate for others. It can be done. It should be done. No I didn't tell everybody we should sacrifice the weak for the sake of the economy. Absolutely not what I'm saying. I'm just saying we will eventually need to get back to work and to our routines if we wish western civilization to survive. After all, I've had 4 times as many people to die of heart related illness since February then to even be hospitalized for covid in my practice alone. We need to treat the other diseases and medical conditions as well.

5) Should we have quarantined? Did it work? Answer: I don't know. Not sure anybody knows. We will see when epidemiologist study the eventual cumulative deaths and stats on Sweden vs Norway. Both similar populations and cultures with opposite strategies on dealing with the covid-19 pandemic. Sweden has more deaths for now but we don't know if Norway will eventually have the same number of deaths in the end. We shall find out in the next two years.

6) Will we have a second wave of Covid-19 in the fall? Likely unless we are really careful with our practices on distancing and hygiene. The mask may not keep you from getting the virus but sure may prevent those infected from spreading it. And we are not sure who may be infected as some of us are asymptomatic carriers. Also masks and glasses keep one from touching the face and eyes much more than those without masks/glasses. It's behavior modification. But be considerate and wear masks for those around you when out and about in the community. Not everyone has an intact immune system.

7) Drug update: Univ of Minnesota results are in and Hydroxychloroquinine (Plaquenil) is NOT beneficial in treating covid infections in the average population. (Possible for only those with autoimmune disorders but this is pending). Remdesivir (antiviral drug) from Gilead has been shown to be beneficial at an Emory/NIH study for those with severe Covid infections. It shortens the course of intubation and hospitalization. IL-6 inhibitors (Kevzara by Sanofi and Siltuxib by EUSA) are still being studied at Cleveland clinic and in Italy. They do show promise however. Convalescent Plasma (blood from those recovered from covid19 then refined and given to those suffering serious covid infections in the hospital) looks very promising. Studies at Mount Sinai NYC and Mayo in conjunction with multiple universities (including UT here in Memphis) are ongoing but results look good. The plasma is saving patients from being placed on a ventilator and shortened hospital length of stays. Final results still pending publication. The holy grail of a vaccine also looks promising in studies and we hope to have it available by early next year if not sooner.

8.) Testing: testing centers from my last post are still open with expanded hours into weekends now. Church Heath Center and some CVS and Walgreens have also started testing with the PRC test (Covid virus) test. The PCR test is the one that shows current infection and is the most reliable. We also now have the IgG and IgM ANTIBODY tests (show previous infection and measure the bodies response indicators to a past infection) in most doctors offices. These antibody tests should be used with clinical judgement and caution as they have both high false negative and false positive rates. They MAY indicate immunity but only if a previous positive covid 19 PCR test was first obtained during acute infection.

9) We have a clinic in Memphis now dedicated to treating nothing but the Covid disease! I staff it every Thursday all day. Methodist Healthcare has one of 25 Covid-19 clinics in the nation dedicated to helping those patients infected with the virus recover both post-hospitalization or post outpatient diagnosis. We can help treat most of the complications from this disease. It's located in Cordova (West Nashville for you Memphis Midtowners) at 8075 Club Parkway Cordova. Open 5 days a week. Must be confirmed covid positive to come however. Phone 901-701-6460. Every person here from lab to X-ray to reception to nursing has volunteered to work here and is dedicated. It's a wonderful team.
10) Stay safe. Be brave. We must be CAUTIOUS but not COWARDLY as we resume activities and open our world back up. I know a lot of you are frightened and unsure. Anxiety is running high. If having issues I suggest talking to your healthcare professional or primary care giver they can help.
Please do NOT make rude or political comments on this as it is an update for MY patients by request. Do not debate me please. There is no debate unless you too are on the front lines of this epidemic. If you wish to argue in the comments then please feel free to bring your medical degree and medical license with you to our covid clinic. We can use the help.

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More at the Link

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/15/we-could-open-up-again-and-forget-the-whole-thing/

Epidemiologist Knut Wittkowski on the deadly consequences of lockdown. For 20 years, Wittkowski was the head of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at The Rockefeller University's Center for Clinical and Translational Science. spiked spoke to him to find out more about the pandemic.

Governments around the world say they are following 'The Science' with their draconian measures to stem the spread of the virus. But the science around Covid-19 is bitterly contested. Many experts have serious doubts about the effectiveness of the measures, and argue that our outsized fears of Covid-19 are not justified. Knut Wittkowski is one such expert who has long argued for a change of course. For 20 years, Wittkowski was the head of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at The Rockefeller University's Center for Clinical and Translational Science. spiked spoke to him to find out more about the pandemic.

spiked: Is Covid-19 dangerous?

Knut Wittkowski: No, unless you have age-related severe comorbidities. So if you are in a nursing home because you cannot live by yourself anymore, then getting infected is dangerous.

We had the other extreme in Switzerland, which was hit pretty hard. There was one child that died. People believed that this child was born in 2011. In fact, it was born in 1911, and that was the only child that died. It was a mere coding error. Somebody with the age 108 was coded as aged eight.

spiked: Have our interventions made much of an impact?

Wittkowski: When the whole thing started, there was one reason given for the lockdown and that was to prevent hospitals from becoming overloaded. There is no indication that hospitals could ever have become overloaded, irrespective of what we did. So we could open up again, and forget the whole thing.

I hope the intervention did not have too much of an impact because it most likely made the situation worse. The intervention was to 'flatten the curve'. That means that there would be the same number of cases but spread out over a longer period of time, because otherwise the hospitals would not have enough capacity.

Now, as we know, children and young adults do not end up in hospitals. It is only those who are both elderly and have comorbidities that do. Therefore you have to protect the elderly and the nursing homes. The ideal approach would be to simply shut the door of the nursing homes and keep the personnel and the elderly locked in for a certain amount of time, and pay the staff overtime to stay there for 24 hours per day.

How long can you do that for? For three weeks, that is possible. For 18 months, it is not. The flattening of the curve, the prolongation of the epidemic, makes it more difficult to protect the elderly, who are at risk. More of the elderly people become infected, and we have more deaths.

jupiter said:

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.

Because if anyone has firsthand experience with not knowing what they are doing, it's President Momjeans.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2020/05/16/neil-fergusons-imperial-model-could-devastating-software-mistake/

Neil Ferguson's Imperial model could be the most devastating software mistake of all time

Cape Canaveral in 1962 when it veered dangerously off-course due to a line of dodgy code.
But nobody died and the only hits were to Nasa's budget and pride. Imperial College's modelling of non-pharmaceutical interventions for Covid-19 which helped persuade the UK and other countries to bring in draconian lockdowns will supersede the failed Venus space probe and could go down in history as the most devastating software mistake of all time, in terms of economic costs and lives lost.

Since publication of Imperial's microsimulation model, those of us with a professional and personal interest in software development have studied the code on which policymakers based their fateful decision to mothball our multi-trillion pound economy and plunge millions of people into poverty and hardship. And we were profoundly disturbed at what we discovered. The model appears to be totally unreliable...

President Momjeans = The Gay Kenyan