Baylor Football

Game Thread: Bears Aim to Keep Momentum Rolling Against TCU

Game thread as Baylor faces TCU.
October 16, 2026
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SICEM365 GAME THREAD

Baylor vs. TCU

The Revivalry • Blackout on the Brazos
Saturday, October 17, 2026 • 6:00 p.m. CT • FS1
McLane Stadium • Waco, TX • Home
Records Baylor 4-1 (2-0 Big 12) | TCU 2-3 (0-2 Big 12)
Coaches Dave Aranda (Year 7) vs. Sonny Dykes (Year 5)
Kickoff 6:00 p.m. CT / 7:00 p.m. ET
TV FS1 — Noah Reed, Petros Papadakis
Radio John Morris, Geff Gandy, Bryson Jackson • KRZI 1660 AM / 92.3 FM
Stream FS1 / FOX One • BaylorBears.com radio
Series TCU leads 60-54-7 • 122nd meeting (most-played in Texas)
Last meeting TCU 42, Baylor 36 (Fort Worth, Oct. 18, 2025)
Last in Waco Baylor 37, TCU 34 (walk-off FG, 2024 blackout)
Last game Baylor 55, Arizona State 19 (Oct. 3)
Line Baylor -5.5 • O/U 48.5 • as of Oct. 16

Why This Game Matters

  • The Revivalry — Blackout on the Brazos. Fans in black, anthracite uniforms likely back
  • Both teams off a bye. Baylor riding a four-game win streak after 55-19 at Arizona State
  • TCU has won nine of the last 11 in the series. Baylor last won at home in 2024
  • DJ Lagway is trending up after Big 12 Player of the Week (306 yards, 4 TD at ASU). Aranda says he is moving better
  • TCU is 2-3 and 0-2 in league play after one-score losses to North Carolina, UCF, and BYU

Series History

  • TCU leads 60-54-7 all-time. Baylor is 35-34-5 in Waco
  • Last meeting: TCU 42-36 in Fort Worth (2025), delayed by lightning
  • Last Waco meeting: Baylor 37-34 on a walk-off field goal in the 2024 blackout
  • Nine of the last 13 meetings decided by one score. TCU has won nine of the last 11
  • TCU this year: L 15-10 vs. North Carolina, W vs. Grambling & Arkansas State, L 21-13 at UCF, L 17-10 vs. BYU

Keys for Baylor

  1. Own the blackout. First blackout since the 2024 walk-off win. Use the crowd and the anthracite look.
  2. Pressure Jaden Craig. Harvard transfer has 1,400 yards and 8 TDs but four interceptions. TCU’s offense has stalled in close games.
  3. Run the ball against their front. Aranda called TCU’s D-line the best they have faced. Still need balance after the ASU explosion.
  4. Finish drives and finish the game. Last two Waco meetings ended on walk-off field goals (one each way). Do not leave it in the hands of the kickers.
  5. Keep the scoring defense intact. Five straight opponents held to 20 or fewer. TCU is only allowing 13.4 points per game.

Players to Watch

Baylor: QB DJ Lagway • RB Dawson Pendergrass • WR Gavin Freeman, Louis Brown IV, Jayden McGowan • LB Travion Barnes • S Micah Gifford, Bo Onu • DL Hosea Wheeler

TCU: QB Jaden Craig • RB Jeremy Payne • WR Ed Small • HC Sonny Dykes (Year 5) • strong defensive front and safety group

SicEm365 TCU / Blackout week reading

SICEM365
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Discussion from...

Game Thread: Bears Aim to Keep Momentum Rolling Against TCU

64,591 Views | 882 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by boognish_bear
bear2be2
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Youre a clown said:

BUwolverine2012 said:

Aranda sucks. Mack screwed us.


In reality, our administration could've easily hired a coach without an athletic director in place. That was just an excuse.

Mack screwed us long before he did that elementary school principal. He hired and extended Aranda in the first place.
Quinton
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I'll leave yall too it. I'm out on an athletic department that just doesn't take it seriously.

The momentum every major program has historically fumbled over the last several years is unprecedented.
GoldenBear007
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So will Spavital be this year's scapegoat to give Aranda another year?
boognish_bear
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Baylor baylored so bad tonight.

Lagway was 22 for 53 for a 41.5% completion rate. 0 TDs/1 INT/4 sacks.

Would any P4 coach in the country let him start the next game?
Youre a clown
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Baylorbears111 said:

Fire Dave. AD is lucky fans aren't throwing trash in the field at this point.


That's why any reference to "haters" that I see from the sunshine crew is so silly. If this were Bama or LSU, people would be mailing in death threats. Not saying that's OK, but it's the truth. Our fan base is super super forgiving
BUwolverine2012
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Did they for real play This Little Light of Mine?
Be present in all things and thankful for all things.
Dia del DougO
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I'm sick of hearing "revivalry" over and over and over again. Kill it with fire.

The only "revival" I want to hear about is Baylor's revival in this series. It's dead, Jim.

OL has issues, but you gotta have better play selection and options, some imagination, some wrinkle somewhere. Spav wasn't good tonight. It's a concern. It has been a concern.

I hate seeing DJ drop back to pass, and then drop back again at the end of the drop back. Stop it!

DJ is a skilled qb, but he has limitations. He needs to be used to his strengths and away from weaknesses. It's not happening.

Defense still played very well. Proud effort there.

Bad dudes in the interior D line really make a difference.

I wish Baylor had been as fortunate getting dudes on OL.

Running game was abysmal.

Baylor had plenty of fight, but offense was playing on ice. Zero TDs. Just embarrassing.

I will never see Baylor regain the lead over TCU in tis series in my remaining life. That's just a fact.




"The only true currency in this bankrupt world is what you share with someone else when you're uncool."
JusHappy2BeHere
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The last Baylor Head Football Coach with a winning record vs TCU was Chuck Reedy
2-1 in 1993-96
"When I despair, I remember that all through history the ways of truth and love have always won. There have been tyrants, and murderers, and for a time they can seem invincible, but in the end they always fall. Think of it--always."

Mahatma Gandhi
Youre a clown
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boognish_bear said:

Baylor baylored so bad tonight.

Lagway was 22 for 53 for a 41.5% completion rate. 0 TDs/1 INT/4 sacks.

Would any P4 coach in the country let him start the next game?
Benching DJ probably means that you're going to create some locker room issues, if they don't exist already. When you pay a guy 2 million and he sucks so bad that you don't even play him, it can create resentment
Smashmouth
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Lagway = Bust at Florida =Bust at Baylor. He will get 2 coaches fired....Hopefully 2
Bearwhiz
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GoldenBear007 said:

So will Spavital be this year's scapegoat to give Aranda another year?
You already know the answer
boognish_bear
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Quinton said:

I'll leave yall too it. I'm out on an athletic department that just doesn't take it seriously.

The momentum every major program has historically fumbled over the last several years is unprecedented.


Where we have fallen in football and bball from where we were 2021 is just laughable. The levels of incompetence to fall that far that fast are staggering.
Youre a clown
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BUwolverine2012 said:

Did they for real play This Little Light of Mine?


Hi Dave under a bushel? No!!! Linda's gonna let him shine
Bearlysurviving
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I literally flew from out of state to watch this game. This program doesn't deserve a cent from me anymore. Trash program. I am so tired of being a loser.
Youre a clown
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boognish_bear said:

Quinton said:

I'll leave yall too it. I'm out on an athletic department that just doesn't take it seriously.

The momentum every major program has historically fumbled over the last several years is unprecedented.


Where we have fallen in football and bball from where we were 2021 is just laughable. The levels of incompetence to fall that far that fast are staggering.


The fact that we could not capitalize on arguably our best season of football ever is truly a crime. Mack should've been gone just for that
Youre a clown
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Bearlysurviving said:

I literally flew from out of state to watch this game. This program doesn't deserve a cent from me anymore. Trash program. I am so tired of being a loser.


Please don't give them your money anymore. Seriously
canoso
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BUwolverine2012 said:

Did they for real play This Little Light of Mine?
Christianity signaling?
Bandito
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GoldenBear007 said:

So will Spavital be this year's scapegoat to give Aranda another year?


Of course
Danielsjackson114
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Bless your heart

I haven't been to a game since 2023
boognish_bear
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Youre a clown said:

boognish_bear said:

Baylor baylored so bad tonight.

Lagway was 22 for 53 for a 41.5% completion rate. 0 TDs/1 INT/4 sacks.

Would any P4 coach in the country let him start the next game?
Benching DJ probably means that you're going to create some locker room issues, if they don't exist already. When you pay a guy 2 million and he sucks so bad that you don't even play him, it can create resentment


Well we already know what we're doing now isn't working... I don't see much risk in taking a shot.
AC/DC
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"Hey, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor What day is it? What DAY is it?"
Youre a clown
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AC/DC said:

"Hey, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor, Bangor What day is it? What DAY is it?"


He's watching a replay of that quality loss versus Auburn
Danielsjackson114
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Still watching the PVU win lol
Space Cutter
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PLEASE MR AD, FIRE ARANDA! He had 2 weeks to prepare for that game and it was PITIFUL. ARANDA WAS OUT COACHED THE WHOLE GAME.
oldbear69
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imagine what byu and tech do to us....can we forfeit?
GABear78
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At least Trump fired someone within one week of realizing it was a bad fit.

We wait 7 years!
Aliceinbubbleland
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Youre a clown said:

Baylorbears111 said:

Fire Dave. AD is lucky fans aren't throwing trash in the field at this point.


That's why any reference to "haters" that I see from the sunshine crew is so silly. If this were Bama or LSU, people would be mailing in death threats. Not saying that's OK, but it's the truth. Our fan base is super super forgiving


Sing crowd
Iran has Trump by his pu**y and no way they will let go
BUwolverine2012
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How much did we waste in Lagway vs firing Aranda?
Be present in all things and thankful for all things.
AC/DC
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Space Cutter said:

PLEASE MR AD, FIRE ARANDA! He had 2 weeks to prepare for that game and it was PITIFUL. ARANDA WAS OUT COACHED THE WHOLE GAME.


TCU THREE WINS- Grambling, Arkansas St, BAYLOR (Convincingly)! There's no way any reasonable person could be optimistic about any opponent of BU going forward. How can Linda, BOR, $$ Folks condone this? There's just no way to polish this up.
gtownbear
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I despise the black uniforms almost as much as the offensive effort tonight. How does a 2-3 team put up a defense that we cannot offer one offensive answer to? Zero run game and our receivers were covered so well all night. Even though I wanted Bennett to come in early in the 4th quarter, the receivers were just not open for Lagway for the most part. They were either that much better on defense or Spav never changed into schemes to counter what they were doing on defense. You be the judge.
Acsteffy87
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Welcome to hell
boykin_spaniel
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Final thoughts:

Avalos took Spav's lunch money and then stole his girlfriend and took her on a date with it. Complete lack of creativity on offense. OL was an issue but throwing back shoulder fades with a mix of basic run plays is a recipe for disaster against a half decent defense. Our offense relied way too much on yellow hankies.

I fully expect Lagway under center next week but if it's the same result as this then I think if you're Aranda you have to mix it up. Awkward with the whole legacy thing… money aside. Maybe tell Spav to get creative? You think maybe that's mentioned at halftime (misdirection, screens, rub routes, direct snaps, trap plays, trick plays).

Speaking of Aranda he appeared to lack the fire of the previous few games and went back to struggling chess master from last year. Maybe the cameras didn't catch it.

Defense was mostly solid. Dwyer was a problem which let Craig have a couple good drives and unfortunately that is all the toad offense needed. You can't bank on your defense bailing you out every game. They did their best tonight. Sadly they needed to hold toad to 3pts. Any other Dwyer level receivers left on the docket?

All eyes turn to the AD. At least for him we aren't LSU or Ohio State.

Note on transfer portal-
DL is plug and play.
OL is NOT plug and play. Price was a big loss.
cowboycwr
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boognish_bear said:

southtexasbear said:

The amount of yelling you suck and boo's are insane. It's getting louder and louder. Lost the fans after this one. No matter how crappy of a drone show you try to put on


If the administration heard all of that at least something good happened tonight


They didn't hear it. They were in their boxes, probably chatting about some non football topic and can't hear the crowd.
Youre a clown
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cowboycwr said:

boognish_bear said:

southtexasbear said:

The amount of yelling you suck and boo's are insane. It's getting louder and louder. Lost the fans after this one. No matter how crappy of a drone show you try to put on


If the administration heard all of that at least something good happened tonight


They didn't hear it. They were in their boxes, probably chatting about some non football topic and can't hear the crowd.


Probably drinking and smoking cigars. The ending of animal farm comes to mind
oldbear69
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kansas only possible win left,,,maybe,,,a bowl game will give him another year,,
 
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