JusHappy2BeHere said:
What is the earliest date he can be an Astro without this counting as a year of service?
Pretty quick. 16 days. That's all Tucker has to stay in the minors to set his free agency point to before the 2025 season. If Tucker had made the opening day roster, he would have been a free agent before the 2024 season.
This is all that Kris Bryant waited in Chicago in 2015, being called up on April 17th of that year. Same thing with George Springer in 2014 for the Astros, debuting on April 16th, 2014.
However, the Astros and many other teams rarely do
just that. Instead, they wait ~70 days to call up players to ensure that in addition to not being a free agent for 7 years, they don't get a bonus 4th year of arbitration status by being a "Super-Two" player. Waiting 70-75 days means Tucker's salary in 2021-24 will be the major league minimum (~$600K), and a hypothetical $5M, $10M, and $15M, respectively. That totals $30.6M. If Tucker is a "Super-Two", his 2021-24 salaries will be $5M, $10M, $15M, and $20M, respectively. That totals $50M. So keeping Tucker in the minors for an additional 55-60 days potentially saves the Astros $20 million. George Springer as a Super Two is making $27.5M in his first 3 arbitration years, with one to go in 2020.
This is what will likely happen to Kyle Tucker and Ronald Acuna (Braves) this year.
I suspect a call up of each player at March 29th +75 days = around June 11th. The Astros have a homestand from June 18th-27th, so sometime in there, expect to see Tucker. Friday, June 22nd against the Royals is my pick. For reference, Correa's debut was June 8th, 2015.