Decision Desk HQ US Senate Forecast (July 1)
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) July 1, 2024
Chance of Majority:
🟥 Republicans: 81%
🟦 Democrats: 19%
Seat Forecast:
🟥 Republicans: 51
🟦 Democrats: 46
🟨 Tossups: 3
Average Seat Projection:
🟥 Republicans: 52
🟦 Democrats: 48
Closest Races:
🟨 Arizona: 50% Even
🟨… pic.twitter.com/juAEKV7DRn
2024
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Last: 27 min ago by historian
Didn't we see similar polls in 2020 and 2022 falsely predicting red tide?
Astros in Home Stretch Geaux Texans
📊 New Hampshire GE: St. Anselm Poll
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 1, 2024
🟥 Trump: 44% (+2)
🟦 Biden: 42%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
#53 (2.4/3.0) | 1,700 RV | June 27-28https://t.co/49BdsPS2pV pic.twitter.com/AAshGVr6GO
This is so wildly out of touch that I can’t believe it’s real https://t.co/UE5f0Cwc1x pic.twitter.com/UbZiowj5go
— brit (@pashedmotatos) July 1, 2024
Anyone who claims I would say that we can’t win Michigan is full of shit. Let’s go. https://t.co/1K5E6K7rJu pic.twitter.com/04c3vGfhO5
— Gretchen Whitmer (@gretchenwhitmer) July 1, 2024
Team Biden considering a nuclear option. But if it fails, the fat lady will be warming up….
NEWS
— Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yashar) July 1, 2024
The Democratic National Committee is considering formally nominating Joe Biden as early as mid-July to ensure that the president is on November ballots, while helping to stamp out intra-party chatter of replacing him after last week’s poor debate performance.… pic.twitter.com/mAWvWsbezZ
Elected Dems are not of one mind
Let? FOH.
— John Fetterman (@JohnFetterman) July 1, 2024
Great President during terrible circumstances. Beat Trump decisively. Held every line.
Any Dem is free to put your bad self into that arena for the Iron Throne. But if you’re not proud to stan Biden, it’s just cheap shots from the cheap seats. pic.twitter.com/W6nx4ABWH9
2024 National GE:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 1, 2024
Trump 47% (+6)
Biden 41%
.
Trump 43% (+7)
Biden 36%
Kennedy 12%
.
Trump 43% (+8)
Biden 35%
Kennedy 10%
West 2%
Stein 1%
.@Harvard/@Harris_X_/@HarrisPoll, 2,090 RV, 6/28-30https://t.co/i2kxN7KuLy
whiterock said:2024 National GE:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 1, 2024
Trump 47% (+6)
Biden 41%
.
Trump 43% (+7)
Biden 36%
Kennedy 12%
.
Trump 43% (+8)
Biden 35%
Kennedy 10%
West 2%
Stein 1%
.@Harvard/@Harris_X_/@HarrisPoll, 2,090 RV, 6/28-30https://t.co/i2kxN7KuLy
Starting to make sense … that debate had to hurt Biden.
sombear said:whiterock said:2024 National GE:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 1, 2024
Trump 47% (+6)
Biden 41%
.
Trump 43% (+7)
Biden 36%
Kennedy 12%
.
Trump 43% (+8)
Biden 35%
Kennedy 10%
West 2%
Stein 1%
.@Harvard/@Harris_X_/@HarrisPoll, 2,090 RV, 6/28-30https://t.co/i2kxN7KuLy
Starting to make sense … that debate had to hurt Biden.
Temporarily
Biden will be replaced by someone younger and more articulate while Trump will still flap his mouth to his own detriment.
Results from above Harvard-Harris poll on last day of the three day window, suggesting the lead may be starting to open up
#New General Election Poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 1, 2024
🔴 Trump 52% (+4)
🔵 Biden 48%
Harvard Harris #B- - 2,090 RV - 6/30
📊 Pennsylvania GE: @cygnal
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 1, 2024
🟥 Trump: 48% (+4)
🟦 Biden: 44%
---
🟥 Trump: 42% (+4)
🟦 Biden: 38%
🟨 RFK Jr: 9%
🟩 Stein: 2%
🟨 West: 2%
#67 (2.1/3.0) | 6/27-28 | 800 LV | ±3.45%https://t.co/F3xHz4uxQP pic.twitter.com/cJVzsTLoKV
Aliceinbubbleland said:
Didn't we see similar polls in 2020 and 2022 falsely predicting red tide?
I think so. But the GOP wasn't getting anywhere near as much help from the fascists then.
Biden quitting ?
No.chriscbear said:
Biden quitting ?
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
Astros in Home Stretch Geaux Texans
The press is really engaging in hubris here. They knew full well what was BIden's mental condition. They only did their job when they could no longer hide it. So now they are trying to reopen a primary they helped BIden win.Aliceinbubbleland said:NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
The American public will see that, too, and it will only drive the approval ratings of Democrat media further into the floor.
Aliceinbubbleland said:
I read a lot of different media from both sides as well as TV but I refuse to listen to that man simply because he is a bold face liar who incites.
Tucker is well connected in DC, having spent many years there. I suggest giving his appearance on Shawn Ryan a listen.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/shawn-ryan-show/id1492492083?i=1000657653067
It was a little surprising to me that Tepper went over the top to finally call President Biden out. I guess they all can take cover un the NYT's editorials. Too hear a CNN anchor disect the current President is, well, unusual.
Astros in Home Stretch Geaux Texans
No doubt he is well connected in D.C. - to kooks. Sorry, I just have absolutely no respect for that granade launcher.
I rank him right up there with Paxton and Patrick ilk.
I rank him right up there with Paxton and Patrick ilk.
Astros in Home Stretch Geaux Texans
The rats are abandoning ship!
Hello Alice,Aliceinbubbleland said:NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
I see your Sig says "Vote for Manchin please". A year ago, I probably would have. But with the Democrats efforts to jail their political rivals , ESPECIALLY Donald Trump, it is too late for that. Trump needs to win and start firing people from day one. This s h I t needs to be cleaned up and I think only he can do it. Heads need to roll. The corruption needs to be cut out like a malignancy. I say this and please know my wife and I think Trump is still an egotistical , arrogant ass. But I truly believe the man loves our country. Perhaps Trump could utilize Joe Manchin in his cabinet. We shall see.
"Never underestimate Joe's ability to **** things up!"
-- Barack Obama
-- Barack Obama
If Kamala's going to be the nominee, she might as well be the president first. That leaves the question of Trump, and his sentencing on July 11. Biden's collapse makes this a much more perilous moment than it was. At this point Trump is not just the Republican candidate, but effectively the presumptive president. If you're going to put him in jail, it had better be for a very serious crime that everyone agrees he committed. Otherwise you risk destroying the system completely and forever. We're in legitimate danger. Democrats need to pull back.
Biden is done. Bet on it. Too many prominent Democrats have suggested he’s brain damaged. They can’t walk that back. They have to remove him, and they will. The only question is when. If they’re smart, they’ll do it immediately. If Kamala’s going to be the nominee, she might as…
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) July 2, 2024
Remaking the Supreme Court is almost certainly Trump's greatest accomplishment & legacy. And it keeps on moving us back towards a constitutional republic, as the Founding Fathers intended:
https://notthebee.com/article/supreme-court-rules-in-favor-of-january-6th-defendants-impacting-hundreds-of-cases-including-case-against-donald-trump
https://notthebee.com/article/supreme-court-rules-in-favor-of-january-6th-defendants-impacting-hundreds-of-cases-including-case-against-donald-trump
https://t.co/PfJmDYubMi pic.twitter.com/GH8rtoScpx
— John Fetterman (@JohnFetterman) July 2, 2024
That is an interesting idea, I would like to see a Libertarian, Manchin and even Semana (sp?) tagged for the Cabinet.RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Hello Alice,Aliceinbubbleland said:NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
I see your Sig says "Vote for Manchin please". A year ago, I probably would have. But with the Democrats efforts to jail their political rivals , ESPECIALLY Donald Trump, it is too late for that. Trump needs to win and start firing people from day one. This s h I t needs to be cleaned up and I think only he can do it. Heads need to roll. The corruption needs to be cut out like a malignancy. I say this and please know my wife and I think Trump is still an egotistical , arrogant ass. But I truly believe the man loves our country. Perhaps Trump could utilize Joe Manchin in his cabinet. We shall see.
Manchin - Interior
Semana - Education
Libertarian - Commerce
A "Team of Rivals" so to speak...
historian said:
Remaking the Supreme Court is almost certainly Trump's greatest accomplishment & legacy. And it keeps on moving us back towards a constitutional republic, as the Founding Fathers intended:
https://notthebee.com/article/supreme-court-rules-in-favor-of-january-6th-defendants-impacting-hundreds-of-cases-including-case-against-donald-trump
All true.
Which in the view Dem radicals is Trump's biggest sin.
So he must be utterly destroyed.
and therefore blinding yourself to the views of over half of the political spectrum.....Aliceinbubbleland said:
No doubt he is well connected in D.C. - to kooks. Sorry, I just have absolutely no respect for that granade launcher.
I rank him right up there with Paxton and Patrick ilk.
wha? you posting stuff from that nutjob lunatic Carlson? Why he never makes any sense, always throwing bombs.Jack and DP said:
If Kamala's going to be the nominee, she might as well be the president first. That leaves the question of Trump, and his sentencing on July 11. Biden's collapse makes this a much more perilous moment than it was. At this point Trump is not just the Republican candidate, but effectively the presumptive president. If you're going to put him in jail, it had better be for a very serious crime that everyone agrees he committed. Otherwise you risk destroying the system completely and forever. We're in legitimate danger. Democrats need to pull back.Biden is done. Bet on it. Too many prominent Democrats have suggested he’s brain damaged. They can’t walk that back. They have to remove him, and they will. The only question is when. If they’re smart, they’ll do it immediately. If Kamala’s going to be the nominee, she might as…
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) July 2, 2024
(wink)
How does one make the case that Biden is too infirm to RUN for President without simultaneously making the case that he is too old to BE President?
And it's one of the most important reasons all conservatives should vote for him.historian said:
Remaking the Supreme Court is almost certainly Trump's greatest accomplishment & legacy. And it keeps on moving us back towards a constitutional republic, as the Founding Fathers intended:
https://notthebee.com/article/supreme-court-rules-in-favor-of-january-6th-defendants-impacting-hundreds-of-cases-including-case-against-donald-trump
Iron Rule of Centrism - moderates are just as narrow-minded as radicals, often moreso.RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Hello Alice,Aliceinbubbleland said:NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
I see your Sig says "Vote for Manchin please". A year ago, I probably would have. But with the Democrats efforts to jail their political rivals , ESPECIALLY Donald Trump, it is too late for that. Trump needs to win and start firing people from day one. This s h I t needs to be cleaned up and I think only he can do it. Heads need to roll. The corruption needs to be cut out like a malignancy. I say this and please know my wife and I think Trump is still an egotistical , arrogant ass. But I truly believe the man loves our country. Perhaps Trump could utilize Joe Manchin in his cabinet. We shall see.
Uh, no. Will not happen. The system does not need more efficiency. The system needs drastic overhaul.FLBear5630 said:That is an interesting idea, I would like to see a Libertarian, Manchin and even Semana (sp?) tagged for the Cabinet.RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:Hello Alice,Aliceinbubbleland said:NEW: CNN's Jake Tapper hammers Democrats for not taking Biden's mental decline seriously, calls out Chris Coons to his face for shilling for Biden.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 1, 2024
"There is a pattern of democratic officials seemingly trying to convince you to not believe what you saw and what you heard with… pic.twitter.com/zaygyDfkQZ
I see your Sig says "Vote for Manchin please". A year ago, I probably would have. But with the Democrats efforts to jail their political rivals , ESPECIALLY Donald Trump, it is too late for that. Trump needs to win and start firing people from day one. This s h I t needs to be cleaned up and I think only he can do it. Heads need to roll. The corruption needs to be cut out like a malignancy. I say this and please know my wife and I think Trump is still an egotistical , arrogant ass. But I truly believe the man loves our country. Perhaps Trump could utilize Joe Manchin in his cabinet. We shall see.
Manchin - Interior
Semana - Education
Libertarian - Commerce
A "Team of Rivals" so to speak...
Classy lady.boognish_bear said:Anyone who claims I would say that we can’t win Michigan is full of shit. Let’s go. https://t.co/1K5E6K7rJu pic.twitter.com/04c3vGfhO5
— Gretchen Whitmer (@gretchenwhitmer) July 1, 2024
I love the “oh Joe Biden is a nice man & Trump is a bully” talk. Here’s @politico on Biden’s debate briefing, where people are “scared shitless” to be near him:https://t.co/ub2zN8KX8A pic.twitter.com/Bgj6KinG0E
— Scott Jennings (@ScottJenningsKY) July 2, 2024