ron.reagan said:
This intelligence report that Iran might have been caught off guard is very strange. Iran has been planning destroying Israel for decades and directly funds Hamas. Getting caught off guard in this case would mean they thought the slaughtering was going to start on a different day
You have to also realize that Iran is a very corrupt country with all kinds of internal factions fighting for control.
They might not even know who they are funding and what each of these groups detailed plans are.
[A unique feature of Iran's economy is the presence of large religious foundations called
bonyads, whose combined budgets represent more than 30 percent of
central government spending.
Price controls and subsidies, particularly on food and
energy, are heavily prominent in the economy.
Contraband, administrative controls,
widespread corruption, and other restrictive factors undermine
private sector-led growth]
Besides the wipe spread corruption... [Bonyads are large "charitable trusts" in Iran that play a major role in Iran's non-petroleum economy, controlling an estimated 20% of Iran's GDP, and channeling revenues to groups supporting the Islamic Republic. Exempt from taxes, they have been called "bloated," and "a major weakness of Iran's economy". They have also been criticized for reaping "huge subsidies from government," while siphoning off production to the lucrative black market]
Who knows what certain individuals associated with the Bonyards are funding or up to.
The political and military situation is just as complicated.
The political elected leadership sets one policy and its often counteracted by the Religious authorities/Guardian Council.
The military is the Iranian Armed Forces "tasked to protect the territorial integrity of the country from external and internal threats and to project power."
It funds certain groups in certain countries.
But then there is the the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (basically a duplicate armed forces)... tasked not to defend the country but to defend the Islamic revolution and ruling class, "preventing foreign interference in Iran, thwarting coups by the traditional military, and crushing deviant movements that harm the ideological legacy of the Islamic Revolution"
It funds all kinds of terrorist factions and groups.
The Iranian Armed Forces and the Revolutionary Guard are often at odds and political rivals.
So its very possible the Iranian army funds one group...and the IRGC is at the same time funding another.