The future automation of the workforce

40,523 Views | 764 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by boognish_bear
EatMoreSalmon
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cowboycwr said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Assassin said:

whitetrash said:

Assassin said:



Will that be before or after the polar ice caps melt and the continents are flooded?

He makes some pretty interesting observations in the thread, including AI creating new superviruses faster than we can stop them. This isn't Issac Asimov and his "Three Rules of Robotics" anymore. It's happening as we speak. We have to rein in AI, but nobody really knows how.

AI can produce, but who will be able to buy to support the production? No workers, no buyers.


I think that is why some people claim that with AI doing everything the government would have to put in a basic universal income. But I have no idea how that would be able to work because it would not allow people to save, invest, or move up in terms of classes.

AI could become its own undoing.
cowboycwr
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EatMoreSalmon said:

cowboycwr said:

EatMoreSalmon said:

Assassin said:

whitetrash said:

Assassin said:



Will that be before or after the polar ice caps melt and the continents are flooded?

He makes some pretty interesting observations in the thread, including AI creating new superviruses faster than we can stop them. This isn't Issac Asimov and his "Three Rules of Robotics" anymore. It's happening as we speak. We have to rein in AI, but nobody really knows how.

AI can produce, but who will be able to buy to support the production? No workers, no buyers.


I think that is why some people claim that with AI doing everything the government would have to put in a basic universal income. But I have no idea how that would be able to work because it would not allow people to save, invest, or move up in terms of classes.

AI could become its own undoing.


Agreed
boognish_bear
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EatMoreSalmon
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boognish_bear said:



Now that's a winner of a couple of AI grown and prepared chicken dinners!
Brilliant product. Uses tech that has shown to be reliable - robotic plotting - and makes it field useful.
cowboycwr
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boognish_bear said:




Great idea…. Too bad it will still rely on people to follow the plan when so often in construction they seem to not be able to, or cut corners to reduce costs.
boognish_bear
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cowboycwr
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So this weekend I had a conversation with some teacher friends about AI and how it is now a feature in almost all the curriculum programs, specific programs that are pure AI for tutoring type class assistance, lesson creation, or even in google classroom. However after their descriptions and even seeing an example of one of them it seems this version is way behind many of the others talked about on this thread. Maybe because the companies creating them are not massive and able to spend a lot on it or like for google it is free so they don't spend much time on it.

Basically all these programs can create a good lesson outline with a short PowerPoint/google slide presentation, multiple questions for bell ringer, discussion, exit ticket, etc. as well as activity ideas but they make a lot of mistakes. Especially if you ask it to create any sort of map, picture, chart, etc.

Even when you give the specific state standard it often gets wrong information, incomplete things or things way off topic.

But as I said it is a good starting point to give teachers ideas of what to do or a basic presentation/notes outline.
boognish_bear
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Assassin
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EatMoreSalmon said:

boognish_bear said:



Now that's a winner of a couple of AI grown and prepared chicken dinners!
Brilliant product. Uses tech that has shown to be reliable - robotic plotting - and makes it field useful.

It is using GPS as part of the programming? Not sure how specific that is
"I will not die today, but the same cannot be said for you." - From Assassin's Creed
boognish_bear
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whiterock
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Redbrickbear said:

boognish_bear said:

I run across interesting items from time to time related to this so figured I'd start a thread for it.

Obviously…automation has already arrived…but it's impact on the workforce is potentially about to really accelerate with advancements in AI and robotics.

Lots of potential economic, political, and ethical issues to be figured out.

I have seen some futurists speculate about massive loss of needed jobs and possibly the need for a universal basic income. Interesting times ahead.



Are you telling me when don't need 8 million to 15 million people imported into the USA every 4-5 years?

Illegal immigration is less of a benefit for labor in row crop operations, which have long been planted, maintained, and harvested by mechanical means. In prairie wheat farms, a single field might be measured not in acres but in square miles.. All a robot would add is the driver (which could be done with a simple computer/AI system hooked up to the tractor itself. What we see in the video is use of robots for landscape and horticultural uses, where human labor is a much bigger component.

I think we are still a ways off from having a robot with the dexterity and gentility to pick strawberries and tomatoes & such..
whiterock
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Redbrickbear said:



Somewhat more humane than what Shakespeare proposed to do with lawyers.
Assassin
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Oldbear83 said:

Wangchung said:

Seems weird to make the robots bi-pedal. Multiple legs and arms seems like it would be more efficient.

Makes them look more normal when China starts using them as cops in all their neighborhoods.

FIFY
"I will not die today, but the same cannot be said for you." - From Assassin's Creed
boognish_bear
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boognish_bear
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Oldbear83
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boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
Redbrickbear
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whiterock
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.

No need to ration power like that by restricting demand. Just ramp up power production to increase supply of it. Everybody benefits from that.

I'm working a completely different angle on the data centers. I'm looking at $9b in data center investment within 10mi of my farm. Sure, we'll get property tax revenues to help build schools & infrastructure to handle 2nd & 3rd order development which will follow the data center projects. But what about the data itself? How do we tax data, the flow of data?

Data is a product. It has tremendous value. The supply of it is exploding at exponential rates, and will continue to do so in spite of growing downward pressures on population growth which in turn put downward pressure on demand for traditional consumable and durable goods. If we make it to a society where robots make all the tractors, plant all the crops, deliver all the produce to our doors, cook our meals, unclog all our sewer lines, etc.....where the hell is the tax base gonna be? Answer: Data.

So how do we calculate sales tax on data?
Oldbear83
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We have a production problem, not easily resolved bc the politics gets involved.

Our grid cannot support our projected population in Texas for 2028, so non-essential users like Data Farms must take a back seat to people, or they should find a way to generate their own juice.

That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
boognish_bear
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Oldbear83 said:

We have a production problem, not easily resolved bc the politics gets involved.

Our grid cannot support our projected population in Texas for 2028, so non-essential users like Data Farms must take a back seat to people, or they should find a way to generate their own juice.




Unfortunately....right now it feels like people are taking a backseat to Data Farms. With Elon setting up shop in Texas now I'm not sure the political will in Austin will be there to rein it in.
historian
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.

They should call it "progressive" because it will look like our income taxes.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
historian
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boognish_bear said:



This increased demand could drive major innovations in energy production. Increased demand for something often does that. Maybe we will see fusion power or something like it over the next few years.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
cowboycwr
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.


Or force them all to put the solar panels up on their parking lots or the local town's shopping lots. Not taking up farm land. Lots of added benefits to covering the parking lots.
boognish_bear
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whiterock
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boognish_bear said:

Oldbear83 said:

We have a production problem, not easily resolved bc the politics gets involved.

Our grid cannot support our projected population in Texas for 2028, so non-essential users like Data Farms must take a back seat to people, or they should find a way to generate their own juice.




Unfortunately....right now it feels like people are taking a backseat to Data Farms. With Elon setting up shop in Texas now I'm not sure the political will in Austin will be there to rein it in.

at peak load, the data farms get shut off first = residential use has priority, a statutory deal. For that reason, the DFs will all have some kind of power generation capability. Backup power is typically done with diesel generators. Actual on-site generation is done when/where available (less than you'd think). I'm aware of one instance where there will be solar on-site. The three data parks I'm involved with chose properties at or very near to an intersection of major electrical and natural gas transmission lines. Unfortunately, the gas line in question is dedicated for residential use cannot be hooked up to commercial customers. In at least one case, plans are underway to run a dedicated gas line to provide service for the DPs.

The small monthly charge on your bill to cover the Brazos Electric failure will likely go away. Looks like one of the DPs has cut a deal to take over the debt in exchange for a reserve on power supply.

Yes, the DPs will tax electrical infrastructure.
They will also force infrastructure to be upgraded & added.
Same for generation.
lots of stuff at work.
look up "small modular reactor"

boognish_bear
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Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.


whiterock
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Oldbear83 said:

RD2WINAGNBEAR86 said:

Oldbear83 said:

Good luck.

Automation is a different problem from tariffs, which are different in both character and effect from income tax, and all of these are different from the border issues.

They affect one another but are also distinct.

Such distinctions are often lost in the noise, but they matter.

Automation is coming whether we like it or not. There will always be someone that builds a better mousetrap. Robots don't call in sick, take medical family leave, they don't complain. They don't sexually harrass co-workers. They don't embezzle from the company. The government can tax the Hell out of automation, but it is still coming.

Automation in various forms has been here for decades, and there has been a lot of noise about it, sometimes sound, sometimes illogical, like all changes in structure and technology.

My point is you said Trump wanted to tax automation.

I simply asked for examples of Trump statements which support that claim.

Still waiting, hoss.



Tax revenues have to come from somewhere. If robots replace people, we are going to have to tax the robots to replace the lost taxes on wages.

I'm watching data parks show up and wondering how we can tax data. Not looking to build a big government empire or anything. Just figuring out how I'm going to lay sewer pipe at $3 million per mile. I'm also going to have to move millions of gallons more water a day to keep the data parks from catching fire. And if they do catch fire, we are going to need to make leap from volunteer to full-time fire dept.

Social contract is not a free service.....
boognish_bear
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Well...that's like almost all the jobs right?

boognish_bear
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Oldbear83
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And where is all that water coming from?
That which does not kill me, will try again and get nastier
cowboycwr
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whiterock said:

Oldbear83 said:

boognish_bear said:



Here's an idea:

Charge these AI Data centers for their proportional use of power. The more power you suck, the higher your rate.

No need to ration power like that by restricting demand. Just ramp up power production to increase supply of it. Everybody benefits from that.

I'm working a completely different angle on the data centers. I'm looking at $9b in data center investment within 10mi of my farm. Sure, we'll get property tax revenues to help build schools & infrastructure to handle 2nd & 3rd order development which will follow the data center projects. But what about the data itself? How do we tax data, the flow of data?

Data is a product. It has tremendous value. The supply of it is exploding at exponential rates, and will continue to do so in spite of growing downward pressures on population growth which in turn put downward pressure on demand for traditional consumable and durable goods. If we make it to a society where robots make all the tractors, plant all the crops, deliver all the produce to our doors, cook our meals, unclog all our sewer lines, etc.....where the hell is the tax base gonna be? Answer: Data.

So how do we calculate sales tax on data?


Size of server? . Speed? Specific income tax for that company/field? Some other specific tax?
cowboycwr
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boognish_bear said:

Well...that's like almost all the jobs right?




I don't see how AI alone can replace at least half of the jobs available out there. Perhaps AI with a robot but not just a computer program alone.
boognish_bear
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Necessary evil perhaps?

boognish_bear
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Assassin
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"I will not die today, but the same cannot be said for you." - From Assassin's Creed
 
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