Oldbear83 said:cowboycwr said:Oldbear83 said:boognish_bear said:
That all sounds good until they start shooting lasers at us… Ha haBill Gates predicts AI could open up a new era for workers, where a 2-day workweek is the norm, machines do the hard work, and people have more time to do the things they love, per FORTUNE
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 23, 2025
I wonder why we never hear the details on how this is going to work.
Right now, investors own the machines that automate manufacturing and they own the AI that is starting to winnow headcount in data roles. The rewards for automation are therefore going to company owners and AI companies. There is no evidence that is going to change anytime soon.
So what happens is at some point we will do one of three things:
I) We create a bunch of new jobs that can go to the people canned from their former jobs, or we will face a serious employment crisis. That is, we are headed to a place where maybe 35% of the population has zero workdays a week for zero income excepting unemployment, with another 15-20% underemployed by working for less pay in whatever jobs they can get and keep. GDP will continue to grow for a time because corporate profits will be healthy, but it will cast a false image for the nation as a whole;
II) Some idiot in Congress, most likely with a (D) by their name, decides to tax the crap out of any company using AI and reducing headcount. This gets popular and becomes law, and companies scale back their AI development and employees feel better protected by Congress. Problem is, other countries continue their AI development and eat up the majority of market share as the US gets left behind in product price and quality;
III) Someone leading an AI company sees what's coming and works out an agreement to develop AI while also protecting jobs, maintaining headcount while developing AI tech, using gains to deliver moderate profit growth while also cutting prices so as to gain market share and deliver real value to the average American.
The problem I have when I hear these promises from Gates and Musk, is that the evidence of their track record does not show price cutting or profit-sharing with the nation in general, so I cannot consider these men the leaders who will actually be AI's version of Henry Ford.
You forgot a fourth option.
Universal income. That is the only way people could work fewer days or not at all and survive.
That's an obscenely bad idea.
Think it through, starting with who would control that program.
All assuming AI acts and responds as they think. That is a big if.