2026 Mid-Term Elections

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whiterock
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whiterock
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Most accurate pollster the last 4-5 cycles….

whiterock
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whiterock said:



Import of above post:

Osodecentx
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whiterock said:

Most accurate pollster the last 4-5 cycles….



This is Rasmussen. As you point out, the most accurate pollster the last 4-5 cycles... Trump Targets the Wrong Base
Republicans' problem isn't MAGA, It's the 'traditional Republicans' he needs to get to the polls, not MAGA enthusiasts.

It's the 'traditional Republicans' he needs to get to the polls, not MAGA enthusiasts.
No surprise. Since January 2025, Washington has been the Trump show, with the president leading every headline. He's also been exclusively speaking to the MAGA crowd most of this year. It explains the president's obsession with topics that make GOP strategists want to pull their hair out. Who loves listening to the president wax on about an "antiweaponization fund"? The MAGA crowd. Who is most interested in cage matches at the White House? MAGA. Want to know who thrills to hearing Mr. Trump rename Lake Ontario? (Mr. Rasmussen has data on that one. Nearly 70% of the Trump base favors it. The rest of the country, 28%.)
It's everyone else in the GOP "base" (and independents) who should concern the GOP, especially because that category has grown the past 18 months, while the MAGA crowd has shrunk. At the time of Mr. Trump's 2025 inauguration, 38% of registered voters said they favored "Trump-like policies" compared with 14% who preferred traditional GOP policies and about 20% for each Democratic category. Those choosing MAGA have since dropped 10 points. But they haven't dropped out, waiting to be re-enthused. The data show that most have migrated back into the category of voters who prefer a more "traditional" Republican approach.
Of the now much larger category of traditional Republicans, a mere 25% are "very enthusiastic" to go vote. That is the GOP's turnout problem, These are the people Republicans need and are studiously ignoring. Why? The Trump inner circle has spent too many months reinforcing the notion that the polls are lying, while simultaneously jeering the RINOs and Reagan zombies they actually need. The broader electorate doesn't feel Republicans have delivered. But they also aren't jazzed by democratic socialists. So there is merit to the GOP's new strategy of highlighting the choice voters face between GOP growth policies and left-wing lunacy.
But more is needed to inspire traditional Republicans to go vote, and the solution is almost painfully obvious. Republicans need to talk about what they are going to do next specifically how they are going to bring down prices. https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trump-targets-the-wrong-base-d5886214?mod=author_content_page_1_pos_3
muddybrazos
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GOP really screwed up by nominating Vivek for Gov. This guy needs to get out of politics. Idk why anyone would want their state population to be increased by 30%. I dont want my states population to go up at all. This guy needs to lose then they can get a better repub candidate in 4 years.

Donalds may even lose Florida. The GOP is run by morons who either dont know or just dislike their base.
historian
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Election fraud again:

Postal worker charged with throwing away 300 ballots in Utah's primary election

https://notthebee.com/article/postal-worker-charged-with-throwing-away-300-ballots-in-utahs-primary-election
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
whiterock
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Beware: an awful lot of the polling with big Dem leads assumes a wide Dem lead in enthusiasm.

boognish_bear
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Oldbear83
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Turns out that clip is from a year ago.
Danielsjackson114
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Boogerish posting the first thing he sees?

You don't say…
BUDOS
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Regulations for monitoring mail-in ballots probably vary by state, with some, perhaps more prone to not being as strong as others. Anyone have hard research on the overall percentage of proven mail-in fraud?
boognish_bear
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Danielsjackson114 said:

Boogerish posting the first thing he sees?

You don't say…


That's pretty funny coming from you
J.R.
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boognish_bear said:

Danielsjackson114 said:

Boogerish posting the first thing he sees?

You don't say…


That's pretty funny coming from you

NO chit! Viva la Twink!
historian
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Good question. I don't have set Pacifica at the moment but I do know there have been plenty of reports in multiple states over the years. The Dem gov of New Jersey admitted recently that a bunch of ballots were sent to illegals (6,600) and at least 400 votes. It's safe to assume that both numbers are significantly higher. That's one state and there have been reports in several others.

It's just like the fraud in homeless programs, Medicare spending, hospice programs, autism programs, "Learing Centers", and every other federal program. The Dems structured each in such a way to maximize fraud benefitting their clients snd themselves. Every new revelation invites more investigations and demands more prosecutions. It's probably too much to hope for but I like to imagine cleaning up the fraud and deporting all the illegals could go a long way towards balancing the budget. It's a dream.

On a related note, right now Nick Shirley is the best journalist this country has and deserves the Pulitzer, if that award actually has any real meaning these days.
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
historian
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Is the new-new left beginning to devour itself?

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/09/is-the-new-new-left-beginning-to-devour-itself/
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
boognish_bear
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whiterock
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Osodecentx
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https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.
Adriacus Peratuun
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Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.
whiterock
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It's almost like there is a tacit agreement on what will be the generic ballot. For sure it will help the Dems raise money (in a cycle where their fundraising badly lags GOP).

whiterock
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whiterock
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If this is correct, then the RNC Chair's prediction is likely prescient.

whiterock
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That's one way to make the GOP spend cash in red states, to prevent them from spending it in blue states.
whiterock
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TL.DR version: This doesn't rule out a Democratic wave. It also doesn't show one. The real signal starts when in-person early voting opens in mid-October.

historian
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Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

Do you realize that Babylon Bee is satire?
“Incline my heart to your testimonies, and not to selfish gain!”
Psalm 119:36
whiterock
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Osodecentx
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Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that
Oldbear83
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Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that

Nice try, but we all know the Bee.

Thing is, you seem to have confused the Bee for something more than observational comedy.

Odd.
Adriacus Peratuun
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Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that

Terrible attempted save of your really dumb post. Deflection isn't your strong suit.
Osodecentx
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Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that

Terrible attempted save of your really dumb post. Deflection isn't your strong suit.


It's a parody & you don't know about the Bee
Embarrassing
Adriacus Peratuun
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Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that

Terrible attempted save of your really dumb post. Deflection isn't your strong suit.


It's a parody & you don't know about the Bee
Embarrassing

Doubling down on a losing hand when all the cards are face up……so you are/were clearly a Whatever Studies major. All that blue hair dye soaked too deeply.
Osodecentx
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Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

Adriacus Peratuun said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

And the Left wonders why people find them to be crazy out of touch even as they cite to the BabylonBee as a news source.

embarrassed that you associate with Baylor and taint the rest of us.


The Bee touts itself as Fake news you can trust. It's a parody. Everyone knows that, well almost everyone.
Embarrassed you didn't know that

Terrible attempted save of your really dumb post. Deflection isn't your strong suit.


It's a parody & you don't know about the Bee
Embarrassing

Doubling down on a losing hand when all the cards are face up……so you are/were clearly a Whatever Studies major. All that blue hair dye soaked too deeply.


And you are ignorant of the Bee and argued with a parody. Embarrassing. LOL.
Oldbear83
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You're just word-gargling now, and everyone sees it.

Just admit your goof, everyone will forgive, and move on.
Sam Lowry
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historian said:

Osodecentx said:

https://babylonbee.com/news/republicans-not-sure-why-poll-numbers-dropping-despite-doing-so-many-wildly-unpopular-things?utm_source=The%20Babylon%20Bee%20Newsletter&utm_medium=email

WASHINGTON, D.C. Republican leaders are reportedly meeting this week to discuss how their polling could be so terrible ahead of the midterms despite doing so many wildly unpopular things.

Recent polls show Republican support somehow cratering even though gas costs are soaring, inflation continues to rise, the war with Iran is continuing, and nothing has been done to secure our elections. The GOP leadership, reviewing the results at the strategy meeting, were left stumped.

Do you realize that Babylon Bee is satire?

Apparently he's the only one who does.
boognish_bear
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